我国未来能源消费及其对环境的影响分析

随着我国经济的发展和城市化水平的提高,未来的能源消费状况及由此带来的环境污染问题日益受到人们的关注.本文简要回顾了1 980年以来我国能源消费状况并分析了相应的环境问题,对我国未来能源消费状况及可能带来的环境影响设置了3种情景进行预测和分析,得出我国今后因能源消费的SO₂、NO_x、CO₂和烟尘等排放量依然很高,但不同情景的预测结果有较大区别,并提出通过提高能源效率以及加强清洁、可再生能源的开发利用来解决能源消费带来的环境污染问题.

Analysis of China's Energy Consumption and Its Impact on the Environment in the Future

With the development of economy and urbanization, energy consumption and its impact on the environment in the future have become a focal point in China. Based on briefly reviewing energy consumption during 1980-2000 and analyzing its impact, three scenarios are assumed to forecast energy consumption status and analyze its impact on the environment in the future. The results indicate that the emissions of SO2, NOx, CO2 and soot dust caused by energy consumption would keep a high level in the future, and there are significant differences among the three scenarios' estimates. Improving energy efficiency and strengthening the exploitation and utilization of clean and renewable energy are suggested to mitigate the environmental pollution.