基本有色金属及其废料价格走势预测

2008年席卷全球的金融危机对我国再生资源回收行业造成了严重影响。受金融危机影响，有色金属中6种基本金属的价格均大幅下挫，与之相关的废有色金属更是损失惨重，部分品种价格下跌甚至超过50％。2009年再生资源行业仍将面临金融危机和增值税政策调整的双重压力和挑战。结合当前国内外经济形势，通过对近些年来有色金属价格走势的分析，预测：有色金属行业复苏仍需时日，有色金属价格已经接近底部，大幅下跌的可能性很小；铜和镍从中长期来看仍有下探的空间；铅和锌价格已见底，未来不会再创新低。

Forecast the price trend of base non-ferrous metals and their scraps

The global financial crisis has had a serious impact on China＇s renewable resources recycling industry in 2008. Base metals＇ prices have plummeted; meanwhile, the prices of base metals scraps have fallen even more than 50%. Renewable resource industry in 2009 will continue to face the dual pressures of and challenges that financial crisis and policy adjustments. Combined with the current economic situation, analyze the price of non-ferrous metal scrap analysis in recent years, predict： non-ferrous metals industry still needs time to recover, metal prices have been closed to the bottom, the possibility of a sharp fall is very small; the prices of copper and nickel may go down from a long term; the prices of lead and zinc have been closed to the bottom, would not create a new record.