基于证据理论的烟花爆竹生产经营企业安全评价方法研究

在烟花爆竹生产经营企业的安全评价中,存在着很大的不确定性。证据理论作为一种处理不确定性问题的有效工具,已经被广泛应用到很多领域中。本文建立了烟花爆竹生产经营企业的安全系统风险评价指标体系,并应用证据理论处理烟花爆竹生产经营企业安全评价中的不确定性问题,通过实例验证结果表明基于证据理论对烟花爆竹生产经营企业进行风险评价具有可行性、有效性与实用性。

Research on the Safety Assessment for Fireworks and Firecrackers Production and Management Enterprises Based on Evidence Theory

In the safety assessment of the fireworks and firecracker production and management enterprises,the uncertainty of factors is very large.As an effective tool for dealing with uncertainty,evidence theory has been applied to many industries.This paper establishes a risk evaluation index system of the security system for fireworks and firecracker production and management enterprises and applies evidence theory to solving the uncertainty of safety assessment.The practical examples show that the method is reasonable and effective.