| 基于情景分析的突发事件应急预案编制方法初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄毅宇,李响.基于情景分析的突发事件应急预案编制方法初探[J].安全与环境工程,2011,18(2):56-59. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄毅宇 李响 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东师范大学地理信息科学教育部重点实验室,上海,200062 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重点项目，上海市浦江人才计划资助课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 应对突发事件,制定行之有效的应急预案是保障人民生命财产安全与社会稳定的重要措施.本文在分析我国应急预案编制过程中存在的问题的基础上,探讨了如何利用情景分析的方法实现应急预案的有效编制的程序,即从灾害风险评估到情景设置与分析、响应策略的制定、实施计划、辅助操作与应急准备等一系列环环相扣的步骤,旨在从情景模拟中提炼出切实可...
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| 关 键 词： | 突发事件 应急预案 情景分析 风险评估 响应策略 |
Preliminary Exploration on Scenario-based Contingency Planning |
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| HUANG Yi-yu,LI Xiang.Preliminary Exploration on Scenario-based Contingency Planning[J].Safety and Environmental Engineering,2011,18(2):56-59. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Yi-yu LI Xiang |
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| Institution: | HUANG Yi-yu,LI Xiang(Key Lab of Geographical Information Science,Ministry of Education,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China) |
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| Abstract: | To enhance people's capabilities of dealing with the contingency,the establishment and implementation of an effective contingency plan is the fundamental measurement to keep people's lives and properties under protection.On the basis of summarizing the current compiling process of our country's contingency plans,this paper discusses the exploration on how to set down the contingency plan through scenario-based analysis with the aim to ameliorate the contingency plan's predictability,completeness and feasibi... |
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| Keywords: | emergency contingency planning scenario-based analysis risk assessment response strategy |
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