| 灰色理论在预测鱼田堡煤矿矿井涌水量中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 苏潇,万新南,刘雯婷.灰色理论在预测鱼田堡煤矿矿井涌水量中的应用[J].环境科学与管理,2009,34(12):55-57. |
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| 作者姓名： | 苏潇 万新南 刘雯婷 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 成都理工大学,四川,成都,610059
2. 河北水文工程地质勘察院,河北,石家庄,050021 |
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| 摘 要： | 煤矿地下水动态的预测预报始终存在着计算过程复杂、计算量大、且难以兼顾影响矿井充水的各种因素、精度较低的特点；灰色系统理论则具有高度的概括性、简单的计算过程和极佳的预测精度，因此在工程界得到了广泛的应用。本文采用灰色系统理论，以灰色理论GM（1，1）模型为基础对重庆鱼田堡煤矿矿井涌水量进行预测。结果表明，该方法在预测矿井涌水量中是一种简便而有效的好方法。根据涌水量预测结果，为矿井设计排水方案的最优化选择提供科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色理论 预测 矿井涌水量 |
Application of Gray System Model in Prediction of Water Discharge Yutianbao Coal Mine |
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| Su Xiao,Wan Xinnan,Liu Wenting.Application of Gray System Model in Prediction of Water Discharge Yutianbao Coal Mine[J].Environmental Science and Management,2009,34(12):55-57. |
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| Authors: | Su Xiao Wan Xinnan Liu Wenting |
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| Institution: | 1. Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China; 2. Hebei Institute of Hydrological Engineering Geological Investigation, Shijiazhuang 050021, China) |
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| Abstract: | Mine groundwater dynamic prediction, there is always a complex and large calculation , difficult to take into account the impact of various water - filled factors, , and a low accuracy characteristics. Grey theory has a high degree of generality, a simple calculation process and a good accuracy , therefore, in engineering has been widely used. In this paper, using the gray theory system, predicting the inflow based on the theory of gray GM （ 1,1 ） model in the Yutianbao coal mine of ChongQing. The results show that the method in the prediction of mine water inflow is a simple and effective. According to prediction of mine watei＇ discharge , drainage Program will bedesigned as a Optimizing selection to provide a scientific basis to choose. |
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| Keywords: | gray theory prediction mine water discharge |
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