中国城镇化进程的工业污染与规制效应分析研究

利用2001年-2012年中国30个省级地区的面板数据,分别估计了城镇化的工业污染总量效应、相对量效应和规制效应.结果发现,不断扩张的工业污染是城镇化进程的“副产品”,城镇化率与工业污染排放总量及密度有显著的回归关系,尽管环境规制力度增强起到了一定抵消作用,但仍未阻止近十余年来工业污染排放总量及密度随城镇化而加剧的态势.为实现城镇化绿色循环低碳发展,中国一方面应继续加强环境规制,推广减排降耗技术,加大政府补贴,另一方面要着重提高企业清洁生产的能力和意愿.

Industrial Pollution and Regulation Effect of China's Urbanization Process

Based on panel data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2001 to 2012, this study estimates industrial pollution -total - effect, relative -amount- effect and regulation- effect. The results show that expanding industrial pollution is a ＂byproduct＂ of urbanization, there are significant regression relationships between the rate of urbanization and the volume and density of industrial pollution, and the increasing intensity of environmental regulation has not stop these trend despite a certain offset. To achieve the green, low - carbon and cycle urbanization, on the one hand, China should continue to strengthen environmental regulations, promote pollution reduction and energy technologies, and increase government subsidies; on the other hand, we should focus on improving the ability and willingness to cleaner production of industrial enterprises.