江苏省氨氮排放与经济发展的现状研究

利用2005年-2009年江苏省、常州市、淮安市的氨氮指标时间序列数据，模拟了江苏省、常州市、淮安市的工业氨氮、生活氨氮、人均氨氮与人均GDP的关系曲线模型，江苏省、常州市、淮安市人均氨氮与人均GDP均符合指数模型，常州市工业氨氮、生活氨氮分别符合指数模型，淮安市工业氨氮、生活氨氮分别符合线性方程模型，江苏省工业氨氮、生活氨氮分别符合三次曲线方程模型；进一步描述了工业氨氮、生活氨氮、人均氨氮与人均GDP的EKC关系，常州市、江苏省的工业、生活、人均氨氮与人均GDP呈负相关，位于EKC曲线的下降段，淮安市的工业、生活、人均氨氮与人均GDP呈正相关，位于EKC曲线的上升段，为江苏省氨氮减徘撂供撞议．

Relation between Ammonia Nitrogen Emissions and Economic Development in Jiangsu Province

Using the time -series data of ammonia nitrogen indicators from Jiangsu Province, Changzhou City and Huaian City, this study simulated the relationship curve of industrial annnonia, life ammonia, ammonia per capita and GDP per capita in the target regions. Ammonia per capita and GDP per capita conformed to the exponential model. The industrial ammonia and life ammonia in Changzhou conformed to exponential model. The industrial ammonia and life ammonia in Huaian conformed to linear equations model. The industrial ammonia and the life ammonia in Jiangsu Province conformed to cubic curve equation model. This study also described the relationship between industrial ammonia, life ammonia, ammonia per capita and GDP per capita based on EKC. The industrial am monia, life ammonia, ammonia per capita and GDP per capita in Jiangsu Province and Changzhou present negative correlation, situated the descent stage of EKC curve. Ammonia per capita and GDP per capita in Huaian City present positive correlation situated the ascent stage of EKC curve. This study provides adviees for ammonia nitrogen emission reduction in Jiangsu Province.