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基于Matlab的BP神经网络在大气污染物浓度预测中的应用
引用本文:欧阳钧,王爱枝.基于Matlab的BP神经网络在大气污染物浓度预测中的应用[J].环境科学与管理,2009,34(11):176-180.
作者姓名:欧阳钧  王爱枝
作者单位:1. 上海市长宁区环境监测站,上海,200052
2. 中国气象科学研究院上海办事处,上海,200011
摘    要:为了寻求有效控制和改善环境质量的相应措施,选用了英国伦敦Bloomsbury监测站的PM10小时平均浓度监测资料,采用“提前终止法”泛化改进的BP神经网络模型,预测PM1024 h内的小时平均浓度。结果表明:采用BP神经网络法对大气污染物浓度进行预测,预测相对误差在2%-48%之间,且绝大部分在2%-17%之间,预测精度较高,泛化能力较好,为大气污染物浓度预测提供了一种全新的思路和方法。

关 键 词:Matlab  BP神经网络  大气污染物  预测

The Application of Concentration Forecasting of Air Pollutant Based on BP Neural Network in Matlab
Ouyang Jun,Wang Aizhi.The Application of Concentration Forecasting of Air Pollutant Based on BP Neural Network in Matlab[J].Environmental Science and Management,2009,34(11):176-180.
Authors:Ouyang Jun  Wang Aizhi
Institution:Ouyang Jun1,Wang Aizhi2(1.Shanghai Changning Area Environmental Monitoring Station,Shanghai 200052,China,2.Shanghai Office of Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Shanghai 200011,China)
Abstract:In order to find the measures of controlling and improving environmental quality effectively,The BP neural network model improved by the way of advance termination is used for forecasting the average concentration(1hour)of PM10 in 24 hours,through using the materials of average concentration(1hour)of PM10 monitored by the Bloomsbury Site in London.The results show:The prediction relative errors are between 2 percent and 48 percent,and the most numbers less than 17 percent.The forecasting precision is high a...
Keywords:Matlab
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