重庆市1997年-2005年生态足迹与发展能力实证分析

生态足迹是一种定量测量人类对自然资源利用程度的全新方法。在介绍了生态足迹的概念和生态足迹的模型与生态系统经济发展能力以及目前的研究成果基础上，根据1998年-2006年的《重庆市统计年鉴》的资料数据，对重庆市1997年-2005年的生态足迹进行了实证计算与分析，结果表明重庆市从1997年的人均生态足迹由1.096ha/cap增加到2005年底的1.635ha/cap，人均生态赤字由1997年的0.9000ha/cap增加到2005年的1.2742ha/cap，9年间的增幅为41，5％，平均每年为6.1％；通过人均GDP与发展能力的回归分析表明，生态系统的经济发展能力是一个很好的反映重庆市经济系统状况的指标。

Ecological Footprint Calculation and Development Capacity Analysis of Chongqing Municipality from 1997 to 2005

Ecological footprint is a kind of new method of quantifiably measuring the extent of human using of nature resouree. On the base of an introduetion to the eoneept and ealeulation model of eeologieal footprint, as well as eeologieal system eeonomieal development eapaeity and what the researchers have been done, the authors ealeulate and analyze the eeologieal footprint of Chongqing from 1997 to 2005 according to the data of the statistical yearbooks of Chongqing. According to this calculation, the per eapita eeologieal footprint of Chongqing inereases with years from 1. 096 ha in 1997 to 1. 635 ha in 2005, and the per eapita eeologieal footprint defieit of Chongqing inereases 0. 9000 ha/cap in 1997 to 1. 2742 ha/cap in 2005, whieh inereases 41.5% during the period or about 6.1% every year. Through the regression analysis between per eapita GDP and development eapaeity, the estimates shows that eeologieal system eeonomieal development eapaeity is a good indieator to reflect eeonomieal system development in Chongqing Munieipality.