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东北深源地震对黑龙江及邻近地区浅源地震的影响分析
引用本文:吴海波,高峰,王海涛,柴红泽,李希文.东北深源地震对黑龙江及邻近地区浅源地震的影响分析[J].防灾科技学院学报,2011,13(4):8-12.
作者姓名:吴海波  高峰  王海涛  柴红泽  李希文
作者单位:1. 延寿地震台,黑龙江哈尔滨,150700
2. 黑龙江省地震局,黑龙江哈尔滨,150021
3. 通河地震台,黑龙江哈尔滨,150900
摘    要:1900年以来东北深源地震区6.0级以上深源地震与黑龙江及邻近地区5级左右浅源地震存在较好的对应关系。通过概率增益模型检验这种对应关系,发现并非随机对应,而是存在一定的内在物理联系。通过B分布函数的概率计算,预测2010年2月19日中俄交界6.5级地震后两年内,黑龙江及邻近地区发生5级左右地震的概率为0.58。

关 键 词:东北地区  浅源地震  概率增益模型  B分布函数

Influence of Northeast Deep-source Earthquake on Shallow-source Ones in Heilongjiang And Neighboring Place
Wu Haibo,Gao Feng,Wang Haitao,Chai Hongze,Li Xiwen.Influence of Northeast Deep-source Earthquake on Shallow-source Ones in Heilongjiang And Neighboring Place[J].Journal of Institute of Disaster-prevention Science and Technology,2011,13(4):8-12.
Authors:Wu Haibo  Gao Feng  Wang Haitao  Chai Hongze  Li Xiwen
Institution:1(1.Ysnshou Seismic Station,Harbin 150700,China;2.Earthquake Administration of Heilongjiang province,Harbin 150021,China;3.Tonghe Seismic Station,Harbin 150900,China)
Abstract:Since 1900 the northeast deep level is above 6.0 earthquake zone usage deep earthquake and Heilongjiang and adjacent area 5 magnitude or so shallow earthquake are with good corresponding relation.through the probability gain model to examine the corresponding relation,found that not random correspondence,but there are certain physical contact.Through the B distribution function of the probability method to predict 19 February 2010 the border between China and Russia within two years after a magnitude 6.5 earthquake,Heilongjiang and adjacent region is about the probability of earthquake level 5 to 0.58.
Keywords:Northeast region  Shallow-source earthquake  Probability gain model  B distributions function
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