| 西部地区经济发展与水环境质量的相关分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 庄宇,张敏,郭鹏.西部地区经济发展与水环境质量的相关分析[J].环境科学与技术,2007,30(4):50-51,80. |
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| 作者姓名： | 庄宇 张敏 郭鹏 |
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| 作者单位： | 西北工业大学管理学院,西安,710072 |
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| 摘 要： | 认识经济发展与水环境污染的关系,以求西部地区经济与环境的协调发展。文章运用环境库兹涅茨理论和自回归分析模型,对1995～2004年我国西部地区人均GDP与废水排放量的分析,可知西部地区的人均GDP增加1%,则污水排放量增加0.582%,经济发展伴随着水环境质量的持续恶化,说明西部地区目前处于环境库兹涅茨曲线的左半部分。因此有必要加强对水环境的规制和治理,改善经济发展和水环境质量之间的这种两难关系。还表明自回归模型对于西部地区水环境质量的预测也是有效的。
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| 关 键 词： | 可持续发展 水环境质量 自回归模型 环境库兹涅茨曲线 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-6504（2007）04-0050-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-08-072006-09-19 |
Relativity Analysis between Economic Development and Water Environment Quality in the Western Region of China |
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| ZHUANG Yu,ZHANG Min,GUO Peng.Relativity Analysis between Economic Development and Water Environment Quality in the Western Region of China[J].Environmental Science and Technology,2007,30(4):50-51,80. |
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| Authors: | ZHUANG Yu ZHANG Min GUO Peng |
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| Abstract: | Understanding the relationship between economic development and water pollution is helpful to coordinate the environment and economic development of western region.Environmental Kuznets theory and auto regression analysis model were used to analyze per capita GDP and wastewater emission from 1995 to 2004 and results showed that wastewater emission increased by 0.582% when per capita GDP increased by 1% in the western region.It is necessary to strengthen environment regulation for water management system and improve dilemma state between economic development and water environment quality.The auto regression model is effective to forecast water quality. |
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| Keywords: | sustainable development water environmental quality auto regression model environmental Kuznets curve |
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