广东耕地资源的人口承载力研究

在总结广东省耕地资源特征的基础上,分析预测了2010年广东人口的发展趋势和消费水平,广东耕地资源的现实生产力、潜在生产力,以及2010年耕地的发展规模和粮食生产力。分析得出结论:2010年广东人口突破8300万人的可能性较大;届时人均消费水平将有较大的提高;广东粮食自给率为70%时,将会出现耕地承载力严重超载。本文最后提出了提高耕地资源的人口承载力的对策。

Study on the Carrying Capacity of Farmland Resources in Guangdong

This paper discusses the characteristics of farmland resources and forecasts population development and consumption in Guangdong province in 2010; analyses the actual production capacity, potential production capacity and development of farmland resources and grain yield in 2010. It is concluded that population will be likely to exceed 83 million, consumption level will be raised, foodstuff self-support will be only at 70%, and population bearing capacity will be overloaded. At last, the paper puts forward some measures to raise population bearing capacity.