| 天津经济技术开发区(TEDA)社会发展预警系统建立的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 宋文华,徐晓梅,陈洪娟,牛东,朱坦,戴树桂.天津经济技术开发区(TEDA)社会发展预警系统建立的研究[J].城市环境与城市生态,1999(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 宋文华 徐晓梅 陈洪娟 牛东 朱坦 戴树桂 |
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| 作者单位： | 南开大学环境科学研究中心 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据社会发展的统计指标体系，结合评价可持续发展的社会指标体系构成，得出社会发展警情、警兆指标体系，然后根据统计数据，采用实证和理论分析相结合的方法，给出社会发展警情预报的警情警限值，并利用其研究ＴＥＤＡ的社会发展态势，最终给出ＴＥＤＡ警源形成因素及排警对策。
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| 关 键 词： | TEDA 警兆指标 先行指标 社会预警指标体系 警限值 |
Study on the Establishment of TEDA Social Developmental Warning System |
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| SONG Wenhua,XU Xiaomei,CHEN Hongjuan NIU Dong,WANG Qian,ZHU Tan,DAI Shugui.Study on the Establishment of TEDA Social Developmental Warning System[J].Urban Environment & Urban Ecology,1999(3). |
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| Authors: | SONG Wenhua XU Xiaomei CHEN Hongjuan NIU Dong WANG Qian ZHU Tan DAI Shugui |
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| Abstract: | According to the statistical index system of social development, linking up the component of social index system of sustained development , warning condition and warning sign index system are dereloped in the paper, Acording to statistical data, by using the method of combing positivism with theoretical analysis, the warning limit value of social development warning condition forecast is formed. The warning limit value is used in studying on TEDA's social development state and the forming factors of TEDA's warning source and the way to get rid of warning are given finally. |
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| Keywords: | TEDA warning sign index advance index social warning index system warning limit value |
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