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A new baseline model for estimating willingness to pay from discrete choice models
Institution:1. Department of Applied Economics III (Econometrics and Statistics), University of the Basque Country, Avda. Lehendakari Aguirre, 83, E48015 Bilbao, Spain;2. Institute for Landscape Architecture and Environmental Planning, Technische Universität Berlin, D-10623 Berlin, Germany;1. Institute for Ecological Economy Research, Potsdamer Str. 105, 10785 Berlin, Germany;2. Scotland''s Rural College (SRUC), Land Economy, Environment & Society Group, Peter Wilson Building, Kings Buildings, West Mains Road, Edinburgh EH9 3JG, United Kingdom;3. Technische Universität Berlin, Institute for Landscape and Environmental Planning, Straße des 17. Juni 145, 10623 Berlin, Germany;4. Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiellinie 66, 24105 Kiel, Germany
Abstract:We show a substantive problem exists with the widely-used ratio of coefficients approach to calculating willingness to pay (WTP) from discrete choice models. The correctly calculated standard error for WTP using this approach is shown to be undefined. This occurs because the cost parameter's standard error implies some possibility the true parameter value is arbitrarily close to zero. We propose a simple yet elegant way to overcome this problem by reparameterizing the (negative) cost variable's coefficient using an exponential transformation to enforce the theoretically correct positive coefficient. With it the confidence interval for WTP is now finite and well behaved.
Keywords:Conditional logit  Confidence intervals  Contingent valuation delta method  Discrete choice experiment  Krinsky-Robb  Multinomial logit  Probit  Welfare measures  C01  C15  C18  Q0
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