| 基于技术扩散的客流量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈宇科,刘俊.基于技术扩散的客流量预测[J].资源开发与市场,2004,20(3):168-169,184. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈宇科 刘俊 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 重庆师范大学数学与计算机科学学院,重庆,400047
2. 重庆师范大学地理系,重庆,400047 |
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| 摘 要： | 旅游客流预测是旅游开发的基础研究内容.由于旅游客流具有动态的变化性和影响因素的多样性等特征,使定量的描述和预测旅游客流量具有较大的难度.鉴于此,综合技术扩散理论和区位论等理论,根据技术扩散的思想,在区域选择分析的基础上建立了具有较强实用性的客流动态预测模型.
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| 关 键 词： | 客流预测 因子-成分分析 技术扩散 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-8141(2004)03-0168-02 |
Quantitive Prediction of the Tourist Based on Technology Diffusion |
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| CHEN Yu-ke,LIU Jun.Quantitive Prediction of the Tourist Based on Technology Diffusion[J].Resource Development & Market,2004,20(3):168-169,184. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Yu-ke LIU Jun |
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| Institution: | CHEN Yu-ke~1,LIU Jun~2 |
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| Abstract: | The quantitive prediction of the tourist was the main content of the tourism development.To predict the tourist flow quantitively was very difficult because the flow's dynamic and variability of the influential factors.For these reasons,the authors created a reliable dynamic model based on technology diffusion and district analysis.This model could be well applied in the tourist prediction. |
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| Keywords: | quantitive prediction of the tourist factor-flement analysis technology diffusion |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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