The macroeconomic determinants of volatility in precious metals markets |
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Authors: | Jonathan A Batten Cetin Ciner Brian M Lucey |
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Institution: | 1. Department of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China;2. Cameron School of Business, University of North Carolina-Wilmington, Wilmington, NC, USA;3. Trinity College, Dublin—School of Business and Institute for International Integration Studies, The Sutherland Centre, Level 6, Arts Building, Dublin 2, Ireland |
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Abstract: | This paper models the monthly price volatilities of four precious metals (gold, silver, platinum and palladium prices) and investigates the macroeconomic determinants (business cycle, monetary environment and financial market sentiment) of these volatilities. Gold volatility is shown to be explained by monetary variables, but this is not true for silver. Overall, there is limited evidence that the same macroeconomic factors jointly influence the volatility processes of the four precious metal price series, although there is evidence of volatility feedback between the precious metals. These results are consistent with the view that precious metals are too distinct to be considered a single asset class, or represented by a single index. This finding is of importance for portfolio managers and investors. |
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Keywords: | C32 G10 Q40 |
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