Modeling the spatial dynamics of regional land use: the CLUE-S model |
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Authors: | Verburg Peter H Soepboer Welmoed Veldkamp A Limpiada Ramil Espaldon Victoria Mastura Sharifah S A |
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Institution: | Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80115, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands. pverburg@gissrv.iend.wau.nl |
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Abstract: | Land-use change models are important tools for integrated environmental management. Through scenario analysis they can help
to identify near-future critical locations in the face of environmental change. A dynamic, spatially explicit, land-use change
model is presented for the regional scale: CLUE-S. The model is specifically developed for the analysis of land use in small
regions (e.g., a watershed or province) at a fine spatial resolution. The model structure is based on systems theory to allow
the integrated analysis of land-use change in relation to socio-economic and biophysical driving factors. The model explicitly
addresses the hierarchical organization of land use systems, spatial connectivity between locations and stability. Stability
is incorporated by a set of variables that define the relative elasticity of the actual land-use type to conversion. The user
can specify these settings based on expert knowledge or survey data. Two applications of the model in the Philippines and
Malaysia are used to illustrate the functioning of the model and its validation. |
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Keywords: | : Land-use change Modeling Systems approach Scenario analysis Natural resources management |
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