Ecological indicators of global climate change: A research framework |
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Authors: | David A Bella Ruth Jacobs Hiram Li |
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Institution: | (1) Department of Civil Engineering, Oregon State University, 97331 Corvallis, Oregon, USA;(2) Department of Forest Resources, Oregon State University, 97331 Corvallis, Oregon, USA;(3) Cooperative Fishery Research Unit Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Oregon State University, 97331 Corvallis, Oregon, USA |
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Abstract: | Large-scale environmental research efforts are conducted under frameworks that provide a common basis for evaluating research
in many diverse fields. Such frameworks should be subjected to critical review to determine if they meet crucial expectations.
In the case of the US Global Change Research Program, we perceive that most research follows a framework that we define as
the predictive model framework. We believe this framework is insufficient for resolving the unprecedented predicaments posed
by global change. We recommend a complementary framework, the system response framework, which directs research toward useful
indicators of change rather than precise predictions. We further argue that, even if research is complementary and effective
under the two frameworks, conclusive results prior to decisions should not be expected. The burden of proof must itself be
a continuing topic of open discourse and inquiry. |
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Keywords: | Greenhouse gases Climate change Indicators Research Ecosystems Decisions Interdisciplinary |
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