| 我国环境事件生发机理的Logistics回归分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 石碧涛,吕斯濠,马,超.我国环境事件生发机理的Logistics回归分析[J].中国环境管理干部学院学报,2013(6):1-4. |
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| 作者姓名： | 石碧涛 吕斯濠 马 超 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]东莞理工学院经济贸易系,广东东莞523808 [2]东莞理工学院化学与环境工程学院,广东东莞523808 [3]东莞理工学院社会发展研究院,广东东莞523800 |
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| 摘 要： | 以近年来我国发生的有影响力的100个环境事件为研究对象，通过多元Logistics回归方法。利用环境污染生境、污染主体特征、污染物特征、对象敏感性、社会敏感性、治理难度和治理效果7类变量23类观测指标解析了影响环境事件发生的显著因素。以此为基础，分别给出了控制和预防大概率小损失、大概率大损失、小概率小损失和小概率大损失环境事件发生的政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 环境事件 环境管理 Logistics回归 环境安全 策略 |
Logistics Regression Analysis on Occurrence Mechanism of Environmental Events in China |
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| Shi Bitao,Lv Sihao,Ma Chao.Logistics Regression Analysis on Occurrence Mechanism of Environmental Events in China[J].Journal of Environmental Management College of China,2013(6):1-4. |
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| Authors: | Shi Bitao Lv Sihao Ma Chao |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Economy and Trade, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan Guangdong 523808, China; 2. College of Chemistry and Environmental Engineering, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan Guangdong 523808, China; 3. Institute of Social Development, Dongguan University of Technology, Dongguan Guangdong 523808, China) |
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| Abstract: | Selected one hundred environmental events which broke out recently and caused serious result, employed multi-variant Logistics regression, analyzed the significant factors which contributed to the occurrence of environmental events using seven kinds of variables （which included biological environment of pollution, pollution subject feature, pollution substance feature, objective sensitivity, social sensitivity, governance difficulty and governance effect） and twentythree indicators. Based on environmental events （with that, some suggestion are given to prevent the occurrence of different high probability cum low damage, high probability cum great damage low probability cum low damage, and low probability cum great damage） . |
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| Keywords: | environmental events environment management Logistics regression environmentsafety strategy |
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