| 中国不可再生能源消耗压力驱动与强度分解 |
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| 引用本文： | 武春友,赵奥,卢小丽,吴获.中国不可再生能源消耗压力驱动与强度分解[J].中国人口．资源与环境,2011,21(11). |
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| 作者姓名： | 武春友 赵奥 卢小丽 吴获 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学管理与经济学部,辽宁大连,116024 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金，国家自然科学基金青年项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 随着煤炭、石油、天然气等不可再生能源的掠夺式开采的日益严重,中国不可再生能源供需缺口日渐放大,来自于经济增长和消耗强度的冲击使得中国不可再生能源消耗压力逐年增大.在对不可再生能源供需缺口以及消耗构成分析的基础上,运用IPAT方程、LMDI分解法,对中国不可再生能源消耗压力的驱动因素进行实证分析,针对作为主要驱动因素的不可再生能源消耗强度,运用费雪指数分解法进行二次结构、效率效应分解,并就分析结果作出具体剖析.研究结论如下:①中国不可再生能源消耗压力呈现“谷峰交替”型变动趋势,消耗压力的增加主要源于经济因素的驱动,消耗压力的减弱主要源于消耗强度的抑制性驱动作用;②结构效应指数对不可再生能源消耗强度的变动发挥主要影响作用,产业结构的低碳化调整会促进工业部门内部消耗强度的降低,从而达到拉动不可再生能源整体消耗强度降低的目标.
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| 关 键 词： | 不可再生能源 消耗压力 消耗强度 IPAT方程 费雪指数分解 |
Driving Forces of Consumption Pressure and Intensity Decomposition of Non-renewable Energy Resources of China |
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| WU Chun-you,ZHAO Ao,LU Xiao-li,WU Di.Driving Forces of Consumption Pressure and Intensity Decomposition of Non-renewable Energy Resources of China[J].China Polulation.Resources and Environment,2011,21(11). |
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| Authors: | WU Chun-you ZHAO Ao LU Xiao-li WU Di |
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| Institution: | WU Chun-you ZHAO Ao LU Xiao-li WU Di(Faculty of Management and Economics,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian Liaoning 116024,China) |
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| Abstract: | Along with the increasingly serious predatory mining of the coal,oil,and natural gas,the supply-demand gap of China is increasingly enlarged.Meanwhile the consumption pressure imposed by economic growth and intensity impact is increasing year by year.Based on analysis of supply-demand gap and consumption constitution,this paper makes empirical analysis of driving force of consumption pressure of China's non-renewable energy resources by means of IPAT identity and LMDI.Then in the light of the main driving f... |
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| Keywords: | non-renewable energy resources consumption pressure consumption intensity IPAT identity Fisher index decomposition |
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