中国城镇化加速阶段中期土地城镇化与人口城镇化的协调程度

土地城镇化与人口城镇化是否协调在过去几年倍受关注。选择了我国城镇化加速阶段中期(1996~2006年)这一时间段,通过土地利用变更调查数据,采用离差系数模型对这10 a间我国各省份土地城镇化与人口城镇化增长速度的协调性进行分析。得出的结论表明:(1)我国土地城镇化与人口城镇化增长速度总体失调,土地城镇化超前;(2)人口-土地城镇化协调程度区域差异明显,不同发展阶段的省份表现出来的人口城镇化、土地城镇化增长速度及其协调程度不一样;(3)各省份应根据自身不同的城镇化发展阶段,总结过去的经验和教训,结合当前以人为核心的新型城镇化,推进人口城镇化和土地城镇化协调发展。

RESEARCH ON THE COORDINATION OF THE POPULATION URBANIZATION AND LAND URBANIZATION DURING THE MID STAGE OF RAPID URBANIZATION PERIOD IN CHINA

In the past several years, scholars showed more concerns on the relationship between urban land expansion and urban population growth in the process of urbanization. The year between 1996 and 2006 wereat the mid stage of speeding urbanization in China. Based on the land use survey from 1996 to 2006, the coordination degree between urban land expansion and urban people growth in the process of urbanization was analyzed by using the model of coefficient of variation. The result is as follows:(1) the speed ofland expansion and people in the process of urbanization mismatched generally and the population growth lagged behind the land expansion; (2) However, the coordinate degree between land expansion and urban population growthshowed regional differences;(3) Provinces are expected to put forward people-oriented urbanization based on their past experiences and lessons learned according to their different development stages of urbanization, to promote the population and land urbanization in coordinated development.