| 道路交通噪声变化的马尔柯夫过程定量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘明华,张敬宇,李庆生. 道路交通噪声变化的马尔柯夫过程定量预测[J]. 环境科学研究, 1994, 7(3): 41-46 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘明华 张敬宇 李庆生 |
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| 作者单位： | 秦皇岛市环境保护监测站 秦皇岛 066000 |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍了马尔柯夫过程的理论及方法，并将其预测模型和稳定状态方程应用于道路交通噪声变化的定量预测上，其预测结果与研究市区道路交通噪声变化的实际情况相一致，表明用马尔柯夫过程定量预测道路交通噪声变化是可行的。
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| 关 键 词： | 马尔柯夫过程 道路交通噪声 预测模型 转移概率 |
| 收稿时间： | 1993-10-25 |
The Quantitative Prediction of Road Traffic Noise Change by Forecasting Model of markov Process |
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| LIU Ming-hu,ZHANG Jing-yu and LI Qing-sheng. The Quantitative Prediction of Road Traffic Noise Change by Forecasting Model of markov Process[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences, 1994, 7(3): 41-46 |
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| Authors: | LIU Ming-hu ZHANG Jing-yu LI Qing-sheng |
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| Affiliation: | Environmental Protection Monitoring Station of Qinhuangdao, Qinhuangdao 066000 |
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| Abstract: | Based on the principle and method of Markov process,the quantitative prediction ofroad traffic noise change is proposed with the forecasting model and stable state equation ofMarkov process. The forecasting results are fitted with the change tendency of the district's roadtraffic noise. It is proved by practice that the quantitative prediction of road traffic noise change ispracticable with application of Markov process. |
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| Keywords: | Markov process Road traffic noise Forecasting model Transition probability |
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