| 中国水泥行业二氧化碳减排技术及成本研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱淑瑛,刘惠,董金池,蔡博峰,何捷,杨璐,夏楚瑜,汤铃. 中国水泥行业二氧化碳减排技术及成本研究[J]. 环境工程, 2021, 39(10): 15-22. DOI: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202110003 |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱淑瑛 刘惠 董金池 蔡博峰 何捷 杨璐 夏楚瑜 汤铃 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京化工大学经济管理学院,北京100029;生态环境部环境规划院碳达峰碳中和研究中心,北京100012;武汉大学资源与环境科学学院,武汉430079;生态环境部环境规划院碳达峰碳中和研究中心,北京100012;南京大学环境学院污染控制与资源化研究国家重点实验室,南京210023;生态环境部环境规划院碳达峰碳中和研究中心,北京100012;中国建筑材料科学研究总院有限公司,北京100024;北京师范大学环境学院环境模拟与污染控制国家重点实验室,北京100875;北京航空航天大学经济管理学院,北京100191 |
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| 基金项目： | 基于排放情景-空气质量模型的中国城市双达评估方法研究（72074154）。 |
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| 摘 要： | 为降低水泥行业碳减排成本,确定最优碳减排技术路径,研究基于经济-能源模型,核算中国水泥行业最新碳减排技术的边际减排成本,使用情景分析方法,研究了与未实施减排技术相比,2020年17项技术的碳减排潜力,并将其作为基准情景,和2025,2030,2035年3个未来情景的碳减排潜力作比较,从而得出不同情景下的边际减排成本曲线...
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| 关 键 词： | 水泥行业 减排技术 边际减排成本曲线 碳达峰 |
| 收稿时间： | 2021-07-26 |
MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES AND MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST CURVES FOR CEMENT INDUSTRY IN CHINA |
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| ZHU Shu-ying,LIU Hui,DONG Jin-chi,CAI Bo-feng,HE Jie,YANG Lu,XIA Chu-yu,TANG Ling. MITIGATION TECHNOLOGIES AND MARGINAL ABATEMENT COST CURVES FOR CEMENT INDUSTRY IN CHINA[J]. Environmental Engineering, 2021, 39(10): 15-22. DOI: 10.13205/j.hjgc.202110003 |
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| Authors: | ZHU Shu-ying LIU Hui DONG Jin-chi CAI Bo-feng HE Jie YANG Lu XIA Chu-yu TANG Ling |
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| Abstract: | In order to reduce the carbon emission abatement cost of cement industry and determine the optimal carbon emission reduction technology path, based on the economic-energy model, we calculated the marginal abatement cost of the latest carbon emission reduction technology in China's cement industry in this paper. Using scenario analysis method to study the future emission reduction potential of 17 technologies implemented in 2020, compared with the non-implemented technologies, we took them as the benchmark scenario and compare them to carbon emission reduction potentials of the three future scenarios in 2025, 2030 and 2035 to obtain the different marginal emission reduction cost curves. The results showed that:1) the average abatement cost of 17 technologies in China's cement industry was 124 yuan/tCO2 in 2020. The total emission reduction was 30.4 million tons in 2020, and the total abatement cost was 1.03 billion yuan; for maintaining the same level of technology and emission, in 2035, the total emission reduction of 17 technologies will be 213.07 million tons, and the total abatement cost will be 10.34 billion yuan. 2) among the emission abatement technologies, the energy saving technology of integrated modular kiln lining and optimization technology of cement clinker firing system had higher emission reduction potential and lower abatement cost. Although carbon capture, use and storage technology had higher abatement cost, it had greater potential for future emission reductions. 3) technology penetration rate and clinker outputs were important factors in determining emission reduction potential. Therefore, in the future, the cement industry should pay attention to energy conservation and emission reduction policies, technology promotion and industrial structure adjustment, so as to further achieve the emission reduction target. |
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