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1.
A fish model based upon mass balances is set up. Several of the parameters have been determined by experiments. The remaining parameters are based upon literature values and it was not necessray to find any parameter by calibration. The model was validated with a completely acceptable result.The model includes equations giving the fish growth, the production of ammonia and organic matter, the oxygen consumption, and the influence to the temperature.The model can be used for management of fish farms and as a submodel for a total aquatic system.  相似文献   

2.
Multidimensional Markov chain models in geosciences were often built on multiple chains, one in each direction, and assumed these 1-D chains to be independent of each other. Thus, unwanted transitions (i.e., transitions of multiple chains to the same location with unequal states) inevitably occur and have to be excluded in estimating the states at unobserved locations. This consequently may result in unreliable estimates, such as underestimation of small classes (i.e., classes with smaller than average areas) in simulated realizations. This paper presents a single-chain-based multidimensional Markov chain model for estimation (i.e., prediction and conditional stochastic simulation) of spatial distribution of subsurface formations with borehole data. The model assumes that a single Markov chain moves in a lattice space, interacting with its nearest known neighbors through different transition probability rules in different cardinal directions. The conditional probability distribution of the Markov chain at the location to be estimated is formulated in an explicit form by following the Bayes’ Theorem and the conditional independence of sparse data in cardinal directions. Since no unwanted transitions are involved, the model can estimate all classes fairly. Transiogram models (i.e., 1-D continuous Markov transition probability diagrams) are used to provide transition probability input with needed lags to generalize the model. Therefore, conditional simulation can be conducted directly and efficiently. The model provides an alternative for heterogeneity characterization of subsurface formations.
Weidong LiEmail:
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3.
《Ecological modelling》2003,168(3):319-341
To evaluate a specific form of resource management, for example, the maintenance of valuable cultural landscapes, the contributions of many different viewpoints must be considered. In this paper, a model for assessing and integrating the different aspects contributing to landscape evaluation is proposed. Some results of its use in landscape assessment in the Madrid region (central Spain) are discussed.The model takes into account five assessment dimensions which are considered to be independent—the ecological, productive, economic, social and cultural evaluative systems and it recognises and assumes conflicts and trade-offs between these components. The inclusion of the production system as an independent assessment dimension is original and is justified because it is the link that connects the ecological and economic systems. Since this dimension acts most directly on the ecosystem, the production system includes the attribute of ecological or strong (in the sense of [For the Common Good, Beacon Press, Boston, 1994]) sustainability.The evaluation method places special emphasis on defining a conceptual framework, and from this defines scenarios in comparison with which particular development models (landscape planning, resources management) can be evaluated. Seven scenarios, coming from a hypothetical, traditional sustainable scenario of resources management, are defined. One of these, the sound sustainable scenario, is defended as the only one viable in the long term, particularly in developing countries.This method was employed to evaluate the agricultural and natural landscape of the Madrid region municipalities. The multivariate approach adopted was based on the selection of indicator sets for each evaluative dimension. The structure of relationships among indicators was then analysed separately for each dimension and values assigned to the municipalities according to their position on the main axes of the multivariate analyses. Each municipality was assigned to one of the seven development scenarios by means of discriminant analysis. The approach’s greatest assets are its flexibility in the selection of the indicators and the efficacy in its monitoring and comparison of the different analysed cases once a rigorous conceptual framework was established.The paper discusses the conditions for the sustainability of the human activities and provides a method for evaluating and comparing scenarios of resources management.  相似文献   

4.
A kinematic model is developed to predict the movement of effluent from the City of Miami ocean outfall. The outfall terminates at the 5 m isobath in the near vicinity of three tidal inlets opening into Biscayne Bay. Due to the shallow, uncomplicated topography and oscillatory coastal currents a linear bottom friction law is valid, which justifies the use of a potential flow model. The inlets are modeled as sinks and the outfall as a source discharging into a uniform coastal current. The model predicts that effluent will enter Biscayne Bay in approximately 3 h during flood tide for coastal current headings within an arc of 210° to 40°. Dye-tracking experiments were in good agreement with the model results. Local wind records suggest that sewage effluent enters Biscayne Bay on about 80% of the flood tides, or roughly 11 times per week.  相似文献   

5.
Evidence is presented that a simple power equation of the formX t X m b(|tt m|)B can describe growth in length and weight of fishes, whereX t denotes fish length or weight at aget, X m is length or weight (L m orW m ) at a reference aget m , andb andB are parameters to be estimated by the least squares. The optimum age of fish populations (t y ) may be estimated by the equationMW m /b=±y B (B/y-M) whereM denotes natural mortality and wherey=t y -t m .  相似文献   

6.
Much of the discussion of the tragedy of the commons focuses on aggregate impacts, often in data-poor developing country settings. Few non-experimental empirical studies shed light on contextual circumstances driving the extent of rent dissipation and overexploitation. We utilize a high-resolution data set to estimate a behavioral model of fishermen's spatial choices. A unique policy setting allows us to measure the degree to which individual fishermen's choices appear aimed at mitigating the tragedy of the commons in a small numbers setting. We find evidence of partial mitigation in excess of what we would expect under pure self-interest but short of what would occur under group-maximizing behavior. We also examine how contextual factors in the fishery shape the degree of cooperation within the fishing season and find evidence that competition for the common pool resource distorts fishermen's implicit cost of distance—creating a form of “common property inertia”.  相似文献   

7.
Many simulations of collective behavior have been presented in recent years. Recently, a pioneering study by [Ballerini et al., 2008a] and [Ballerini et al., 2008b] suggested that the interactions of birds in a flock should be modeled using the topological distance rather than the metric distance. The concept of topological distance is deemed important for explaining collective behavior. However, few studies have discussed the distinctions between the metric and topological distances. In this paper, we clarify the difference between models based on the topological and metric distances and propose a new hybrid model of these models. The agent of our model switches between these two interactions by tuning the threshold parameters. We show that this hybrid flocking model has the medium property between the metric and the topological distance. In other words, the agents of our hybrid model can dramatically make and divide flock by tuning their neighborhoods. This result suggests that making and dividing flock would be deeply connected with animal's cognition.  相似文献   

8.
Much of the discussion of the tragedy of the commons focuses on aggregate impacts, often in data-poor developing country settings. Few non-experimental empirical studies shed light on contextual circumstances driving the extent of rent dissipation and overexploitation. We utilize a high-resolution data set to estimate a behavioral model of fishermen's spatial choices. A unique policy setting allows us to measure the degree to which individual fishermen's choices appear aimed at mitigating the tragedy of the commons in a small numbers setting. We find evidence of partial mitigation in excess of what we would expect under pure self-interest but short of what would occur under group-maximizing behavior. We also examine how contextual factors in the fishery shape the degree of cooperation within the fishing season and find evidence that competition for the common pool resource distorts fishermen's implicit cost of distance—creating a form of “common property inertia”.  相似文献   

9.
SUMMARY

The concept of sustainable development has become widely accepted as an instrumental objective of resource planning and environmental policy analysis. Nevertheless, applied planning approaches appropriate to this task have been slow in forthcoming. This paper suggests that one avenue for the application of sustainable development principles to resource management problems may be through multidimensional decision-support models. This approach recognizes that contemporary decision problems in the field of environmental planning are characterized by a diversity of structures and processes, incommensurable variables, and conflicting development objectives and constraints. On the basis of the articulated approach to sustainable development, a case study centred on Clayoquot Sound, British Columbia, Canada is presented. The case study serves to illustrate the efficacy of a multidimensional decision-support approach to sustainable development.  相似文献   

10.
Conservation of migratory species exhibiting wide-ranging and multidimensional behaviors is challenged by management efforts that only utilize horizontal movements or produce static spatial–temporal products. For the deep-diving, critically endangered eastern Pacific leatherback turtle, tools that predict where turtles have high risks of fisheries interactions are urgently needed to prevent further population decline. We incorporated horizontal–vertical movement model results with spatial–temporal kernel density estimates and threat data (gear-specific fishing) to develop monthly maps of spatial risk. Specifically, we applied multistate hidden Markov models to a biotelemetry data set (n = 28 leatherback tracks, 2004–2007). Tracks with dive information were used to characterize turtle behavior as belonging to 1 of 3 states (transiting, residential with mixed diving, and residential with deep diving). Recent fishing effort data from Global Fishing Watch were integrated with predicted behaviors and monthly space-use estimates to create maps of relative risk of turtle–fisheries interactions. Drifting (pelagic) longline fishing gear had the highest average monthly fishing effort in the study region, and risk indices showed this gear to also have the greatest potential for high-risk interactions with turtles in a residential, deep-diving behavioral state. Monthly relative risk surfaces for all gears and behaviors were added to South Pacific TurtleWatch (SPTW) ( https://www.upwell.org/sptw ), a dynamic management tool for this leatherback population. These modifications will refine SPTW's capability to provide important predictions of potential high-risk bycatch areas for turtles undertaking specific behaviors. Our results demonstrate how multidimensional movement data, spatial–temporal density estimates, and threat data can be used to create a unique conservation tool. These methods serve as a framework for incorporating behavior into similar tools for other aquatic, aerial, and terrestrial taxa with multidimensional movement behaviors.  相似文献   

11.
Slow reduction of dissolved oxygen concentrations or slowly increased carbon dioxide (reduced pH) did not cause measurable changes in the density, nearest neighbor orientation, or the swimming speed of experimental schools of the northern anchovy Engraulis mordax, until near-lethal levels were reached. Rapid reductions of oxygen or pH, however, caused significant increases in average swimming velocity. Positive reactions were correlated to rapid reductions of no more than 0.55 mg O2/l or 0.25 pH units. These responses are related to the hypothesis that metabolic reductions of environmental dissolved oxygen and/or pH may influence the internal structure and behavior of fish schools.  相似文献   

12.
A generalized second-best problem, involving a perfectly competitive industry which produces a pollution type of externality, is examined. The pollution tax is allowed to assume an arbitrary value (possibly zero), while a pollution standard, set as a ratio of pollution to output, is determined by a first-order optimizing condition. The general condition for a set of quasi-optimal solutions includes the Pareto-optimal solution as a special case. It is also found that when the pollution tax is below the optimal level, the usual implication is that the standard should be set so that the marginal cost of pollution reduction exceeds the marginal external damage.  相似文献   

13.
Among taxonomically widespread cooperatively breeding vertebrates, those with non-breeding helpers-at-the-nest provide an excellent opportunity to understand the proximate mechanisms underlying care and allocare. In this study, we examined androgen levels in relation to care behavior in a cooperatively breeding cichlid fish, Neolamprologus pulcher, from Lake Tanganyika. We concentrated on androgens, as these hormones have been linked to the defense behavior, and the defense of young is a common form of parental care in fishes. N. pulcher dominant female breeders performed the most care and also displayed the highest levels of plasma testosterone (T) compared with other individuals within the social group. We also found that dominant male breeders provided a similar amount of care as did the subordinate helpers, but breeding males had the highest levels of 11-ketotestosterone (11KT), an important androgen in fish. Breeders had higher levels of both androgens (T and 11KT) compared to helpers. There was a weak but significant positive correlation between T levels and the frequency of care regardless of sex and status. Our results suggest that androgens may promote defense of young and are in contrast to the commonly reported trade-off between androgen and parental care.  相似文献   

14.
Persson A  Stenberg M 《Ecology》2006,87(8):1953-1959
Optimality theory rests on the assumptions that short-term foraging decisions are driven by variation in environmental quality, and that these decisions have important implications for long-term fitness. These assumptions, however, are rarely tested in a field setting. We linked behavioral foraging decisions in food patches with measures of environmental quality covering larger spatial (resource density) or temporal (growth parameters) scales. In 10 lakes, we measured the food density at which benthic fish give up foraging in experimental food patches (giving-up density, GUD), quantified the biomass of benthic invertebrates, and calculated the maximum individual size (L(infinity)) of bream (Abramis brama L.), a typical benthivore in these lakes. We found positive relationships between resource density and both GUD and L(infinity), and a positive relationship between L(infinity) and GUD. Prey characterized as vulnerable to predation contributed most to the relationships between resource density and either GUD or L(infinity). A path analysis showed that resource density and L(infinity) directly explained 54% and 28%, respectively, of the variation in GUD, whereas 86% of the variation in L(infinity) was explained by resource density, with mostly indirect contribution from GUD. We conclude that the short-term foraging behavior of benthivores matched our expectations based on optimality theory by being positively linked to variables on environmental quality operating at both a larger spatial scale and a longer temporal scale.  相似文献   

15.
Environmental Fluid Mechanics - This paper aims at addressing issues related to the misrepresentation of the turbulent stratified flow for sand wave simulation using the continuum coupled flow and...  相似文献   

16.
《Ecological modelling》2005,186(4):406-426
A spatiotemporal individual-based model (IBM) of roach (Rutilus rutilus) including bioenergetic principles was used to study emergent properties at the individual and the population level which appeared as a result of resource allocation and time scheduling of activities related to maintenance, growth, and reproduction in a seasonally changing environment. The model was used as a virtual laboratory to consider the impact of various parameters on vital rates and spatial behaviour of roach, which is particularly difficult to study in the field. The parameterisation based on field studies performed at Lake Belau (Schleswig-Holstein, Germany) and laboratory measurements. This allowed us to explore the relationship between population structure and environmental heterogeneity on an integrated base. At the individual level emergent properties such as spatial behaviour, growth, and food consumption could be identified. Emergent properties at the population level resulted as phenotypic consequences of a trophic bottleneck, the influence of lake morphology on the phenotype as well as size-dependent winter mortality rates and post-reproductive mortality rates.  相似文献   

17.
Several lines of evidence indicate that aggregations of yellowfin tuna associated with floating objects are more frequently composed of small animals than larger ones. Also, the diet of small yellowfin tuna caught at anchored fish aggregating devices (FADs) around Oahu, Hawaii, was found to shift quite rapidly when these fish reached approximately 50 cm FL. In order to test for ontogenetic changes in aggregation behavior, we tagged and released two distinct size classes of yellowfin tuna in an array of anchored FADs around Oahu, Hawaii. Twenty-four yellowfin tuna 30–39 cm FL and 16 yellowfin tuna 63–83 cm FL were tagged with acoustic transmitters and released near anchored FADs equipped with automated acoustic receivers. Fish in the smaller size class stayed about 2.5 times longer at individual FADs than the larger fish (mean 4.05 days vs. 1.65 days) and displayed larger horizontal movements within the array. However, the durations of unassociated phases, residence times in the entire FAD array, percentage of time spent associated with FADs and numbers of movements between FADs did not show any difference between the two size groups. The observed size-dependent behavior is discussed in terms of physiological abilities, diet segregation and anti-predator behavior.  相似文献   

18.
Scyphomedusae are ubiquitous in marine and estuarine systems, where they frequently play an important role in trophodynamics. Many scyphomedusae are cruising predators, and feeding rates depend, in part, on swimming behavior. Yet, no model of medusa swimming exists. An individual-based correlated random walk (CRW) model of medusa swimming behavior in three dimensions was developed. The model was validated using a previously published dataset of the swimming of 19 Chrysaora quinquecirrha (Desor, 1848) medusae that were observed in the presence or absence of zooplankton prey in laboratory mesocosms in August–October 1998 (Matanoski et al. in Mar Biol 139:191–200, 2001). In the presence of prey, medusae swam at a constant moderate rate in looping trajectories. In the absence of prey, medusae alternated periods of slow and fast swimming in more linear trajectories. In the model, looping trajectories were reproduced only when changes in movement by a medusa were oriented to its current position and orientation; more linear trajectories were reproduced by movement oriented to a fixed framework. This suggests that medusae change from swimming behavior oriented to local stimuli (e.g., contact with prey) to long-range stimuli (e.g., gravity) depending on the availability of prey. The model reproduced cyclical changes in swimming speeds by medusae in the absence of prey by simulating switching in the behavior controlling the strength of swimming bell pulsations using a probabilistic function. Model results also demonstrated that medusae tend to swim toward the surface, avoid contact with the bottom, increase time spent in prey patches if they alter swimming patterns in the presence of prey, and exhibit significant periodicities in swimming patterns that are the result of deterministic behavior. The model will permit the simulation of the complex behavior of medusae.  相似文献   

19.
Wildlife tourism attractions are characterized as having intricately coupled human-wildlife interactions. Accordingly, the ability to mitigate negative impacts of tourism on wildlife necessitates research into the ecology of the system and of the human dimensions, since plans aimed at optimizing wildlife fitness must also be acceptable to tourists. We developed an integrated systems dynamics model for the management of tourist-stingray interactions at ‘Stingray City Sandbar’ (SCS), Cayman Islands. The model predicts the state of the tourism attraction over time in relation to stingray population size, stingray life expectancy, and tourist visitation under various management scenarios. Stingray population data in the model comprised growth rates and survival estimates (from mark-and-recapture data) and mortality estimates. Inputted changes in their respective rates under different management scenarios were informed by previous research. Original research on the demand of heterogeneous tourist segments for management regulations via a stated choice model was used to calculate changes in the tourist population growth rate from data supplied by the Caymanian government. The management attributes to which tourists were responsive also have anticipated effects on stingray ecology (migration and mortality), and vice versa, thus linking the two components. We found that the model's predictions over a 25-year time span were sensitive to the stingray population growth rate and alternate management options. Under certain management scenarios, it was possible to maximize both the tourist segment in favor of no management and stingray numbers while reducing stingray health. However, the most effective relative strategy included a reduction in visitor density, restricted stingray interactions, and an imposition of a small fee. Over time, although fewer stingrays were predicted to remain at SCS, they would live longer and experience fewer stochastic disease events, and the desirable tourist segment was predicted to predominate. By understanding how management will affect tourist activities and their subsequent impacts on both wildlife health and visitor satisfaction, one can explore the management alternatives that would optimize both.  相似文献   

20.
Search volume of cruising planktivorous fish was calculated based on its detailed behavior Th examine the factors influencing search volume, a series of experiments were conducted by varying ambient conditions, such as structural complexity light intensity and turbidity Pseudorasbora parva were used in experiment as predator and Daphnia pulex was selected as prey The shape of scanning area of P parva showed elliptic and the search volume changed drastically depending on ambient conditions. Compared with the results of previous foraging model, the search volumes of the fish under previous study were larger (1.2 to 2.4 times) than those from our study These results on the changes in feeding rate can be useful in determining microhabitat requirement of P parva and othercyprinids with a similar foraging behavior The calculated search volume is compared with other foraging model andthe effect of zooplankton-planktivore interactions on aquatic ecosystem is discussed.  相似文献   

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