Evaluation of the reactive and optics model of emissions (ROME)

The reactive and optics model of emissions (ROME) is a reactive plume visibility model that simulates the potential atmospheric impacts of stack emissions. We present here an evaluation of the ability of ROME to simulate several plume physical and chemical variables, using an experimental data base that consists of a total of 40 case studies from four field programs. The evaluation variables include plume height, horizontal width, NO_x and SO₂ maximum concentrations, NO₂/NO_x concentration ratio at the plume centerline, and plume-to-sky radiance ratios. Three algorithms used to simulate plume dispersion in ROME were compared: (1) the empirical Pasquill–Gifford–Turner (PGT) scheme, (2) a first-order closure (FOC) algorithm and (3) a second-order closure (SOC) algorithm that simulates the instantaneous plume dimensions.The plume height results show a correlation of 0.82 between simulated and measured values and a gross error that is 13% of the mean measured value. For plume horizontal dispersion, the second-order closure algorithm produces a moderate correlation (0.54) and a small bias (5% of the mean measured value) in comparison with the field data. Although the PGT scheme also demonstrates moderate correlation with the measurements, it produces a negative bias by significantly underestimating plume horizontal dispersion. The first-order closure algorithm overestimates plume width and shows the least correlation (with the measurements) of the three dispersion algorithms.For the NYSEG data set where coordinated measurements of stack emissions, meteorology at plume height and plume characteristics were available, the SOC algorithm provides better correlations for NO_x concentrations, NO₂/NO_x ratios and plume visibility than the FOC and PGT algorithms. For plume visibility, the SOC algorithm shows a correlation of 0.96 at 405 nm, the wavelength where the plume was visible, and it simulates no visible plume at the other wavelengths (550 and 700 nm).A comparison of ROME simulations with those of the plume visibility model PLUVUE II shows that ROME, with the SOC algorithm, performs better for all variables.     

The project MOHAVE tracer study: study design,data quality,and overview of results

In the winter and summer of 1992, atmospheric tracer studies were conducted in support of project MOHAVE, a visibility study in the southwestern United States. The primary goal of project MOHAVE is to determine the effects of the Mohave power plant and other sources upon visibility at Grand Canyon National Park. Perfluorocarbon tracers (PFTs) were released from the Mohave power plant and other locations and monitored at about 30 sites. The tracer data are being used for source attribution analysis and for evaluation of transport and dispersion models and receptor models. Collocated measurements showed the tracer data to be of high quality and suitable for source attribution analysis and model evaluation. The results showed strong influences of channeling by the Colorado River canyon during both winter and summer. Flow from the Mohave power plant was usually to the south, away from the Grand Canyon in winter and to the northeast, toward the Grand Canyon in summer. Tracer released at Lake Powell in winter was found to often travel downstream through the entire length of the Grand Canyon. Data from summer tracer releases in southern California demonstrated the existence of a convergence zone in the western Mohave Desert.     

A Summary of the A&WMA/EPA International Specialty Conference

“Visibility and Fine Particles“, the fourth in a series of international specialty conferences on atmospheric visibility, was sponsored by the Air and Waste Management Association and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. The purpose of this conference was to provide a forum to disseminate the results of recent advances in visibility and fine particles. The 110 papers presented at the conference covered six topics: policy and regulatory issues, visibility and fine particle measurements, human perception of visibility, meteorological factors affecting visibility, economic valuation of visibility, and visibility and fine particle modeling and source apportionment. Eighty-five of those papers are included in the conference Transactions and are summarized in this article.     

Characterization of visibility impacts related to fine particulate matter in Canada

Canada has recently established standards for the management of particulate matter (PM) air quality. National networks currently measure PM mass concentrations and chemical speciation. Methods used in the U.S. IMPROVE network are applied to the 1994--2000 Canadian fine PM data to obtain a regional reconstruction of the visibility based on particle composition. Nationally, the greatest light extinction occurs in the Windsor-Quebec City corridor. Variations in the dominant chemical species responsible for the reduction in visibility are presented for regions across the country. In most regions, sulfate and nitrate contribute most greatly to reduced visibility. The visibility implications of achieving the Canada-Wide Standard (CWS) across the country are evaluated, with the greatest improvement in visibility associated with achieving the CWS in southern Ontario. Elsewhere in the country, achieving the CWS will actually result in deteriorating air quality. Improving current estimates of visibility requires higher spatially and temporally resolved measurements of organic and elemental carbon fractions and particulate nitrate.     

Recommended metric for tracking visibility progress in the Regional Haze Rule

For many national parks and wilderness areas with special air quality protections (Class I areas) in the western United States (U.S.), wildfire smoke and dust events can have a large impact on visibility. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) 1999 Regional Haze Rule used the 20% haziest days to track visibility changes over time even if they are dominated by smoke or dust. Visibility on the 20% haziest days has remained constant or degraded over the last 16 yr at some Class I areas despite widespread emission reductions from anthropogenic sources. To better track visibility changes specifically associated with anthropogenic pollution sources rather than natural sources, the EPA has revised the Regional Haze Rule to track visibility on the 20% most anthropogenically impaired (hereafter, most impaired) days rather than the haziest days. To support the implementation of this revised requirement, the EPA has proposed (but not finalized) a recommended metric for characterizing the anthropogenic and natural portions of the daily extinction budget at each site. This metric selects the 20% most impaired days based on these portions using a “delta deciview” approach to quantify the deciview scale impact of anthropogenic light extinction. Using this metric, sulfate and nitrate make up the majority of the anthropogenic extinction in 2015 on these days, with natural extinction largely made up of organic carbon mass in the eastern U.S. and a combination of organic carbon mass, dust components, and sea salt in the western U.S. For sites in the western U.S., the seasonality of days selected as the 20% most impaired is different than the seasonality of the 20% haziest days, with many more winter and spring days selected. Applying this new metric to the 2000–2015 period across sites representing Class I areas results in substantial changes in the calculated visibility trend for the northern Rockies and southwest U.S., but little change for the eastern U.S.

Implications: Changing the approach for tracking visibility in the Regional Haze Rule allows the EPA, states, and the public to track visibility on days when reductions in anthropogenic emissions have the greatest potential to improve the view. The calculations involved with the recommended metric can be incorporated into the routine IMPROVE (Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments) data processing, enabling rapid analysis of current and future visibility trends. Natural visibility conditions are important in the calculations for the recommended metric, necessitating the need for additional analysis and potential refinement of their values.     

An innovative methodology for analyzing digital visibility images in an urban environment

A novel methodology combining digital imaging, conventional fixed visibility monitors, and solar radiation monitors has been developed to characterize the visual air quality of the El Paso and Ciudad Juarez urban vista. The authors have found that the digital image quality is reproducible and useful for quantitative analysis of visibility conditions. Regions of interest were selected in images along view paths of interest and values for a contrast variable of interest, typically the coefficient of variation or contrast ratio (CR) for discrete targets, were computed. Both of these indices are bounded at 0 and 1 and are scaled to the "clean day" maxima for a given date, time, and selected view paths. This produces a relative visibility index for various view paths. With the siting of a Belfort (6230A) visibility monitor at a central location, it has been possible to initiate contrast analysis of various targets in current and archived camera images obtained near this monitor. For uniformly "clean" days, as indicated by fine particulate matter observations and visual inspection, the authors have been able to use the extinction coefficient (Bext) derived from the 6230A to put the relative visibility index, based on CR, on an absolute basis in terms of an ideal target located at a given distance. This permits the generation of contrast extinction, Bext/C, for each view path that is independent of the actual target intrinsic contrast (within limits) and allows the comparison of Bext/C along different view paths with other air quality indices. Multiple linear regression was used to derive a relationship between the CR-based Bext/C value and air quality parameters. Visibility attenuation because of sulfate particles was found to have the highest correlation with Bext/C. In addition, solar radiation was observed to be a significant predictor of visibility in the urban region.     

Visibility trends in Korea during the past two decades

Temporal trends and spatial distributions of visibility measured by the human eye over 60 stations in Korea between 1980 and 2000 are analyzed and discussed. Generally, visibility is lowest on winter mornings and highest on summer afternoons throughout Korea. Visibility in Seoul is now in an increasing trend while it has decreased nationwide, especially in clean coastal areas. Spatial distribution of visibility in the 1990s was related negatively to that of relative humidity (RH). However, visibility generally decreased despite an overall decrease in RH throughout the country. Air pollutants should have played a role in this dissonant variation, particularly in relatively clean areas and on summer afternoons. It was interpreted that the visibility increase in major metropolitan areas, including the greater Seoul area, in the 1990s was caused mainly by the reduction in pollutant emissions by rigorous government policy. But the effect of the emission reduction was manifested with decreasing RH.     

Visibility Trends in Korea during the Past Two Decades

Abstract

Temporal trends and spatial distributions of visibility measured by the human eye over 60 stations in Korea between 1980 and 2000 are analyzed and discussed. Generally, visibility is lowest on winter mornings and highest on summer afternoons throughout Korea. Visibility in Seoul is now in an increasing trend while it has decreased nationwide, especially in clean coastal areas. Spatial distribution of visibility in the 1990s was related negatively to that of relative humidity (RH). However, visibility generally decreased despite an overall decrease in RH throughout the country. Air pollutants should have played a role in this dissonant variation, particularly in relatively clean areas and on summer afternoons. It was interpreted that the visibility increase in major metropolitan areas, including the greater Seoul area, in the 1990s was caused mainly by the reduction in pollutant emissions by rigorous government policy. But the effect of the emission reduction was manifested with decreasing RH.     

Visibility in California

A comprehensive study is conducted of visibility in California using prevailing visibility measurements at 67 weather stations in conjunction with data on particulate concentrations and meteorology. The weather station visibility data, when handled with special techniques that account for the nature of visibility reporting practices, prove to be of very good quality for the purposes of most of the analyses that are attempted. It is found that the most important meteorological parameters with respect to visibility are relative humidity, temperature, and special weather events (especially fog). A detailed isopleth map of visibility within California, when compared with earlier work on nationwide visibility, reveals that California experiences far more severe and complex spatial gradients in visibility than those observed anywhere else in the U.S. Two major pockets of heavy man-made visibility impact in California are the Los Angeles basin and the San Joaquin Valley. The spatial, seasonal, and diurnal patterns of visibility are found to be readily explainable in terms of corresponding patterns in emissions, air quality, and meteorology. Regression analyses relating visibility to relative humidity and aerosol concentrations produce high levels of correlation and physically reasonable regression coefficients; these analyses indicate that secondary aerosols are major contributors to visibility reduction in California. An analysis of long-term visibility trends from 1949 to 1976 reveals several interesting features in historical visibility changes for California.     

Sub-canopy deposition of ozone in a stand of cutleaf coneflower

Although there has been a great deal of research on ozone, interest in exposure of native, herbaceous species is relatively recent and it is still not clear what role the pollutant has in their ecological fitness. The ozone exposure of a plant is usually expressed in terms of the concentration above the canopy or as a time-weighted index. However, to understand the physiological effects of ozone it is necessary to quantify the ozone flux to individual leaves as they develop, which requires knowing the deposition velocity and concentration of the pollutant as a function of height throughout the plant canopy. We used a high-order closure model of sub-canopy turbulence to estimate ozone profiles in stands of cutleaf coneflower (Rudbeckia laciniata L.) located in the Great Smoky Mountains National Park, USA. The model was run for periods coinciding with a short field study, during which we measured vertical concentration profiles of ozone along with measurements of atmospheric turbulence and other meteorological and plant variables. Predictions of ozone profiles by the model are compared with observations throughout the canopy.     

Effects of aerosol species on atmospheric visibility in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan

Visibility data collected from Kaohsiung City, Taiwan, for the past two decades indicated that the air pollutants have significantly degraded visibility in recent years. During our study period, the seasonal mean visibilities in spring, summer, fall, and winter were only 5.4, 9.1, 8.2, and 3.4 km, respectively. To ascertain how urban aerosols influence the visibility, we conducted concurrent visibility monitoring and aerosol sampling in 1999 to identify the principal causes of visibility impairments in the region. In this study, ambient aerosols were sampled and analyzed for 11 constituents, including water-soluble ions and carbon materials, to investigate the chemical composition of Kaohsiung aerosols. Stepwise regression method was used to correlate the impact of aerosol species on visibility impairments. Both seasonal and diurnal variation patterns were found from the monitoring of visibility. Our results showed that light scattering was attributed primarily to aerosols with sizes that range from 0.26 to 0.90 pm, corresponding with the wavelength region of visible light, which accounted for approximately 72% of the light scattering coefficient. Sulfate was a dominant component that affected both the light scattering coefficient and the visibility in the region. On average, (NH4)2SO4, NH4NO3, total carbon, and fine particulate matter (PM2.5)-remainder contributed 53%, 17%, 16%, and 14% to total light scattering, respectively. An empirical regression model of visibility based on sulfate, elemental carbon, and humidity was developed, and the comparison indicated that visibility in an urban area could be properly simulated by the equation derived herein.     

Impaired visibility: the air pollution people see

Almost every home and office contains a portrayal of a scenic landscape whether on a calendar, postcard, photograph, or painting. The most sought after locations boast a scenic landscape right outside their window. No matter what the scene – mountains, skyscrapers, clouds, or pastureland – clarity and vividness are essential to the image. Air pollution can degrade scenic vistas, and in extreme cases, completely obscure them. Particulate matter suspended in the air is the main cause of visibility degradation. Particulate matter affects visibility in multiple ways: obscures distant objects, drains the contrast from a scene, and discolors the sky. Visibility is an environmental quality that is valued for aesthetic reasons that are difficult to express or quantify. Human psychology and physiology are sensitive to visual input. Visibility has been monitored throughout the world but there are few places where it is a protected resource. Existing health-based regulations are weak in terms of visibility protection. Various techniques, including human observation, light transmission measurements, digital photography, and satellite imaging, are used to monitor visibility. As with air pollution, trends in visibility vary spatially and temporally. Emissions from the developing world and large scale events such as dust storms and wildfires affect visibility around much of the globe.     

The Sixty-Sixth Annual Meeting of the Air Pollution Control Association

Abstract

The U.S. Clean Air Act, amended in 1990, mandated the establishment of the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission (GCVTC). The commission is required to submit a report to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency addressing visibility issues in the region, including "the establishment of clean air corridors, in which additional restrictions on increases in emissions may be appropriate to protect visibility in affected Class I areas." This paper presents a methodology to identify candidate geographic areas for consideration for Clean Air Corridor (CAC) status for Colorado Plateau Class I areas. The methodology uses thousands of model determined trajectories over a five year period (1988 to 1992) to indicate the paths taken by air that arrives during clean air conditions at Class I areas. These clean air back-trajectories identify upwind areas where pollution emissions could jeopardize currently pristine visibility. Using this methodology, six candidate areas are identified, ranging in size from 75,000 to 506,000 square miles, and permitting varying levels of visibility protection for clean air days at Grand Canyon, Canyonlands, and Petrified Forest National Parks. Assuming effective emissions management of the CAC, the larger the CAC, the greater the visibility protection during clean air conditions.     

Assessing the Relative Contribution of Biogenic and Fossil Processes to Visibility-Scattering Aerosols Found in Remote Areas: Near-Term Organic Research Program

Abstract

Organic carbon has been found to be a significant component of aerosols that impair visibility in remote areas across the country. Organic aerosols are particularly important in western areas of the United States and contribute roughly equally with sulfate aerosols and dust in the total extinction budget. Potential visibility enhancement resulting from various future energy management options that reduce volatile organic carbon and particulate material emissions from fossil-energy-related processes hinges on the relative contribution of the fossil-fuel-derived organic component to the extinction budget. Thus, additional studies are needed to quantify the partitioning of organic carbon between biogenic and fossil sources. Relative humidity (RH) also plays an important role in visibility impairment. It is well known that water soluble aerosol species, such as sulfate and nitrate, can increase light-scattering efficiencies of fine particles by more than an order of magnitude as RH is increased from 20-30% to 90-95%. Organic carbon aerosol has been found to be a mixture of more soluble and less soluble components, but few studies have been performed to evaluate the RH response function of aerosols composed of these components, either separately or in combination, especially at high relative humidities. The purpose of this paper is to describe some experiments that could address the major uncertainties of biogenic and fossil carbon contributions to the fine particle extinction budget and visibility impairment.     

Long-term trends and characteristics of visibility in two megacities in southwest China: Chengdu and Chongqing

Visibility is a good indicator of air quality because it reflects the combined influences of atmospheric pollutants and synoptic processes. Trends in visibility and relationships with various factors in Chengdu and Chongqing, two megacities in southwest China, were analyzed using daily data from National Climatic Data Center and the Air Pollution Index (API) of the Ministry of Environmental Protection of China. Average annual visibility during the period of 1973–2010 was 8.1 ± 3.9 in Chengdu and 6.2 ± 4.3 km in Chongqing. PM₁₀ dominates the reported primary pollutants in both cities, although concentrations have decreased from a high of 127.9 and 150 µg m³ before 2005 to 100.4 and 93.5 µg m^?3 in Chengdu and Chongqing, respectively. Low average visibility and extremely high levels of PM10 were observed in winter, whereas relative humidity had irregular and weak seasonal variations. Visibility in both cities has deteriorated in comparison to the 1960s and 1970s, mostly due to the elevation of optical depth caused by anthropogenic pollution.

Correlations and principal component analysis (PCA) were undertaken to determine the key factors affecting visibility. Visibility was only moderately correlated with PM₁₀. In Chengdu, visibility displayed weak correlations with various factors, whereas visibility in Chongqing was most strongly related to relative humidity due to the atmospheric particulates in the region containing more hygroscopic components. PCA results further confirmed that high relative humidity and low wind speed increased the occurrence of low visibility events under high PM₁₀ concentrations. Temperature and pressure, as indicators of weather systems, also played important roles in affecting visibility. Mathematical models of visibility prediction indicated that wind speed had the largest coefficients among all meteorological factors, and reductions in PM₁₀ concentration only led to minor improvements in visibility.

Implications: Long-term data indicates that visibility in Chengdu and Chongqing has been lower than 10 km since the 1970s, and the poor visibility primarily results from anthropogenic pollution. Although PM₁₀ concentrations have decreased consistently to around 100 μg m^?3, trends of visibility have shown no improvement but much fluctuation. Correlation and principal component analysis demonstrate that low visibility in Chengdu is influenced by high relative humidity, while in Chongqing the degrading visibility is related with high relative humidity and pressure and low wind speed under a stable weather system. The results are important to understand the widespread haze event in the two megacities of southwest China.     

Impact of Light Duty Diesels on Visibility in California

This paper investigates the impact of light duty diesels on California visibility in the early 1990s. It is found that, without increased dieselization, there will be little change in statewide visibility levels from the late 1970s to the early 1990s. Visibility impacts from diesels are calculated for various scenarios of diesel use and particulate control. The likely dieselization (20%), do nothing particulate control (0.4 g/ml) scenario will change projected statewide emissions slightly for HC ( –2 % ) , NO _x (+1%), SO _x (+5%), and TSP (+1%) but will increase statewide emissions of elemental carbon (soot) by about 80%. Simplistic haze budget calculations indicate that this increase In soot emissions should reduce visibility about 10 to 25% in California. More precise and geographically detailed visibility calculations are performed by applying a lead tracer model to data for 86 California locations. The lead tracer model indicates that the likely dieselization, do nothing control scenario will reduce visibility by about 10 to 35%, with the greatest impacts occurring in and near urban areas. Actual visibility decreases for this scenario may even be much greater, 20 to 50%, because the analysis does not address two other significant factors: (1) increased SO₄ ^–2 levels due to catalytic SO₂ oxidation by soot and to higher SO₂ emissions, and (2) increased soot emissions due to dieselization of the medium and heavy duty fleets.     

Estimating the probability of the public perceiving a decrease in atmospheric haze

Regional haze regulations require progress toward reducing atmospheric haze as measured by particle scattering coefficient of visible light. From a practical perspective, this raises the following question: Given a decrease in extinction, what is the probability that people will notice an improvement in visibility? This paper proposes a quantitative definition of the probability of a perceptible increase in visibility given a decrease in light extinction and a general method to estimate this probability from perception measurements made in the field under realistic conditions. Using data from a recent study of visibility perception by 8 observers, it is estimated that a 2-4 deciview change gives a 67% maximum probability of detecting the improvement. Stated another way, the odds of seeing a difference are at most 2:1 for a change of 2-4 deciviews. A 90% probability requires a change of at least 3.5-7.0 deciviews. The limitations and possible bias in the results of this study are discussed. These results may have a major effect on the cost-benefit analysis of regulatory actions to improve visibility.     

Modeling of potential power plant plume impacts on Dallas-Fort Worth visibility

During wintertime, haze episodes occur in the Dallas-Ft. Worth (DFW) urban area. Such episodes are characterized by substantial light scattering by particles and relatively low absorption, leading to so-called "white haze." The objective of this work was to assess whether reductions in the emissions of SO2 from specific coal-fired power plants located over 100 km from DFW could lead to a discernible change in the DFW white haze. To that end, the transport, dispersion, deposition, and chemistry of the plume of a major power plant were simulated using a reactive plume model (ROME). The realism of the plume model simulations was tested by comparing model calculations of plume concentrations with aircraft data of SF6 tracer concentrations and ozone concentrations. A second-order closure dispersion algorithm was shown to perform better than a first-order closure algorithm and the empirical Pasquill-Gifford-Turner algorithm. For plume impact assessment, three actual scenarios were simulated, two with clear-sky conditions and one with the presence of fog prior to the haze. The largest amount of sulfate formation was obtained for the fog episode. Therefore, a hypothetical scenario was constructed using the meteorological conditions of the fog episode with input data values adjusted to be more conducive to sulfate formation. The results of the simulations suggest that reductions in the power plant emissions lead to less than proportional reductions in sulfate concentrations in DFW for the fog scenario. Calculations of the associated effects on light scattering using Mie theory suggest that reduction in total (plume + ambient) light extinction of less than 13% would be obtained with a 44% reduction in emissions of SO2 from the modeled power plant.     

Use of the Deciview Haze Index as an Indicator for Regional Haze

ABSTRACT

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPR) for regional haze uses the deciview haze index (dv) as the indicator for visibility impairment and proposes a change of 1 dv as "a small but noticeable change in haziness under most circumstances." All previous visibility rules have specified human perception as the indicator for visibility impairment. This article examines the technical basis cited in the NPR for this new indicator for visibility impairment and for the perception threshold of approximately 1 dv. Derivations based on the assumptions and approximations cited in the NPR show that the deciview haze index does not have the correct functional form to relate changes in haze within federal Class I areas to the visual perception of those changes. The just-noticeable change in light extinction is, in most cases, inversely proportional to the sight path length instead of proportional to the light-extinction coefficient. These derivations also indicate that a 1-dv change in haziness is typically too small to be perceived in most Class I areas.     

Effects of experimental nitrogen additions on plant diversity in tropical forests of contrasting disturbance regimes in southern China

Responses of understory plant diversity to nitrogen (N) additions were investigated in reforested forests of contrasting disturbance regimes in southern China from 2003 to 2008: disturbed forest (with harvesting of understory vegetation and litter) and rehabilitated forest (without harvesting). Experimental additions of N were administered as the following treatments: Control, 50 kg N ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹, and 100 kg N ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹. Nitrogen additions did not significantly affect understory plant richness, density, and cover in the disturbed forest. Similarly, no significant response was found for canopy closure in this forest. In the rehabilitated forest, species richness and density showed no significant response to N additions; however, understory cover decreased significantly in the N-treated plots, largely a function of a significant increase in canopy closure. Our results suggest that responses of plant diversity to N deposition may vary with different land-use history, and rehabilitated forests may be more sensitive to N deposition.