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1.
Rudolf Izsák 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(2):143-156
In this paper some properties and analytic expressions regarding the Poisson lognormal distribution such as moments, maximum
likelihood function and related derivatives are discussed. The author provides a sharp approximation of the integrals related
to the Poisson lognormal probabilities and analyzes the choice of the initial values in the fitting procedure. Based on these
he describes a new procedure for carrying out the maximum likelihood fitting of the truncated Poisson lognormal distribution.
The method and results are illustrated on real data. The computer program for calculations is freely available.
相似文献
Rudolf IzsákEmail: |
2.
Griffith DA 《Environmental geochemistry and health》2008,30(6):495-509
Properly sampling soils and mapping soil contamination in urban environments requires that impacts of spatial autocorrelation
be taken into account. As spatial autocorrelation increases in an urban landscape, the amount of duplicate information contained
in georeferenced data also increases, whether an entire population or some type of random sample drawn from that population
is being analyzed, resulting in conventional power and sample size calculation formulae yielding incorrect sample size numbers
vis-à-vis model-based inference. Griffith (in Annals, Association of American Geographers, 95, 740–760, 2005) exploits spatial statistical model specifications to formulate equations for estimating the necessary sample
size needed to obtain some predetermined level of precision for an analysis of georeferenced data when implementing a tessellation
stratified random sampling design, labeling this approach model-informed, since a model of latent spatial autocorrelation
is required. This paper addresses issues of efficiency associated with these model-based results. It summarizes findings from
a data collection exercise (soil samples collected from across Syracuse, NY), as well as from a set of resampling and from
a set of simulation experiments following experimental design principles spelled out by Overton and Stehman (in Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 22, 2641–2660). Guidelines are suggested concerning appropriate sample size (i.e., how many) and sampling network (i.e., where).
相似文献
Daniel A. GriffithEmail: |
3.
The influence of multiple anchored fish aggregating devices (FADs) on the spatial behavior of yellowfin (Thunnus albacares) and bigeye tuna (T. obesus) was investigated by equipping all thirteen FADs surrounding the island of Oahu (HI, USA) with automated sonic receivers
(“listening stations”) and intra-peritoneally implanting individually coded acoustic transmitters in 45 yellowfin and 12 bigeye
tuna. Thus, the FAD network became a multi-element passive observatory of the residence and movement characteristics of tuna
within the array. Yellowfin tuna were detected within the FAD array for up to 150 days, while bigeye tuna were only observed
up to a maximum of 10 days after tagging. Only eight yellowfin tuna (out of 45) and one bigeye tuna (out of 12) visited FADs
other than their FAD of release. Those nine fish tended to visit nearest neighboring FADs and, in general, spent more time
at their FAD of release than at the others. Fish visiting the same FAD several times or visiting other FADs tended to stay
longer in the FAD network. A majority of tagged fish exhibited some synchronicity when departing the FADs but not all tagged
fish departed a FAD at the same time: small groups of tagged fish left together while others remained. We hypothesize that
tuna (at an individual or collective level) consider local conditions around any given FAD to be representative of the environment
on a larger scale (e.g., the entire island) and when those conditions become unfavorable the tuna move to a completely different
area. Thus, while the anchored FADs surrounding the island of Oahu might concentrate fish and make them more vulnerable to
fishing, at a meso-scale they might not entrain fish longer than if there were no (or very few) FADs in the area. At the existing
FAD density, the ‘island effect’ is more likely to be responsible for the general presence of fish around the island than
the FADs. We recommend further investigation of this hypothesis.
相似文献
Laurent Dagorn (Corresponding author)Email: |
Kim N. HollandEmail: |
David G. ItanoEmail: |
4.
Thomas Kneib Jörg Müller Torsten Hothorn 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(3):343-364
Precise knowledge about factors influencing the habitat suitability of a certain species forms the basis for the implementation
of effective programs to conserve biological diversity. Such knowledge is frequently gathered from studies relating abundance
data to a set of influential variables in a regression setup. In particular, generalised linear models are used to analyse
binary presence/absence data or counts of a certain species at locations within an observation area. However, one of the key
assumptions of generalised linear models, the independence of observations is often violated in practice since the points
at which the observations are collected are spatially aligned. In this paper, we describe a general framework for semiparametric
spatial generalised linear models that allows for the routine analysis of non-normal spatially aligned regression data. The
approach is utilised for the analysis of a data set of synthetic bird species in beech forests, revealing that ignorance of
spatial dependence actually may lead to false conclusions in a number of situations.
相似文献
Thomas KneibEmail: |
5.
F. Badalamenti C. J. Sweeting N. V. C. Polunin J. Pinnegar G. D’Anna C. Pipitone 《Marine Biology》2008,154(5):765-773
Trawling has a significant effect on the structure of marine communities, yet the ubiquity of trawling impacts makes testing
such effects difficult. This study examines trawling impacts on trophodynamics of three fishes among the Gulfs of Castellammare
and Termini Imerese (northern Sicily), the first of which has been subject to a trawling ban since 1990 that initially resulted
in an eightfold increase in total fish biomass. The Gulf of Termini Imerese remains heavily fished and was treated as a control
site. Nitrogen and carbon stable isotope data were used to assess fishing induced changes in trophic levels or source of production
supporting three demersal fish species; Mullus barbatus,
Merluccius merluccius and Lophius budegassa following a control-impact approach. The exclusion of trawling resulted in only small alteration of δ15N in two of the three-three species. There were no systematic changes in the δ13C of any species sampled. Thus, a large influence of trawling on the trophodynamics of the studied species at sampled size
was discounted. Although stable isotopes do not have spatial or temporal resolution to identify detailed shifts in diet composition,
their integrative nature highlights that the trophic role these species play is robust to fishing impacts at scales over which
the fishery operates. This is despite a significant increase in the abundance of these species and of total fish biomass within
the protected area.
相似文献
C. J. SweetingEmail: |
6.
Spatial structure effects on the detection of patches boundaries using local operators 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Mathieu D. Philibert Marie-Josée Fortin Ferenc Csillag 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(4):447-467
Landscapes exhibit various degrees of spatial heterogeneity according to the differential intensity and interactions among
processes and disturbances that they are subjected to. The management of these spatially dynamical landscapes requires that
we can accurately map them and monitor the evolution of their spatial arrangement through time. Such a mapping requires first
the delineation of various spatial features present in the landscape such as patches and their boundaries. However, there
are several environmental (spatial variability) as well as technical (spatial resolution) factors that impair our ability
to accurately delineate patches and their boundaries as polygons. Here, we investigate how the spatial structure and spatial
resolution of the data affect the accuracy of detecting patches and their boundaries over simulated landscapes and real data.
Simulated landscapes consisted of two patches with parameterized spatial properties (patches’ level of spatial autocorrelation,
mean value and variance) separated by a boundary of known location. Real data allowed the investigation of a more complex
landscape where there is a known transition between two forest domains with unknown spatial properties. Boundary locations
are defined using the lattice-wombling edge detector at various aggregation levels and the degree of patch homogeneity is
determined using Getis-Ord’s G*. Results show that boundary detection using a local edge detector is greatly affected by the spatial conditions of the data,
namely variance, abruptness of the spatial gradient between two patches and patches’ level of spatial autocorrelation. They
also suggest that data aggregation is not a panacea for bringing out the ecological process creating the patches and that
indicators derived from local measures of spatial association can be complementary tools for analysing spatial structures
affecting boundary delineation.
相似文献
Marie-Josée FortinEmail: |
7.
Fiat boundaries: some implications for interpretation,decision-support,and multi-temporal analysis 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Kim Lowell 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(4):369-383
Polygon-based thematic maps can be composed of boundaries that exist by definition—i.e., bona fide boundaries—or those that
exist relative to a specific interpretation of a spatial phenomenon—i.e., fiat boundaries. The construction of maps composed
of fiat boundaries is usually based on a subjective interpretive methodology that is affected by the data used to construct
the map and the minimum mapping unit employed. That fiat boundaries are not the same as bona fide boundaries affects their
use in computer-based spatial decision support tools. This is discussed both in terms of an analysis conducted at one specific
moment, and in respect to increasingly common multi-temporal analysis.
相似文献
Kim LowellEmail: |
8.
Chang Xuan Mao 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2007,14(4):473-481
Consider the removal experiment used to estimate population sizes. Statistical methods towards testing the homogeneity of
capture probabilities of animals, including a graphical diagnostic and a formal test, are presented and illustrated by real
biological examples. Simulation is used to assess the test and compare it with the χ2 test.
相似文献
Chang Xuan MaoEmail: |
9.
Hierarchical spatial point process analysis for a plant community with high biodiversity 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Janine B. Illian Jesper Møller Rasmus P. Waagepetersen 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(3):389-405
A complex multivariate spatial point pattern of a plant community with high biodiversity is modelled using a hierarchical
multivariate point process model. In the model, interactions between plants with different post-fire regeneration strategies
are of key interest. We consider initially a maximum likelihood approach to inference where problems arise due to unknown
interaction radii for the plants. We next demonstrate that a Bayesian approach provides a flexible framework for incorporating
prior information concerning the interaction radii. From an ecological perspective, we are able both to confirm existing knowledge
on species’ interactions and to generate new biological questions and hypotheses on species’ interactions.
相似文献
Rasmus P. WaagepetersenEmail: |
10.
B. Gail Ivanoff 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(2):153-171
The concept of the renewal property is extended to processes indexed by a multidimensional time parameter. The definition
given includes not only partial sum processes, but also Poisson processes and many other point processes whose jump points
are not totally ordered. Various properties of renewal processes are discussed. Renewal processes are proposed as a basis
for modelling the spread of a forest fire under a prevailing wind.
相似文献
B. Gail IvanoffEmail: |
11.
Frederic Paik Schoenberg Jamie Pompa Chien-Hsun Chang 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(2):251-269
This paper explores the use of, and problems that arise in, kernel smoothing and parametric estimation of the relationships
between wildfire incidence and various meteorological variables. Such relationships may be treated as components in separable
point process models for wildfire activity. The resulting models can be used for comparative purposes in order to assess the
predictive performance of the Burning Index.
相似文献
Frederic Paik SchoenbergEmail: |
12.
External drift kriging of NOx concentrations with dispersion model output in a reduced air quality monitoring network 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Jan van de Kassteele Alfred Stein Arnold L. M. Dekkers Guus J. M. Velders 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(3):321-339
In the mid nineteen eighties the Dutch NOx air quality monitoring network was reduced from 73 to 32 rural and city background stations, leading to higher spatial uncertainties.
In this study, several other sources of information are being used to help reduce uncertainties in parameter estimation and
spatial mapping. For parameter estimation, we used Bayesian inference. For mapping, we used kriging with external drift (KED)
including secondary information from a dispersion model. The methods were applied to atmospheric NOx concentrations on rural and urban scales. We compared Bayesian estimation with restricted maximum likelihood estimation and
KED with universal kriging. As a reference we also included ordinary least squares (OLS). Comparison of several parameter
estimation and spatial interpolation methods was done by cross-validation. Bayesian analysis resulted in an error reduction
of 10 to 20% as compared to restricted maximum likelihood, whereas KED resulted in an error reduction of 50% as compared to
universal kriging. Where observations were sparse, the predictions were substantially improved by inclusion of the dispersion
model output and by using available prior information. No major improvement was observed as compared to OLS, the cause presumably
being that much good information is contained in the dispersion model output, so that no additional spatial residual random
field is required to explain the data. In all, we conclude that reduction in the monitoring network could be compensated by
modern geostatistical methods, and that a traditional simple statistical model is of an almost equal quality.
相似文献
Jan van de KassteeleEmail: |
13.
We present a method for detecting the zones where an irregularly sampled variable changes abruptly in the plane. Such zones
are called Zones of Abrupt Change (ZACs). This method not only allows estimation of ZACs, but also testing of their statistical
significance against the null hypothesis of a stationary correlated random field. The sampling pattern, in particular its
local density, is crucial in the detection of potential ZACs. In this paper, we address the problem of evaluating the sampling
pattern by assessing the power of the local test used for detecting ZACs. It is shown that mapping the power allows us to
identify zones where ZACs may or may not be detected. The methodology is applied to a soil data set sampled at eight different
dates in an agricultural field. Detecting ZACs for the soil water content allowed us to identify permanent structures in the
agricultural field related to the boundaries between different soil types. Mapping the power for various sampling densities
proved to be useful to determine the minimal sampling density necessary for detecting ZACs.
相似文献
Edith GabrielEmail: |
14.
Den Boychuk W. John Braun Reg J. Kulperger Zinovi L. Krougly David A. Stanford 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(2):133-151
We consider a stochastic fire growth model, with the aim of predicting the behaviour of large forest fires. Such a model can
describe not only average growth, but also the variability of the growth. Implementing such a model in a computing environment
allows one to obtain probability contour plots, burn size distributions, and distributions of time to specified events. Such
a model also allows the incorporation of a stochastic spotting mechanism.
相似文献
Reg J. KulpergerEmail: |
15.
M. M. Manzano-Sarabia E. A. Aragón-Noriega C. A. Salinas-Zavala D. B. Lluch-Cota 《Marine Biology》2007,152(5):1021-1029
Life histories of penaeid shrimp have been classified according to the preferred habitats of postlarval, juvenile, and adult
stages, ranging from exclusively estuarine to exclusively offshore waters. Brown shrimp Farfantepenaeus californiensis migrate to an offshore habitat at the juvenile stage or even a smaller body size. This paper presents results of monthly
samplings from 24 stations over 1 year in the Agiabampo Lagoon complex, a hypersaline lagoon in northwestern Mexico. Five
species of penaeid shrimp were identified, with brown shrimp the most abundant during the year of sampling. Results suggest
that residency of brown shrimp inside this lagoon is longer than reported in previous studies. An interaction between length
and environmental variables (near-surface temperature, salinity, and rainfall) appear to be cues concerning migration.
相似文献
C. A. Salinas-ZavalaEmail: |
16.
Glen D. Johnson 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(3):293-311
Infectious disease surveillance has become an international top priority due to the perceived risk of bioterrorism. This is
driving the improvement of real-time geo-spatial surveillance systems for monitoring disease indicators, which is expected
to have many benefits beyond detecting a bioterror event. West Nile Virus surveillance in New York State (USA) is highlighted
as a working system that uses dead American Crows (Corvus brachyrhynchos) to prospectively indicate viral activity prior to human onset. A cross-disciplinary review is then presented to argue that
this system, and infectious disease surveillance in general, can be improved by complementing spatial cluster detection of
an outcome variable with predictive “risk mapping” that incorporates spatiotemporal data on the environment, climate and human
population through the flexible class of generalized linear mixed models.
相似文献
Glen D. JohnsonEmail: |
17.
In this paper we examine the use of data augmentation techniques for simplifying iterative simulation in the context of both
Bayesian and classical statistical inference for survival rate estimation. We examine two distinct model families common in
population ecology to illustrate our ideas, ring-recovery models and capture–recapture models, and we present the computational
advantage of this approach. We discuss also the fact that problems associated with identifiability in the classical framework
can be overcome using data augmentation, but highlight the dangers in doing so under both inferential paradigms.
相似文献
I. C. OlsenEmail: |
18.
John E. Hathaway G. Bruce Schaalje Richard O. Gilbert Brent A. Pulsipher Brett D. Matzke 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(3):313-327
Composite sampling can be more cost effective than simple random sampling. This paper considers how to determine the optimum
number of increments to use in composite sampling. Composite sampling terminology and theory are outlined and a method is
developed which accounts for different sources of variation in compositing and data analysis. This method is used to define
and understand the process of determining the optimum number of increments that should be used in forming a composite. The
blending variance is shown to have a smaller range of possible values than previously reported when estimating the number
of increments in a composite sample. Accounting for differing levels of the blending variance significantly affects the estimated
number of increments.
相似文献
John E. HathawayEmail: |
19.
Brooke E. Buckley Walter W. Piegorsch R. Webster West 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(1):53-62
In modern environmental risk analysis, inferences are often desired on those low dose levels at which a fixed benchmark risk
is achieved. In this paper, we study the use of confidence limits on parameters from a simple one-stage model of risk historically
popular in benchmark analysis with quantal data. Based on these confidence bounds, we present methods for deriving upper confidence
limits on extra risk and lower bounds on the benchmark dose. The methods are seen to extend automatically to the case where
simultaneous inferences are desired at multiple doses. Monte Carlo evaluations explore characteristics of the parameter estimates
and the confidence limits under this setting.
相似文献
R. Webster WestEmail: |
20.
Sponges have rich and diverse associated microbial communities, which may have important functions in their metabolism. A
survey of the archaeal communities of 23 poriferan species, focusing on the family Axinellidae, was conducted over the period
2002–2004 using 16S rDNA gene libraries created with archaeal-specific primers. The 28S rDNA sequences of the sponge hosts
were also obtained. Of 23 species, 19 showed evidence of archaeal communities from group C1a (marine group I; Crenarchaeota),
with three of these also showing evidence of Archaea from group E2 (marine group II; Euryarchaeota). Within the Crenarchaeota,
two strongly supported sponge-specific clades were identified corresponding to the sponge family Axinellidae, and a novel
sponge clade denoted clade C. These findings suggest that these archaea have evolved closely with their sponge hosts and are
likely to play an important role in their metabolism.
相似文献
Bradley HolmesEmail: |