The San Salvador earthquake of 10th October 1986

The authors carried out an nvestigative mission to San Salvador between 20th October and 3rd November 1986, under the auspices of the Earthquake Engineering Field Investigation Team (EEFIT). The mission was funded by Rendel Palmer & Tritton and the Science and Engineering Research Council.     

海洋的恶魔——厄尔尼诺

“厄尔尼诺”为西班牙语“圣婴（上帝之子）”的意思。在南美厄尔多瓦、秘鲁沿岸,受来自高纬度冷洋流和涌升流的影响,海水温度比同纬度的太平洋西部明显偏低。每年圣诞节前后,当地海水都会出现季节性的增暖现象,渔民们把这种现象称为“厄尔尼诺”现象。     

Establishing moral bearings: ethics and expatriate health care professionals in humanitarian work

Expatriate health care professionals frequently participate in international responses to natural disasters and humanitarian emergencies. This field of practice presents important clinical, logistical and ethical challenges for clinicians. This paper considers the ethics of health care practice in humanitarian contexts. It examines features that contribute to forming the moral landscape of humanitarian work, and discusses normative guidelines and approaches that are relevant for this work. These tools and frameworks provide important ethics resources for humanitarian settings. Finally, it elaborates a set of questions that can aid health care professionals as they analyse ethical issues that they experience in the field. The proposed process can assist clinicians as they seek to establish their moral bearings in situations of ethical complexity and uncertainty. Identifying and developing ethics resources and vocabulary for clinical practice in humanitarian work will help health care professionals provide ethically sound care to patients and communities.     

厄尔尼诺事件对河南省降水的可能影响

本文采用小波变换方法分析了近50年来赤道东太平洋月海温距平序列和河南省月降水量距平序列的多层次时间尺度结构，对厄尔尼诺事件和河南降水的周期变化规律进行了对比分析，并讨论了厄尔尼诺对河南降水的可能影响。结果表明，厄尔尼诺事件对河南降水有一定程度的影响；表现为厄尔尼诺年大多对应河南雨涝年，而反厄尔诺年大多对应干旱年；NINO海区SST的冷暖结构和河南降水的旱涝变化之间具有较好的对应关系，而且两者都存在准2年和4－8年的周期变化。     

厄尔尼诺事件对黑龙江省春夏季降水的影响

利用实际监测资料,分析了40年中厄尔尼诺(Elnino)现象与黑龙江省降水距平之间的时空变化关系.结果发现,厄尔尼诺现象发生的当年及前一年,黑龙江省以春季4-6月份少雨干旱与夏秋季7,8月份(除厄尔尼诺年前一年的8月份外)多雨洪涝为主要气候特征;在厄尔尼诺年的下一年,春季4,6月份与秋季8,9月份一般具有少雨干旱的趋势.     

Emergency and institutional crisis in Peru during El Nino 1982-1983

From December 1982 through July 1983, Peru was plagued by disastrous consequences of El Nino/Southern Oscillation phenomenon. While the northern part of the country was devastated by torrential rains and floods, central Andean Peru endured landslides and flash floods, the southern Altiplano suffered a severe drought. Hazard preparedness was nonexistent, and official disaster relief uncoordinated and slow in coming. Administrative inefficiency magnified the stress upon the populations under disaster conditions. Provisions of disaster training from specialized international organizations is recommended as a preventive measure and as a policy to improve catastrophe-coping abilities in developing nations.     

厄尔尼诺事件与黑龙江省低温洪涝灾害的影响及其预报

在研究厄尔尼诺（拉尼娜）事件对黑龙江省低温洪涝灾害的影响中,提出了一种表征厄尔尼诺现象的IEN指数,并根据IEN指数谱分析结果给出了厄尔尼诺（拉尼娜）事件的统计预测方法。对1997年强厄尔尼诺和1998年拉尼娜事件的实际预报效果表明,该方法是可行的,在区域和省级短期气候预测中可以发挥重要的作用。     

The Association between El Niño/Southern Oscillation Events and Typhoons in the Marshall Islands

An analysis of the historic record of typhoons in the Marshall Islands has identified a significant association between the occurrence of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation phenomenon (ENSO) and the occurrence of typhoons in the Marshall Islands. Whilst typhoons normally occur further to the east, the warming of the ocean waters around the Marshall Islands, as part of the ENSO phenomenon, generates typhoons further to the west. The results suggest that typhoons are 2.6 times more likely to occur during ENSO years, with a 71 per cent chance of a typhoon striking during an ENSO year, and only a 26 per cent chance of one happening during a non-ENSO year. This has implications for planning and public safety, which the relevant authorities may wish to take note of.     

Risk and the neoliberal state: why post-Mitch lessons didn't reduce El Salvador's earthquake losses

Although El Salvador suffered light losses from Hurricane Mitch in 1998, it benefited from the increased international aid and encouragement for advance planning, especially mitigation and prevention interventions. Thus, one would have supposed, El Salvador would have been in a very advantageous position, able more easily than its economically crippled neighbours, Honduras and Nicaragua, to implement the 'lessons of Mitch'. A review of the recovery plan tabled by the El Salvador government following the earthquakes of early 2001 shows that despite the rhetoric in favour of 'learning the lessons of Mitch', very little mitigation and prevention had actually been put in place between the hurricane (1998) and the earthquakes (2001). The recovery plan is analysed in terms of the degree to which it deals with root causes of disaster vulnerability, namely, the economic and political marginality of much of the population and environmental degradation. An explanation for the failure to implement mitigation and preventive actions is traced to the adherence by the government of El Salvador to an extreme form of neoliberal, free market ideology, and the deep fissures and mistrust in a country that follow a long and bloody civil war.     

6.21. Basic statistical formulae

This short section is intended only as an aid to those already familiar with the use of basic statistical procedures. A short manual dealing specifically with the application of statistical procedures in refugee camps will be available shortly from the International Disaster Institute.     

隔震建筑概念设计的基本问题

在隔震建筑的设计过程中应首先进行概念设计,在总体上把握隔震结构设计的主要方面。本文论述了隔震建筑概念设计的基本问题。在概念设计阶段,首先应在目标设计概念指导下,综合隔震建筑安全性与投资水平的平衡,确定建筑是采用隔震结构还是抗震结构。在进行隔震设计时,应根据输入地震动的加速度幅值和主频,建筑的允许加速度等值确定隔震结构的固有频率;应根据隔震系数和隔震层的允许位移合理确定隔震层总体刚度的范围。对隔震建筑的上部结构,应选择有利房型,合理布置结构,减小结构的不利地震反应。     

城市灾害风险的基本构成要素

对城市灾害风险管理以及城市灾害和城市灾害风险的构成要素进行了分析研究,从构成要素角度解析了城市灾害的形成和城市灾害风险的形成。     

Rebuilding and strengthening health systems and providing basic health services in fragile states

The international community has compelling humanitarian, political, security and economic reasons to engage in rebuilding and strengthening health systems in fragile states. Improvements in health services and systems help to strengthen civil society and to restore legitimacy to governments. Effective engagement with fragile states to inform the design of health programmes and selection of interventions depends on donor coordination and an understanding of health system challenges. Planning requires consideration of allocation (services to be delivered), production (organisation of services), distribution (beneficiaries of services) and financing. The criteria for selecting interventions are: their impact on major health problems; effectiveness; the possibility of scale-up; equity; and sustainability. There are various options for financing and models of engagement, but support should always combine short-term relief with longer-term development. Stakeholders should aim not only to save lives and protect health but also to bolster nations' ability to deliver good-quality services in the long run.     

美国突发事件应急行动预案的基本特征分析

研究了美国应急行动预案的基本特征.结果表明:①美国应急行动预案目标明确、定位清晰;②美国应急行动预案注重编制原则的有效贯彻;③美国应急行动预案内容完备、适应性强;④美国注重联邦、州、领地、部落和地方应急行动预案的有效衔接;⑤美国应急行动预案具有强大的外部支持体系.这些方面将为我国修订完善国家应急预案体系提供有效参考.