通风对综合管廊内电缆燃烧及火蔓延过程影响的数值模拟研究

综合管廊内电缆的火灾燃烧特性一直被国内外学者所关注,然而目前关于通风对电缆燃烧及火蔓延过程影响的研究相对较少。在通风系统的作用下,电缆内部及外部温度分布、热解气体浓度与无通风情况相比有很大的差异,电缆的燃烧及火蔓延过程将会更为复杂。为了研究通风作用下综合管廊内单根电缆的燃烧过程,采用FDS对15 kV交联聚乙烯绝缘铜芯电缆的火蔓延过程开展了数值模拟。通过分析不同风速条件下的电缆火焰形态、各层材料温度、火蔓延长度和热释放速率(HRR)曲线,详细研究了通风速度对综合管廊内单根电缆燃烧及火蔓延过程的影响。结果表明当通风速度不超过2 m/s时,通风能够促进电缆燃烧,电缆表面存在气相火焰,其火蔓延长度、热释放速率峰值等不断增加,此时综合管廊内火灾危险性不断增大;当风速大于等于3 m/s时,通风抑制了电缆燃烧,电缆的火蔓延长度、热释放速率峰值随之迅速降低,电缆PVC层、XLPE层温升的原因是线芯对绝缘材料的热传导,电缆的火灾危险性也随之减小。     

巷道木材火灾试验与数值模拟对比研究

通过应用煤炭科学研究总院重庆研究院某水平巷道全尺寸木材火灾实验和流体力学软件FULENT的数值模拟方法,研究风速为0.7m/s和1.1m/s时8,00kg木材燃烧以及风速为0.7m/s时,400kg木材燃烧火源下风侧各热物理参数变化规律。结果表明:3次燃烧试验和模拟均为富氧燃烧类型,验证了A.罗伯特燃烧判定准则的正确性。同时试验和模拟火源下风侧CO,CH4和H2危害性气体浓度和出口风门处温度,对比结果证明,巷道富氧类燃烧难以产生次生灾害。研究也表明,环境因素或巷道物理结构变化能改变巷道火灾燃烧类型。     

夹层内PVC电缆燃烧特性分析

通过建立现代建筑夹层模型,研究铺设大量电缆可能引发的火灾效应,探索夹层内电缆火灾特性,找到电缆在夹层内的合理铺设方式,为制定科学合理的防火对策提供依据.本文主要讨论了不同因素对火焰蔓延速度、烟气温度和有害物质生成浓度的影响,并评价了有害物质的毒害作用.结果表明,夹层内铺设电缆的数量、铺设角度和距离夹层底层远近对电缆的燃烧特性有明显影响.1根电缆时火焰蔓延速度为3.17×10-3 m/s,两根时为3.96×10-3 m/s;1根电缆情况下,铺设角度由45°到垂直状态时,蔓延速度由4.01×10-3 m/s增加到26.09×10-3 m/s,产生烟气温度和烟气中有害成分浓度也随之增高;垂直条件下,烟气质量浓度在230 s时达到最高值12.50 g/m3,产物CO的质量浓度远远超出OSHA标准(1.88 g/m3).因此,电缆在夹层内垂直燃烧时发生火灾的危险性更大.     

轻质油品罐区流淌火灾发展特征和危害研究

为了研究罐区储运过程中发生泄漏导致的流淌火事故,设计并搭建了流淌火燃烧试验平台。采用流淌火燃烧试验平台和CFD数值计算2种方法研究了汽油流淌燃烧特性,对比分析表明,流淌火实体试验与CFD数值计算的结果误差在可接受范围内。基于上述结论,以防火堤内储存汽油的4个2 000 m3汽油储罐罐组为研究对象,模拟计算输油管道泄漏至防火堤内引发流淌性火灾的危害特性,得到了流淌火灾蔓延发展过程以及流淌面积、温度场等特征参数的变化规律。研究结果表明:泄漏速率保持不变时,流淌面积逐渐增大直至趋于稳定,其增长速率不断减小;流淌火发展至稳定燃烧阶段时,临近储罐被火焰包围,其中高度为5 m处的罐壁温度和辐射强度最大,温度在1 300 ℃左右波动,辐射强度稳定在500 kW/m2左右。     

某850kW水平轴风力发电机机舱火灾模拟与分析

采用火灾动力学模拟器软件和性能化防火设计理论,基于实际事故案例分析,设计针对某850 kW水平轴风力发电机机舱的典型火灾场景,建立池火灾模型,对额定风速(13 m/s)下机舱内该类型火灾的发生和发展过程进行研究,模拟计算机舱内火灾的热释放速率、温度场和速度场等参数,探讨进气口风速对火灾热释放速率和温度场等的影响。结果表明:封闭条件下,从齿轮箱底部发展起来的油池火灾热释放速率在62.4 s时达到最大值(757 kW),持续燃烧93 s后降至0;齿轮箱附近部件遭受火灾破坏最为严重,喷射油料二次燃烧导致火强度变大并加剧了火灾的破坏程度。额定风速下,齿轮箱附近软管喷射油料未出现二次燃烧现象,但火灾后期热释放速率在335 s内达到4 000 kW;以火源为分界面,火源前方区域温度(406~567℃)明显高于后方区域温度(177~279℃);顶部通风口承受全部热流,机舱罩顶部温度最终达到930℃,并出现轰燃。     

高大空间建筑自动喷水灭火技术试验研究

为研究自动喷水灭火技术对高大空间建筑火灾控火性能的影响,按照高大空间公共建筑和厂房的实际火灾场景,开展自动喷水灭火技术全尺寸火灾试验和数值模拟计算。选定的喷头流量系数为K-161,安装高度为18 m,喷水强度分别为20和25 L/(min·m2)。试验结果显示,在该火灾场景中,第1只喷头在点火后3~4 min动作,喷头开放数为3~4只即能成功控制火势的增长和蔓延,顶板下的最高温度为120℃,距火灾试验模型2.4 m处的最高温度为20℃。数值模拟计算与实体火试验结论基本一致,说明高大空间建筑采用自动喷水灭火系统,能达到很好的控火甚至是灭火效果。     

大型油罐火灾的热辐射危害特性

热辐射是油库储油罐燃烧的主要危害特性之一.本文对直径20m的柴油罐燃烧进行数值模拟,得出无风和有风情况下油罐燃烧热辐射的空间分布规律.在地面高度,随着距离L/D的增加,热辐射强度先增加后减少;在油罐火液面高度,热辐射强度随L/D的增加呈指数衰减规律.引入热辐射危害判据分析消防人员灭火的最小安全距离以及燃烧油罐对相邻油罐的热破坏.结果表明,在无风情况下,直径20 m油罐燃烧消防队员灭火不受二度烧伤的安全距离L约为64 m;有风情况下消防队员不受二度烧伤的灭火安全距离L约为80 m,不受死亡的灭火安全距离L约为62 m.数值模拟结果还与现有池火灾经验模型进行比较,表明在近油罐区(L＜3D),两者的热辐射强度分布曲线吻合较好.     

EPS外保温材料火灾蔓延速率的数值模拟与试验研究

根据火灾动力学理论,建立了热塑性外保温材料火蔓延速率模型。该模型对实际燃烧过程做了一定的假设简化,主要考虑了材料厚度和火源位置对材料燃烧发展过程的影响。并提出无量纲参数"耦合燃烧度",用来表征热塑性材料的燃烧壁面与高温熔滴形成的油池火之间相互作用的程度。基于ISO9705全尺寸热释放速率实验室,采用20×20×10 cm3正庚烷油槽火源为火源样式,设计了4种不同的燃烧工况研究EPS外保温材料的火蔓延规律和影响因素。结果表明:其火蔓延速率随时间变化呈指数增长,EPS的火蔓延速率的回归方程通式为Vp(t)=Aexp(Bt),与理论推导方程Vp(t)=φ1exp(φ2t)有较好的相关性。当EPS的厚度为50 mm时,火蔓延速率增幅最小;"耦合燃烧度"越大,火蔓延速率增长越快;"耦合燃烧度"随材料厚度的增加而增大;不同火源位置下,"耦合燃烧度"从大到小为中火、底火、顶火、边角火。理论模型与试验结果有较好的一致性,可以有效预测热塑性外保温材料的火蔓延速率。     

罐壁式泡沫系统扑救密封圈火灾试验研究

针对大型浮顶罐罐壁式泡沫灭火系统的特点及不足,依据相关规范要求设计了30m长的密封圈火灾模拟试验油槽,开展了3％型水成膜泡沫液和6％型氟蛋白泡沫液灭火试验。现场测定了泡沫的发泡倍数和析液时间,符合规范要求但略低于检测值。试验过程测定了泡沫在泡沫堰板内的流动速度和燃烧油面的蔓延速度,观察了不同的泡沫液和泡沫混合液供给强度下的油槽火灭火状况,对比分析了油槽火周邻的温度和热流分布。在此基础上,评估分析了罐壁式泡沫系统扑救密封圈火灾的有效性。试验结果表明：有效的泡沫混合液供给强度下,3％型水成膜泡沫和6％型氟蛋白泡沫可控密封圈火灾,甚至灭火;泡沫类型和泡沫混合液供给强度对油槽火全淹没时间的影响较大。该试验对大型浮顶罐低液位密封圈火灾扑救具有积极的指导意义和工程应用价值。     

油浸式变压器消防灭火真型试验平台构建及试验验证

针对油浸式变压器的起火原因、燃烧和灭火特性,模拟变压器同时发生套管火、变压器本体火、油枕火、集油坑火等立体火灾现象,构建适用于油浸式变压器的消防灭火系统真型试验平台,设计并安装泡沫喷雾和压缩空气泡沫灭火系统。基于大量冷喷性能试验,确定了泡沫灭火系统在真型变压器上的优化布置。全尺度变压器灭火试验表明：变压器在充分燃烧阶段,其火焰最高温度可达800℃;热辐射强度最大为34.6 (kW·m^-2);采用压缩空气泡沫灭火系统,最短35 s扑灭变压器的全部火灾。该真型试验平台构建合理,达到预期试验效果,为研究油浸式变压器火灾及各类消防灭火装备的性能试验提供了研究基础。     

油浸变压器排油注氮装置在500kV变电站的设计与应用

在分析500kV变电站主变压器消防系统的现状,比较3类消防系统优缺点的基础上,详细论述了主变排油注氮装置的结构组成、工作原理、参数计算、控制系统设计以及需要注意的事项等,为下一步排油注氮装置的推广应用打下基础.     

HAZOP结合What-if方法在某延迟焦化装置除焦中的应用

为克服传统危险与可操作性（HAZOP）定性分析方法在复杂操作、间歇作业等过程中使用的局限性,提出在传统HAZOP定性分析方法的基础上结合What-if（故障假设）方法,对人的不安全行为和操作规程不完备所导致的风险后果分析作出补充。详细说明其技术原理、工作流程等使用细节,系统阐述该方法与传统HAZOP定性分析方法的区别,并在某延迟焦化装置的除焦操作的风险分析中应用。经分析,识别出在“给水-泡焦”节点,有“操作规程错误”场景2项,“操作规程不具体”场景1项,不存在“操作人员未按操作规程执行”场景。研究结果表明:本文方法有效且具有较好效果,可以广泛应用于操作规程/作业指导书审查、作业过程隐患排查等方面,帮助企业开展操作层面的风险识别与管理,提升企业的生产安全水平。     

潞安矿区煤层渗透率的各向异性特征实验研究

为了研究原位煤体渗透性的各向异性特征,以山西潞安常村矿3号煤层圆柱试样为对象,利用TCQT-Ⅲ型低渗煤层气相驱替增产试验装置,对煤样进行加载,并以氮气注入压力2.0 MPa的条件下,分析垂直层理和平行层理2个方向的煤体变形和渗透率变化特征。实验结果表明:煤样在加载过程中,平行和垂直层理煤样渗透率均随着有效应力的增大而减小,平行层理方向的渗透率始终大于垂直层理方向,应力加载初期渗透率急剧下降,最后逐渐趋于平缓;径向应变的增加量与渗透率呈正相关性,且平行层理相关性大于垂直层理;沿平行层理方向的裂隙度大于沿垂直层理方向,沿垂直层理方向的应变量大于沿平行层理方向;应变增加量均随有效应力的增加而逐渐减小。研究结果可为煤层井网布置及优化提供参考。     

Nighttime pedestrian fatalities: A comprehensive examination of infrastructure,user, vehicle,and situational factors

Introduction: Pedestrian fatalities in the United States increased 45.5% between 2009 and 2017. More than 85% of those additional pedestrian fatalities occurred at night. Method: We examine Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) data for fatal pedestrian crashes that occurred in the dark between 2002 and 2017. Within-variable and before/after examinations of crashes in terms of infrastructure, user, vehicle, and situational characteristics are performed with one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and two-sample t-tests. We model changes in crash characteristic proportions between 2002–2009 and 2010–2017 using linear regressions and test for autocorrelation with Breusch-Godfrey tests. Results: The increase in fatal nighttime pedestrian crashes is most strongly correlated with infrastructure factors: non-intersection unmarked locations (saw 80.8% of additional fatalities); 40–45 mph roads (54.6%); five-lane roads (40.7%); urban (99.7%); and arterials (81.1%). In addition, SUVs were involved in 39.7% of additional fatalities, overrepresenting their share of the fleet. Increased pedestrian alcohol and drug involvement warrant further investigation. The age of pedestrians killed increased more (18.1%) than the national average (3.2%). Conclusions: By identifying factors related to the increase in nighttime pedestrian fatalities, this work constitutes a vital first step in making our streets safer for pedestrians. Practical Applications: More research is needed to understand the efficacy of different solutions, but this paper provides guidance for such future research. Engineering solutions such as road diets or traffic calming may be used to improve identified infrastructure issues by reducing vehicle speeds and road widths. Rethinking vehicle design, especially high front profiles, may improve vehicle issues. However, the problems giving rise to these pedestrian fatalities are likely a result of not only engineering issues but also interrelated social and political factors. Solutions may be correspondingly comprehensive, employing non-linear, systems-based approaches such as Safe Systems.     

Footedness and Mounting—Short Review and Two Case Studies

Footedness is a personal quality like handedness. Footedness may be associated with moving ability during mounting, dismounting, and jumping movements. Occupational accidents have occurred during movement at different working levels, during the use of access and exit systems, and during the mounting of vehicles. Aging can also affect accident risk and body laterality. For example, falling accidents on stairs are common among the elderly. One reason for accidents may be that the structure of the access system or stair system is unsuitable for individual moving patterns depending partly on body laterality. Footedness and the way the feet are used may be contradictory to the demands of the moving situation, especially during uncommon or rapid situations. This contradiction may trigger disturbance during moving. The aims of this pilot study were (a) to review the literature briefly and (b) to describe the use of the dominant and nondominant foot by farmers and the elderly when mounting a tractor and stairs, respectively. The study also gives ideas for future studies based on both (a) and (b).     

AHP与GA-SVM耦合模型在滑坡预警中的应用*

为了减少滑坡造成的损失,提高滑坡预测的准确性,通过搭建灾害模拟平台获得滑坡的实验数据,在获得多组模拟实验数据后,分析各变量的特性。首先,通过层次分析(Analytic Hierarchy Process,AHP)算法,对滑坡进行危险度划分;然后,通过支持向量机(Support Vector Machine,SVM)建立模型,遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)再优化SVM参数,提出1种层次分析法与GA-SVM相耦合的模型。研究结果表明:AHP方法划分后的数据,通过GA与SVM结合建立的模型精度较好,实验预测结果与实际结果较为吻合,与单一SVM相比,精度更高,结果更好,更加适用于多变量的复杂非线性滑坡预警。     

Debunking the false dichotomy of leadership idealism and pragmatism: Critical evaluation and support of newer genre leadership theories

Leadership theories have shifted over the last few decades from a focus on managerial functions and economic leader–follower exchanges toward greater focus on the interpersonal dynamics occurring within the leadership process. Theories such as transformational, ethical, authentic, and other “newer genre” theories were created to address neglected topics such as leader vision and inspirational messages, transparency, emotional effects, morality, individualized attention, and intellectual stimulation. Critiques of these theories, however, have been raised. In this paper, we address five of those critiques and argue for the validity and practical effectiveness of the new genre theories. Further, we describe how newer genre leadership research should be viewed as a performative epistemology, entailing a process of co‐creation involving scholars and practitioners. Finally, from this view, we provide general ideas for leader development. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Occupational Safety and Health in Finland

In Finland, occupational safety is the responsibility of the employer, while the occupational safety and health laws are enforced by the Labour Inspection Service, an organization of the state. The Labour Inspection is divided in 11 administrative districts, and it employs 360 professionals. They are mandated to carry out site visits without prearranged appointments to inspect safe work situations, working hours, construction safety, or any aspect of accident risks. The inspectors are also mandated to verify the existence of sufficient occupational health services as prescribed by the Occupational Health Services Act for all employees. The occupational health services are typically provided by enterprise-owned medical departments, by mutually owned health care centers, by private practitioners, or by municipal health care centers. The latter are required by law to provide all services as prescribed by the legislation to anyone who comes to the facility. This situation is prevalent in the countryside, where there are very few private caregiving centers. Declaring occupational accidents and disease cases is mandatory, and the Inspection districts examine all accidents to establish causes and consequences, and to initiate prosecution in case of criminal negligence. Labour Inspection Districts are also notified of the new occupational disease cases as they are declared to insurance companies. Insurance for occupational disease, accidents, and death is an obligation of the employer, although they can choose the insurance company. The medical confidentiality between the workers and their occupational health care providers is very strict. Official statistics are maintained by the state Statistics Finland organization, and they may be used, for example, for research purposes by scientific institutes like the Finnish Institute of Occupational Health. Construction industry accounts for 25% of all fatal accidents (120 cases per 1 million working hours), followed by mechanical, wood, metal, machinery, and pulp and paper industry (10% each of fatal accidents) with rates ranging from 100–160 cases per 1 million working hours. There are some 5,000 occupational disease cases per year (rate 22/10,000 employed). The major disease categories include repetitive strain injuries (1,300 cases), respiratory allergies (600 cases), occupational skin diseases (1,000 cases), and 900 cases of noise-caused hearing loss. In 1998, 589 cases of asbestos-related diseases were reported.     

森林地表火蔓延模拟方法及其计算机实现

进行了森林火蔓延的研究,对传统的经验公式和模型进行改进,明显发现改进的模型有更好的结果,用计算机巧妙准确地实现了模拟模型,在风力不是特别大,地形变化不是特别剧烈时,该模型有较高精度;并结合火蔓延的主要因素（气象因子、气候、地形等）,进行系统分析,写出算地,编制实现地表火蔓延的预测预报计算机系统软件。这对于有效的组织扑救、减少火灾损失、计算森林火灾的损失评估有重要意义。     

公路隧道火灾逃生疏散研究

以苍岭隧道为背景,首先采用经验计算理论和计算软件building EXODUS相结合的方式,从被困人员的安全疏散时间、高温烟气的影响、隧道横通道的利用率以及人员的疏散行为特性进行了研究。结果表明:中小规模火灾情况下的安全疏散时间控制在8 min之内,高温烟气影响不大,但横通道的利用率不平均,且人员疏散路线相对集中。然后对存在的逃生疏散问题提出针对性建议以及其他相关建议,旨在为更大程度降低事故的严重性和经济财产损失。