The occurrence and bioavailability of radioactive 137Cs in small forest lakes in Southern Finland

Following the Chernobyl accident in late April 1986, central Finland was subjected to considerable radioactive fallout. The radioactive isotope of caesium, (137)Cs, was potentially the most harmful isotope in the fallout because of its long half-life (30 years). (137)Cs activities remained unexpectedly low within the biota (algae, zooplankton, aquatic moss, fish) of some humic forest lakes in southern Finland compared to the clear water lakes within the same district. This observation suggested that humic substances, by binding (137)Cs chemically, may reduce its bioavailability in lake water. Our laboratory experiments (throughflow systems; gel chromatography) demonstrated that binding of (137)Cs by humic substances was negligible in untreated lake waters; only when most of the alkali metals had been removed with an ion exchange resin was any binding of (137)Cs by low molecular humic fractions apparent. Instead, the concentrations of cations (especially potassium) were of overwhelming importance for the bioavailability of (137)Cs within the lacustrine ecosystems. The concentrations of (137)Cs within food chains are expected to stay at a high level for many years especially in lakes with long water renewal times.     

Radiocaesium from Chernobyl in Swedish moose

The (137)Cs activity concentrations of muscle samples taken from moose collected from the central part of Sweden were determined. Pre-Chernobyl samples had a mean (137)Cs activity concentration of 23 Bq kg(-1). Samples collected during the hunting season (mainly October) had, on average, 760 Bq kg(-1) in 1986 and 664 Bq kg(-1) in 1987. No significant differences between various muscles (neck, thigh and leg) could be seen. The correlation between ground deposition of (137)Cs and activity concentration in moose muscle was significant. There seems, however, to be other important parameters. One is the percentage of farmland within the home range of the moose-less farmland gives higher (137)Cs activity concentrations.     

Transfer of radioactive caesium from soil to vegetation and comparison with potassium in upland grasslands

The distribution and transfer of caesium and potassium between soils and vegetation has been investigated by field sampling and experimental studies on soils and vegetation typical of upland grassland in north west England. Total (137)Cs content to a depth of 0.05 m below root matt ranged from 13 000 to 18 000 Bq m(-2). This caesium content derives from three sources: the Windscale accident of 1957, weapons-testing fallout which peaked in the early 1960s, and the Chernobyl accident in May 1986. From 2200 to 6200 Bq m(-2) is attributed to the first two sources, and the remainder to Chernobyl. In December 1986, 23-78% of pre-Chernobyl (137)Cs was associated with soil underlying root matt and 0.5-5.5% was associated with vegetation. Plant/soil concentration ratios for pre-Chernobyl (137)Cs were in the range 0.5-6.5, the lowest values being associated with patches of Festuca/Agrostis turf. At the same time, 4-19% of (137)Cs deposited from Chernobyl was associated with vegetation, although higher values appeared in conjunction with the moss, Polytrichum commune. Corresponding total potassium contents were in the range 9.6-22 mg m(-2) to 0.05 m soil depth. Lower values were found at the wetter sites where, on average, 5.7% of the total potassium was present in vegetation. At drier sites the potassium content was higher and, on average, 8.9% was present in vegetation. Plant/soil concentration ratios ranged from 2.2 to 9.2. During accelerated growth of vegetation, on monoliths in glasshouse conditions over the winter of 1986/87, (137)Cs was transferred from soil and root matt to new growth, such that concentrations in fresh growth were similar to or higher than those observed in the field during December 1986. Removal of caesium by successive cuts resulted in up to 25% of the original estimated total being removed over a 240 day period. Increased concentrations coincided with the emergence of Carex sp. and Trichophorum caespitosum, as well as the development of Agrostis sp. and Festuca ovina. Observed Cs/K discrimination ratios, particularly for (137)Cs deposited from Chernobyl, were higher than previously reported in the literature. The experimental results were confirmed by field observations during spring 1987 and it is concluded that caesium deposited as a result of the Chernobyl accident will continue to be recycled in organic and low potassium soils.     

A study of polonium-210 distribution aspects in the riverine ecosystem of Kaveri, Tiruchirappalli, India

Distribution of a natural radionuclide (210Po) in water, sediment and biota was quantified along a 95 km reach of the Kaveri River, India. It is observed that the soft tissues of animals concentrated a higher level of 210Po than the hard parts like shell and bone. The ranges of 210Po activity in biological samples were 2.32-10.78 Bq kg(-1) wet (aquatic weeds), 18.94-28.55 Bq kg(-1) wet (plankton), 32.51 to 46.17 Bq kg(-1) wet (snail), 57.42 to 105.78 Bq kg(-1) wet (bivalve), 12.13 to 19.10 Bq kg(-1) wet (prawn) and 1.86 to 4.17 Bq kg(-1) wet (fish). The concentration factors (CFs) for the aquatic organisms ranged from 10(3) to 10(4), indicating a high affinity of 210Po for organic moieties. The bivalve mollusc, Lamellidens marginalis, accumulated higher concentrations of 210Po, suggesting that it could serve as a biomonitor of 210Po radionuclide in riverine systems. Further, the levels of 210Po in water, sediment and biological samples from impoundments were higher than those from stations located in the open river. This may be largely due to aerial inputs of the radionuclide, accumulation of radionucliderich silt and organic matter, and increased biological production in the impounded water body.     

Artificial radioactivity in environmental media (air, rainwater, soil, vegetation) in Austria after the Fukushima nuclear accident

Several environmental media in Austria were monitored for artificial radionuclides released during the Fukushima nuclear accident. Air (up to 1.2 mBq/m³ particulate ¹³¹I) and rainwater (up to 5.2 Bq/L ¹³¹I) proved to be the media best suited for the environmental monitoring, allowing also a temporal resolution of the activity levels. Significant regional differences in the wet deposition of ¹³¹I with rain could be observed within the city of Vienna during the arrival of the contaminated air masses. Forward-trajectory analysis supported the hypothesis that the contaminated air masses coming from the northwest changed direction to northeast over Northern Austria, leading to a strong activity concentration gradient over Vienna. In the course of the environmental monitoring of the Fukushima releases, this phenomenon—significant differences of ¹³¹I activity concentrations in rainwater on a narrow local scale (8.1 km)—appears to be unique. Vegetation (grass) was contaminated with ¹³¹I and/or ¹³⁷Cs at a low level. Soil (up to 22 Bq/kg ¹³⁷Cs) was only affected by previous releases (nuclear weapon tests, Chernobyl). Here, also significant local differences can be observed due to different deposition rates during the Chernobyl accident. The effective ecological half-lives of ¹³⁷Cs in soil were calculated for four locations in Austria. They range from 7 to 30 years. No Austrian sample investigated herein exceeded the detection limit for ¹³⁴Cs; hence, the Fukushima nuclear accident did not contribute significantly to the total radiocesium inventory in Austrian environmental media. The levels of detected radioactivity were of no concern for public health.     

Lake acidity and mercury content of fish in Darwin National Reserve, Russia

Darwin National Reserve is a protected natural area on the north-west shore of the Rybinsk Reservoir, 350 km north of Moscow. In June 1989, six lakes in the Reserve and the reservoir were surveyed to assess lake acidity and the mercury content of perch, Perca fluviatilis. Five were seepage lakes with no permanent inlets or outlets and one was a drainage lake with both an inlet and an outlet. The seepage lakes were acidic (mean pH 4.6-4.8) and varied in colour from 20 to 200 Hazen units. The drainage lake and reservoir were alkaline (mean pH 8.0-8.1) and colour spanned a similar range. The mean mercury content of perch dorsal epaxial muscle ranged from 0.5 to 1.1 microg g(-1) wet weight in the five acidic lakes and from 0.1 to 0.2 microg g(-1) in the alkaline lakes. Fish mercury content was negatively correlated with lake pH (r=-0.93, P=0.002) if all waters were considered together, and positively correlated with apparent colour (r=0.91, P=0.03) in the seepage lakes.     

Reproductive status, blood chemistry, gill histology and growth of perch (Perca fluviatilis) in three acidic lakes

Perch (Perca fluviatilis L.) were sampled soon after spawning in three small acidic lakes (pH 4.3-6.1, Al(lab) 5-106 microg litre(-1), Ca2+ 0.01-0.08 mmol litre(-1)) and in one circumneutral lake (pH 5.9-6.4, Al(lab) 4-12 microg litre(-1), Ca2+ 0.06-0.07 mmol litre(-1)) in southern Finland. Due to the delayed spawning of perch in the acidic lakes, sampling in those lakes was performed later than in the reference lake. In spite of that, the gonadosomatic index (GSI) of males in all the acidic lakes was significantly greater than in the reference lake. Of the two lakes with similar low water pH, the effects on reproduction were more prominent in the lake with higher water Al content. The plasma Ca2+ concentrations of females in the acidic lakes were significantly smaller than in the females of the reference lake. The low female:male plasma Ca2+ ratio (1.0-1.32) depicted delay of spawning. Stress in perch in acidic water was also seen in elevated blood haematocrit values, especially in females. On the other hand, a low plasma Cl- level, a common response to acidic water in salmonids, was not detected in perch in the most acidic lakes. The amount of Al accumulated in the gill epithelium was highest in the most acidified lake with high Al concentration, but was also pronounced in a lake with low pH and low Al concentration.     

Lower variability of radionuclide activities in upland dairy products compared to soils and vegetation: implication for environmental survey

Contamination of the environment by radionuclides is usually estimated using soil and grass sampling. However, radionuclides are often not homogeneously distributed in soils. In the alpine Mercantour region (Western Alps, France) a large heterogeneity in Chernobyl 137Cs deposition has been previously observed. Here we report additional 137Cs results together with new 90Sr and Pu data for soil, grass, milk, and cheese samples. The results show that radioisotopes from nuclear weapons tests fallout are more homogeneously distributed than Chernobyl 137Cs. Further, we observe that the 137Cs and 90Sr contents are less variable in milk samples than in grass or soil samples. This can be attributed to the homogenization effect of cow vagrancy during grazing. Hence milk seems to be a more robust sample than soil or grass to evaluate the extent of contamination on a regional scale. We explore this idea by comparing own unpublished 90Sr results and 90Sr results from the literature to establish the relationship between altitude of grazing and contamination of soil and milk for Western Europe. There is a significant positive correlation between soil contamination and altitude and an even closer correlation between milk 90Sr activity (A) and altitude (h): A = A0 + e(k x h) where A0 is the expected activity of milk sampled at sea level (A0 = 0.064 +/- 0.014 Bq g(-1) Ca) and h is the altitude of grazing, k being a constant (k = 0.95 x 10(-3) +/- 0.11 x 10(-3) m(-1) Bq g(-1) Ca). The fact that there is less scattering in the relationship for the 90Sr(milk)-altitude than for 90Sr(soil)-altitude suggests, again, that milk is a well-suited sample for environmental survey. The relationship between the altitude of grazing and the 90Sr content of milk and cheese can also be used to assess the authenticity of dairy products.     

Accumulation history of radionuclides in the lichen Stereocaulon vesuvianum from Mt. Vesuvius (south Italy)

The fruticose lichen Stereocaulon vesuvianum, growing on the slopes of Mt. Vesuvius (south Italy), was used as a biomonitor of 134Cs, 137Cs, 103Ru and 106Ru derived from the April 26 1986 Chernobyl nuclear reactor accident. Samples were taken at five different quotes (370, 490, 580, 780 and 960 m a.s.l.) and four successive dates (October 1986, December 1986, October 1987 and May 1999). At the first sampling, the concentrations (as Bq kg(-1) dry weight) ranged between 460 and 1020 for 134Cs, 1330 and 2500 for 137Cs, 90 and 200 for 103Ru and 360 and 710 for 106Ru, values generally lower in respect to those measured in soil and higher plants. Of the total 137Cs measured only 14% was due to 1950s and 1960s nuclear weapons tests fallout. Highest average activities of all nuclides were observed at the quote of 960 m and significant correlation (0.7相似文献   

Caesium concentration factors in wild herbivores and the fox (Vulpes vulpes L)

A selection of wild animals was sampled in the winter of 1986/87. The sites chosen for sampling were based on information obtained from survey carried out by The Institute of Terrestrial Ecology in the spring and autumn of 1986. Animals included deer, grouse, hares and rabbits, and foxes which were collected as a top carnivore in the food chain. Variation in concentration of caesium between species from the same area was unpredictable; rabbits, for instance, never exceeded 200 Bq kg(-1) (fresh wt) of (137)Cs in their flesh, even when adjacent to deer forests with over 1000 Bq kg(-1) in the venison. The greatest complication grose from areas of peaty uplands where the pre-Chernobyl (137)Cs from weapons-testing was much higher than expected. This pre-Chernobyl contribution amounted to 630 Bq kg(-1) in a red grouse from the Pennines, and 650 Bq kg(-1) in a roe deer from near the Borders, being c. 60% of the total. Concentration factors were calculated using values from freshly ingested vegetation and tissues from individual animals. Significant differences in concentration factors were found depending on species, food, sex, breeding condition and age. Contrasting the decrease of the two caesium isotopes in roe deer from forestry on peat with those from woodlands on mineral soils, it appeared that after an initial fall in concentration, the only decrease thereafter occurred on the mineral soils. Nowhere were radiocaesium concentrations high enough to cause concern amongst consumers of game and other wild animals, even when levels exceed 3000 Bq kg(-1) (fresh wt) as they did in red deer, red grouse and the blue hare.     

Sediment accumulation of organic halogens in pristine forest lakes

Sediment accumulation of organic halogen was studied in two forest lakes, one pristine and one which received 30 m³ of biologically purified bleaching wastewater from a kraft pulp mill in 1979 equivalent to ca. 2 kg of adsorbable organic halogen (AOX). Lake sediments were dated with²¹⁰Pb,¹³⁴Cs and¹³⁷Cs and the annual deposition rates of organic halogens and organic matter were calculated. Organic bound halogen contents of the sediment aged 150 years was 180 μg Cl g^?1 d.w. in both lakes. The concentration of organic bound halogen at the topmost 6 cm of the sediments (less than 20-years-old) ranged from 45 to 80 μg Cl g^?1 d.w. This suggests that solvent extractable halogen had enriched in the older sediment layers. The deposition of extractable organic halogen (EOX) in the lakes in 1950’s was 4 to 5 mg Cl m^?2 a^?1. Since then, the depositon of EOX doubled in both lakes. The deposition of organic matter increased concomitantly from 50 g m^?2 a^?1 to 110 g m^?2 a^?1 in Lake Mustalampi and from 35 g m^?2 a^?1 to 62 g m^?2 a^?1 in Lake Pyylampi suggesting that the increase in the deposition of organic halogen followed the increase in the deposition of organic matter. Of the 2 kg of organic halogen discharged into the lake, 5% or less was detected in the sediment in tetrahydrofuran extractable form 15 years later.     

Changes in the density, population structure, growth and reproduction of perch, Perca fluviatilis L. in two acidic forest lakes in southern Finland

The density of the perch populations decreased rapidly during the 1980s in two acidified lakes in southern Finland. In an acid-humic lake the density of the perch population decreased from 240 to 60 ha(-1) and in an acid clearwater lake from 150 to 20 ha(-1). In both lakes the rapid decrease was mainly due to failures in reproduction, although post-spawning mortality of adult fish was also recorded. The perch spawned annually in both lakes but according to the field exposures of egg strands, most of the eggs died before hatching. Nevertheless, some new recruits appeared in both lakes. These perch, born in 1983-1986, grew faster than those of the more abundant year-classes of the late 1970s, indicating a clear density-dependent growth response. According to the mortality estimate and the age distribution of perch, the latest year-classes that produced more than 100 adult perch ha(-1) were born in 1978 or 1979 in both lakes. It was calculated that the density of both populations was >500 ha(-1) in the early 1980s.     

Global fallout Pu recorded in lacustrine sediments in Lake Hongfeng, SW China

Studies on the distribution and isotope compositions of fallout Pu are important for source characterization of possible future non-fallout Pu contamination in aquatic environments, and useful for dating of recent sediments to understand the pollution history of environmental contaminants. We present the historical record of atmospheric Pu fallout reconstructed from a sediment core from Lake Hongfeng, China. The Pu activity profile was in agreement with the 137Cs profile. Inventories were 50.7 Bq m(-2) for 239+240Pu and 1586 Bq m(-2) for 137Cs. The average 240Pu/239Pu atom ratio was 0.185+/-0.009, indicating that Pu originated from global stratospheric fallout rather than from direct tropospheric or close-in fallout from the Chinese nuclear testing conducted in the 1970s. Our data suggested that Lake Hongfeng would be an ideal setting for monitoring atmospheric fallout and environmental changes in this region.     

Reactive barriers for 137Cs retention

137Cs was dispersed globally by cold war activities and, more recently, by the Chernobyl accident. Engineered extraction of 137Cs from soils and groundwaters is exceedingly difficult. Because the half-life of 137Cs is only 30.2 years, remediation might be more effective (and less costly) if 137Cs bioavailability could be demonstrably limited for even a few decades by use of a reactive barrier. Essentially permanent isolation must be demonstrated in those few settings where high nuclear level wastes contaminated the environment with 135Cs (half-life 2.3 x 10(6) years) in addition to 137Cs. Clays are potentially a low-cost barrier to Cs movement, though their long-term effectiveness remains untested. To identify optimal clays for Cs retention, Cs desorption was measured for five common clays: Wyoming Montmorillonite (SWy-1), Georgia Kaolinites (KGa-1 and KGa-2), Fithian Illite (F-Ill), and K-Metabentonite (K-Mbt). Exchange sites were pre-saturated with 0.16 M CsCl for 14 days and readily exchangeable Cs was removed by a series of LiNO3 and LiCl washes. Washed clays were then placed into dialysis bags and the Cs release to the deionized water outside the bags measured. Release rates from 75 to 139 days for SWy-1, K-Mbt and F-Ill were similar; 0.017% to 0.021% sorbed Cs released per day. Both kaolinites released Cs more rapidly (0.12% to 0.05% of the sorbed Cs per day). In a second set of experiments, clays were Cs-doped for 110 days and subjected to an extreme and prolonged rinsing process. All the clays exhibited some capacity for irreversible Cs uptake. However, the residual loading was greatest on K-Mbt (approximately 0.33 wt.% Cs). Thus, this clay would be the optimal material for constructing artifical reactive barriers.     

Ecological half-life of caesium in roe deer (Capreolus capreolus)

Biological half-lives for various radionuclides have been determined for many animals kept in the laboratory or under controlled conditions. Only occasionally has been it possible to determine the ecological half-lives of radionuclides in wild animals, where the contamination has occurred in their natural habitats. Following the fallout from the Chernobyl accident and its subsequent ingestion by wildlife, no one knew how long it would take the wild animals to eliminate the radionuclides, and in particular radiocaesium, from their bodies. In this study of roe deer (Capreolus capreolus), bucks (males)were shot at weekly/fortnightly intervals from mid-May till the end of July, as part of the annual cull on an area, which included some young forestry (Stone Chest-National Grid Reference NY48090), planted in 1971/72. The ration of 137Cs:134Cs, typical of the Chernobyl fallout, was seldom observed in these animals due to the highly variable concentrations of 137Cs originating from bomb fallout. Therefore, 134Cs was used instead because its presence was almost entirely due to the Chernobyl fallout. After using log10 transformation of the 134Cs concentrations, a significant (p < 0.01) regression was obtained which accounted for 85% of the variation. From the regression, the ecological half-life for 134Cs was found to be 28.3 days.     

Monitoring of persistent organic pollutants (POPs): examples from Lake Vättern, Sweden

Lake V?ttern in southern Sweden is a large oligotrophic lake with high surface to catchment area ratio (ca. 0.4) and a water residence time of 60 years. The lake combines sensitivity to atmospheric POP-pollution with general susceptibility for effects of POPs and slow concentration decline. Time series, from the 1960s until 1996, of PCBs and DDT in fish and data on TCDD in sediment of L. V?ttern are presented and compared to other large lakes. The long time dataset of POPs in Arctic char (Salvelinus salvelinus) shows a significant annual decline of about 5% for PCBs and 13% for DDT. These rates are in agreement with other studies. Nutrients as well as biological effects and factors affecting the fate of POPs in oligotrophic lakes with long residence times are discussed. We propose that oligotrophic clear lakes are important ecosystems for monitoring POPs in biota.     

Derivation of soil to plant transfer factors of radiocesium in Northern Greece after the Chernobyl accident, and comparison with greenhouse experiments

Radiocesium contamination of cereals, due to the Chernobyl accident, was systematically studied in two selected experimental agricultural farms in Northern Greece for the years 1987, 1988 and 1989. Radiocesium contamination of all annual crops is very low, of the order of 1 Bq kg(-1), and appears to be, for the first 3 years after the Chernobyl accident, time independent, the differences lying within the experimental error. Transfer factors, relating radiocesium deposition to contamination of crops, are deduced from the experimental results. Results are also discussed in the framework of UNSCEAR's empirical model, and the corresponding parameters are deduced. In addition, greenhouse experiments show that the obtained Transfer Factors are independent of the initial radiocesium deposition and that radiocesium from the Chernobyl fallout behaves differently from usual experimental sources, such as (137)CsCl.     

Bioaccumulation of decamethylcyclopentasiloxane in perch in Swedish lakes

Decamethylcyclopentasiloxane (D5), a high production volume chemical used in personal care products, enters the environment both via air and sewage treatment plant (STP) recipients. It has been found in fish, and there is concern that it may be a bioaccumulative substance. In this work D5 was analyzed in perch from six Swedish lakes that did not receive STP effluent, and in perch and sediment from six lakes that received STP effluent. In the lakes receiving the STP effluent, the D5 concentrations in sediment varied over three orders of magnitude and were correlated with the number of persons connected to the STP normalized to the surface area of the receiving body. In the lakes not receiving effluent, the D5 levels in perch were all below the LOQ, while D5 was above the LOQ in almost all perch from lakes that received effluent. The D5 concentrations in perch and sediment from the lakes receiving STP effluent were correlated. This shows that STP effluent is a much more important source of D5 to aquatic ecosystems than atmospheric deposition, and that the risk of adverse effects of D5 on aquatic life will be greatest in small recipients receiving large amounts of STP effluent. The bioaccumulation of D5 was compared to that of PCB 180 on the basis of multimedia bioaccumulation factors (mmBAFs), which describe the fraction of the contaminant present in the whole aquatic environment (i.e. water and surface sediment) that is transferred to the fish. In four of the six lakes the mmBAF of D5 was >0.3 of the mmBAF of PCB 180. Given that PCB 180 is a known highly bioaccumulative chemical, this indicates that the bioaccumulation of D5 in perch is considerable.     

The reactor accident at chernobyl: A possibility to test colloid-controlled transport of radionuclides in a shallow aquifer

Radioactive fall-out from the damaged nuclear power station at Chernobyl (USSR) has been measured in May 1986 in the River Glatt (Zürich, Switzerland) and in a shallow groundwater stream. This aquifer is hydraulically connected to the river and recharged by river water. Ruthenium-103, I-131, Te-132, Cs-134 and Cs-137 were measured several times using gamma-ray spectroscopy. By filtration through 0.45 μm, 0.2 μm and 0.05 μm filters the radionuclides were partitioned between solution (filtrate < 0.05 μm) and particles/colloids.In the river, the main radioactivity for all the investigated nuclides was found in the water passing the 0.05 μm filter. Among the particulates the highest radioactivity was detected in the fraction > 0.45 μm, the two smaller sizes contributing only little.In the water infiltrating into the groundwater Ru-103, I-131 and Te-132 were found almost exclusively in the filtrate (< 0.05 μm). No Cs-134, 137 was detected in this fraction indicating complete sorption on the aquifer material during infiltration. Only a very small radioactivity was found on colloids > 0.05 μm suggesting their retention by the heterogeneous glaciofluvial outwash deposits (stones, gravel, sand, clays).     

Mercury in sediment and fish communities of Lake Vänern, Sweden: recovery from contamination

The past effluents of mercury (Hg) into Lake V?nern were considerable. The consequences of, and recovery from these have been monitored through continuous measurements of mercury in sediment and fish. Mercury levels in lake sediments in the vicinity of the main source of mercury, a chloralkali plant on the northern shore, have only decreased by slightly more than a half since the mid-1970s, despite a radical decrease in effluents from the source, already during the 1960s. The mercury levels in pike (Esox lucius) have decreased to a similar extent during this time period. They are now about 30% higher in the worst affected parts of the lake compared to the least affected parts. Lower levels have been measured in perch (Perca fluviatilis) and salmonoid fish in the lake. Despite the increased presence of mercury in the sediment of Lake V?nern, the mercury levels in the fish of the lake are relatively low compared to fish in lakes situated in the same region, but not affected by any local mercury effluents. As calculated, the total fish biomass of L. V?nern holds less than 1000th of the amount of mercury contained in the upper, biologically active layers of the bottom sediment of the lake. This demonstrates the potential influence of various environmental factors and motivates continued monitoring of mercury levels in the lake in the future.