Climate Change and Mitigation

Planet Earth has experienced repeated changes of its climate throughout time. Periods warmer than today as well as much colder, during glacial episodes, have alternated. In our time, rapid population growth with increased demand for natural resources and energy, has made society increasingly vulnerable to environmental changes, both natural and those caused by man; human activity is clearly affecting the radiation balance of the Earth. In the session “Climate Change and Mitigation” the speakers offered four different views on coal and CO₂: the basis for life, but also a major hazard with impact on Earth’s climate. A common denominator in the presentations was that more than ever science and technology is required. We need not only understand the mechanisms for climate change and climate variability, we also need to identify means to remedy the anthropogenic influence on Earth’s climate.     

Projecting Climate Change Effects on Forest Net Primary Productivity in Subtropical Louisiana,USA

This study projected responses of forest net primary productivity (NPP) to three climate change scenarios at a resolution of 5 km × 5 km across the state of Louisiana, USA. In addition, we assessed uncertainties associated with the NPP projection at the grid and state levels. Climate data of the scenarios were derived from Community Climate System Model outputs. Changes in annual NPP between 2000 and 2050 were projected with the forest ecosystem model PnET-II. Results showed that forest productivity would increase under climate change scenarios A1B and A2, but with scenario B1, it would peak during 2011–2020 and then decline. The projected average NPP under B1 over the years from 2000 to 2050 was significantly different from those under A1B and A2. Forest NPP appeared to be primarily a function of temperature, not precipitation. Uncertainties of the NPP projection were due to large spatial resolution of the climate variables. Overall, this study suggested that in order to project effects of climate change on forest ecosystem at regional level, modeling uncertainties could be reduced by increasing the spatial resolution of the climate projections.     

Atmospheric Chemistry of Toxic Contaminants 1. Reaction Rates and Atmospheric Persistence

Using structure-reactivity relationships between reaction rate constants and ionlzatlon potentials for structural homologues, estimates are presented for the rate constants of the reactions of ozone, the hydroxyl radical, and the nitrate radical with forty toxic air contaminants for which no or little data are available. These rate constants are in turn used to estimate the atmospheric persistence of saturated allphatics, unsaturated allphatics, and aromatic toxic organics. The corresponding atmospheric half-lives for removal by chemical reactions range from a few hours for the most reactive toxics (chloroprene, hexachlorocyclo-pentadiene, cresols, nitrosamines, maleic anhydride) to several months for the least reactive compounds (nitrobenzene, methyl bromide, phosgene).     

Global Climate Change and Sustainable Development

A simple low cost contact closure circuit has been developed to control an array of instruments for atmospheric trace species measurements. The modular design allows reconfiguration of existing instrumentation, addition of new instruments and troubleshooting, with minimum interruption to the ongoing measurements.     

Arctic Climate Change,Economy and Society (ACCESS): Integrated perspectives

This introduction to the special issue presents an overview of the wide range of results produced during the European Union project Arctic Climate Change, Economy and Society (ACCESS). This project assessed the main impacts of climate change on Arctic Ocean’s geophysical variables and how these impending changes could be expected to impact directly and indirectly on socio-economic activities like transportation, marine sea food production and resource exploitation. Related governance issues were examined. These results were used to develop several management tools that can live on beyond ACCESS. In this article, we synthesize most of the project results in the form of tentative responses to questions raised during the project. By doing so, we put the findings of the project in a broader perspective and introduce the contributions made in the different articles published in this special issue.     

When Ecosystem Services Crash: Preparing for Big,Fast, Patchy Climate Change

Assessments of adaptation options generally focus on incremental, homogeneous ecosystem responses to climate even though climate change impacts can be big, fast, and patchy across a region. Regional drought-induced tree die-off in semiarid woodlands highlights how an ecosystem crash fundamentally alters most ecosystem services and poses management challenges. Building on previous research showing how choice of location is linked to adaptive capacity and vulnerability, we developed a framework showing how the options for retaining desired ecosystem services in the face of sudden crashes depend on how portable the service is and whether the stakeholder is flexible with regard to the location where they receive their services. Stakeholders using portable services, or stakeholders who can move to other locations to obtain services, may be more resilient to ecosystem crashes. Our framework suggests that entering into cooperative networks with regionally distributed stakeholders is key to building resilience to big, fast, patchy crashes.     

Atmospheric Chemistry of Toxic Contaminants. 3. Unsaturated Aliphatics: Acrolein,Acrylonitrile, Maleic Anhydride

Detailed mechanisms are outlined for the chemical reactions that contribute to In-situ formation and atmospheric removal of the unsaturated aliphatic contaminants acrolein, acrylonitrile, and maleic anhydride. In-situ formation of small amounts of acrolein and maleic anhydride may Involve the reaction of OH (and O₃) with 1,3-dienes and the reaction of OH with aromatic hydrocarbons, respectively. There is no known pathway for In-situ formation of acrylonitrile. Rapid removal of acrolein (half-life = less than one day) and of maleic anhydride (half-life = several hours) is expected from their rapid reactions with OH (major), O₃, and NO₃. These reactions lead to formaldehyde and glyoxal from acrolein and to dicarbonyls from maleic anhydride. Acrylonitrile is removed at a slower rate (half-life = 2–7 days) by reaction with OH, leading to formaldehyde and formyl cyanide.     

Opinions and Knowledge About Climate Change Science in High School Students

This study investigates the influence of knowledge on opinions about climate change in the emerging adults’ age group (16–17 years). Furthermore, the effects of a lecture in climate change science on knowledge and opinions were assessed. A survey was conducted in Austria and Denmark on 188 students in national and international schools before and after a lecture in climate change science. The results show that knowledge about climate change science significantly affects opinions about climate change. Students with a higher number of correct answers are more likely to have the opinion that humans are causing climate change and that both individuals and governments are responsible for addressing climate change. The lecture in climate change science significantly improved knowledge development but did not affect opinions. Knowledge was improved by 11 % after the lecture. However, the percentage of correct answers was still below 60 % indicating an urgent need for improving climate change science education.     

Prospects for Future Climate Change and the Reasons for Early Action

Abstract

Combustion of coal, oil, and natural gas, and to a lesser extent deforestation, land-cover change, and emissions of halocarbons and other greenhouse gases, are rapidly increasing the atmospheric concentrations of climate-warming gases. The warming of approximately 0.1–0.2 °C per decade that has resulted is very likely the primary cause of the increasing loss of snow cover and Arctic sea ice, of more frequent occurrence of very heavy precipitation, of rising sea level, and of shifts in the natural ranges of plants and animals. The global average temperature is already approximately 0.8 °C above its preindustrial level, and present atmospheric levels of greenhouse gases will contribute to further warming of 0.5–1 °C as equilibrium is re-established. Warming has been and will be greater in mid and high latitudes compared with low latitudes, over land compared with oceans, and at night compared with day. As emissions continue to increase, both warming and the commitment to future warming are presently increasing at a rate of approximately 0.2 °C per decade, with projections that the rate of warming will further increase if emission controls are not put in place. Such warming and the associated changes are likely to result in severe impacts on key societal and environmental support systems. Present estimates are that limiting the increase in global average surface temperature to no more than 2–2.5 °C above its 1750 value of approximately 15 °C will be required to avoid the most catastrophic, but certainly not all, consequences of climate change. Accomplishing this will require reducing emissions sharply by 2050 and to near zero by 2100. This can only be achieved if: (1) developed nations move rapidly to demonstrate that a modern society can function without reliance on technologies that release carbon dioxide (CO₂) and other non-CO₂ greenhouse gases to the atmosphere; and (2) if developing nations act in the near-term to sharply limit their non-CO₂ emissions while minimizing growth in CO₂ emissions, and then in the long-term join with the developed nations to reduce all emissions as cost-effective technologies are developed.     

Atmospheric Chemistry of Toxic Contaminants. 6. Nitrosamines: Dialkyl Nitrosamines and Nitrosomorpholine

Detailed mechanisms are outlined for the reactions that contribute to in-sltu formation and atmospheric removal of dlmethylnitrosamine, diethylnitrosamlne, methyl-ethylnltrosamine, and nitrosomorphollne. In-sltu formation involves the rapid reaction of amines with the hydroxyl radical, leading to nltrosamlnes, nltramlnes, amides, and aldehydes. Nitrosamlne photolysis accounts for their rapid daytime removal, leading to amlno radicals whose atmospheric reactions are also discussed.     

Atmospheric Chemistry of Toxic Contaminants. 5. Unsaturated Halogenated Aliphatics: Allyl Chloride,Chloroprene, Hexachlorocyclopentadiene,Vinylidene Chloride

Detailed mechanisms are outlined for the chemical reactions involved In the atmospheric removal of four unsaturated chlorinated aliphatic contaminants, allyl chloride, chloroprene, hexachlorocyclopentadiene and vlnylldene chloride. Rate constants estimated from structure-reactivity relationships Indicate rapid removal for all four compounds by reactions with OH (major), ozone, and NO₃, with half-lives of 2-16 hrs for removal by reaction with OH. Reaction products of allyl chloride (formaldehyde, chloroacetaldehyde, peroxychloroacetyl nitrate) and vinylidene chloride (formaldehyde, phosgene, chloroacetyl chloride) are consistent with OH addition-Initiated pathways that include Cl atom elimination. The chlorine atoms produced In the OH reaction sequence react rapidly with all four unsaturated compounds, but these reactions are of negligible Importance for atmospheric removal of the four toxic contaminants studied. Analogous mechanisms are discussed for chloroprene (leading to formaldehyde, CH₂ = CCICHO, and CICOCHO) and for hexachlorocyclopentadlene (leading to oxalyl chloride and CICOCCI₂COCI).     

Effects of Aerosol Species on Atmospheric Visibility in Kaohsiung City,Taiwan

Abstract

Visibility data collected from Kaohsiung City, Taiwan, for the past two decades indicated that the air pollutants have significantly degraded visibility in recent years. During our study period, the seasonal mean visibilities in spring, summer, fall, and winter were only 5.4, 9.1, 8.2, and 3.4 km, respectively. To ascertain how urban aerosols influence the visibility, we conducted concurrent visibility monitoring and aerosol sampling in 1999 to identify the principal causes of visibility impairments in the region. In this study, ambient aerosols were sampled and analyzed for 11 constituents, including water-soluble ions and carbon materials, to investigate the chemical composition of Kaohsiung aerosols. Stepwise regression method was used to correlate the impact of aerosol species on visibility impairments. Both seasonal and diurnal variation patterns were found from the monitoring of visibility. Our results showed that light scattering was attributed primarily to aerosols with sizes that range from 0.26 to 0.90 μm, corresponding with the wavelength region of visible light, which accounted for ～72% of the light scattering coefficient. Sulfate was a dominant component that affected both the light scattering coefficient and the visibility in the region. On average, (NH₄)₂SO₄, NH₄NO₃, total carbon, and fine particulate matter (PM_2.5)-remainder contributed 53%, 17%, 16%, and 14% to total light scattering, respectively. An empirical regression model of visibility based on sulfate, elemental carbon, and humidity was developed, and the comparison indicated that visibility in an urban area could be properly simulated by the equation derived herein.     

Physiological and Biochemical Effects of Atmospheric Oxidants on Plants

Photochemically produced oxidants in the atmosphere cause injury to plants primarily through inhibition of basic metabolic processes. Plants vary in their response to the oxidants and this variation must be dependent in part on the variation in metabolic activity with age or environmental conditions for growth, to a large degree not understood. Data are presented in this paper to show: (1) The changes in permeability of leaf tissue to exogenous substrate and in catabolic utilization of this substrate after exposure of plants to ozone but before visible symptoms appear; (2) The change in leaf carbohydrates as a result of exposure to ozone; (3) The protective effect of red light (700 mμ) during exposure of bean plants to peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN); (4) The correlation of sulfhydryl (SH) content in bean leaf tissue with age of plants and light regime; and (5) Effect of light regime and age of plants on incorporation of C¹⁴ from C¹⁴-PAN by bean leaf tissue.     

Climate Change and Population Growth in Timor Leste: Implications for Food Security

The climate in Timor Leste (East Timor) is predicted to become about 1.5 °C warmer and about 10 % wetter on average by 2050. By the same year, the population is expected to triple from 1 to 2.5–3 million. This article maps the predicted changes in temperature and rainfall and reviews the implications of climate change and population growth on agricultural systems. Improved cultivars of maize, rice, cassava, sweet potato and peanuts with high yield performance have been introduced, but these will need to be augmented in the future with better adapted cultivars and new crops, such as food and fodder legumes and new management practices. The requirements for fertilizers to boost yields and terracing and/or contour hedgerows to prevent soil erosion of steeply sloping terrain are discussed. Contour hedges can also be used for fodder for improved animal production to provide protein to reduce malnutrition.     

Fingerprinting Global Climate Change and Forest Management Within Rhizosphere Carbon and Nutrient Cycling Processes

As one of the two Principal Subject Editors for ESPR Subject Area 1 'Terrestrial Ecology and Biology / Soil and Sediments: Toxicology-related Subjects' (see pp 287-293), the senior author and his colleague, Dr Chen, present an example of sub-category 4 'Environmental studies of pesticides, air pollution, and management strategies for forestry and plant ecosystems'. Thereby, they inform the ESPR community about the new Australian research project concerning the fingerprints of global climate change (GCC) and forest management on rhizosphere carbon and nutrient cycling and, subsequently, present an overview on the GCC and forest management fingerprints.     

Using Available Information to Assess the Potential Effects of Climate Change on Vegetation in the High Arctic: North Billjefjorden, Central Spitsbergen (Svalbard)

We review the available data that can be used to assess the potential impact of climate change on vegetation, and we use central Spitsbergen, Svalbard, as a model location for the High Arctic. We used two sources of information: recent and short-term historical records, which enable assessment on scales of particular plant communities and the landscape over a period of decades, and palynological and macrofossil analyses, which enable assessment on time scales of hundreds and thousands of years and on the spatial scale of the landscape. Both of these substitutes for standardized monitoring revealed stability of vegetation, which is probably attributable to the harsh conditions and the distance of the area from sources of diaspores of potential new incomers. The only evident recent vegetation changes related to climate change are associated with succession after glacial retreats. By establishing a network of permanent plots, researchers will be able to monitor immigration of new species from diversity 'hot spots' and from an abandoned settlement nearby. This will greatly enhance our ability to understand the effects of climate change on vegetation in the High Arctic.     

Microphysical Effects on Cloud Water Acidity: A Case Study in a Nonprecipitating Cloud Event Observed at Mt. Mitchell,North Carolina

A workshop on solid waste facility siting was sponsored by the University of Tennessee's Waste Management Research and Education Institute on June 11, 1993, in Knoxville, Tennessee. Eighteen experts from around the country gathered at the workshop to engage in frank discussions of the current status of structured approaches to facility siting. Attendees represented federal and state government, academia, consulting firms, and private waste industry. The goals of the workshop were to: (1) identify trends in state approaches to solid waste disposal; (2) describe a few “model“ state frameworks for solid waste facility siting; and (3) assess what sort of local forum can most effectively respond to solid waste siting issues. This synthesis of topics discussed at the workshop reflects the views of the authors and not necessarily the group as a whole.