Terrestrial Carbon Dynamics: Case Studies in the Former Soviet Union,the Conterminous United States,Mexico and Brazil

This research assessed land-use impacts on C flux at a national level in four countries: former Soviet Union, United States, Mexico and Brazil, including biotic processes in terrestrial ecosystems (closed forests, woodlands, and croplands), harvest of trees for wood and paper products, and direct C emission from fires. The terrestrial ecosystems of the four countries contain approximately 40% of the world's terrestrial biosphere C pool, with the FSU alone having 27% of the global total. Average phytomass C densities decreased from south to north while average soil C densities in all three vegetation types generally increased from south to north. The C flux from land cover conversion was divided into a biotic component and a land-use component. We estimate that the total net biotic flux (Tg/yr) was positive (= uptake) in the FSU (631) and the U.S. (332), but negative in Mexico (−37) and Brazil (−16). In contrast, total flux from land use was negative (= emissions) in all four countries (TgC/yr): FSU −343; U.S. −243; Mexico −35; and Brazil −235. The total net effect of the biotic and land-use factors was a C sink in the FSU and the U.S. and a C source in both Brazil and Mexico. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Carbon Monitoring Costs and their Effect on Incentives to Sequester Carbon through Forestry

Technically, forestry projects have thepotential to contribute significantly tothe mitigation of global warming, but manysuch projects may not be economicallyattractive at current estimates of carbon(C) prices. Forest C is, in a sense, a newcommodity that must be measured toacceptable standards for the commodity toexist. This will require that credible Cmeasuring and monitoring procedures be inplace. The amount of sequestered C that canbe claimed by a project is normallyestimated based on sampling a number ofsmall plots, and the precision of thisestimate depends on the number of plotssampled and on the spatial variability ofthe site. Measuring C can be expensive andhence it is important to select anefficient C-monitoring strategy to makeprojects competitive in the C market. Thispaper presents a method to determinewhether a forestry project will benefitfrom C trading, and to find the optimalmanagement strategy in terms of forestcycle length and C-monitoring strategyA model of an Acacia mangiumplantation in southern Sumatra, Indonesiais used to show that forestry projects canbe economically attractive under a range ofconditions, provided that the project islarge enough to absorb fixed costs.Modeling results indicate that between 15and 38 Mg of Certified Emission Reductions(CERs) per hectare can be captured by thesimulated plantation under optimalmanagement, with optimality defined asmaximizing the present value of profitsobtained from timber and C. The optimalcycle length ranged from 12 to 16 years andthe optimal number of sample plots rangedfrom 0 to 30. Costs of C monitoring (inpresent-value terms) were estimated to bebetween 0.45 (Mg C)^-1 to 2.11 (MgC)^-1 depending on the spatialvariability of biomass, the variable costsof C monitoring and the discount rate.     

Carbon Management in Agricultural Soils

World soils have been a major source of enrichment of atmospheric concentration of CO₂ ever since the dawn of settled agriculture, about 10,000 years ago. Historic emission of soil C is estimated at 78 ± 12 Pg out of the total terrestrial emission of 136 ± 55 Pg, and post-industrial fossil fuel emission of 270 ± 30 Pg. Most soils in agricultural ecosystems have lost 50 to 75% of their antecedent soil C pool, with the magnitude of loss ranging from 30 to 60 Mg C/ha. The depletion of soil organic carbon (SOC) pool is exacerbated by soil drainage, plowing, removal of crop residue, biomass burning, subsistence or low-input agriculture, and soil degradation by erosion and other processes. The magnitude of soil C depletion is high in coarse-textured soils (e.g., sandy texture, excessive internal drainage, low activity clays and poor aggregation), prone to soil erosion and other degradative processes. Thus, most agricultural soils contain soil C pool below their ecological potential. Adoption of recommend management practices (e.g., no-till farming with crop residue mulch, incorporation of forages in the rotation cycle, maintaining a positive nutrient balance, use of manure and other biosolids), conversion of agriculturally marginal soils to a perennial land use, and restoration of degraded soils and wetlands can enhance the SOC pool. Cultivation of peatlands and harvesting of peatland moss must be strongly discouraged, and restoration of degraded soils and ecosystems encouraged especially in developing countries. The rate of SOC sequestration is 300 to 500 Kg C/ha/yr under intensive agricultural practices, and 0.8 to 1.0 Mg/ha/yr through restoration of wetlands. In soils with severe depletion of SOC pool, the rate of SOC sequestration with adoption of restorative measures which add a considerable amount of biomass to the soil, and irrigated farming may be 1.0 to 1.5 Mg/ha/yr. Principal mechanisms of soil C sequestration include aggregation, high humification rate of biosolids applied to soil, deep transfer into the sub-soil horizons, formation of secondary carbonates and leaching of bicarbonates into the ground water. The rate of formation of secondary carbonates may be 10 to 15 Kg/ha/yr, and the rate of leaching of bicarbonates with good quality irrigation water may be 0.25 to 1.0 Mg C/ha/yr. The global potential of soil C sequestration is 0.6 to 1.2 Pg C/yr which can off-set about 15% of the fossil fuel emissions.     

井冈山斗争时期和中央苏区时期红色歌谣的主要特征

井冈山斗争时期和中央苏区时期,因革命斗争的需要,诞生了大量的红色歌谣。这些红色歌谣是当时宣传革命、发动群众、瓦解敌军、鼓舞士气、凝聚军民力量的有力武器,具有较强的政治性。这些红色歌谣真实地记录了当时的斗争历程、生产生活场景及广大军民的价值追求、精神面貌、感情世界,体现出较强的实践性。这些红色歌谣创作、加工、流传的主体是广大人民群众,语言朴素,朗朗上口,体现出较强的大众性。这些红色歌谣有的是根据形势的发展需要,组织专门人才进行创作的,有的是对传统歌谣进行提升改造,赋予新的时代内涵,体现出较强的创新性。     

Potential and Cost of Carbon Sequestration in the Tanzanian Forest Sector

The forest sector in Tanzania offers ample opportunities to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and sequester carbon (C) in terrestrial ecosystems. More than 90% of the country's demand for primary energy is obtained from biomass mostly procured unsustainably from natural forests. This study examines the potential to sequester C through expansion of forest plantations aimed at reducing the dependence on natural forest for wood fuel production, as well as increase the country's output of industrial wood from plantations. These were compared ton conservationoptions in the tropical and miombo ecosystems. Three sequestrationoptions were analyzed, involving the establishment of short rotation and long rotation plantations on about 1.7 × 10⁶ hectares. The short rotation community forestry option has a potential to sequester an equilibrium amount of 197.4 × 10⁶ Mg C by 2024 at a net benefit of 79.5 × 10⁶, while yielding a NPV of 0.46 Mg^-1 C. The long rotation options for softwood and hardwood plantations will reach an equilibrium sequestration of 5.6 and 11.8 × 10⁶ Mg C at a negative NPV of 0.60 Mg^-1 C and 0.32 Mg^-1 C. The three options provide cost competitive opportunities for sequestering about 7.5 × 10⁶ Mg C yr^-1 while providing desired forest products and easing the pressure on the natural forests in Tanzania. The endowment costs of the sequestration options were all found to be cheaper than the emission avoidance cost for conservation options which had an average cost of 1.27 Mg^-1 C, rising to 7.5 Mg^-1 C under some assumptions on vulnerability to encroachment. The estimates shown here may represent the upper bound, because the actual potential will be influenced by market prices for inputs and forest products, land use policy constraints and the structure of global C transactions.     

Water metering policies in the former Soviet Union: lessons from Lviv,Ukraine

A study of the feasibility of installing domestic water meters in Lviv, Ukraine, was undertaken. A driving force behind the study was the key role that metering plays in determining optimal water demand management strategies. Because many laws, regulations, operations, and construction practices were standardized throughout the Soviet Union, domestic water metering strategies determined to be operable in Lviv may have some application to other former Soviet Union cities. Results indicate that, although water metering of individual apartment units in Lviv is not financially feasible when paid for by the water utility, water metering at the building level, when combined with other elements of demand management and cost recovery strategies, may enable local water infrastructure authorities to devise ways of putting their utilities on a financially sustainable basis.     

Policies,Measures and the Monitoring Needs of Forest Sector Carbon Mitigation

Forest sector mitigation options can be grouped into three categories: (1) management for carbon (C) conservation, (2) management for C storage, and (3) management for C substitution. The paper provides background information on the technical potential for C conservation and sequestration worldwide and the average costs of achieving it. It reviews policy measures that have been successfully applied at regional and project levels toward the reduction of atmospheric greenhouse gases. It also describes both national programs and jointly implemented international activities. The monitoring methods, and the items to monitor, differ across these categories. Remote sensing is a good approach for the monitoring of C conservation, but not for C substitution, which requires estimation of the fossil fuels that would be displaced and the continued monitoring of electricity generation sources. C storage, on the other hand, includes C in products which may be traded internationally. Their monitoring will require that bi- or multi-lateral protocols be set up for this purpose.     

中央苏区“抽多补少”、“抽肥补瘦”新论

中央苏区在土地分配过程中提出了抽多补少、抽肥补瘦的分配办法,并以此作为反富农的重要内容。但在中共中央看来,抽多补少、抽肥补瘦却是错误的富农路线;而苏区中央局则对这一分配办法先肯定后否定。中共中央和中央苏区的看法不同,反映了双方对反富农的认识不同,而苏区中央局的先肯定后否定,则折射出中央与地方之间的关系问题。     

Economic Assessment of Mitigation Options for Enhancing and Maintaining Carbon Sink Capacity in Indonesia

Land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) projects may becomeeligible under Article 12 of the United Nations Framework Convention onClimate Change (UNFCCC) Kyoto Protocol's Clean DevelopmentMechanism (CDM). Some of the issues, which need to be addressed,include identifying the types of greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation activitiesin LULUCF, which could be undertaken as CDM projects. Other issuesinvolve evaluating the mitigation potential and cost effectiveness of theactivities, as well as their likely socio-economic impacts and their influenceon the national carbon (C) stock. Three broad categories of mitigationactivities in LULUCF analyzed in this study include managing Cstorage, C conservation and carbon substitution. The C intensityof the activities was estimated to range from 37 to 218 Mg C per ha. The highest is in reforested land with slow growing species and the lowestin short-rotation plantations. At a real discount rate of 10%, investmentcosts required to implement the mitigation activities ranged from US$0.07 to 0.88 per Mg C, with life cycle costs ranging from US$ 0.07to 3.87 per Mg C, and benefits ranging from US$ –0.81 to 6.57 perMg C. Mitigation options with negative benefits are forest protection,reforestation, reduced impact logging and enhanced natural regeneration,while those with positive benefits are short rotation timber plantation, andbio-energy. Reforestation gave negative benefit since no revenue fromwood as trees are left in the forest for conservation, while Reduced ImpactLogging (RIL) and Enhanced Natural Regeneration (ENR)gave negative benefits because additional cost required to implement theoptions could not be compensated by the increase in round-hardwoodyield. Other factor is that the local price of round-hardwood is very low,i.e. US$ 160 per m³, while FOB price is between 250–400 US$ per m³. Total area available for implementing mitigationoptions (planting trees) in 1997 was 31 million hectares (× 10⁶ha) (about 40% are critical lands, 35% grasslands and 25%unproductive lands).Total area being considered for implementing the options under baseline,government-plans and mitigation scenarios in the period 2000–2030 is12.6, 16.3 and 23.6 × 10⁶ ha respectively. Furthermore, total area of production forest being considered for implementing reduced impactlogging and enrichment planting under the tree scenarios is 9, 26 and 16 × 10⁶ ha respectively, and that for forest protection is 2.1, 3.7, 3.1× 10⁶ ha respectively. The cumulative investment for implementingall mitigation activities in the three scenarios was estimated at 595, 892and 1026 million US$ respectively. National C stock under thebaseline scenario will continuously decline through 2030, while undergovernment-plans and mitigation scenarios the carbon stock increases. In2030, national C stock of the government and mitigation scenarios isalmost the same, 13% higher than that of baseline. However, the increasein national carbon stock in both scenarios could not offset carbon emissionsdue to deforestation.     

湖南省工业领域碳减排与空气质量改善协同

气候变暖和空气污染是我国当前面临的主要环境问题.综合使用中国碳核算数据库、能源经济模型和空气质量模型,研究我国湖南省工业领域潜在碳达峰路径及其空气质量协同改善增益.基于中国碳核算数据库和相关工业/能源统计年鉴分析指出,湖南省2019年CO₂排放总量为310.6 Mt,其中工业领域排放占比超70%,主要来自于电力、蒸汽、热力的生产和供应业,非金属矿物制品业及黑色金属的冶炼和压延业等行业.综合考虑未来各工业行业经济增长速率、能源技术进步程度和能源结构优化调整等因素,使用LEAP能源经济模型设置并分析了3种潜在的工业碳达峰情景,包括趋势照常情景（2030年达峰）、中度减排情景（2028年达峰）和强化减排情景（2025年达峰）.进一步结合人为源大气污染物排放清单和区域空气质量模型WRF-Chem,以排放行业-部门的同源对应关系为桥梁,模拟分析不同碳达峰路径下空气质量改善响应.结果指出,在3种碳达峰情景中,主要大气污染物浓度均有所降低,长株潭地区尤为显著;强化减排情景力度最大,中度减排情景次之,趋势照常情景相对最弱.制造业减污降碳的协同效果最佳,在不同情景实现碳达峰时,可分别减少ρ（PM_2.5）和ρ（PM₁₀）年均值0.6~1.8 μg·m^-3和1.8~8.9 μg·m^-3.研究可为国家和区域的减污降碳协同实践提供参考和决策依据.     

Value of Soil Organic Carbon in Agricultural Lands

Immediate efforts to increase soil carbonsequestration and minimize terrestrialgreenhouse gas emissions are needed tomitigate global warming. Whether or notterrestrial stocks become sinks or netsources of C over the next century willdepend upon how fast and at what level weare able to stabilize carbon dioxidelevels. The cost of soil C sequestrationis at present relatively low compared toother C emission reduction technologiesmaking soil C sinks an important short-termsolution to be used while competingtechnologies are developed. However,efforts to use C sequestration in soils asCO₂ emissions offsets have facednumerous challenges. Difficultiesassociated with C stock validation (directmeasurement) and the impermanence andsaturability of soil C reservoirs raiseconcerns over whether soil C reservoirs aregood long-term investments. Pragmatism hasled to the development of indirectinventorying of the C reserves held atnational and regional scales. Suchindirect accounting systems will advance asvalidation methods are refined and asprocess models improve their ability toaccurately predict how existing soilcondition and specific land managementpractices will influence soil C storage andNO₂ and CH₄ emissions. Improveddocumentation of the value of environmentalservices and sustained productive potentialderived from optimized land use andassociated increases in soil quality willalso add to the estimated value of soil Csinks. Policies must evolve simultaneouslywith the theoretical and technical toolsneeded to promote optimization of land usepractices to mitigate climate change nowand to minimize future contributions ofsoil C to atmospheric CO₂.     

土壤呼吸与土壤有机碳对不同秸秆还田的响应及其机制

以黄豆、玉米、水稻这3种农业秸秆为原料,崇明东滩围垦土地为试验样区,以景观植物地肤草为目标植物,研究土壤呼吸和土壤有机碳对不同秸秆还田的响应及其可能的机制.结果表明,不同秸秆直接还田的土壤呼吸和地上植物量均高于对照组;黄豆秸秆还田后土壤呼吸相对最低,土壤有机碳最高,因此黄豆秸秆还田的土壤碳封存能力高于玉米和水稻秸秆.秸秆还田显著促进土壤微生物活性,增加了土壤微生物量以及β-糖苷酶、脱氢酶活性,脱氢酶活性与土壤呼吸相关性最显著.黄豆秸秆还田脱氢酶活性最低,相应的土壤呼吸也最低.黄豆秸秆纤维素、木质素和C/N含量最高,可降解性最低,表明黄豆秸秆难以被微生物降解利用,因而还田后其土壤微生物活性最低,最终导致最低的土壤呼吸和较高的土壤有机碳.     

我国交通部门碳排放影响因素及减排路径研究

控制好交通碳排放对实现我国2020年温室气体排放控制目标具有重要现实意义。本文通过构建交通部门能源消费和碳排放分析模型,在分析交通碳排放主要影响因素的基础上,采用情景分析法定量分析了到2020年交通碳排放趋势,基于情景对比总结了交通部门减排路径,并提出相应政策建议。     

城市系统碳循环与碳管理研究进展

城市化带来的土地利用变化和化石燃料燃烧是引起全球气候变化和温室效应的主要原因之一。了解不同区域城市系统碳循环的过程、途径、方向和机制,有助于更好地进行未来大气温室气体的情景预测,并提出相应的碳管理措施。论文在国内外城市系统碳循环研究的基础上,对城市系统的特征、空间范围和碳过程特征进行了总结和分析;从城市能源使用碳排放、城市植被和土壤碳研究、城市扩展对碳排放的影响、城市代谢与碳过程、城市系统碳循环模拟等方面对目前城市系统碳循环的主要研究内容进行了综述;结合URCM研究计划,对城市碳管理的理论框架、科学问题和主要措施及目标进行了探讨;最后提出了该领域未来研究的主要方向和建议。     

炭素生产中的炭尘排放总量控制与重点点源管理

以建立量化控制指标和重点管理为手段，研究炭尘重点点源排放规律，从强化污染源管理入手实行全过程控制以实现污染物排放总量控制。     

农业面源污染特征及治理对策

随着社会经济的发展,中国农业面源污染日益严重,面源污染在很大程度上引起耕地退化,严重影响农产品的质与量.在概述农村面源污染特征的基础上,分析农村面源污染的影响因素,其中化学肥料、农药、畜禽粪便及养殖废弃物、生产和生活污水、生活垃圾等是面源污染的重要因子,从农作技术、水土保持及意识政策等多方面考虑提出农业面源污染的防治措施,并对中国农业面源污染的未来研究进行展望.     

农用地土壤环境分类管理研究

通过分析国内外农用地土壤环境分类管理经验,结合我国土壤环境质量状况,以土壤环境风险管控为主线,将农用地土壤分为优先保护类、安全利用类和严格管控类3个类别,并提出相应的分类管理措施,保障农产品质量安全和人体健康。     

中国省际农业碳排放的时空分异特征及关联效应

文章选择1997-2015年数据测算了中国31个省(市、区)农业碳排放量,从时空2个纬度分析了其空间分布规律,利用探索性空间数据分析方法(ESDA)分析了农业碳排放的空间关联效应。结果显示:(1)中国农业碳排放总量波动的趋势呈现出"波动上升-快速下降-缓慢上升"3阶段特征,且波动幅度较大。(2)农业碳排放总量及其强度空间分布存在明显的非均衡性,有集聚的趋势,集聚的区域层次分明,有明显的地域特征。(3)农业碳排放呈现出较强的空间相关性,高-高型集聚区域为青藏高原地区,低-低型集聚区域是以河北和江苏为中心的2个集聚区域,但区域面积非常有限。据此,提出农业"碳减排"要实行差异化的政策;考虑邻近区域政策等要素的负溢出性,在高-高型集聚区域,要实行联防共治,避免农业碳排放的此消彼长,实现多赢。     

全球重要农业文化遗产的保护与适应性管理

全球重要农业文化遗产 联合国粮农组织（FAO）于2002年发起一项全球性计划,即全球重要农业文化遗产（GIAHS）。并将其定义为：“农村与其所处环境长期协同进化和动态适应下所形成的独特的土地利用系统和农业景观,这些系统与景观具有丰富的生物多样性,而且可以满足当地社会经济与文化发展的需要,有利于促进区域可持续发展。”     

Financial adaptation to disaster risk in the European Union

Increasing losses from weather related extreme events coupled with limited coping capacity suggest a need for strong adaptation commitments, of which public sector responses to adjustments to actual and expected climate stimuli are key. The European Commission has started to address this need in the emerging European Union (EU) climate adaptation strategy; yet, a specific rationale for adaptation interventions has not clearly been identified, and the economic case for adaptation to extremes remains vague. Basing the diagnosis on economic welfare theory and an empirical analysis of the current EU and member states’ roles in managing disaster risk, we discuss how and where the public sector may intervene for managing climate variability and change. We restrict our analysis to financial disaster management, a domain of adaptation intervention, which is of key concern for the EU adaptation strategy. We analyse three areas of public sector interventions, supporting national insurance systems, providing compensation to the affected post event as well as intergovernmental loss sharing through the EU solidarity fund, according to the three government functions of allocation, distribution, and stabilization suggested by welfare theory, and suggest room for improvement.