基于VSP2的引发剂质量分数对醋酸乙烯聚合反应失控特性及安全泄放设计影响研究

为了解决醋酸乙烯聚合反应失控所引起的超压问题,通过VSP2绝热量热仪研究了醋酸乙烯聚合反应的失控特性,并通过Leung's法对某醋酸乙烯聚合反应器的安全泄放面积进行了计算;然后,在其他条件不变的情况下,研究引发剂质量分数对失控特性和泄放面积的影响,结果表明,引发剂质量分数对反应总放热量的影响不大,体系绝热温升为105~115℃;但引发剂质量分数越大,失控反应的最大温升速率和最大压升速率越大。这是因为引发剂质量分数越大,在相同泄放压力和最大累积压力下,单位质量反应物的放热速率就越大,也就需要更大的泄放面积;最后,引入无量纲数W~*、G~*和A~*,拟合出它们与引发剂质量分数X*的关系式,结果表明,在研究范围内所需安全泄放面积随引发剂质量分数线性增大。     

反应性液体紧急泄放面积设计进展

为防止反应失控造成爆炸事故,减少事故损失,在介绍模拟反应失控的实验装置ARC、VSP以及RSST等的基础上,针对不同的紧急泄放类型,如气相系统、蒸气系统和混合系统的紧急泄放研究进展,进行了分析论述,旨在发现解决反应失控紧急泄放问题的更好方法,从而为进一步研究反应失控的紧急泄放问题打下基础.     

The modelling of pool vaporization

This paper describes a mathematical model which calculates the time dependencies of the flow rate and composition of the vapour emerging from a pool. A large variety of accidental cases can be covered: continuous or instantaneous spills, on confined or unconfined ground, ideal or non-ideal liquid mixtures in boiling or evaporating conditions. The boiling, when present, is modelled through an equation system comprising the Rachford-Rice relation and the energy balance of the pool, which is assumed to be well-mixed. In the case of a volatile pool, interfacial mass rates are determined taking into account the Stefan flux, and the thermal resistance inside the liquid phase is also considered. In all situations, the energy balance includes the contribution of ground, sun and air. Known experimental data have been used to validate the model.     

Pressure relief sizing of reactive system using DIERS simplified methods and dynamic simulation method

Incidents involving uncontrolled chemical reactions continue to result in fatality, injury and economic loss. These incidents are often the result of inadequate pressure relief system designs due to a limited knowledge of the chemical reactivity hazard. A safe process design requires knowledge of the chemical reactivity of desired as well as undesired chemical reactions due to upset conditions. Simplified, cost effective methods to relief system sizing are presented by The Design Institute of Emergency Relief Systems (DIERS). They require multiple experiments, and sizing is only valid for the system composition and thermal inertia represented by the small scale experiments. Results are often conservative, especially for gassy systems. Detailed, dynamic computer simulation is highly accurate and can be used for iterative design and multiple scenario evaluation.In this study, an accelerating rate calorimeter (ARC^®) and a low thermal inertia calorimeter (automatic pressure tracking adiabatic calorimeter – APTAC™) were used to collect chemical reactivity data for the dicumyl peroxide and toluene system. Results of the pressure relief system sizing using the dynamic simulation method are presented and compared with DIERS simplified methods.     

基于情景要素的电网大面积停电事件情景序列构建方法研究

为了进一步做好电网大面积停电事件应对工作,针对电网大面积停电事件外部致因条件与事件内部演化规律不清的问题,采用“情景-构建”方法梳理事件情景要素,并在历史事故案例数据以及大量应急演练数据的基础上,综合运用数据挖掘方法,建立相关事件情景的逻辑与时间序列,为电网大面积停电事件的应急响应与决策指挥等工作提供科学、合理的理论支持,相关研究思路与方法也可为电力企业其它类型突发事件的应急管理工作提供参考。     

An experimental study of viscous flows in contractions

The need to improve the methods used when designing emergency, pressure-relief systems on polymerisation reactors, has made the flow of highly viscous fluids in pipeline fittings highly topical. This paper investigates the flow processes involved in single-phase, viscous flows in nozzles and orifice plates. These fittings were chosen because they would give an insight into the behaviour of highly viscous flows in other geometries, such as the flow upstream of the seat in a pressure relief valve. Experimental data are presented for a pipe, two conical nozzles and a sharp-edged orifice plate for laminar flows in the Reynolds number range 50–400 and for turbulent flows. The volume flow rate—pressure drop characteristics are presented for both nozzles and the orifice plate. The discharge momentum flow rate for the pipe, a nozzle and the orifice plate are also given. Analysis of the data shows that nozzles and orifice plates that are geometrically similar have a similar resistance to flow. It is also shown that the contraction coefficient for an orifice plate tends to unity at low Reynolds numbers.     

Determination of the optimal escape routes of underground mine networks in emergency cases

Escaping is natural in the case of accidents in underground mines. Determining the optimal escape route is one of the most important factors for relief of miners in the emergency cases. This paper aims at developing a mathematical method to determine the shortest escape time from a given point to alternative points of an underground mine network. It also aims to find the shortest routes between each pair of the given points. The first point refers to the place of the accident where some miners may exist, and the alternative points show the safe places that the miners can escape to. After determining the shortest escape time and its corresponding route between each pair of mine work junctions, it is possible to set an electronic board that shows the access route to the nearest safe location by an arrow sign in each mine work. In this paper, Floyd–Warshall and π algorithms are used to determine the shortest escape time between the place of accident and safe places as well as their corresponding routes. Those algorithms are rigorous since they are supported by mathematical proof. Finally, the algorithms are implemented on the network of a certain underground coal mine and the results are presented.     

A mathematical model for predicting the flash point of binary solutions

A mathematical model which may be used for predicting the flash point of binary solutions has been proposed and subsequently verified by experimentally-derived data, such data pertaining to an almost-ideal solution as also to highly non-ideal solutions. The results reveal that the model is able to precisely predict the flash point over the entire composition range of binary solutions for both ideal solutions and non-ideal solutions by way of utilizing the flash point of the individual components. The highly non-ideal solution like octane+ethanol exhibits the minimum flash-point behavior, which leads to the minimum on the flash point vs composition curve.     

社会应急资源监测系统及其应急响应能力研究

社会应急动员和资源筹募是救灾的关键。为有效组织和管理社会应急资源,充分发挥其在救灾中的作用,提出构建一个社会应急资源监测系统。这个监测系统将采集社会应急资源在社会系统中的分布、消耗和补给等的状态信息,为社会应急资源的提供者、各级社会管理部门、各级应急管理机构和系统管理员提供查询、分析和决策的接口;基于监测系统提供的信息,考虑应急救援的时间要求、数量要求、价值要求、经济性要求,建立社会应急资源和物流网络的应急能力评价指标体系。研究结果表明,根据社会应急资源监测系统提供的特定灾害应急所需的社会资源的状态信息,可确定该区域社会应急资源的可满足性、可应急性及物流网络对应急需求的满足情况,得到社会应急资源参与救援的可行性。     

Database-supported documentation and verification of pressure relief device design in chemical plants

In this paper the results of a multi-year analysis of the pressure relief devices located in several plants in major chemical sites are summarized. The analysis consisted of a systematic evaluation of existing safety valves and rupture discs including the identification of the service conditions and design cases as well as the sizing calculations of the individual device and associated piping. Furthermore, from the total amount and the hazardous potential of the effluents the necessity of retention systems is evaluated to ensure a safe disposal.Because the knowledge in the field of emergency pressure relief changed very rapidly in recent years, the design of some safety devices was not according to the state of the art. An essential part of the verification program was the recommendation of measures to find the most economical yet technically correct way to correct these deficiencies. Rather than by carrying out wholesale replacement of an incorrectly sized safety device or vent line, often a reduction of the mass flow rate to be discharged, for example, by an orifice in a supply line, is sufficient.Results of the analysis were recorded on a novel database to capture the sizing information and maintain correct pressure relief device sizing into the future. The systematic databased approach has been used for the evaluation of about 4000 safety devices so far. The procedure has been proven to enable an experienced design engineer to carry out the analysis of a great number of pressure relief devices in a time-saving, reliable and reviewable way.     

二元混合液体闪点的计算

以混合溶液纯组分易燃液体闪点的饱和蒸气压为基础,应用乌拉尔定律、双液系的气-液相平衡理论,运用Le Chatelier方程和安托因方程导出二元混合液的闪点计算方法。并例举易燃液体与易燃液体组成的理想混合液、易燃液体与易燃液体组成的非理想混合液、易燃液体与不燃液体组成的非理想混合液的计算过程。乙醇溶液闪点的计算结果与现有的文献资料比较,误差在允许范围内。计算数据用Excel处理,快捷准确,用于确定二元混合液体的火灾危险性。     

基于模糊Petri网的城市突发性燃气短缺应急能力评估

为了有效地降低在城市突发性燃气短缺应急能力评估过程中应急能力影响因素的不确定性和模糊性对评估结果的影响,提出基于模糊Petri网的城市突发性燃气短缺应急能力评估方法。通过分析城市突发性燃气短缺应急事前-事中-事后过程的影响因素,根据评估准则构建出1个包括5个二级指标和26个三级指标的应急能力评估指标体系;针对评估指标体系复杂且变迁的权重值缺乏客观性等问题,引入模糊推理算子与层次分析法,采取定性与定量相结合的方法对评估体系进行应急能力评估。实例仿真结果表明,与传统的评估方法相比,利用模糊Petri网对应急能力评估的结果更加准确和科学。     

Vent sizing for gas-generating runaway reactions

Exothermic runaway reactions that generate non-condensible gas as the temperature increases, as is typical of decompositions for example, can reach extremely high rates of pressure rise necessitating emergency relief of the process vessel containing the reactant. Sizing of a relief device using presently recommended methods (e.g. DIERS) frequently leads to extremely large and expensive vents. This paper presents a methodology that leads to a simple but much improved method for vent sizing, fully allowing for two-phase release of the gas—liquid mixture. A number of examples are presented which lead to interesting conclusions about the influence of plant variables.     

Estimating sonic gas flow rates in pipelines

This paper presents a detailed review and analysis of sonic gas flow in pipelines, adding considerably more detail to the analysis, particularly for long pipelines. Our results show that (1) the mass flow rate is asymptotic as the velocity head pipe loss increases (2) the asymptotic value is identical for both adiabatic and isothermal conditions and (3) a maximum is found in the gas flow, although this maximum is near the asymptotic value. A graphical method for isothermal flows and a simple, shortcut formula is presented using asymptotic analysis which accurately estimates gas flow rates in long pipelines under both adiabatic and isothermal conditions. Process safety applications are provided.     

Influence of calorimetric approximations on the design of emergency relief systems

The design of an emergency relief system (that is, a pressure safety valve or a rupture disk) for vessels, which may involve runaway reactions, requires knowledge of the chemical kinetics of the reactions involved. When safety-related problems are considered this is usually achieved using calorimetric tests, coupled with some suitable approximations on the kinetics of the reacting system. In this work we have analysed the extent to which the precise knowledge of the chemical kinetics influences the size of the relief system device for different reaction conditions. Decision criteria are proposed to identify situations where approximations in the kinetic mechanism lead to underestimation in the venting area.     

基于改进多准则妥协解排序(VIKOR)法的铁路应急预案评估研究

为解决铁路突发事件应急预案评估问题,改进多准则妥协解排序法(VIKOR),提出铁路应急预案新的评估方法。首先,在已有铁路应急预案评价指标研究基础上,从完整性、针对性、可操作性、联动性、经济性5个方面,重新对铁路应急预案评价指标进行分类。其次,运用基于熵的主客观赋权法求解权重,改进VIKOR法中权重参数的求解。最后,利用改进的VIKOR法,评估具有多层次评价指标体系结构的铁路突发事件应急预案。实例结果表明,用该方法评估铁路突发事件应急预案可得到理想结果。     

Rigorous Calculation of Critical Flow Conditions for Pressure Safety Devices

Sizing and verification of pressure relieving systems is an important topic in the design of process plants in order to assure equipments and people protection against malfunctions and hazards. The calculation of the critical flow (choke) condition is analysed with respect to existing standard calculations procedures (API and Omega methods) that implement approximate procedures and may not be extended to temperature/pressure regions near the thermodynamic critical point. These procedures may be replaced by a more rigorous calculation based on the evaluation of the local sonic velocity with equations of state. The method applies to systems composed of pure chemical components as well as to multi-component mixtures existing in the single phase and multi-phase regions. As a consequence of an exact calculation of the critical flow conditions, more accurate values of the discharged flowrate may be obtained. Comparisons with calculations performed using the standard API RP 520 procedure and Omega method are presented.     

Safer management of process changes in chemical reactors

Nowadays many chemical industries are SMEs where multi-purpose batch or semi-batch reactors are commonly used. Vent sizing for realistic runaway scenario is not an easy task for such enterprises since they have usually few resources and use multi-purpose reactors with fast process turnovers. As a consequence these batch and semi-batch reactors are usually equipped with emergency relief systems sized once forever when the reactor is designed. This can lead to a large underestimation of the vent area in case of runaway reactions occurring when processes different from the ones considered for originally sizing the vent are carried out.The approach proposed in this work aims to identify the maximum reactor load leading to safe conditions even in case of runaway phenomena to be handled with the emergency relief system already installed (or even with a smaller vent area). This approach allows avoiding the change of the emergency relief system with a larger vent area (as required every time a new more hazardous process has to be carried out on existing reactors) at the price of lower plant productivity.     

基于AHP-熵物元的地震安全社区应急管理评价

为提高建设地震安全社区减灾综合效益，解决我国地震频发造成的严重经济损失和人员伤亡，在发展尚未成熟的地震安全社区建设理念基础上探究其应急管理影响因素，从应急三阶段管理以及社会环境影响方面选取指标建立评价体系；引入AHP-熵权法和可拓物元数学理论，构建地震安全社区应急管理综合评价模型；应用该模型对大连地震安全社区进行实例验证，得出该社区应急管理等级以及应急全过程中不足之处，得到的评价结果与实际情况相符，表明多级可拓物元模型的定量计算结果准确可靠，对完善地震安全社区应急管理具有指导和实用价值。     

危险化学品泄漏事故泄漏源强反算方法比较研究

比较现有的主要大气源强反算方法,包括Safer实时响应系统中使用的反算方法、基于遗传算法的反算方法、基于最佳摄动量法的反算方法和利用逆向轨迹反演模式的反算方法;对4种反算方法的应用做比较研究,分析各种方法的特点、不足以及适用性,根据各自在实际事件中的应用效果判定算法在应急响应过程的可行性。笔者将牛顿-拉弗森法作为寻根法应用到Safer系统的反算法中,并结合企业生产实际对其应用效果进行验证;结果表明,基于寻根法的Safer反算法反算速度快,结果准确度高,更适用于应急响应过程。同时在各种方法比较的基础上对应急响应应用提出了建议。