Determination of the minimum ignition energy on the basis of a statistical approach

Based on existing MIE test results and new measurements, a statistical analysis for the MIE of hydrogen, ethene and propane is made by means of the logistic regression. The conditions necessary to carry out such an approach are discussed. It is shown that MIE values which are connected with a certain ignition probability could be determined adequately and lead to a more sophisticated result, also with regard to measurement uncertainties. This, in turn, leads to a better comparability and a higher informative content. At the same time, the MIEs of hydrogen, ethene and propane are reviewed. In doing so, a useful contribution to the discussion concerning the MIE of propane is made.     

Towards an alternative criterion for the shipping safety of activated carbons: Part 4. The role of times to ignition

To the previously developed and implemented new criterion for the shipping safety of activated carbons is added a consideration of ignition times. It is shown that there is considerable support for the view that in the past shipments of such materials deemed on the basis of the IMCO/ISO test procedures to be subcritical have actually been supercritical, but that the long ignition times, exceeding voyage times, have prevented fire from developing.     

Numerical study on the spontaneous ignition of pressurized hydrogen release through a tube into air

Spontaneous ignition of pressurized hydrogen release through a tube into air is investigated using a modified version of the KIVA-3V CFD code. A mixture-averaged multi-component approach is used for accurate calculation of molecular transport. Autoignition and combustion chemistry is accounted for using a 21 step kinetic scheme. Ultra fine meshes are employed along with the Arbitrary Lagrangia–Eulerian (ALE) method to reduce false numerical diffusion. The study has demonstrated a possible mechanism for spontaneous ignition through molecular diffusion.

In the simulated scenario, the tube provided additional time to achieve a combustible mixture at the hydrogen–air contact surface. When the tube was sufficiently long under certain release pressure, autoignition would initiate inside the tube at the contact surface due to mass and energy exchange between low temperature hydrogen and shock-heated air through molecular diffusion. Following further development of the hydrogen jet downstream, the contact surface became distorted. Turbulence plays an important role for hydrogen/air mixing in the immediate vicinity of this distorted contact surface and led the initial laminar flame to transit into a stable turbulent flame.     

LNG船舶锚泊安全距离定量计算建模

为保障液化天然气船舶(LNG船舶)锚泊安全,提出了一种基于船舶漂移运动和船舶碰撞风险的锚泊安全距离计算方法.首先,结合船舶运动数学模型,通过蒙特卡洛模拟LNG船舶走锚漂移运动,得出走锚漂移方向概率密度函数,从而确定船舶走锚漂移横向、纵向距离;同时,结合船舶碰撞概率模型、船舶碰撞损害模型和LNG火灾模型,建立LNG船舶碰撞风险模型,确定满足碰撞概率和风险可接受的安全距离.最后,比较两种模型计算结果,并取其较大值作为LNG船舶锚泊安全距离.结果表明,LNG船锚泊安全距离不仅与环境水域的风、流情况有关,还与附近水域内船舶大小及速度有关.建议交通管理中需结合水域环境特征和水域船舶特点确定LNG船舶的锚泊安全距离.     

配电线路补偿的安全性探讨

文章通过对我国地区10kV及以下配电线路无功补偿的现状,并结合有关数据,对配电线路无功补偿的必要性、补偿位置选择进行了分析。提出提高中、低压配电网功率因数,能够稳定提高线路电路输送能力和供电质量,并且能够大大降低线路损耗,既具有明显的社会和经济效益,也具有现实意义。     

A note on the effectiveness of the house-arrest alternative for motivating DWI offenders to install ignition interlocks

Introduction

The effectiveness of ignition interlocks at reducing drunk driving has been limited by the ability of driving-while-intoxicated (DWI) offenders to avoid court orders to install the devices.

Methods

In a pilot program in New Mexico, four Santa Fe County judges imposed home confinement (via electronic monitoring bracelets) on offenders who claimed to have no car or no intention to drive. Interlock installation rates for Santa Fe County were compared with all other counties in New Mexico over a 2-year program and 2-year post-program period.

Results

During the two program years, 70% of the drivers convicted of DWI in Santa Fe County installed interlocks, compared to only 17% in the other counties, but when the program was terminated, the Santa Fe installation rate fell by 18.8 percentage points.

Summary

Mandating the alternative sanction of house arrest led to the highest reported interlock installation rate for DWI offenders.

Impact on Industry

Impaired driving is a substantial expense to employers, particularly when it bars driving that interferes with employment. Interlocks provide a method of protecting the public while permitting the offender to drive sober. This study was directed at increasing interlock use by DWI offenders.     

久效磷对雄性孔雀鱼生殖毒性研究

采用静态亚急性毒性试验方法,用1.0 mg/L久效磷暴露孔雀鱼40 d,统计孔雀鱼的繁殖情况,同时每隔10 d取精巢进行组织切片观察,研究了久效磷对雄性孔雀鱼生殖的影响.结果表明,1.0 mg/L久效磷暴露的雌鱼繁殖次数、产仔鱼数量以及仔鱼存活数与对照组相比明显降低.雄鱼体色逐渐变浅,由鲜艳的橘红色转变为黯淡的橘黄色.精巢组织损伤主要表现为对精母细胞和谢尔托立氏细胞的影响,并且随暴露时间的延长精巢组织损伤逐渐加剧.精母细胞出现核膜溶解、染色质溢出现象; 基膜部分溶解、局部融合的精小囊数量增多; 部分小囊里的精子细胞发育出现不同步现象; 精巢的精小囊数量逐渐减少; 精巢出现多个空泡; 输精小管基膜溶解.谢尔托立氏细胞出现提前膨大并大量增生,局部解体的精子束数量增多,游离精子现象加剧.久效磷对精巢结构的损伤,抑制了精巢内的正常精子发生过程,降低了精子的密度和数量,导致孔雀鱼繁殖次数和仔鱼数量减少.     

飞行员人因可靠性定量预测

为有效预测飞行员的人因可靠性,以保障飞行安全,基于认知可靠性与失误分析法(CREAM)的扩展法,建立飞行员人因可靠性定量预测模型。依据飞行员的任务特点,调整认知行为及认知功能。通过优化共同绩效条件(CPC)因子水平等级,并增加新的因子,改进CPC因子依赖规则,用于修正因子的初始评估结果,解决扩展法未考虑因子间关系的问题,从而完成模型的建立。利用回看分析法验证模型的有效性,采用所建立的模型和扩展法分别对已发生的飞行案例进行预测,并与实际发生结果对比分析。结果表明,与扩展法相比,采用飞行员定量预测模型得到的预测结果与案例发生结果所反映的控制模式更为匹配。     

SWAT模型在三峡库区流域非点源污染模拟的适用性研究

将SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)模型应用于库区大尺度流域的污染模拟研究,对其进行适用性评价及模拟应用分析。模型校验采用的是2002—2008年的水文月数据及水质水期数据,径流模拟效果最好,评价指标ENS(Nash-Suttclife Efficiency)均在0.9以上;泥沙模拟评价指标ENS在0.46~0.9;营养盐模拟评价指标ENS个别出现了<0.36的情况,但总体模拟效果满足要求。应用SWAT模型对库区降水与地表产流、产沙、营养盐负荷进行了研究。结果表明:库区地表产流与降水的相关性趋势最好;地表产沙与产流、降水的总体趋势一致,但偶尔出现4、5月份地表产沙先于产流出现峰值的情况,这可能是由于春耕对地表扰动后又逢较强降水引起的水土流失;营养盐污染负荷尤其是TP的峰值趋势与地表产流相比,更接近地表产沙趋势。本文还对库区不同土地利用类型的污染负荷做了分析,得到各类土地利用类型的年均污染负荷总量排序及单位面积污染负荷,再次验证了SWAT模型在三峡库区流域的适用性。根据分析结果,库区耕地为非点源污染产出的主要源头,可将耕地耕种措施转变及土地利用类型转换作为库区非点源污染削减的重要手段。     

纳米羟基磷灰石对电子垃圾拆解地农田土壤Pb生物可利用性的影响

为了研究钝化剂对电子垃圾拆解地农田土壤中重金属Pb生物可利用性的影响,采用盆栽试验,在种植油菜和白菜的土壤中加入不同质量比的纳米羟基磷灰石(n-HAP),研究Pb形态、油菜和白菜生物量、油菜和白菜中Pb的累积量,评价纳米羟基磷灰石对Pb生物可利用性的影响.结果表明,加入5 g/kg、10 g/kg、15 g/kg、20 g/kg和25 g/kg纳米羟基磷灰石后,油菜和白菜生物量增加,且油菜生物量大于白菜生物量;油菜内Pb累积量小于白菜内Pb累积量;土壤中残渣态Pb质量比增加,可交换态Pb质量比减少,有效态Pb质量比与Pb生物可利用性显著降低(p＜0.05),与对照组相比,种植油菜和白菜土壤中Pb的生物可利用性分别降低了25.53％～82.77％和45.79％～71.68％.当纳米羟基磷灰石质量比为20g/kg时,油菜和白菜生物量较大,而且对Pb的累积量最低,种植油菜和白菜土壤中Pb的生物可利用性分别降低了81.84％和70.89％.研究表明,纳米羟基磷灰石的适宜投加量为20g/kg,而油菜为理想植物.     

“积木式做法”研究及对我国实施GHS范围的建议

从分析我国实施GHS的问题出发,详细研究GHS的"积木式做法",指出实施GHS可以根据实际情况有选择地采用其危险性分类。同时分析我国现阶段化学品相关实验室技术支撑能力,结合目前化学品监管范围,提出实施GHS的重点,要先实现我国化学品监管范围与GHS相关危险性的分类统一,再逐步将GHS其他危险性分类引入我国危险化学品监管范围,并对现阶段实施GHS的危险性种类和类别提出启动物理化学性质引起的危险、急性毒性和皮肤腐蚀/刺激性、危害水生环境分类标准的实施工作建议。     

Evaluating the impact of criminalizing drunk driving on years of life lost due to road traffic deaths in one megacity,China

Objective: Road safety is an important public health issue worldwide. However, few studies have analyzed the association between criminalizing drunk driving and years of life lost (YLL) due to road traffic deaths (RTDs). Our study can provide useful information about this policy.

Methods: We used interrupted time-series analysis to find the changes in monthly YLL and RTD before and after law enforcement began using RTD data from 2008 to 2014 in Tianjin.

Results: After adjustment for seasonality, months, holidays, and the number of people in each district, criminalizing drunk driving was followed by a 11.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1–21.1%) reduction in risk of RTDs and a corresponding 778.1-year (95% CI, 200–1,355.1) reduction in monthly YLL. The reduction in YLL was especially significant among males, those aged 16–64 years old, and suburban residents.

Conclusions: This study highlights that the law can lead to a reduction in YLL due to RTDs in Tianjin, China. Large immediate public health benefits resulted from the new road traffic law in China. YLL provides a complementary measure for examining the effect of criminalization on drunk driving RTDs.     

基于FRAM-AHP法的公务航空飞行事故分析

为了有效分析公务航空飞行事故的主要原因,利用改进后的功能共振事故模型(FRAM)对公务航空飞行事故进行系统和量化分析。建立了功能共振事故模型,通过层次分析法(AHP)对功能模块上游功能输出和下游功能输入端的表型进行量化分析,根据权重来识别上下游主要的表型,从而找到功能模块间的失效连接,确定事故主要原因。利用该模型对某公务航空飞行事故进行分析,确定了导致事故的主要原因为公务机场保障能力不足、机组疏忽大意、飞行部教学训练大纲缺失、飞行部QAR译码能力不足、机务航前检查不足、机组起飞决策不当等。研究表明,FRAM-AHP法可以为公务航空飞行事故进一步分析提供技术支持。     

海洋石油钻井平台生产性噪声慢性暴露对血清皮质醇水平的影响

采用自身对照试验,利用个体噪声剂量系统检测海洋石油钻井平台作业人员在作业期间生产性噪声个体暴露水平(40 h等效声级),采用酶联免疫吸附试验(ELISA)分别检测噪声暴露作业前后血清皮质醇水平,并分析血清皮质醇水平变化与噪声暴露水平和暴露时间的关系。结果表明:噪声暴露作业后,全部作业人员血清皮质醇水平明显升高(p0.05,α=0.05);不同噪声暴露水平作业人员血清皮质醇水平差别没有统计学意义(p0.05);噪声暴露20 d的作业人员血清皮质醇水平明显高于噪声暴露≤20 d者(p0.05)。血清皮质醇水平变化与噪声暴露水平没有显著关联性,而与噪声暴露时间呈明显的正相关(p0.05)。研究表明,生产性噪声慢性暴露使血清皮质醇水平升高,且暴露时间是主要影响因素。     

多壁碳纳米管短期作用对活性污泥系统脱氮除磷效果的影响

研究了不同质量浓度(1 mg/L和20 mg/h)多壁碳纳米管(Muhiwalled Carbon Nanotubes,MWCNTs)短期(21 d)作用对序批式活性污泥反应器(SBR)废水脱氮除磷效果的影响.结果表明,1mg/L和20mg/L MWCNTs废水的持续作用对反应器出水NH4+-N、NO3--N、NO2--N和TP质量浓度(分别为0.35 mg/L、4.5 mg/L、0.1 mg/L和0.15 mg/L)及1个反应周期内的氮磷转化过程并未产生明显的影响.活性污泥3h呼吸抑制试验表明,低质量浓度(ρ＜100 mg/L)MWCNTs短暂作用(3h)对活性污泥活性并没有明显的抑制作用.但当MWC-NTs质量浓度达到g/L级别后,MWCNTs对活性污泥活性存在明显的抑制作用,而且MWCNTs对活性污泥的呼吸抑制作用与质量浓度呈正相关性.研究表明,1 mg/k和20 mg/L MWCNTs对活性污泥系统短期作用并不影响活性污泥系统脱氮除磷的效果.     

基于烟气脱硫的碱式硫酸铝吸收剂Al3+含量测量试验

为了准确测量碱式硫酸铝溶液中Al3+质量浓度,以PAN为指示剂,用CuSO4标准溶液反滴定EDTA,分析得到4个干扰因素的优化测量条件.结果表明,碱式硫酸铝溶液中Ca2+对Al3+质量浓度测量无干扰,最佳稀释倍数应以待测液稀释后Al3+质量浓度在0.141 ～0.423 g/L为目标确定,EDTA最佳过量程度为50％ ～ 150％,Al3+与EDTA最佳配位应控制pH=3.42～3.91、煮沸3～5 min.误差分析表明,试验平均方法回收率为98.86％,Al3+质量浓度实测值较理论值相对误差范围为-0.47％ ～-0.33％,标准偏差为0.002 g/L,相对标准偏差(RSD)小于1％,试验结果准确可靠、数据稳定.以XO作指示剂、锌盐溶液为标准溶液返滴定对比试验表明,由于受到Al3对指示剂的封闭作用,滴定终点难以判断,实测值较理论值相对误差范围为-2.62％ ～ 3.42％,测量结果平均准确度降低2.156％.     

有机碳源对低碳氮比生活污水好氧脱氮的影响

利用间歇式生物膜反应器研究了有机碳源对低碳氮比(COD/TN在3左右)实际生活污水好氧脱氮的影响.处理实际生活污水的实验结果表明,在好氧条件下总氮平均去除率为80%.投加葡萄糖进行5个碳氮比的对比实验,随着COD/TN的升高,好氧总氮去除率由67%(COD/TN=1.63)逐渐上升至93.6%(COD/TN=8.43);但是当COD/TN超过8.43后,总氮去除率提高的并不明显(当COD/TN为8.89时,总氮去除率为96.8%).最后进行了不含有机碳源的实验,其好氧总氮平均去除率为24%.综合分析表明,同时硝化反硝化和好氧脱氨共同导致了SBBR处理低碳氮比生活污水的好氧脱氮.此外,在所有实验过程中,好氧脱氮终点在DO和pH的变化曲线上有相应的跃升点.利用该特征点可以实时控制好氧脱氮的反应时间,并有利于实现短程好氧脱氮.     

An adaptive neural network algorithm for assessment and improvement of job satisfaction with respect to HSE and ergonomics program: The case of a gas refinery

Researchers have been continuously trying to improve human performance with respect to Health, Safety and Environment (HSE) and ergonomics (hence HSEE). This study proposes an adaptive neural network (ANN) algorithm for measuring and improving job satisfaction among operators with respect to HSEE in a gas refinery. To achieve the objectives of this study, standard questionnaires with respect to HSEE are completed by operators. The average results for each category of HSEE are used as inputs and job satisfaction is used as output for the ANN algorithm. Moreover, ANN is used to rank operators performance with respect to HSEE and job satisfaction. Finally, Normal probability technique is used to identify outlier operators. Moreover, operators with inadequate job satisfaction with respect to HSEE are identified. This would help managers to see if operators are satisfied with their jobs in the context of HSEE. This is the first study that introduces an integrated ANN algorithm for assessment and improvement of human job satisfaction with respect to HSEE program in complex systems.     

基于扇区动态复杂性因素的航空管制员工作负荷计算

为了更加准确地计算和预测航空管制员的工作负荷,利用雷达管制模拟试验获取的数据,分别采用线性回归、神经网络的非线性回归和基于神经网络的支持向量机方法,建立了基于扇区复杂性因素的管制员工作负荷实时计算模型。结果表明,这3种模型的绝对误差平均值分别为0.969、1.049、0.240;相对误差平均值分别为16.667%、17.979%、6.229%;均方根误差分别为0.186、0.206、0.114。另外,若采用5%作为基准精度,基于神经网络的支持向量机模型可以将相对误差控制在-0.5%~0.5%,表现出较强的误差控制能力。研究表明,可以采用扇区动态复杂性因素来计算管制员的工作负荷,相比线性回归、神经网络的非线性回归方法,基于神经网络的支持向量机方法对管制员工作负荷的计算有更高的精度。