阻燃与未阻燃装饰装修木材在不同氧浓度下的热分析

利用热重分析仪对常见木质装饰装修材料白杨、白桦、红松以及这三种材料的阻燃品,在不同氧浓度条件下进行了热重分析(TGA)实验,通过对失重(TG)曲线、失重速率(DTG)曲线的分析,深入探讨了氧气体积分数对样品热解过程的影响.结果表明:对三种天然木材样品而言,氧浓度增大,样品的TG曲线左移.氧浓度对阻燃样品热解失重曲线的影响较小.热解过程用简单的动力学模型进行了模拟,确定了热解主反应段的动力学参数、表观活化能和频率因子,得到了各阶段的动力学方程.     

飞机防火试验中的燃烧反应动力学模型研究

使用反应路径分析法对Jet-A型航空煤油燃烧的气相燃烧机理进行简化。选用POSF-4658机理作为Jet-A燃烧的详细反应机理,该机理包含1607种燃烧组分、6633个基元反应机理。将飞机防火试验条件作为简化过程的初始条件,得到78种组分,196个反应机理的Jet-A燃烧机理。通过对Jet-A的简化反应机理、详细反应机理和JetA实验数据的比较可以发现,简化反应机理可以较准确地反映Jet-A型航空煤油在防火试验条件下的燃烧特性。利用常用的Jet-A型航空煤油简化机理计算的绝热火焰温度、点火延迟时间及层流火焰速度与本文提出的简化的计算值进行比较。结果表明,提出的简化机理在防火试验条件下具有较高的精确度。得到的Jet-A简化反应机理可为飞机防火试验的仿真研究提供燃烧场的化学反应动力学模型。     

β环糊精改性聚氨酯基涂料的火安全性与热解动力学分析

为提高膨胀型防火涂料的阻燃性能,以聚氨酯树脂为基料,以聚磷酸铵、尿素为阻燃体系,通过加入不同掺量的钛酸酯偶联剂改性β-环糊精(β-CD),提高阻燃效果。通过红外光谱仪(FT-IR)、锥形量热仪(CONE)、热重分析仪(TG)、差热扫描量热仪(DSC)等,研究改性β-CD的含量对膨胀型防火涂料的火安全性的影响,使用Coats-Redfern积分法计算涂料的热解动力学。研究结果表明：改性β-CD能有效地提高涂料的阻燃性能,当β-CD为1wt%时拥有最佳阻燃性能,1wt%改性β-CD能够提高涂层的蓄热能力,延缓APP的分解和抑制碳质材料的分解,进而提高涂料的阻燃性能。通过热解动力学拟合曲线得出,1wt%的样品能在253℃以后显著提高反应的活化能,提高涂层的阻燃性。     

壳聚糖改性聚磷酸铵复合漂珠基防火涂料的火灾安全性与热解动力学分析

为了探索燃煤电厂产生的工业固体废弃物(漂珠)的资源化利用。以碱活化漂珠为基料,以聚磷酸铵(APP)、双季戊四醇(DPER)为阻燃体系,通过加入壳聚糖改性的聚磷酸铵(CS@APP)制备防火涂料。基于红外光谱仪(FT-IR)、锥形量热仪(CONE)、热重分析(TGA),研究CS@APP的含量对涂料的火灾安全性的影响,使用Coats-Redfern积分法计算涂料的热解动力学。研究结果表明：CS@APP使涂料在燃烧过程中形成不可燃的坚固残留物,用于阻隔热源和火源,使热释放速率峰值显著降低,并且大大降低产烟量,能有效提高涂料的火灾安全性。通过热解动力学拟合曲线得出,0.4 wt%的样品使E_α在727～1 000℃从266.03 kJ/mol升高到345.16 kJ/mol,对应热稳定性增强。研究结果可拓展城市建筑火灾应急技术,促进绿色、低成本、多功能性防火涂料的应用。     

建筑装璜中几种常用板材热解特性及动力学研究

对建筑装璜中几种常用板材变工况的热解行为进行了热重分析（TG）和差分热重分析（DTG）研究。通过对TG和DTG曲线的分析,深入研究了影响样品热解过程的几个重要因素：升温速率、样品粒径和试样量对热解过程的影响,通过对十种模型的比较,发现热解过程符合两阶段一级反应模型。并得出了各阶段的动力学参数、表观活化能和频率因子。     

不同气氛下模塑聚苯乙烯泡沫热解动力学行为特性

采用热重-差示扫描量热(TG-DSC)联用技术,对空气和氮气氛围模塑聚苯乙烯(EPS)材料的热解动力学行为特性进行了实验研究,深入分析了气氛条件对EPS的热解动力学参数及反应机理函数的影响。结果发现:与空气气氛相比,氮气气氛下的热解曲线向高温区移动,反应起始和终止温度和峰温均相应提高,说明有氧存在热解反应更易进行;进一步利用Coats-Redfern法分析发现两种气氛条件下EPS的热解行为服从不同的反应机理函数,空气气氛时为成核与核增长函数A2/3,氮气气氛时为反应级数函数F3。     

PCB边角料基材的热解特性及动力学研究

针对当前广泛存在的FR-4型印刷电路板(PCB)边角料,开展了热解特性及动力学研究.首先,采用热重-差热法对PCB边角料基材进行了各种气氛下的热解试验.结果表明:各气氛下的TG曲线均分为3个阶段;DTG曲线的情况则不同,氮气气氛中存在两个失重峰(220～280℃、280～450℃),有氧气存在的情况下存在3个失重峰(220～280℃、280～400℃、400～600℃).其次,对不同反应气氛下的热解产物产率和热值进行了研究.热解气体、液体产率基本随着氧气体积分数的升高而提高,气、液、固体产物产率分别为8％～12％、41％～43％、45％～50％;热值为12～14 MJ/kg.并考察了反应起始温度、最大失重速度对应温度、反应终止温度、反应残余重量等热解特征参数随热解气氛的变化情况.最后,采用Kissinger方程对PCB边角料基材进行了热解动力学过程研究.结果表明,在热解反应DSC曲线峰值处(550～650 K)的动力学线性回归曲线具有很好的回归效果,该阶段的表观活化能为23.55 kJ/mol;指前因子为4.18× 105 s-1.     

基于活化能指标的煤自燃倾向性及发火期研究

在煤的自燃及热分析动力学的基础上,结合对神东矿区3种煤样进行了热重实验,运用热重分析手段对煤从常温到燃点之间的氧化热解过程进行了研究。运用不同动力学机制模型函数分别对热重分析数据进行了处理和相关性分析,结果表明煤炭氧化热解过程符合一级化学反应动力学机制,据此求出活化能等动力学参数。对基于活化能指标的煤的自燃倾向性及自然发火期进行了初步研究。经过研究发现,该方法是科学的、客观的。     

景区典型树种的热解特性及动力学研究

为了研究山林或景区中不同植物的热稳定性,选取了景区种植数量较多的6种典型树种:女贞、枇杷、竹子、松树、柏树和法桐的枝干和叶作为样品。借助同步热分析仪,在温升速率20℃/min的条件下,对未经干燥处理的样品进行热解特性及热解反应动力学研究。通过TG、DTG以及DSC曲线分析各样品的热解过程,并采用分阶段一级反应动力学模型Coats-Redfern法求得相应参数。研究结果表明:所取样品的热解过程都出现4个明显的热解阶段,即脱水阶段、综纤维素热解阶段、木质素热分解阶段、炭化阶段。根据6个树种的主要热解阶段和动力学分析,6种树种的热稳定性从低到高顺序依次为竹子、女贞、枇杷、法桐、柏树、松树。     

膨胀聚苯乙烯热分解动力学分析和寿命预测

针对既有聚苯乙烯泡沫类外墙外保温系统的防火问题,在空气和氮气气氛下对非阻燃和阻燃型膨胀聚苯乙烯泡沫进行了热重分析。样品由10℃/min、20℃/min、40℃/min和50℃/min四个升温速率从室温加热至800℃。热分解动力学参数由Flynn-Wall-Ozawa(FWO)等转化率方法和多参数非线性回归方法(multivariate non-linear re-gression method)计算,结果表明六溴环十二烷(HBCD)阻燃剂可一定程度上提高EPS的热稳定性。EPS在空气和氮气气氛下热解可认为是单步反应。非阻燃聚苯乙烯泡沫在空气和氮气气氛下的热解过程可由自催化n阶反应机理描述。阻燃EPS在空气气氛下的热解机理为自催化n阶反应,在氮气气氛下则为n阶反应机理。基于动力学参数和反应机理,对聚苯乙烯泡沫在不同温度下的寿命进行了预测。     

油浸变压器排油注氮装置在500kV变电站的设计与应用

在分析500kV变电站主变压器消防系统的现状,比较3类消防系统优缺点的基础上,详细论述了主变排油注氮装置的结构组成、工作原理、参数计算、控制系统设计以及需要注意的事项等,为下一步排油注氮装置的推广应用打下基础.     

HAZOP结合What-if方法在某延迟焦化装置除焦中的应用

为克服传统危险与可操作性（HAZOP）定性分析方法在复杂操作、间歇作业等过程中使用的局限性,提出在传统HAZOP定性分析方法的基础上结合What-if（故障假设）方法,对人的不安全行为和操作规程不完备所导致的风险后果分析作出补充。详细说明其技术原理、工作流程等使用细节,系统阐述该方法与传统HAZOP定性分析方法的区别,并在某延迟焦化装置的除焦操作的风险分析中应用。经分析,识别出在“给水-泡焦”节点,有“操作规程错误”场景2项,“操作规程不具体”场景1项,不存在“操作人员未按操作规程执行”场景。研究结果表明:本文方法有效且具有较好效果,可以广泛应用于操作规程/作业指导书审查、作业过程隐患排查等方面,帮助企业开展操作层面的风险识别与管理,提升企业的生产安全水平。     

潞安矿区煤层渗透率的各向异性特征实验研究

为了研究原位煤体渗透性的各向异性特征,以山西潞安常村矿3号煤层圆柱试样为对象,利用TCQT-Ⅲ型低渗煤层气相驱替增产试验装置,对煤样进行加载,并以氮气注入压力2.0 MPa的条件下,分析垂直层理和平行层理2个方向的煤体变形和渗透率变化特征。实验结果表明:煤样在加载过程中,平行和垂直层理煤样渗透率均随着有效应力的增大而减小,平行层理方向的渗透率始终大于垂直层理方向,应力加载初期渗透率急剧下降,最后逐渐趋于平缓;径向应变的增加量与渗透率呈正相关性,且平行层理相关性大于垂直层理;沿平行层理方向的裂隙度大于沿垂直层理方向,沿垂直层理方向的应变量大于沿平行层理方向;应变增加量均随有效应力的增加而逐渐减小。研究结果可为煤层井网布置及优化提供参考。     

Nighttime pedestrian fatalities: A comprehensive examination of infrastructure,user, vehicle,and situational factors

Introduction: Pedestrian fatalities in the United States increased 45.5% between 2009 and 2017. More than 85% of those additional pedestrian fatalities occurred at night. Method: We examine Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) data for fatal pedestrian crashes that occurred in the dark between 2002 and 2017. Within-variable and before/after examinations of crashes in terms of infrastructure, user, vehicle, and situational characteristics are performed with one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) and two-sample t-tests. We model changes in crash characteristic proportions between 2002–2009 and 2010–2017 using linear regressions and test for autocorrelation with Breusch-Godfrey tests. Results: The increase in fatal nighttime pedestrian crashes is most strongly correlated with infrastructure factors: non-intersection unmarked locations (saw 80.8% of additional fatalities); 40–45 mph roads (54.6%); five-lane roads (40.7%); urban (99.7%); and arterials (81.1%). In addition, SUVs were involved in 39.7% of additional fatalities, overrepresenting their share of the fleet. Increased pedestrian alcohol and drug involvement warrant further investigation. The age of pedestrians killed increased more (18.1%) than the national average (3.2%). Conclusions: By identifying factors related to the increase in nighttime pedestrian fatalities, this work constitutes a vital first step in making our streets safer for pedestrians. Practical Applications: More research is needed to understand the efficacy of different solutions, but this paper provides guidance for such future research. Engineering solutions such as road diets or traffic calming may be used to improve identified infrastructure issues by reducing vehicle speeds and road widths. Rethinking vehicle design, especially high front profiles, may improve vehicle issues. However, the problems giving rise to these pedestrian fatalities are likely a result of not only engineering issues but also interrelated social and political factors. Solutions may be correspondingly comprehensive, employing non-linear, systems-based approaches such as Safe Systems.     

Footedness and Mounting—Short Review and Two Case Studies

Footedness is a personal quality like handedness. Footedness may be associated with moving ability during mounting, dismounting, and jumping movements. Occupational accidents have occurred during movement at different working levels, during the use of access and exit systems, and during the mounting of vehicles. Aging can also affect accident risk and body laterality. For example, falling accidents on stairs are common among the elderly. One reason for accidents may be that the structure of the access system or stair system is unsuitable for individual moving patterns depending partly on body laterality. Footedness and the way the feet are used may be contradictory to the demands of the moving situation, especially during uncommon or rapid situations. This contradiction may trigger disturbance during moving. The aims of this pilot study were (a) to review the literature briefly and (b) to describe the use of the dominant and nondominant foot by farmers and the elderly when mounting a tractor and stairs, respectively. The study also gives ideas for future studies based on both (a) and (b).     

AHP与GA-SVM耦合模型在滑坡预警中的应用*

为了减少滑坡造成的损失,提高滑坡预测的准确性,通过搭建灾害模拟平台获得滑坡的实验数据,在获得多组模拟实验数据后,分析各变量的特性。首先,通过层次分析(Analytic Hierarchy Process,AHP)算法,对滑坡进行危险度划分;然后,通过支持向量机(Support Vector Machine,SVM)建立模型,遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)再优化SVM参数,提出1种层次分析法与GA-SVM相耦合的模型。研究结果表明:AHP方法划分后的数据,通过GA与SVM结合建立的模型精度较好,实验预测结果与实际结果较为吻合,与单一SVM相比,精度更高,结果更好,更加适用于多变量的复杂非线性滑坡预警。     

Debunking the false dichotomy of leadership idealism and pragmatism: Critical evaluation and support of newer genre leadership theories

Leadership theories have shifted over the last few decades from a focus on managerial functions and economic leader–follower exchanges toward greater focus on the interpersonal dynamics occurring within the leadership process. Theories such as transformational, ethical, authentic, and other “newer genre” theories were created to address neglected topics such as leader vision and inspirational messages, transparency, emotional effects, morality, individualized attention, and intellectual stimulation. Critiques of these theories, however, have been raised. In this paper, we address five of those critiques and argue for the validity and practical effectiveness of the new genre theories. Further, we describe how newer genre leadership research should be viewed as a performative epistemology, entailing a process of co‐creation involving scholars and practitioners. Finally, from this view, we provide general ideas for leader development. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Occupational Safety and Health in Finland

In Finland, occupational safety is the responsibility of the employer, while the occupational safety and health laws are enforced by the Labour Inspection Service, an organization of the state. The Labour Inspection is divided in 11 administrative districts, and it employs 360 professionals. They are mandated to carry out site visits without prearranged appointments to inspect safe work situations, working hours, construction safety, or any aspect of accident risks. The inspectors are also mandated to verify the existence of sufficient occupational health services as prescribed by the Occupational Health Services Act for all employees. The occupational health services are typically provided by enterprise-owned medical departments, by mutually owned health care centers, by private practitioners, or by municipal health care centers. The latter are required by law to provide all services as prescribed by the legislation to anyone who comes to the facility. This situation is prevalent in the countryside, where there are very few private caregiving centers. Declaring occupational accidents and disease cases is mandatory, and the Inspection districts examine all accidents to establish causes and consequences, and to initiate prosecution in case of criminal negligence. Labour Inspection Districts are also notified of the new occupational disease cases as they are declared to insurance companies. Insurance for occupational disease, accidents, and death is an obligation of the employer, although they can choose the insurance company. The medical confidentiality between the workers and their occupational health care providers is very strict. Official statistics are maintained by the state Statistics Finland organization, and they may be used, for example, for research purposes by scientific institutes like the Finnish Institute of Occupational Health. Construction industry accounts for 25% of all fatal accidents (120 cases per 1 million working hours), followed by mechanical, wood, metal, machinery, and pulp and paper industry (10% each of fatal accidents) with rates ranging from 100–160 cases per 1 million working hours. There are some 5,000 occupational disease cases per year (rate 22/10,000 employed). The major disease categories include repetitive strain injuries (1,300 cases), respiratory allergies (600 cases), occupational skin diseases (1,000 cases), and 900 cases of noise-caused hearing loss. In 1998, 589 cases of asbestos-related diseases were reported.     

森林地表火蔓延模拟方法及其计算机实现

进行了森林火蔓延的研究,对传统的经验公式和模型进行改进,明显发现改进的模型有更好的结果,用计算机巧妙准确地实现了模拟模型,在风力不是特别大,地形变化不是特别剧烈时,该模型有较高精度;并结合火蔓延的主要因素（气象因子、气候、地形等）,进行系统分析,写出算地,编制实现地表火蔓延的预测预报计算机系统软件。这对于有效的组织扑救、减少火灾损失、计算森林火灾的损失评估有重要意义。     

公路隧道火灾逃生疏散研究

以苍岭隧道为背景,首先采用经验计算理论和计算软件building EXODUS相结合的方式,从被困人员的安全疏散时间、高温烟气的影响、隧道横通道的利用率以及人员的疏散行为特性进行了研究。结果表明:中小规模火灾情况下的安全疏散时间控制在8 min之内,高温烟气影响不大,但横通道的利用率不平均,且人员疏散路线相对集中。然后对存在的逃生疏散问题提出针对性建议以及其他相关建议,旨在为更大程度降低事故的严重性和经济财产损失。