基于层次分析法的海外耕地投资风险评价

研究目的是对海外耕地投资的风险因子进行识别、对整体风险进行评价,为国家制定海外耕地投资政策及战略提供参考.研究方法为层次分析法.结果表明,海外耕地投资首先应当防范政治环境风险,并从国家政策支持、监管和企业自身角度防范海外耕地投资活动的资源风险,以及相关投资主体的技术风险和道德风险.认为进行海外耕地投资,国家要以“互惠、共赢”的合作方式与东道国保持良好的外交和对话关系,并树立起海外耕地投资企业“利益互惠、和谐共赢”的指导思想,同时从制定多重支持政策的角度加大对海外耕地投资企业的支持力度.     

国内资讯

《对外投资合作环境保护指南》发布商务部、环保部日前联合发布《对外投资合作环境保护指南》。《环保指南》是由两部门在借鉴国际经验和理念的基础上,结合中国国情研究制定的,旨在指导中国企业进一步规范对外投资合作中的环境保护行为,及时识别和防范环境风险,引导企业积极履行环境保护社会责任,树立中国企业良好对外形象,支持东道国的可持续发展。     

世行支持我国固废管理与供水项目

多边投资担保机构（MIGA）于2007年7月10日宣布为在我国的3个基础设施项目签发价值3420万美元的担保，为城市固体废物处理与供水领域的投资项目防范非商业性风险提供担保。     

资源获取型林业对外直接投资的风险预警

构建资源获取型林业对外直接投资风险预警指标体系,利用我国林业对外直接投资主要流向的12个资源型林业国家2008—2015年的样本数据,采用主成分分析法将各个年份样本国家的风险划分为四个不同等级,基于BP神经网络原理建立资源获取型林业对外直接投资风险预警。结果表明:当一国拥有稳定的政治环境和发达的经济金融体系,或一国的森林资源丰富且投资成本较低廉时,会产生较低的风险警戒;反之,经济状况较差和政治动荡的国家,即使森林资源较充裕,仍需加强风险预警防范。针对控制与防范风险,提出相应的对策与建议。     

农村社会组织提升社会资本及应对生计风险的作用研究北大核心

在实现共同富裕的道路上,提升农户社会资本和降低农户生计风险是乡村振兴持续关注的热点问题。在理论分析社会组织如何提升和改进社会资本后,聚焦农村社会组织如何影响农户社会资本的积累与提升、农户生计风险防范策略意愿,利用祁连山国家级自然保护区内武威市、张掖市995位农户的调查数据构建多元Logistic回归模型,分析参加社会组织状态及类别、地区差异等因素对农户生计风险防范策略意愿的影响。结果表明:(1)参加社会组织类别因素对农户生计风险防范策略意愿的影响作用显著,其中:服务类社会组织影响最大,文化类次之,经济类最小。(2)健康状况、受教育水平对农户生计风险防范策略的影响显著,受教育水平对其影响存在“脱钩”现象。(3)武威市农户参加社会组织对农户生计风险应对的影响显著小于张掖市。     

新型污染物风险防范国际实践及其对中国的启示

随着重化工业的快速发展和各类化学品的大量使用,一些新型污染物对中国居民和生态环境的危害正逐步显现并日趋严重。如何进一步完善中国新型污染物的风险防范体系,是中国生态环境治理面临的重要问题。发达国家新型污染物的风险防范工作启动较早,对中国完善新型污染物风险防范体系具有重要的借鉴意义。本文从制度建设、体制机制、评估监测、科学研究等方面比较国内外新型污染物风险防范实践的异同,立足我国国情,发现国内实践还需加强之处。在此基础上,提出国际新型污染物风险防范实践对中国的启示。     

WTO规则对西部开发的风险及机遇浅探

随着中国加入WTO进程的加快和西部大开发战略的实施，依法治国无疑是改善投资环境、促进西部开发的最有效手段之一。本文根据WTO基本原则与法制经济的相互关系和影响深入浅出地论述了WTO对西部开发的风险及机遇，并提出了针对性的策略和措施。     

环境基础设施推广BOT模式的可行性及风险

提出了在城市环境基础设施建设运行中，推广BOT模式具有可操作性和现实意义，但要注意防范风险。     

我国ESG投资基金发展趋势分析与展望

ESG投资作为基于企业社会价值投资的投资策略,已逐渐成为国际投资市场的焦点。国内ESG投资尚处于快速发展阶段,市场规律研究及监管机制建设尚处于探索发展阶段。本文系统分析了我国当前ESG投资实践发展进展及其创新,剖析了ESG投资基金相关政策进展、发展方向,以及ESG投资基金行业发展面临的关键问题,提出了促进投资理念渗透、提升信息披露质量、加快投资方式创新等对策建议,并就探索统一估值体系、深化ESG货币化测量研究等进行了展望。     

中国动态

七部门联合开展沿海陆源溢油污染风险防范大检查 经国务院批准同意,环保部将会同国土资源部、交通运输部、水利部、国资委、安全监管总局和国家能源局联合开展沿海地区陆源溢油污染风险防范大检查,切实防范陆源溢油污染风险,促进陆源石油的安全开发。检查范围包括天津、河北、     

Patience is a virtue: Problems of regulatory governance in the Indonesian mining sector

Mining investment in Indonesia has been at a standstill for a decade. Clearly. international mining companies regard the country as a high risk destination for capital. Yet Indonesia is one of the most highly mineralised countries in the world and has expressed a desire to increase investment in the sector in the coming years. As a first step in this direction the government has introduced a new mineral and coal mining law to replace the highly regarded Contract of Work system. The government argues that this new law will reinvigorate mining investment in the country. This paper suggests that the new mining law will do little to improve the situation. Indeed, it is unlikely that Indonesia will become a preferred destination for mining investment in the foreseeable future. Poor regulatory architecture, endemic corruption, and a lack of institutional capacity continue to be of concern to investors.     

Mining investment promotion

Attitudes in developing countries with respect to private investment in natural resources have changed substantially in recent years. Countries must now compete for such investment by ensuring that policies pertaining to state participation, financing, marketing and taxation of mining ventures provide the investor with returns that are commensurate with the risks taken. Governments must also be prepared to help the investor compete on world markets through lower capital and operating costs. This entails granting exemptions of customs, excise and value added taxes as well as providing for policies on taxation, government participation, industrial relations, safety and environment, and procurement and personnel that are in line with international mining industry standards. Efforts to promote mining sector investment through the strengthening of technical ministries, preparation of basic geological and project information, investment symposia and an international mining council can be helpful in bringing opportunities to the attention of the investment community. But, these efforts can only succeed if the policy changes now being put into place continue to evolve and contribute to an atmosphere in which entrepreneurship and private investment can flourish.     

地方政府投融资平台信息披露问题研究

地方政府投融资平台在促进地方经济发展，推动城市化进程，应对国际金融危机等方面发挥了重要作用。但由于缺乏统一的管理，各地方政府投融资平台财务状况披露不公开、不透明，债务风险急剧扩大，引起了有关部门和专家学者的高度关注。各地方政府应将融资平台的各种信息，特别是债务情况，定期向主管部门报告，建立地方投融资平台信用评价方法，使得投融资平台朝着健康、良性的方向发展。     

Is trade liberalisation bad for the environment? A review of the economic evidence

The continued growth in world trade and investment flows has led to a renewed interest among researchers and policy makers in the potential impact that trade liberalisation policy may have on the environment. The aim of this paper is to provide a balanced and accessible summary of the findings of recent economic research on the impact of growth in international trade and investment on environmental quality.     

我国开发性金融部门绿色投资价值的气候影响和风险研究

为应对气候变化,我国开发性金融部门探索绿色投资倒逼其低碳转型之路,相应的气候变化对其绿色投资的影响和风险值得深入研究。运用气候压力测试模型、WITCH模型和气候VaR对我国开发性金融机构绿色投资的气候冲击影响、气候风险进行实证研究。研究发现,极端气候冲击会对我国的开发性金融机构的投资价值及其投资表现产生负面影响;我国开发性金融机构绿色债券的票面利率受气候变化影响程度各异,国家开发银行随着气温的上升而增加,中国农业发展银行随着气温的下降而减少;我国开发性金融机构绿色投资气候风险各异,中国农业发展银行绿色投资的气候风险相对较大。研究成果为我国开发性金融部门应对气候变化的低碳转型和绿色投资的风险管理提供决策参考。     

Quantifying the Impact of Corporate Environmental Performance on Shareholder Value

This article demonstrates an approach for analyzing and communicating the financial implications of a company's environmental exposures. In environmentally sensitive industries, this approach can help companies to benchmark themselves against rivals, to identify major sources of environmental risk and opportunity, to assign financial values to risk‐mitigating options, and to communicate their environmental strategies to the investment community and other stake‐holders. © 2000 World Resources Institute. Used with permission.     

中国与美国对外直接投资区位选择的比较研究

基于邓宁的国际生产折衷理论,对比了中美两国投资规模、空间分布和发展阶段,利用灰色关联分析法比较了影响两国投资区位的因子.结果表明,影响美国对外投资的主要因子是人均GNP、CH和CO2的排放量,影响中国的主要因子是直接投资净流入量、航空运输量和CPI;美国对外直接投资属于市场导向型,而中国尚处于转型期,为对外投资第三阶段.     

International mining taxation issues and comparisons

This paper presents the quantitative results of recent research on Canada's minerals and metals industry, and its international competitiveness for mineral investment. The information and analysis presented are derived from the work of a Canadian government-industry task force that was created in 1991, under the auspices of the Intergovernmental Working Group on the Mineral Industry (IGWG). Much of this work deals with mining taxation in several Canadian provinces. More importantly, an attempt is made to evaluate the total tax burden that the mining industry must bear, on a project basis, at all levels from exploration through refining operations in many important competitor countries. While the focus of the paper is on an international comparison of mining taxation, some non-tax issues relating to Canada's competitiveness for mineral investment are addressed .     

Shortfalls in minerals investments

The international minerals industry continues to have a substantial investment shortfall. The widening exploration and mineral development gaps, not only in the lesser developed countries but also in the developed nations, are sowing the seeds for future mineral supply disruptions and conflicts. Mutuality of interests demands concerted initiatives, individual as well as collective, to reverse the investment trends established by international mineral finance and the multinational corporations in order to pave the way for secure mineral supplies in the future at acceptable prices.