Traffic atmospheric diffusion model

A digital computer model simulation of traffic flow using car-following theory and constrained random input has been developed to predict the concentration of gaseous pollutants (i.e. NO₂ and HC) in the atmosphere emitted from different types of vehicles on the roads, using a simple Gaussian dispersion point source plume.Measurements were made on different roads of Baghdad city. Atmospheric pollutant concentrations, traffic flow rate, traffic composition and climatic conditions were recorded.The prediction method was then tested against measurements. The predicted levels are in acceptable agreement with the measured values. The model was then used to examine various traffic and pollutant control strategies.     

A sulfur hexafluoride tracer study at the tracy power plant—I. Preliminary results

A plume tracer and flow visualization experiment has been conducted in the vicinity of the Tracy Power Station near Reno, Nevada during the period 7–20 November 1983. The experiment was undertaken as a preliminary project to help design a larger, full-scale experiment planned for the future. The major objective of the study was to determine the extent of plume impact on the ground, and to ascertain how plume impact is influenced by both terrain and meteorological factors. The tracer experiment involved the release of gaseous SF₆ through the stack of the Tracy Power Station, and the deployment of 53 syringe samplers distributed in an area within 10 km of the release point. Supplementing the tracer measurements were meteorological, remote sensing, and photographic measurements, all designed to visualize the dispersion of the plume. Ten tests were conducted, each lasting a period of up to 9 h. Hourly samples were collected and analyzed for SF₆. Five of the tests resulted in significant plume touchdown within the test area. Although at elevations above the surrounding terrain winds tend to be strong and blow predominantly from the west, SF₆ concentrations were frequently observed both east and west of the power plant. Concentration maxima were localized at discrete locations and altitudes depending on the local meteorological conditions.     

Use of CALPUFF for exposure assessment in a near-field,complex terrain setting

CALPUFF is an atmospheric source-receptor model recommended by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency for use on a case-by-case basis in complex terrain and wind conditions. The ability of the model to provide useful information for exposure assessments in areas with those topographical and meteorological conditions has received little attention. This is an important knowledge gap for use of CALPUFF outside of regulatory applications, such as exposure analyses conducted in support of risk assessments and health studies. We compared deposition of cadmium (Cd), lead (Pb), and zinc (Zn) calculated with CALPUFF as a result of emissions from a zinc smelter with corresponding concentrations of the metals measured in attic dust and soil samples obtained from the surrounding area. On a point-by-point analysis, predictions from CALPUFF explained 11% (lead) to 53% (zinc) of the variability in concentrations measured in attic dust. Levels of heavy metals in soil interpolated to 100 residential addresses from the distribution of concentrations measured in soil samples also agreed well with deposition predicted with CALPUFF: R² of 0.46, 0.76, and 079 for Pb, Cd, and Zn, respectively. Community-average concentrations of Cd, Pb, and Zn measured in soil were significantly (p < 0.0001) and strongly correlated (R² ranged from 0.77 to 0.98) with predicted deposition rates. These findings demonstrate that CALPUFF can provide reasonably accurate predictions of the patterns of long-term air pollutant deposition in the near-field associated with emissions from a discrete source in complex terrain. Because deposition estimates are calculated as a linear function of air concentrations, CALPUFF is expected to be reliable model for prediction of long-term average, near-field ambient air concentrations in complex terrain as well.     

Nitric acid-air diffusion coefficient: Experimental determination

Trace gaseous HNO₃ in air is removed in a laminar flow nylon tube. The HNO₃ deposition pattern was obtained by sectioning the tube, extracting with an aqueous solution, and measuring the concentration by ion chromatography. Mass transport analysis of the deposition pattern demonstrated the HNO₃ was removed from the air stream at a rate controlled by gaseous diffusion. The HNO₃-air diffusion coefficient = 0.118 ± 0.003 cm² s⁻¹ (n = 7) for T = 298 K and P = 1 atm. It exhibited no dependence on relative humidity over the range 5–95 %.     

Selection of an appropriate model to predict plume dispersion in coastal areas

In order to suggest a new methodology for selecting an appropriate dispersion model, various statistical measures having respective characteristics and recommended value ranges were integrated to produce a new single index by using fuzzy inference where eight statistical measures for various model results, including fractional bias (FB), normalized mean square error (NMSE), geometric bias mean (MG), geometric bias variance (VG), within a factor of two (FAC2), index of agreement (IOA), unpaired accuracy of the peak concentration (UAPC), and mean relative error (MRE), were taken as premise part variables. The new methodology using a single index was applied to the prediction of ground-level SO₂ concentration of 1-h average in coastal areas, where eight modeling combinations were organized with fumigation models, σ_y schemes for pre-fumigation, and modification schemes for σ_y during fumigation. As a result, the fumigation model of Lyons and Cole was found to have better predictability than the modified Gaussian model assuming that whole plume is immerged into the Thermal Internal Boundary Layer (TIBL). Again, a better scheme of σ_y (fumigation) was discerned. This approach, which employed the new integrated index, appears to be applicable to model evaluation or selection in various areas including complex coastal areas.     

Applied dispersion modelling based on meteorological scaling parameters

A method for calculating the dispersion of plumes in the atmospheric boundary layer is presented. The method is easy to use on a routine basis. The inputs to the method are fundamental meteorological parameters, which act as distinct scaling parameters for the turbulence. The atmospheric boundary layer is divided into a number of regimes. For each scaling regime we suggest models for the dispersion in the vertical direction. The models directly give the crosswind-integrated concentrations at the ground, x_y, for nonbuoyant releases from a continuous point source. Generally the vertical concentration profile is proposed to be other than Gaussian. The lateral concentration profile is always assumed to be Gaussian, and models for determining the lateral spread σ_y are proposed. The method is limited to horizontally homogeneous conditions and travel distances less than 10km. The method is evaluated against independent tracer experiments over land. The overall agreement between measurements and predictions is very good and better than that found with the traditional Gaussian plume model.     

Visibility degradation across Hong Kong: its components and their relative contributions

Daily average levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) and the time-matched, relative humidity-corrected airborne respirable suspended particulate (RSP^*) data from four air quality monitoring stations of the Environmental Protection Department (EPD) Network were subjected to analysis employing a linear multivariate model for visibility in Hong Kong. The respective NO₂ and RSP^* contributions to the extinction coefficient for Hong Kong Observatory, σ_ext(HKO) are estimated to be between 6–31% (mean: 17%) and 58–68% (mean: 62.5%), with a remainder of 11–30% (mean: 21%). The latter includes a small contribution due to Rayleigh scatter. The observed σ_ext agrees reasonably well with model prediction. During the July–October 1999 period, the particle scattering coefficient, σ_sp was determined at City University (CityU) in Kowloon with the aid of an integrated nepthelometer employing 3, 1-h sampling periods. This daily average value of σ_sp(CityU) is well correlated with the corresponding σ_ext(HKO). It is provisionally estimated that the fractional contribution by particulate absorption to σ_ext(HKO) is likely to be less than that by particulate scattering. A reasonable apportionment for σ_ext(HKO) is ∼39% particulate scattering, 19–29% particulate absorption, 17% gaseous absorption, and an estimated mean Rayleigh scatter of ∼4.3%. The unaccounted 16% is due to a negative bias assigned to deficiencies in sampling and in the various assumptions made. Results of continuous, 8-h daytime nephelometric measurements of σ_sp at the CityU, and the water-soluble ambient RSP constituents sampled in tandem at the same site during the February–April 2000 period suggest that SO₄^*, NH₄^* and K are apparently associated with light scattering at CityU. However, only the SO₄^* at this sampling site is related to time-matched σ_ext(HKO). Based on these and other results from a previous study, it is concluded that (i) σ_ext(HKO) is proportional to σ_sp, measured elsewhere in Hong Kong at distances between several to ∼10 km from the HKO headquarters and (ii) most of the fine SO₄ aerosol in Hong Kong is apparently advected into the territory.     

Numerical simulation of dispersion around an isolated cubic building: Comparison of various types of k–ɛ models

Prediction accuracy of flow and dispersion around a cubic building with a flush vent located on its roof was examined using various k–? models, and numerical results were compared with wind-tunnel data. Four types of turbulence models, i.e., the standard k–? model, the RNG k–? model, the k–? model with Launder and Kato modification and the Realizable k–? model were compared in this study. The standard k–? model provided inadequate results for the concentration field, because it could not reproduce the basic flow structure, such as the reverse flow on the roof. However, revised k–? models provided concentrations in better agreement with the experimental data. The effect of an oblique wind angle and vent locations on the prediction accuracy was also investigated. It was confirmed that the prediction accuracy of the velocity field strongly affected that of the concentration field. The RNG model showed general agreement with the experiment, and was the best of the turbulence models tested. However, it becomes clear that the results for all CFD models show poor prediction accuracy of concentration distribution at the side and leeward surfaces of the building since they all underestimate the concentration diffusion on these regions. The concentrations predicted by all CFD models were less diffusive than those of the experiment.     

An Inversion Algorithm for Determining Area-Source Emissions from Downwind Concentration Measurements

Measuring emissions from nonuniform area sources, such as waste repository sites, has been a difficult problem. A simple but reliable method is not available. An objective method of inverting downwind concentration measurements, utilizing an assumed form of atmospheric dispersion to reconstruct total emission rate and distribution, is described in this study. The Gaussian dispersion model is compared to a more realistic model based on K-theory and similarity expressions. A sensitivity analysis is presented indicating the atmospheric conditions under which a successful application of the method could be anticipated. Field releases of sulfur hexaf luoride (SF₆) from a simulated area source in flat terrain were conducted to check the method,ability to reconstruct source distribution, and total emission rate. The sensitivity analysis and the field study confirm that a few ground-level concentration measurements and a simple determination of the atmospheric dispersion characteristics are sufficient, under neutral to stable conditions, to obtain the total emission rate accurately. Reconstruction of the spatial pattern of the source is possible by utilizing concentration information from samplers located on two separate ground-level receptor lines, if a shift in the wind direction occurs and if it can be assumed that the total emission rate is time invariant. A method of cross-checking the accuracy of the reconstruction, using a simultaneous tracer release, is presented.     

Numerical modeling on air quality in an urban environment with changes of the aspect ratio and wind direction

Due to heavy traffic emissions within an urban environment, air quality during the last decade becomes worse year by year and hazard to public health. In the present work, numerical modeling of flow and dispersion of gaseous emissions from vehicle exhaust in a street canyon were investigated under changes of the aspect ratio and wind direction. The three-dimensional flow and dispersion of gaseous pollutants were modeled using a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model which was numerically solved using Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) equations. The diffusion flow field in the atmospheric boundary layer within the street canyon was studied for different aspect ratios (W/H?=?1/2, 3/4, and 1) and wind directions (θ?=?90°, 112.5°, 135°, and 157.5°). The numerical models were validated against wind tunnel results to optimize the turbulence model. The numerical results agreed well with the wind tunnel results. The simulation demonstrated that the minimum concentration at the human respiration height within the street canyon was on the windward side for aspect ratios W/H?=?1/2 and 1 and wind directions θ?=?112.5°, 135°, and 157.5°. The pollutant concentration level decreases as the wind direction and aspect ratio increase. The wind velocity and turbulence intensity increase as the aspect ratio and wind direction increase.     

A simple urban dispersion model tested with tracer data from Oklahoma City and Manhattan

A simple urban dispersion model is tested that is based on the Gaussian plume model and modifications to the Briggs urban dispersion curves. An initial dispersion coefficient (σ_o) of 40 m is assumed to apply in built-up downtown areas, and the stability is assumed to be slightly unstable during the day and slightly stable during the night. Observations from tracer experiments during the Joint Urban 2003 (JU2003) field study in Oklahoma City and the Madison Square Garden 2005 (MSG05) field study in Manhattan are used for model testing. The tracer SF₆ was released during JU2003 near ground level in the downtown area and concentrations were observed at over 100 locations within 4 km from the source. Six perfluorocarbon tracer (PFT) gases were released near ground level during MSG05 and sampled by about 20 samplers at the surface and on building roofs. The evaluations compare concentrations normalized by source release rate, C/Q, for each sampler location and each tracer release, where data were used only if both the observed and predicted concentrations exceeded threshold levels. At JU2003, for all samplers and release times, the fractional mean bias (FB) is about 0.2 during the day (20% mean underprediction) and 0.0 during the night. About 45 –50% of the predictions are within a factor of two (FAC2) of the observations day and night at JU2003. The maximum observed C/Q is about two times the maximum predicted C/Q both day and night. At MSG05, for all PFTs, surface samplers, and release times, FB is 0.14 and FAC2 is about 45%. The overall 60 min-averaged maximum C/Q is underpredicted by about 40% for the surface samplers and is overpredicted by about 25% for the building-roof samplers.     

冬季沈阳市典型源排放PM_(10)浓度分布模拟分析

选取沈阳市7个典型的大气污染源2006年12月~2007年2月的PM10排放浓度资料,利用CALPUFF对PM10浓度月平均分布做模拟分析。模拟结果分析表明:冬季月平均PM10浓度分布的范围与风场、地形有直接的关系。地势平坦、风速大时,污染物扩散范围大,污染物浓度小;地势不平、风速小时,污染物扩散范围小,污染物浓度大。1月份是沈阳市冬季月平均大气污染最严重的月份,污染物分布主要集中在市区的北部、东部和南部地区,东部地区大气污染最为严重。     

An experimental investigation of some methods of estimating turbulence parameters for use in dispersion models

The standard deviations of wind fluctuations in the horizontal and vertical directions, σ_θ and σ_φ, are now used in some pollution dispersion models to estimate the plume spread parameters σ_y and σ_z. Methods exist for estimating σ_θ and σ_φ when direct measurements are unavailable, using routine weather observations or wind measurements and temperature profiles from meteorological towers. In this paper such estimates are compared with direct measurements made at a height of 56 m, for a sampling time of 1 h, for a range of meteorological conditions. The work was carried out at a site in relatively irregular terrain. This was flat to rolling with a mixed surface cover within 1 km of the tower, with hills rising beyond that distance. Profile measurements were made with robust instruments rather than research grade sensors.Estimates of σ_φ made during the daytime agreed well with measurements, with a bias in the estimates of less than 0.4°. The r.m.s. differences between estimates and measurements were 1.1° (profile method) and less than 2° (routine weather observations method). Daytime σ_θ estimates were generally too low (bias 5–6°), although they were positively correlated with the measurements. At night σ_θ, was severely underestimated, and σ_φ was also underestimated.     

大气污染物扩散模式的应用研究综述

应用大气污染物扩散模式可以模拟不同尺度、气象、地形条件下工业污染物在大气中的输送与扩散特征,为大气监测、城市环境规划和空气质量预报等工作提供科学依据.归纳了目前广泛应用于模拟工业污染物扩散的模式,着重介绍了近年来国内外对这些模式的主要应用研究进展,比较了各模式在应用上的优缺点,并对大气污染物扩散模式的应用研究前景进行了讨论.     

A Wind Tunnel Study of Gaseous Pollutants in City Street Canyons

Steady state mean concentrations of tracer gas were measured in a 400:1 scale model of an idealized city with variable geometry placed within a wind tunnel at various orientations to the mean flow for a free stream velocity of 6.8 ft/sec. The tracer gas was released from two parallel line sources to simulate lanes of traffic in an effort to quantify the persistence of pollution as well as the mean values realized at street levels. An aerodynamically rough turbulent boundary layer of neutral thermal stratification was employed to simulate the atmosphere. Values of concentration measured in the model city were converted to prototype concentrations in ppm and compared to National Ambient Air Quality Standards. It was shown that single isolated structures may cause favorable mixing of pollution downwind but very high concentrations exist in the immediate leeward vicinity of the building. Two favorable geometries for city blocks tested were found to reduce pedestrian exposure to pollution both near heavy traffic congestion and downwind. It was concluded that the pollutant dilution was controlled by the mean flow rather than by turbulent diffusion and that the lateral spread of the plume was slight as one proceeded downwind of the line source. The combination of favorable geometry and higher dilution velocities may bring pollution levels down to existing Air Quality Standards. The body of information presented in this paper should interest city planners and air quality monitoring personnel, as well as those researchers attempting to study and model flow in city street canyons. It provides order of magnitude estimates on pedestrian and office worker exposure to pollutants under a wide range of conditions.     

A Comparison of Model Performance between AERMOD and AUSTAL2000

ABSTRACT

In this study the performance of the American Meteorological Society and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Regulatory Model (AERMOD), a Gaussian plume model, is compared in five test cases with the German Dispersion Model according to the Technical Instructions on Air Quality Control (Ausbreitungsmodell gemäβ der Technischen Anleitung zur Reinhaltung der Luft) (AUSTAL2000), a Lagrangian model. The test cases include different source types, rural and urban conditions, flat and complex terrain. The predicted concentrations are analyzed and compared with field data. For evaluation, quantile-quantile plots were used. Further, a performance measure is applied that refers to the upper end of concentration levels because this is the concentration range of utmost importance and interest for regulatory purposes. AERMOD generally predicted concentrations closer to the field observations. AERMOD and AUSTAL2000 performed considerably better when they included the emitting power plant building, indicating that the downwash effect near a source is an important factor. Although AERMOD handled mountainous terrain well, AUSTAL2000 significantly underestimated the concentrations under these conditions. In the urban test case AUSTAL2000 did not perform satisfactorily. This may be because AUSTAL2000, in contrast to AERMOD, does not use any algorithm for nightly turbulence as caused by the urban heat island effect. Both models performed acceptable for a nonbuoyant volume source. AUSTAL2000 had difficulties in stable conditions, resulting in severe underpredictions. This analysis indicates that AERMOD is the stronger model compared with AUSTAL2000 in cases with complex and urban terrain. The reasons for that seem to be AUSTAL2000's simplification of the meteorological input parameters and imprecision because of rounding errors.

IMPLICATIONS This study contributes to the understanding of dispersion modeling and demonstrates the advantage of detailed meteorological data. It also helps air quality regulators and planners to identify the most appropriate model to use. It is indicated that AERMOD is more suitable for air quality planning and regulation, when all required meteorological information is available, because its predictions are mostly closer to field observations. Furthermore AUSTAL2000 predicted concentrations that showed a narrow range and triggered far less impacts from the source.     

COMPLEX I and II Model Performance Evaluation in Nevada and New Mexico

The COMPLEX I and COMPLEX II Gaussian dispersion models for complex terrain applications have been made available by EPA. Various terrain treatment options under IOPT(25) can be selected for a particular application, one of which [IOPT(25) = 1] is an algorithm similar to that of the VALLEY model. A model performance evaluation exercise involving three of the available options with both COMPLEX models was carried out using SF⁶ tracer measurements taken during worst-case stable impaction conditions in complex terrain at the Harry Allen Plant site in southern Nevada. The models did not reproduce observed concentrations on an event by event basis, as correlation coefficients for 1-h concentrations of 0-0.3 were exhibited. When observed and calculated cumulative frequency distributions for 1-h and 3-h concentrations were compared, a close correspondence between observations and concentrations calculated with COMPLEX I, IOPT(25) = 2 or 3 was noted; both options consistently overestimated observed concentrations. With IOPT(25) = 1, upper percentile (maximum) values in the calculated frequency distribution exceeded the corresponding IOPT(25) = 2 or 3 value by roughly a factor of 2, and observed values by 2.5-5. COMPLEX II typically produced maximum values 2-4 times as great as COMPLEX I for the same terrain treatment option. From these results it is concluded that: 1) the physically unrealistic sector-spread approach used in VALLEY and COMPLEX I under stable impaction conditions is a surrogate for wind direction variation, and 2) the doubling of the plume centerline concentration due to ground reflection under terrain impingement conditions that is included in IOPT(25) = 1 is inappropriate.

These findings were found to be consistent with an analysis of noncurrent observed and calculated SO₂ χ/Q frequency distributions for 1, 3, and 24 hours near the Four Corners Plant in New Mexico. The comparison involved a four-year calculated χ/Q data set and a two-year observed χ/Q data set at the worst-case high terrain impact location near the plant.     

Numerical simulation of flow and dispersion around an isolated cubical building: The effect of the atmospheric stratification

The aim of this work is to investigate atmospheric flow and dispersion of contaminants in the vicinity of single buildings under different stability conditions. The mathematical model used is based on the solution of equations of conservation of mass, linear momentum and energy with the use of a non-standard κ–? turbulence model. The modifications proposed in the κ–? model are the inclusion of the Kato and Launder correction in the production of turbulent kinetic energy and the use of a modified wall function. Results are presented of numerical simulations of dispersion around a cubical obstacle, under neutral, stable and unstable atmospheric conditions. Experimental data from wind tunnel and field trials obtained by previous authors are used to validate the numerical results. The numerical simulation results show a reasonable level of agreement with field and wind tunnel concentration data. The deviation between model results and field experimental data is of the same order as the deviation between field and wind tunnel data.     

Application of a model system for the study of transport and diffusion in complex terrain to the TRACT experiment

The transport and diffusion processes of a tracer gas released near the ground in the Rhine valley region, in Central Europe, during the 1992 TRACT field experiment, are simulated by a computational model system for complex terrain. This system (RMS) is composed of the prognostic mesoscale model RAMS, the Lagrangian stochastic dispersion model SPRAY and the interface code MIRS, which links RAMS to SPRAY. Three flow simulations were performed, with different initialisations and the one showing the best agreement with the measured flow was selected for the simulation of the TRACT tracer experiment. Tracer concentrations measured by an array of samplers at ground level and by an airplane aloft, are used to evaluate the 3-D concentration field simulated by the model system. The analysis of the simulation results generated by RMS shows that our model system very well reproduces the general behaviour of the contaminant plume, the temporal and spatial distribution of the concentration and the location of the concentration maxima.