第二代空气质量模式HPDM的分析改进

对第二代空气质量模式一混合烟气扩散模式ＨＰＤＭ进行了分析，通过与ＰＰＳＰ、ＡＭＳ、ＧＢ等模式的对比和工程验算，提出了ＨＰＤＭ在计算混合层高度和处理烟气穿透方面的缺陷，并提出了相应的改进方案。计算结果表明：改进以后的模式性能更加完善，其预测结果总体上与改进前相当，但在夜间不出现浓度值的大幅度跃变，在部分局部穿透情况下不出现极端高浓度。     

Analysis of RADM gas concentration predictions using OSCAR and NEROS monitoring data

The ability of the Regional Acid Deposition Model (RADM) to produce realistic atmospheric trace gas concentration patterns for a variety of atmospheric conditions is explored by comparing model results with surface monitoring data. Two frontal storm system episodes, monitored in 1981 as part of the Oxidation and Scavenging Characteristics of Aptil Rains (OSCAR) experiment, and one relatively dry high-pressure-system case from the 1979 Northeast Regional Oxidant Study (NEROS) were studied. The temporal and spatial variations of SO₂, O₃ and N species monitored at selected locations throughout the eastern U.S. and Canada are compared to the corresponding RADM grid-average predictions. The analysis is complicated by the fact that grid averages are nor necessarily representative of point measurements when the measurements are strongly influenced by local subgrid-scale phenomena. The comparison database also is limited by gaps in the hourly monitoring data and ambiguity in the N species measurements. To reduce these difficulties, observational sites located in rural and suburban areas which are less influenced by large emission sources were chosen for the comparisons, sharp hourly spikes in the observational data were omitted from the analysis and nitrogen species comparisons were limited to special observations where the measurement ambiguities were less pronounced. Spatial distributions of SO₂ and O₃ daytime (10 a.m.–4 p.m.) and night-time (10 p.m.–4 a.m.) RADM concentration averages were compared to the observational averages to confirm that the model and data concentration patterns agreed over the domain. Intercomparisons of individual grid-point pair comparisons were facilitated using fractional differences, which are defined as the difference in the observations and predictions divided by the sum of the observations and predictions. Predictions and observations showed similar patterns of high and low concentrations throughout the region for all three of the events for the daytime comparisons; the lower night-time agreement improved when night-time stability adjustments were applied to the model predictions. Summarizing over all of the individual grid-point, day-total comparisons for all three events, it was found that, for O₃, all of the pairs were in agreement to better than a factor of two and 50% of them were in agreement to a factor of 1.1 or better; for SO₂, 88% of the pairs were in agreement to better than a factor of two and 25% of the pairs were in agreement to a factor of 1.1 or better. Predicted N species concentrations in the 1–4 and 5–7 ppb ranges for two OSCAR cases were comparable to the levels measured at a rural Indiana site during the OSCAR I and OSCAR IV events. Predictions of NEROS NO_x in the 3–11 ppb range were comparable with the concentrations measured at a rural Pennsylvania site for a summer 1986 case meteorologically similar to the 1979 NEROS I event. In general, higher agreement is associated with well-mixed conditions in areas where local characteristics of the observational site more closely resemble the grid-average characteristics.     

上海市城市化进程中热环境响应的空间评价

利用Landsat TM/ETM+ 遥感数据解译与反演得到上海市1997~2009年的土地利用/覆盖类型图及热岛强度分布图,并分析其演变趋势,引入温度-植被指数(TVX)并采用TVX空间法定量研究了以建设用地扩张、生态用地减少为特点的城市化过程引起的热环境效应.研究表明,1997~2009年,上海市人口呈现从中心城至郊区的流动趋势;热岛强度分布与城市化建设密切相关,呈现“葫芦串-葡萄串-摊大饼型”的蔓延模式;以牺牲生态用地为代价的建设用地扩张造成研究区域地表温度的上升及植被覆盖度的下降,其中林地减少所引起的热环境效应最大.研究可为城市规划决策过程中不同城市化空间的拓展情景提供其可能的环境响应结果,从而完善气候变化适应性对策,推进城市生态系统的可持续发展.     

中国法规大气扩散模式及其与其他模式的比较

介绍了中国法规性大气扩散模式(CRADM),分析了CRADM和西方一些模式(如HPDM,AMS)的差别。采用同样条件作为输入,比较并讨论了CRADM,HPDM和AMS在各方面的性能差异。分析了中国大气扩散模式在环境影响评价应用中出现的一些问题,提出了改进建议。特别地,研究表明中性条件下Briggs烟气抬升公式对实际抬升有过高估计,原因是没有考虑环境湍流对烟羽的累积作用      

流域水质目标管理的AIZ量化分配技术

“分配影响区”（AIZ）概念是对传统混合区概念及其应用的一次重要补充和修正.它以保持水生态完整性为目的,将分配的概念引入对混合区的管理.AIZ过程涉及的“相对环境价值”、“保护水平”和“毒性质量”等重要概念需要多学科共同研究确定,也是分配过程的关键.在详细介绍了AIZ制定过程的基础上,以大宁河为例说明分配计算过程.采用基于毒性质量的分配方法,结合相关文献资料确定水体用途区和有关参数,计算出各用途区内AIZ的允许面积,该面积即为水体中各排放允许的影响区域.最后给出计算结果说明和管理应用,认为该分配结果要严于一般的“混合区”规定.同时认为该方法是对水体进行综合、量化管理的一个有效手段.      

Urban CO<Subscript>2</Subscript> emissions in Xi’an and Bangalore by commuters: implications for controlling urban transportation carbon dioxide emissions in developing countries

China and India together have more than one third of the world population and are two emerging economic giants of the developing world now experiencing rapid economic growth, urbanization, and motorization. The urban transportation sector is a major source of carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in China and India. The goal of this study is to analyze the characteristics and factors of CO₂ emissions produced by commuters in Chinese and Indian cities and thus to identify strategies for reducing transportation CO₂ emissions and mitigating global climate change. Xi’an in China and Bangalore in India were chosen as two case study cities for their representativeness of major cities in China and India. The trends of CO₂ emissions produced by major traffic modes (electric motors, buses, and cars) in major cities of China and India were predicted and analyzed. The spatial distributions of CO₂ emissions produced by commuters in both cities were assessed using spatial analysis module in ArcGIS (Geographic Information System) software. Tobit models were then developed to investigate the impact factors of the emissions. The study has several findings. Firstly, in both cities, the increase of vehicle occupancy could reduce commuting CO₂ emissions by 20 to 50 % or conversely, if vehicle occupancy reduces, an increase by 33.33 to 66.67 %. It is estimated that, with the current increasing speed of CO₂ emissions in Xi’an, the total CO₂ emissions from electric motors, buses, and cars in major cities of China and India will be increased from 135?×?10⁶ t in 2012 to 961?×?10⁶ t in 2030, accounting for 0.37 to 2.67 % of the total global CO₂ emissions of 2013, which is significant for global climate change. Secondly, households and individuals in the outer areas of both cities produce higher emissions than those in the inner areas. Thirdly, the lower emissions in Xi’an are due to the higher density and more compact urban pattern, shorter commuting distances, higher transit shares, and more clean energy vehicles. The more dispersed and extensive urban sprawl and the prevalence of two-wheeler motorbikes (two-wheeler motorbike is abbreviated as “two-wheeler” in the following sections) fueled by gasoline cause higher emissions in Bangalore. Fourthly, car availability, higher household income, living outside the 2nd or Outer Ring Road, distance from the bus stop, and working in the foreign companies in Bangalore are significant and positive factors of commuting CO₂ emissions. Fifthly, “70-20” and “50-20” (this means that generally, 20 % of commuters and households produce 70 % of total emissions in Xi’an and 20 % of commuters and households produce 50 % of total emissions in Bangalore) emission patterns exist in Xi’an and Bangalore, respectively. Several strategies have been proposed to reduce urban CO₂ emissions produced by commuters and further to mitigate global climate change. Firstly, in the early stage of fast urbanization, enough monetary and land investment should be ensured to develop rail transit or rapid bus routes from outer areas to inner areas in the cities to avoid high dependency on cars, thus to implement the transit-oriented development (TOD), which is the key for Chinese and Indian cities to mitigate the impact on global climate change caused by CO₂ emissions. Secondly, in Bangalore, it is necessary to improve public transit service and increase the bus stop coverage combined with car demand controls along the ring roads, in the outer areas, and in the industry areas where Indian foreign companies and the governments are located. Thirdly, Indian should put more efforts to provide alternative cleaner transport modes while China should put more efforts to reduce CO₂ emissions from high emitters.     

Ground-high altitude joint detection of ozone and nitrogen oxides in urban areas of Beijing

Based on observational data of ozone(O3) and nitrogen oxide(NOx) mixing ratios on the ground and at high altitude in urban areas of Beijing during a period of six days in November 2011,the temporal and spatial characteristics of mixing ratios were analyzed.The major findings include:urban O3 mixing ratios are low and NOx mixing ratios are always high near the road in November.Vertical variations of the gases are significantly different in and above the planetary boundary layer.The mixing ratio of O3 is negatively correlated with that of NOx and they are positively correlated with air temperature,which is the main factor directly causing vertical variation of O3 and NOx mixing ratios at 600-2100m altitude.The NOx mixing ratios elevated during the heating period,while the O3 mixing ratios decreased:these phenomena are more significant at high altitudes compared to lower altitudes.During November,air masses in the urban areas of Beijing are brought by northwesterly winds,which transport O3 and NOx at low mixing ratios.Due to Beijing’s natural geographical location,northwest air currents are beneficial to the dilution and dispersion of pollutants,which can result in lower O3 and NOx background values in the Beijing urban area.     

Employing the shared socioeconomic pathways to predict CO2 emissions

Predicting CO₂ emissions is of significant interest to policymakers and scholars alike. The following article contributes to earlier work by using the recently released “shared socioeconomic pathways” (SSPs) to empirically model CO₂ emissions in the future. To this end, I employ in-sample and out-of-sample techniques to assess the prediction accuracy of the underlying model, before forecasting countries’ emission rates until 2100. This article makes three central contributions to the literature. First, as one of the first studies, I improve upon the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) by incorporating the SSPs, which did not exist when the RCPs have been released. Second, I calculate predictions and forecasts for a global sample in 1960–2100, which circumvents issues of limited time periods and sample selection bias in previous research. Third, I thoroughly assess the prediction accuracy of the model, which contributes to providing a guideline for prediction exercises in general using in-sample and out-of-sample approaches. This research presents findings that crucially inform scholars and policymakers, especially in light of the prominent 2 °C goal: none of the five SSP scenarios is likely to be linked to emission patterns that would suggest achieving the 2 °C goal is realistic.     

Practical experiences with the implementation of the concept of zero emissions in the surface treatment industry in Austria

The authors have developed the approach of the “Zero emission retrofitting method for existing galvanizing plants” (ZERMEG). The goal of this approach is to take existing galvanizing plants as far as possible towards zero emissions. The development was supported by the Austrian ministry for science and technology within the programme “Factory of the Future”. The method consists first of an analytical step to describe the existing performance of the plant in terms of production, water input and input of chemicals, a second step is designed to characterize the theoretically possible minimum consumption using the present equipment and the third step is the comparison of the present to the ideal situation to identify optimisation options (improved draining, dosage of chemicals, control of rinsing water, mixing in the tanks, etc.).To facilitate the calculations, a Microsoft-Excel-programme was developed (Zero Emission Program Analysis, ZEPRA), which allows to calculate the ideal water consumption of different configurations of rin ses, drag out for different shapes and surface conditions of parts, and changes in concentrations of active baths. A technology data bank was developed that includes information on different technologies to enlarge the useful time of galvanizing baths or to recycle spent solutions and rinsing water.This paper describes case studies in five galvanizing plants. The measures which were implemented include changing the rinsing cascades in three plants at the wire producer Pengg (reduction of the water consumption in the batch pickling plant by 50%), the use of spent caustics to preneutralise spent process baths and the implementation of an electrolysis plant to recover copper at the printed circuit board manufacturer AT&S (recovery of 20 kg/day of copper), optimising the pickling baths of the hot dip galvanizer Mosdorfer (50% reduction of consumption of acids) and the optimisation of the spray rinses in the automatic copper plating plants of the producer of printing cyclinders Rotoform (reduction of water consumption by 50%, reduction of acid consumption by 40%).The work showed, that in three of the five plants it was possible to fully avoid the discharge of spent process baths. One plant now operates at zero emissions. In one plant it would be technically feasible to do so, however, it is not economically feasible, at this time.     

Heterogeneous reactions of SO2 and NO2 on carbonaceous surfaces

Four different types of carbonaceous material (active carbon, graphitized carbon black, source samples from a power plant and from an urban heating boiler) were exposed to synthetic gas mixtures of SO₂ and SO₂ + NO₂ in sub-ppm ranges at two different relative humidities (60 and 90% r.h.). The interaction of SO₂ and NO₂ with the carbonaceous materials led to sulfate and to three other products: NO, HONO and NO₂⁻. Formation of NO and NO₂⁻ was observed only on active carbon while the other three materials yielded HONO. It was also found that NO₂ enhances the deposition of SO₂ only on the source sample from the power plant at 60% r.h., whereas the material from the urban heating boiler had no effect both at low and high r.h. The results obtained show that no general statements on the effect of NO₂ on the heterogeneous reaction of SO₂ on these carbonaceous materials can be made and also that NO₂ reactions in the presence of SO₂ on carbon-containing surfaces should be considered as a source for the production of HONO in the urban environment.     

Origin of high particle number concentrations reaching the St. Louis, Midwest Supersite

Ultrafine particles are associated with adverse health effects. Total Particle Number Concentration (TNC) of fine particles were measured during 2002 at the St. Louis — Midwest supersite. The time series showed overall low level with frequent large peaks. The time series was analyzed alongside criteria pollutant measurements and meteorological observations. Multiple regression analysis was used to identify further contributing factors and to determine the association of different pollutants with TNC levels. This showed the strong contribution of sulfur dioxide (SO₂) and nitrogen oxides (NO_x) to high TNC levels. The analysis also suggested that increased dispersion resulting from faster winds and higher mixing heights led to higher TNC levels. Overall, the results show that there were intense particle nucleation events in a SO₂ rich plume reaching the site which contributed around 29% of TNC. A further 40% was associated with primary emissions from mobile sources. By separating the remaining TNC by time of day and clear sky conditions, we suggest that most likely 8% of TNC are due to regional nucleation events and 23% are associated with the general urban background.     

Quantification of carbon dioxide and methane emissions in urban areas: source apportionment based on atmospheric observations

Anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) in the atmosphere constitute an important component of the related carbon budget. The main source of anthropogenic CO₂ is burning of fossil fuels, especially in densely populated areas. Similar emissions of CH₄ are associated with the agricultural sector, coal mining, and other human activities, such as waste management and storage and natural gas networks supplying methane to large urban, industrial centers. We discuss several methods aimed at characterizing and quantifying atmospheric loads and fluxes of CO₂ and CH₄ in Krakow, the second largest city in Poland. The methods are based on atmospheric observations of mixing ratios as well as isotopic composition of the investigated gases. Atmospheric mixing ratios of CO₂ and CH₄ were measured using gas chromatography (GC) and cavity ring-down spectroscopy (CRDS). The isotopic composition of CO₂ and CH₄ was analyzed using isotope ratio mass spectrometry (IRMS), accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS), and CRDS techniques. These data, combined with auxiliary information characterizing the intensity of vertical mixing in the lower atmosphere (height of the nocturnal boundary layer [NBL] and atmospheric ²²²Rn concentration), were further used to quantify emission rates of CO₂ and CH₄ in the urban atmosphere of Krakow. These methods provide an efficient way of quantifying surface emissions of major greenhouse gases originating from distributed sources, thus complementing the widely used bottom-up methodology based on emission statistics.

     

“无废城市”驱动下的城市代谢系统优化潜力评估:以盘锦市为例

“无废城市”建设试点的提出标志着中国“无废社会”战略的实施和落实。采用物质流分析法量化了盘锦市2005—2018年的城市物质代谢;采用层次分析法和熵权法综合评价城市经济、资源、环境子系统的发展水平;借助系统动力学探究“无废城市”综合管理相较于其他发展模式对城市代谢系统优化的多方面潜力。结果表明:盘锦市物质投入产出具有“高投入、高排放、高隐藏流”特点;资源效益发展受限影响着整体城市代谢水平;在“无废城市”综合管理模式下,预计2025年资源产出率将在2018年基础上提高20.29%,环境效率提升4倍,极大地促进城市代谢系统资源、环境、经济层面的优化。     

Computing heavy metals in Europe's atmosphere—I. Model development and testing

This paper presents the development of the TRACE model (TRace toxic Air Concentrations in Europe) which computers the air concentration and deposition of various heavy metals (As, Cd, Pb, Zn) on a European scale. TRACE is an improved climatological-type model in that (1) travel time is computed from an empirical function rather than from an assumed constant velocity, (2) the model tends to conserve mass, (3) the irregularity of spatial deposition patterns is captured, and (4) parameters are objectively determined. The dry deposition velocity is spatially varying, and is computed with a dry deposition model as a function of “local” u₁, z_o, together with an assumed characteristic particle size distribution.The model has been used to compute levels of heavy metals for 1978–1985 throughout Europe. Calculations agree with As and Pb observations with a factor of two, and underestimate Cd and Zn observations.Using the model it was estimated that wet deposition exceeds dry deposition in most of central Europe. The mean residence time of the mass of As, Cd, Pb and Zn in Europe's lower atmosphere is estimated to be about 64h and for Pb, 96 h.     

An investigation of three-dimensional characteristics of flow regimes within the urban canyon

Canyon geometry is an important determinant characteristic airflow regimes observed within urban canyons. Three principal flow regimes are: “skimming” flow, “wake interference” flow and “isolated roughness” flow, following the nomenclature of Oke (1987, Boundary Layer Climates, 2nd edn, Methuen, London). The transition between flows is determined by canyon geometry and can be described in terms of threshold height/width (H/W) ratios for an arbitrary length/height (L/H) ratio.The determination of threshold H/W ratios has previously relied on repeated wind tunnel experiments or repeated runs of a numerical model, with canyon geometry altered until the observed flow regime changes. The present numerical investigation of typical three-dimensional flows within urban canyons identifies the key parameters which mark transition between flow regimes. On this basis it is possible to establish the geometric thresholds between regimes with analysis of a horizontal cross-section of a few simulated flows.     

A photochemical box model for urban air quality study

The photochemical box model (PBM) developed in the present study is based on the principle of mass conservation. It has a horizontal domain of the size of a typical city and a vertical dimension defined by the mixed-layer height. The concentration of any pollutant is determined by horizontal advection, vertical entrainment, source emissions and chemical reactions. A one-dimensional high resolution boundary layer model by Blackadar (Preprints, Third Symp. on Atmospheric Turbulence, Diffusion, and Air Quality, Raleigh, Am. Met. Soc., pp. 443–447, 1976; Advances in Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Vol. 1, No. 1 (edited by Pfafflin J. and Ziegler E.), pp. 50–85. Gordon and Breach, New York, 1979) has been incorporated in the PBM and further developed to consider the effect of urban heat islands in the simulation of mixed layer height. The predicted mixed-layer heights compare very well with observations. The gas phase chemical kinetic mechanism used in the Regional Acid Deposition Model II (RADM2) and that of an earlier version of PBM have been used to calculate the contributions of chemical reactions to the changes of pollutant concentrations. Detailed analysis and comparisons of the two chemical mechanisms have been made. The simulated pollutant concentrations using both chemical mechanisms are in very good agreement with available observations for CO, NO, NO₂ and O₃. A radiative transfer model developed by Madronich (J. geophys. Res.92, 9740–9752, 1987) has been incorporated in the PBM for the calculation of actinic flux and photolytic rate constants. Height-averaged and radiation-corrected photolytic rate constants are used for the photochemical reactions. Budget analyses conducted for CO, NO, NO₂ and O₃ have enhanced our understanding of the relative contributions of horizontal advection, vertical entrainment, source emissions and chemical reactions to the overall rate of change of their concentrations. Model predictions are not sensitive to the large number of peroxy radical-peroxy radical reactions in the RADM2 chemical mechanism under urban conditions.     

多元集对模型在污水处理厂改造决策中应用

建立利用多元联系数集对分析方法对城市污水处理厂规划改造决策的综合评价新模型 ,并对 1 1座污水处理厂进行改造决策综合评价 ,结果表明 :多元联系数集对分析评价模型严谨 ,评价结果合理、精细、分辨率高 ,其评价结果符合实际 ,为污水处理厂规划改造决策综合评价提供一种简单而适用的评价方法     

同流环境多圆孔热废水排放数值模拟

各种热电、核电厂排出的热污(废)水在直接进入环境流体之前,以多孔口浮射流的形式释放污水并确保污水在排污口快速混合非常重要。精确的了解和预测多孔浮射流的特性与混合状况有很重要的意义。针对同向流动环境中多圆形孔口热水排放的情况,采用雷诺应力模型进行数值模拟,得到了不同流速比和不同射流温度下的流场和温度场、浮射流的轨迹线、轴线上温度和速度的衰减规律,并且分析了不同孔间距、流速比和射流温度对流场中流速和温度的影响。     

电除尘器带屏蔽管电晕线组的研究

带电晕屏蔽管电晕线组的研究 ,适应环保标准日益严格和燃煤电厂大量燃用低硫煤的现状。这种新的极配形式可以随工况的变化来调节屏蔽管的位置 ,并可抑制电晕电流的强度 ,使之能够在“高电压低电流”的安全状态下稳定运行 ,它还能使收尘极板电流密度均匀化 ,从而可以有效地减弱或克服反电晕以及节约能源