系统动力学在我国可持续发展战略中的研究进展

系统动力学是一种以反馈控制理论为基础、计算机仿真技术为手段，研究复杂社会经济大系统的方法。随着可持续发展战略的提出，该方法得到了广泛应用。综述了近年来系统动力学方法在我国可持续发展战略中的研究进展，着重介绍了该方法在区域资源生态承载力方面的研究，提出了系统动力学研究的方向。     

环渤海地区金融与区域经济系统耦合协调度研究

切实加强和改善对金融的管理指导、支持服务,促进金融可持续发展,是推动区域经济实现科学发展的基础条件和必然要求。运用AHP-EVM组合赋权法和耦合协调度模型建造金融与区域经济的耦合协调评价指标体系,对环渤海地区的金融及区域经济耦合协调的演化过程进行分析,提出了促进环渤海金融与区域经济协调发展的政策建议。     

环境友好型社会的核心内涵是可持续发展

环境友好型社会是一种人与自然和谐共生的社会形态。其核心内涵是人类的生产和消费活动与自然生态系统协调可持续发展。与资源节约型社会相比,环境友好型社会更为强调生产和消费活动对于自然生态环境的影响,强调人类必须将其生产和生活强度规范在生态环境的承载能力范围之内,强     

山东省环境经济系统地域分异研究

环境保护与经济发展相协调,是人类社会持续发展的必由之路.环境经济系统是由环境子系统和经济子系统耦合而成的复合大系统.在用系统论对环境经济系统进行结构分析的基础上,采用主成分分析法和加法合成原理,对山东省17地市环境经济系统进行综合分析和类型划分,并从地域差异角度提出了分区特点及今后的发展建议,以期为山东省环境经济系统高水平协调发展提供决策依据.     

市场经济与宜宾经济发展战略

宜宾有丰富的自然资源,但至今经济仍然落后。本文剖析了这种既富饶又贫困的主要原因,提出了振兴宜宾经济的发展战略。     

通江县社会经济生态发展总体规划的研究

通江县地处川东秦巴山区。全县62万人,幅员4100km~2,境内光、热、水、土地、生物资源丰富,通江银耳驰名中外。但曲于多方面原因,到目前为止,全县大部分农民的温饱问题尚未得到彻底解决,仍属于全省典型的老、山、边、穷地区。为了改变该县的面貌,在省系统办、省开发办、省科委、省国土局的领导下,省自然资源研究     

敦煌市旅游经济系统脆弱性评价研究

以甘肃省敦煌市为例,将集对分析法引入旅游经济系统脆弱性评价,并利用1990—2012年的统计数据,研究敦煌市旅游经济系统演变格局及其主要影响因素。研究表明:①敦煌市旅游经济系统脆弱性分为1990—1998年、1999—2002年、2003—2008年和2009—2012年4个阶段;②脆弱性和敏感性整体上呈下降趋势,而应对性呈上升趋势;③敏感性对旅游经济系统脆弱性变化影响更大;④主要影响因素有:游客量增长率、旅游总收入增长率、旅游行业利润率、人均GDP等。     

基于系统动力学的矿产资源补偿体系构成研究

运用系统动力学方法构建了具有动态性、系统性的矿产资源开发补偿体系。该体系由矿产资源价值补偿子系统、矿产资源生态补偿子系统和矿产资源代际补偿子系统构成。运用Vensim软件绘制了各子系统的正、反馈流程图,并用灰色关联度分析方法构建了辅助变量影响度的数学模型,为矿产资源开发补偿制度的建立提供可参考的依据。     

Ecological and economic dynamics of the Shunde agricultural system under China's small city development strategy

The agricultural and industrial development of small cities is the primary environmental management strategy employed to make full use of extra labor in the rural areas of China. The ecological and economic consequences of this development strategy will affect over 100 million people and change the organization of the Chinese landscape. In this study, we examined the agricultural development of Shunde, a small city in Guangdong Province, over the period 1978 until 2000. Our analysis of the ecological and economic dynamics of the agricultural system revealed the dominant role of labor in the intensification of agricultural production, even though the use of fuels, fertilizers and machines also increased during this time. The Shunde agricultural system was examined from both biophysical or donor-based and human utility or receiver-based perspectives, using emergy and economic methods, respectively. After 22 years of urbanization, the Shunde agricultural system was still able to fill 96% of the local demand for agricultural products using only 6% of its total yield compared to using 14% of the total yield in 1978. Aquaculture developed quickly during the study period as grain production decreased. In 2000, the production of fish, pork, and vegetables accounted for 92% of the total emergy output of the system; however, the emergy buying power of the money received in exchange was lower than the emergy contained in the products exported. The excess emergy exported is the basis for a high quality diet delivered to city dwellers at a relatively low price. In the 1980s, the productivity of both land and labor increased; but after 1992 the productivity of labor decreased, causing the efficiency of the whole agricultural system to decrease. We recommend that processing plants be established for the main agricultural products of Shunde to decrease the emergy loss in trading and to increase employment. The effect of including monetized ecosystem services in the balance between the emergy delivered to the markets in agricultural products and the emergy buying power of the money received was to decrease the emergy gained by the Shunde agricultural system.     

Mapping institutional work as a method for local strategy; learning from boom/bust dynamics in the Canadian west

We investigate the potential of mapping institutional work in communities as a method for both analyzing and formulating local development strategy. Twelve Canadian case communities experiencing dramatic ups and downs (‘boom and bust towns’) serve as the empirical base. Analytically, we find that institutional work for strategy takes on very diverse forms, some of them not described in the literature, and further identify a special class of institutional work associated with leadership. Normatively, we demonstrate that mapping institutional work can be a structured process of self-reflection underpinning strategy. For the Canadian case study, we find that lack of local autonomy is often a stumbling block for strategy. More broadly, we conclude that mapping institutional work for strategy works best when governance evolutions are grasped as context, and when strategy itself is understood in its complex, multifaceted nature: a narrative, a way of linking institutions, and an institution in itself.     

Examining the place of ecological integrity in environmental justice: A systematic review

Environmental justice research is predominately an anthropocentric endeavour, and it is unclear whether this research captures injustices to other species or the integrity of ecological systems that support all life on earth. The purpose of this article is three-fold. First, we systematically review the environmental justice literature to identify the epistemological perspectives from which environmental justice is conveyed. Second, we examine definitions of environmental justice to determine how the concept is operationalised across these paradigms. Third, we document under what conditions these definitions purposely acknowledge the interdependency of all species in order to elucidate the place (or absence) of ecological integrity in our understanding of environmental justice. We conclude with a discussion of the value of going beyond mainstream expressions of environmental justice that typically do not include ecological integrity as a way to begin addressing the problem in a more holistic way.     

固体废物全过程管理中固体废物鉴别研究

对固体废物应进行全过程管理,固体废物鉴别是固体废物全过程管理的基础和关键,包括依据产生来源鉴别和过程鉴别两种方法,依据产生来源鉴别包括丧失原有利用价值的物质、在生产过程中产生的副产物、环境治理和污染控制过程中产生的物质、其他物质四类,在每一类中详细地列举了属于该产生来源的具体固体废物种类名称,便于理解和增强可操作性。过程鉴别包括在固体废物再生利用过程和处置过程中的固体废物鉴别两类,其中在再生利用过程的固体废物鉴别中明确指出了固体废物再生利用产物只有同时满足产品质量标准要求、国家污染控制标准要求以及有实际市场需求、固定用户等条件时,才不作为固体废物管理,在处置过程的固体废物鉴别中具体地列出了处置固体废物全过程中仍然作为固体废物管理的国际惯用处置方式。同时,给出了清晰的"原料—产品—固体废物—处置或产品"全过程中固体废物的产生节点和相应的固体废物类别图,为固体废物鉴别工作提供参考,使固体废物全过程管理有的放矢,有效防止固体废物对环境和人体健康造成的危害。     

建设项目环境保护管理信息化体系建设研究

建设项目环境保护管理是我国环境保护事业的重要组成部分,利用信息化手段提高建设项目环境保护管理水平具有重要意义。本文对我国建设项目环境保护管理的信息化现状和形势进行了深入分析,阐述了建设目标和建设原则;提出了基于建设项目管理的资源目录体系、决策支持体系、全过程管理体系、服务体系的建设项目环境保护管理信息化体系,并提出了组织实施的基本策略。     

海洋溢油和含油废水排放的对策

海洋是人类赖以生存的第二大场所。开发海洋石油资源必须做到既要把石油资源开采出来，又要保护海洋生态环境不遭受污染。概述了溢油的污染机理、计算方法、预防措施。     

基于SD模型的博尔塔拉河流域水资源承载力研究

从水资源承载力的研究方法入手,采用系统动力学方法进行水资源承载力定量化计算,在对博尔塔拉河流域地理环境现状和该方法建模思路分析的基础上,建立适合该地区特色的系统动力学模型（简称SD模型）。应用Yenism软件,把各参数代入方程,对博尔塔拉河流域水资源利用和需求进行动态计算。通过对模型计算结果的分析,验证了模型的合理性和可操作性,从而为博尔塔拉河流域水资源承载力的进一步研究提供了必要的手段,也为其他区域的水资源可持续利用研究提供了一定的借鉴。