Using Measurements of Nitrogen Oxides to Estimate the Emission Controls Required to Meet the UK Nitrogen Dioxide Standard

In this paper we introduce a new method of analysing the relationship between nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) and oxides of nitrogen (NO_x) concentrations using data from the UK National Air Quality Archive. The study includes analyses of measurements from two different types of site in London, a kerbside site: Cromwell Rd, and three background sites: Bridge Place, London Bloomsbury and West London, over several years (1991–7). The data in some years showed that hourly NO₂ concentrations exceeded the UK Standard of 150 ppb. Data were binned, averaged, and polynomials fitted at each site. Analysis of the resulting polynomials was used to estimate reductions in NO_x emission required to achieve the National Air Quality Strategy Objective. Examination of the empirical ratio NO₂:NO_x (the 'yield') gives an indication of the sensitivity of the NO₂ to NO_x controls and the amount of NO₂ that would arise from modelled values of total oxides of nitrogen. The response of NO₂ to emission changes is very non-linear, implying 30–45% controls on NO_x may be required.