Sinking-rate response of natural assemblages of temperate and subtropical phytoplankton to nutrient depletion

Phytoplankton assemblages were collected during spring blooms in 1982 in Washington State and in Hawaii. Sinking rate responses of these assemblages were examined under nitrate, phosphate, and silicate depletion. Ambient nutrient concentrations, chlorophyll concentrations, photosynthetic rates, sinking rates, and floristic compositions were determined. Under nutrient-replete conditions, the temperate assemblage, composed primarily of large centric diatoms, had a sinking rate of 0.96 m d^-1; sinking rates did not change appreciably over 4 d without nitrate. Without phosphate or silicate, the sinking rates remained constant for 3 d and then increased after biomass indices began to decline. These findings illustrate the potential importance of phosphate or silicate depletion to the sedimentation of spring-bloom diatom populations. The subtropical assemblage, composed primarily of diatoms, coccolithophorids, and dinoflagellates, had an initial sinking rate of 0.22 m d^-1 and did not display substantial sinking rate changes in the absence of nitrate, phosphate or silicate. Floristic data consistently showed a proliferation of pennate diatoms, which had lower settling rates than centric diatoms. Growth and sedimentation patterns indicated a competitive advantage for pennate diatom components of subtropical assemblages; this in turn may limit phytoplankton sedimentation losses in such ecosystems.     

Long-term variability in the structure of subtidal benthic communities in Puget Sound,Washington, USA

Data on benthic infauna from 4 permanent stations in Puget Sound off Seattle, USA, collected during 1963–1964, 1967, and 1969, revealed considerable stability in numbers of species and specimens and in diversity within stations among sampling dates. The species composition of the faunal assemblages also remained rather constant during the period of investigation, but the relative dominance among the numerically important species varied somewhat. Biomass data did not differ significantly in 1964 and 1969, but the 1967 data were considerably lower at all stations.     

Larval development of the crabCancer magister in temperature regimes simulating outer-coast and inland-water habitats

Postlarval megalopae of the Dungeness crabCancer magister inhabiting offshore coastal waters along the west toast of North America are larger and settle earlier than do those occupying the inland waters of the Puget Sound basin (Washington, USA, and British Columbia, Canada). The Puget Sound habitat is characterized by low initial temperatures that steadily increase during the course of zoeal development, while offshore temperatures are more moderate and stable. Larvae were raised in the laboratory from hatching to megalopa in three temperature treatments: (1) constant 10 °C (CO), (2) a regime that temporally simulated temperatures found off the central California coast during the larval season (CA); and (3) a regime simulating temperatures found within the Puget Sound basin (PS). Zoeal duration was 44% longer in the PS treatment than in the other two, at least partially accounting for observed differentes between outer-toast and inland-water settlement times. Although differentes were measured in megalopal weights and carapace lengths among treatments, results do not explain differences in megalopal size observed between outer-toast and inland-water individuals. Survival to megalopa was highest in the PS treatment, with the difference due to significantly lower mortality than in CO and CA treatments during the terminal zoeal stage. Daily instantaneous mortality rates were lower in the PS than in CO or CA treatments, indicating Chat extended larval duration will not necessarily result in reduced settlement success.     

Role of herbivory in controlling phytoplankton abundance: annual pigment budget for a temperate marine fjord

An annual pigment budget was constructed for Dabob Bay, Washington (USA) by comparing the downward vertical loss of phytoplankton pigments (chlorophyll and pheopigments) to the production of chlorophyll within the euphotic zone. The vertical flux of pigments was measured with sediment traps deployed at intervals of 1 to 6 wk over a 2.5 yr period yielding 763 d of trap exposure (28 November 1978–16 June 1981). The production rate of chlorophyll was calculated from measurements of algal specific growth rates, chlorophyll (chl) crops, primary production (as carbon) and appropriate C: chl ratios. Sixty one to 77% of the annual chlorophyll production was accounted for by the vertical flux of pheopigments resulting from herbivorous zooplankton grazing (macrozooplankton). Algal sinking, represented by downward chlorophyll flux, accounted for only 5 to 6% of the annual chlorophyll production. The remaining fraction of chlorophyll production was estimated to be consumed by small herbivores (microzooplankton), whose fecal material contributes to the suspended pool of pheopigments found in the euphotic zone. The suspended pheopigments are continuously removed by photodegradation. In Dabob Bay, the major process controlling phytoplankton abundance is zooplankton grazing and it appears that the ultimate fate of most phytoplankton is to be consumed by herbivores.     

Dynamics of benthic vegetation standing-stock,irradiance, and water properties in central Puget Sound

The standing stock of benthic macroalgae, sediment-associated microalgae and eelgrass (Zostera marina L.) was sampled in conjunction with irradiance and water properties from June 1982 through March 1984 to examine the relationship between the dynamics of benthic primary producers and environmental factors in central Puget Sound, Washington, USA. Sediment-associated microalgal standing stock (measured by chlorophylla) peaked in April and August. The seaweed assemblage, dominated by bladed green algae (e.g.Ulva fenestrata) and eelgrass exhibited maximum standing stocks in August. Although water temperature correlated best with changes in standing stock of all vegetation types, solar irradiance appeared to trigger the onset of biomass buildup and autumn die-back by the plants. Seasonal variations in dissolved oxygen reflected the buildup and loss of plant standing-stock. Nutrient concentrations, with the exception of ammonia, exhibited seasonal trends. Most nutrients were in greatest concentration in winter and reached minimum concentration in late spring-summer. Regeneration of nutrients in autumn followed shortly after the autumn dieback of the benthic vegetation. We concluded that irradiance was the primary controlling factor in the system. Nutrient limitation (primarily nitrate) may control standing-stock accumulations from the period May–October when light is not limiting. In contrast to phytoplankton systems in deep portions of Puget Sound, shallow nearshore systems may be more susceptible to the effects of increased inorganic nutrient-loadings from anthropogenic sources.Contribution No. 808, School of Fisheries, University of Washington     

Spring bloom sedimentation in a subarctic ecosystem

Results from a 5-yr study (1985 to 1989) in Auke Bay, Alaska show that termination of the spring bloom consistently occurred at limiting nitrate concentrations. Following nutrient exhaustion, phytoplankton sinking rates increased and displayed greater temporal variability. Threshold nitrate concentrations, approximating K_s values of the species present, were found to signal initiation of increased sedimentation. For Thalassiosira aestivalis, the threshold was ～2 μmol l^-1, while for Skeletonema costatum the threshold was ～1 μmol l^-1, suggesting genus-specific differences in sinking-rate sensitivity to nitrate exhaustion. Overall, sinking rates of the three principal genera ranked (high to low) Thalassiosira spp.> S. costatum>Chaetoceros spp., while the nitrate sensitivities of the sinking rates of the genera ranked (high to low) Thalassiosira spp.> Chaetoceros spp.> S. costatum. Thalassiosira spp. showed the most consistent sinking rate increases following nutrient impoverishment. During a bloom dominated by T. aestivalis, a decrease of cell sinking rate with depth coincided with a decrease in short-term nutrient stress as measured by intracellular nitrate pools. In addition, no correlation was found between chain length or aggregate formation and sinking rate for this species. Though we measured only small-scale cell-cell adhesion, not larger-scale marine snow formation, this supports the notion that the sinking rates of Thalassiosira spp. were controlled primarily by cell physiology. For S. costatum, however, shorter chains sank faster. The sinking behavior of the species studied here figures prominently in their pelagic ecology and in the carbon flux of coastal ecosystems, both of which are driven by short-term variability.     

Succession patterns of phytoplankton blooms: directionality and influence of algal cell size

Using four replicate microcosms in the laboratory, we induced a phytoplankton bloom by enclosing a natural community sampled from Masnou Harbor (N.E. Spain) in November 1987, and examined the pattern of algal succession during the bloom. Good replicability of the temporal patterns of the community biomass and the abundance of most species demonstrated that succession was a directional, non-random process. The successional pathway observed (small flagellates » small centric diatoms » small flagellates) resembled that observed by other authors studying phytoplankton blooms. This pattern differed from previous models of algal succession in that dinoflagellates never comprised a substantial fraction of the community biomass, and in that algal cell size did not tend to increase along the successional sequence. Algal cell size, however, was an important determinant of phytoplankton community structure, since it constrained the density, but not the biomass, achievable by the different species. We suggest that there is not a single, general pattern of phytoplankton succession, but that distinction should be made, at least between seasonal and bloom patterns of phytoplankton succession.     

Population interconnectivity and implications for recovery of a species of concern, the Pacific hake of Georgia Basin

To aid the recovery of a species, understanding the extent to which populations are connected is useful for targeting conservation efforts. Pacific hake within waters of Puget Sound, Washington State, USA, and Georgia Strait, British Columbia, Canada are listed as a species of concern under the U.S. Endangered Species Act due to dramatic declines in the Puget Sound population. To assess the role of dispersal in the recovery of Pacific hake, we sought to quantify patterns of connectivity between populations in Puget Sound and Georgia Strait. Using natural chemical markers from otoliths of fish sampled from these two populations, we linked natal signatures of fish to signatures of individuals from known spawning grounds. Results indicated that 82 % of individuals collected from Puget Sound (n = 78) were estimated to have originated there, while 40 and 92 % of the individuals collected from two cohorts within Georgia Strait (n = 9 and 24, respectively) had originated from Puget Sound. A trend of “population abandonment” of fish from Puget Sound suggests that recovery of this Pacific hake population will depend on local management practices.     

Effect of temperature and light on the growth of micro- nano- and pico-plankton: impact on algal succession

The influence of light and temperature on the phytoplankton succession in a temperate sea area was investigated in laboratory experiments with natural assemblages of micro-, nano-, and picoplankton collected from the northern Baltic Sea during 1989 and 1990. Respiration increased from 0 to 30°C in all groups of phytoplankton, while gross photosynthesis stabilised at 10 to 15°C. Light saturation occurred at 25 to 75 mol quanta m^-2 s^-1, indicating low light adaptation of the algae. Picoplankton showed the strongest temperature response, and at temperatures above 10°C picoplankton obtained a higher biomass specific photosynthesis than that of the other groups. Different light treatments had no effect on the species composition in experiments with natural algal assemblages, while different temperature conditions had a marked effect. With a temperature increase from 0 to 10°C, the algal community changed from a typical spring community, with diatoms and dinoflagellates, to a summer community, dominated by mixotrophic nanoflagellates. The small, or often non-existing, autumn bloom in the sea area studied, can be explained by short day lengths combined with relatively high temperatures, causing high community respiration rates and low gross photosynthesis, resulting in a negative energy balance. The net energy gain depends on a differential temperature effect on gross photosynthesis and endogenous respiration in various plankton groups. This gives the phytoplankton groups diverse competitive advantages during different seasons and thus may be an important factor in controlling algal succession.     

Evidence for multiple recruitment-cohorts of Puget Sound Dungeness crab,Cancer magister

While sampling intertidally in Puget Sound, Washington, USA, for juvenile Dungeness crab (Cancer magister) in 1984, we found evidence of two distinct cohorts of the same year-class based on sizes of first-instar juveniles (J1) and the spatial/temporal patterns of settlement. In 1988, three distinct cohorts were observed to settle in Puget Sound and its approaches. Settlement of one cohort occurred during May in the Strait of Juan de Fuca and in those areas of Puget Sound closest to the Strait. J1 individuals of this cohort were large (x=7.4 mm carapace width, CW) and comparable in both size and timing of settlement to populations along the Washington coast (e.g. Grays Harbor and Willapa Bay). Initial settlement density of the May cohort was as high as 215 crabs/m² in intertidal eelgrass beds along the Strait of Juan de Fuca and decreased to <2 crabs/m² within Puget Sound and the Strait of Georgia. A second cohort apparently originated in Hood Canal (a deep inland fjord), its size upon settlement in June was significantly smaller (J1 x= 5.3 mm CW) than the May cohort, and it was limited to Hood Canal and areas of Puget Sound close to the mouth of Hood Canal. A third cohort, which settled in late July and August, was the smallest of the three cohorts (J1 x= 4.8 mm CW), and was widely distributed around Puget Sound from Seattle in the south to the USA/Canadian border in the north. We hypothesize that most juvenile recruitment in Hood Canal and Puget Sound originates from parental stocks endemic to their respective basins (Hood Canal and Puget Sound cohorts), but that, on occasion, oceanographic conditions allow substantial influx of Pacific Ocean Dungeness crab larvae (oceanic cohort) through the Strait of Juan de Fuca into Puget Sound. Tracking of spatial/temporal settlement patterns and comparison of J1 sizes proved useful for estimating the probable sources and dispersion of Dungeness crab larvae. Differences in size and time of settlement between various larval cohorts of C. magister may prove useful as biomarkers for tracing circulation patterns within and between inland waters of Washington and the Pacific Ocean. Causes of smaller size and later settlement of the Puget Sound cohort relative to oceanic conspecifics of the same year-class are discussed.Contribution No. 856, School of Fisheries, University of Washington, Seattle     

Colonization of the Southern Patagonia Ocean by Exotic Chinook Salmon

Abstract:  Anadromous salmonids have been particularly successful at establishing wild populations in southern Patagonia, in contrast to their limited success elsewhere outside their native ranges. The most recent such discovery is a spawning population of Chinook salmon in the Santa Cruz River, which flows into the Atlantic Ocean from Argentina. We used mitochondrial DNA analysis to discriminate between alternative potential sources of this population and were able to discard in situ introductions of fish imported directly from California in the early twentieth century. Our results showed that the fish most likely came from Puget Sound, Washington, imported into southern Chile for salmon-ranching experiments in the 1980s. This finding provides concrete evidence of colonization of Atlantic rivers from Pacific locations. The southern Pacific and Atlantic oceans provide a favorable marine environment for the success of invading salmon. In particular, the waters associated with fjords, southern channels, and the inshore portion of the Patagonian shelf provide a rather bounded, continuous waterway for exotic anadromous salmonids, rich in diverse forage species.     

Carbon budget for the spring bloom in Auke Bay,Alaska

This paper describes a carbon budget for the spring phytoplankton bloom in Auke Bay, a subarctic bay in southeastern Alaska. The budget was constructed using semiweekly data on carbon production, particulate carbon in the water column, and cumulative sedimentation of carbon, chlorophyll a, and pheopigments. From these measured parameters, seasonal carbon consumption, utilization, and import/export terms were derived. The chlorophyll and pheopigment data were used to partition carbon sinking out of the photic zone between phytoplankton cells and fecal material. The difference between total carbon production and carbon available for consumption was attributed primarily to carbon import/export related to advection of water masses into and out of the bay. Separate budgets were developed for each of five sampling years (1985–1989). An average of 130±16 g C/m² were produced by phytoplankton during each spring. Our model suggests that an average of 70% of this carbon was available for consumption by grazers within the bay; the remaining 30% is assumed to have been exported from the bay by advective transport. Of the available (non-exported) carbon, an average of 55% was consumed by grazers, 34% sank out of the photic zone in the form of uneaten algae, and about 11% remained at the end of the sampling period in the form of phytoplankton standing stocks. Overall, about 27% of the carbon produced each spring in Auke Bay (35 gC/m²) was used for growth and respiration by first-order consumers within the bay.     

Phytoplankton blooms are strongly impacted by microzooplankton grazing in coastal North Pacific waters

Phytoplankton growth and microzooplankton grazing were measured in two productive coastal regions of the North Pacific: northern Puget Sound and the coastal Gulf of Alaska. Rates of phytoplankton growth (range: 0.09–2.69 day⁻¹) and microzooplankton grazing (range: 0.00–2.10 day⁻¹) varied seasonally, with lowest values in late fall and winter, and highest values in spring and summer. Chlorophyll concentrations also varied widely (0.19–13.65 μg l⁻¹). Large (>8 μm) phytoplankton cells consistently dominated phytoplankton communities under bloom conditions, contributing on average 65% of total chlorophyll biomass when chlorophyll exceeded 2 μg l⁻¹. Microzooplankton grazing was an important loss process affecting phytoplankton, with grazing rates equivalent to nearly two-thirds (64%) of growth rates on average. Both small and large phytoplankton cells were consumed, with the ratio of grazing to growth (g:μ) for the two size classes averaging 0.80 and 0.42, respectively. Perhaps surprisingly, the coupling between microzooplankton grazing and phytoplankton growth was tighter during phytoplankton blooms than during low biomass periods, with g:μ averaging 0.78 during blooms and 0.49 at other times. This tight coupling may be a result of the high potential growth and ingestion rates of protist grazers, some of which feed on bloom-forming diatoms and other large phytoplankton. Large ciliates and Gyrodinium-like dinoflagellates contributed substantially to microzooplankton biomass at diatom bloom stations in the Gulf of Alaska, and microzooplankton biomass overall was strongly correlated with >8 μm chlorophyll concentrations. Because grazing tended to be proportionally greater when phytoplankton biomass was high, the absolute amount of chlorophyll consumed by microzooplankton was often substantial. In nearly two-thirds of the experiments (14/23), more chlorophyll was ingested by microzooplankton than was available for all other biological and physical loss processes combined. Microzooplankton were important intermediaries in the transfer of primary production to higher trophic levels in these coastal marine food webs. Received: 12 November 1999 / Accepted: 4 October 2000     

Latitudinal trends in size-dependence of bioluminescence in the midshipman fish Porichthys notatus

The bioluminescent fish Porichthys notatus (plainfin midshipman), has a discontinuous distribution along the Pacific coast of North America. The fish is present from Cape Mendocino southward to Baja California, Mexico, absent off the coast of Oregon, USA, and abundant, northward, in Puget Sound, Washington. Interestingly, the population in Puget Sound lacks the substrate (luciferin) necessary for the luminescence reaction and, despite possessing an otherwise fully functional photophore system, is nonluminescent. The California population of P. notatus is uniformly luminescent south of Monterey Bay, but 15% of the speciments tested from San Francisco Bay and the Gulf of the Farallons have been reported to be nonluminescent. Explanations for nonluminescent midshipman in both Puget Sound and the San Francisco Bay area have focussed on a dietary requirement for luciferin. To gain further insight into reasons for nonluminescence in the San Francisco Bay region, the distribution of bioluminescence in P. notatus was studied from Monterey Bay to Cape Mendocino during 1985. A complex pattern of bioluminescence was found, in which nonluminescent individuals reflected neither a local anomaly in the San Francisco Bay region nor a simple gradient of decreasing luminescence towards the northern end of the range of the California population. Instead, a distinct size-dependent component in luminescence capability of the fish was observed. Aspects of the life history of P. notatus and related factors which might influence the bioluminescence characteristics of this population are discussed.Please address all correspondence to Dr. F.I. Tsuji at the Osaka Bioscience Institute     

An approach for particle sinking velocity measurements in the 3–400?μm size range and considerations on the effect of temperature on sinking rates

The flux of organic particles below the mixed layer is one major pathway of carbon from the surface into the deep ocean. The magnitude of this export flux depends on two major processes—remineralization rates and sinking velocities. Here, we present an efficient method to measure sinking velocities of particles in the size range from approximately 3–400?μm by means of video microscopy (FlowCAM^?). The method allows rapid measurement and automated analysis of mixed samples and was tested with polystyrene beads, different phytoplankton species, and sediment trap material. Sinking velocities of polystyrene beads were close to theoretical values calculated from Stokes’ Law. Sinking velocities of the investigated phytoplankton species were in reasonable agreement with published literature values and sinking velocities of material collected in sediment trap increased with particle size. Temperature had a strong effect on sinking velocities due to its influence on seawater viscosity and density. An increase in 9?°C led to a measured increase in sinking velocities of ~40?%. According to this temperature effect, an average temperature increase in 2?°C as projected for the sea surface by the end of this century could increase sinking velocities by about 6?% which might have feedbacks on carbon export into the deep ocean.     

Nitrate storage by phytoplankton in a coastal upwelling environment

The storage of nitrate by phytoplankton cells during the early phases of upwelling was studied in coastal stations off northern Spain (southern Bay of Biscay) between 1990 and 1994. In this region, a persistent upwelling during summer is characterised by intermittent pulses of variable intensity, and increased nutrient concentrations in the surface layer. The main effect of an upwelling pulse on phytoplankton distribution is the shifting of the chlorophyll a and primary production maxima to near the surface. When the upwelling relaxes, thermal stratification of the water column occurs, and a distinct subsurface chlorophyll maximum develops below the production maximum. An accumulation of intracellular nitrate characterized the early phases of upwelling (mean = 2.73 μmol N m⁻³), maximum concentrations being attained at depths where biomass and production values were moderate. In contrast, phytoplankton cells from non-upwelling situations contained significantly lower concentrations of intracellular nitrate (mean = 0.17 μmol N m⁻³). The variations in the intracellular pool of nitrate may result from the differential allocation of resources within the cell as a result of variations in the energy available, since the uptake and assimilation of nitrate is a relatively expensive process involving several enzymatic systems. We hypothesize that nitrate storage by phytoplankton cells is characteristic of early phases of upwelling and is linked to patterns of carbon fixation. Average nitrogen budgets for upwelling and non-upwelling situations indicate that intracellular nitrate reserves are not responsible for maintaining high phytoplankton growth rates, since they only account for <2% of daily primary production during upwelling events. Received: 28 August 1996 / Accepted 3 December 1996     

Two populations of the marine fish Porichthys notatus,one lacking in luciferin essential for bioluminescence

Porichthys notatus is a common benthic fish found along the Pacific coast of North America. It possesses more than 700 small dermal photophores on its head and trunk. When P. notatus collected in Monterey Bay, California, is injected subcutaneously with norepinephrine, the photophores emit a long-lasting luminescence that is readily visible to the dark-adapted eye. The light emission is due to the oxidation of luciferin (substrate) by molecular oxygen, catalyzed by luciferase. In contrast, P. notatus collected in Puget Sound, Washington, is nonluminous, even though the photophores do not differ ultrastructurally from those of the California fish. The inability of the Puget Sound fish to luminesce is due to lack of luciferin in its photophores. Luminescence capability, however, may be induced in the Puget Sound fish by the oral or intraperitoneal administration of a small amount of luciferin from the tiny luminescent marine ostracod crustacean, Vargula hilgendorfii, suggesting that the origin of luciferin in P. notatus may be from the diet. In this study, specimens of P. notatus were collected over the entire known range of the species, between November 1981 and September 1987, and the presence of luciferin in the photophores determined. The results indicate that there are two populations of P. notatus: a luciferin-deficient, nonluminescent population located north of northern California and a luciferin-containing, luminescent population extending south of Cape Mendocino, California, to Baja California, Mexico. At the northern end of the southern population, a mixture of luminescent and nonluminescent P. notatus was found.     

Mass encystment and sinking of dinoflagellates during a spring bloom

The decline of a spring bloom dominated by dinoflagellates and the mass sedimentation of dinoflagellate cysts was documented in a coastal area of the northern Baltic Sea, SW Finland in 1983. The exceptionally large spring phytoplankton bloom was observed in early May. After depletion of nitrate phytoplankton biomass declined rapidly. The bloom was followed by intense sedimentation of spherical cysts and of organic matter at the end of May. These cysts were presumably hypnozygotes of Peridinium hangoei Schiller. Sedimentation of dinoflagellate cysts was estimated to correspond to ca. 45% of the maximum sedimentation of particulate organic carbon at this time, although most of the dinoflagellate biomass disintegrated already in the water column and was deposited as organic detritus or washed away by advection. It is concluded that the life cycle strategies of the dominant vernal phytoplankton species have a major impact on the sedimentation of the spring bloom.     

Short-term changes in feeding and digestion by the copepodCalanus pacificus

The planktonic marine copepodCalanus pacificus exhibits an enhanced feeding rate, or hunger response, when exposed to food following short periods of starvation. In a scries of laboratory experiments with copepods collected from the main basin of Puget Sound, Washington, during 1982 and 1984, we measured maximum ingestion rate, assimilation efficiency, and digestive enzyme activity to determine the time scales over which the feeding behavior ofC. pacificus responds to increases in food. These laboratory results were then compared to field studies of diel fluctuations in digestive enzymes and gut fluorescence ofC. pacificus in Dabod Bay, a fjord of Puget Sound, during September, 1980, and the closely relatedC. marshallae off the Washington coast, in August, 1981. Laboratory experiments demonstrated that the hunger response ofC. pacificus lasts approximately 6 h before ingestion rate returns to a steady state level of about one-half maximum. On the order of 12h of starvation were required to induce the maximum ingestion rate of the hunger response. Digestive enzyme activities did not change over these time scales. Assimilation efficiency peaked within a few hours of the onset of feeding, with low initial rates possibly related to the period of starvation prior to feeding. These results were consistent with diel patterns observed in the field. The hunger response ofC. pacificus appears to be controlled by processes within the gut, and our results are discussed in relation to recent studies of the digestive processes of calanoid copepods.Contribution No. 1772 from the School of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195, USA     

Neural network modelling of coastal algal blooms

An artificial neural network (ANN), a data driven modelling approach, is proposed to predict the algal bloom dynamics of the coastal waters of Hong Kong. The commonly used back-propagation learning algorithm is employed for training the ANN. The modeling is based on (a) comprehensive biweekly water quality data at Tolo Harbour (1982–2000); and (b) 4-year set of weekly phytoplankton abundance data at Lamma Island (1996–2000). Algal biomass is represented as chlorophyll-a and cell concentration of Skeletonema at the two locations, respectively. Analysis of a large number of scenarios shows that the best agreement with observations is obtained by using merely the time-lagged algal dynamics as the network input. In contrast to previous findings with more complicated neural networks of algal blooms in freshwater systems, the present work suggests the algal concentration in the eutrophic sub-tropical coastal water is mainly dependent on the antecedent algal concentrations in the previous 1–2 weeks. This finding is also supported by an interpretation of the neural networks’ weights. Through a systematic analysis of network performance, it is shown that previous reports of predictability of algal dynamics by ANN are erroneous in that ‘future data’ have been used to drive the network prediction. In addition, a novel real time forecast of coastal algal blooms based on weekly data at Lamma is presented. Our study shows that an ANN model with a small number of input variables is able to capture trends of algal dynamics, but data with a minimum sampling interval of 1 week is necessary. However, the sufficiency of the weekly sampling for real time predictions using ANN models needs to be further evaluated against longer weekly data sets as they become available.