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外来沙尘输送对北京市空气质量影响的预报预警技术初步研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用多方位监测数据和气象资料,分析了2010—2011年春季外来沙尘输送对北京市空气质量指数的影响,提出外来沙尘对北京市空气质量级别影响的预报判据。此外,基于NAQPMS模型的沙尘模块,开展数值预报研究,并对北京市2010年3月一次沙尘天气污染过程进行数值模拟试验,结果表明,模拟的PM10浓度值与实测值有较好的一致性。通过判别预报和数值模拟两种预报技术的开展,可以预报沙尘输送影响的空气质量级别、沙尘分布和演变规律,为进一步开展空气质量预报预警和防控沙尘工作打下了很好的科学基础。 相似文献
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基于多模式(NAQPMS、CMAQ、CAMx、WRF-Chem)空气质量数值预报业务系统的滚动预报结果,结合站点观测资料,评估了最优化集成方法在城市臭氧数值预报中的可行性和预报效果。一年的评估结果表明:当训练期为15 d时,最优化集成方法能够得到相对较好的结果。总体而言,最优化集成方法对城市臭氧浓度变化趋势和浓度水平的预报效果明显优于单个模式,且在大部分城市优于多模式的最优预报,其预报值和观测的相关系数提高0.11以上,均方根误差降低约10μg/m~3;该方法对城市臭氧污染等级的预报能力也明显优于单个模式,特别是轻、中度污染。此外,在模拟偏差较大的城市,最优化集成方法对预报效果的改进更为显著;在模拟偏差较小的城市,该方法仍可进一步提升预报效果。 相似文献
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涂俊 《环境监测管理与技术》2000,(2)
20 0 0年 3月 2 8日 ,《南京市空气污染预报研究》课题通过鉴定。该课题以统计预报为核心 ,采用多种预报途径的技术路线 ,进行了多专题的研究 ,提出了动静结合的空气污染趋势与等级预报法 ,统计回归预报中采用了差分替代法 ,并尝试引用了时间外推预报法等多种预报方法 ,改以往的单一污染因子预报为 3项因子分别预报。预报模式经过系统内 3个月试预报 ,具有准确性较高和适应性、可操作性强等特点。“南京市空气污染预报研究”课题通过鉴定@涂俊 相似文献
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重大活动空气质量保障预报会商已经成为保障过程中的重要环节,旨在以精细化空气质量预报为环境管理部门制定高效可行的区域大气污染管控措施提供关键技术依据。预报会商机制可有效规范区域联动预报会商的开展,在多个重大活动空气质量保障中,预报会商机制已日益完善,尤其是在强化立体化监测网、开展多技术组协同作业、建立多维预报会商流程、提升多种重点污染物预报能力等方面积累了大量宝贵的实践经验。该文首次系统性探讨国内空气质量保障预报会商机制和经验,以期为今后承办重大活动的地区开展空气质量保障预报会商提供借鉴。 相似文献
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《环境监测管理与技术》2014,(1):18-18
上海市环保局和上海市气象局对空气污染气象条件预报与空气质量预报进行整合。今后两项预报将合二为一,每日17时前后通过空气质量预报的渠道发布。 相似文献
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2016年秋季新乡市空气质量模式预报效果评估 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
基于新乡市空气质量数值预报平台,采用相关系数(r)、标准化平均偏差(NMB)等统计指标,系统评估2016年秋季新乡市嵌套网格空气质量预报模式(NAQPMS)和通用多尺度空气质量模式(CMAQ)的预报效果,对比分析2套模式不同预报时效和不同水平分辨率的空气质量等级预报准确率。结果显示:2套模式均较好地表征了各主要污染物的浓度变化特征,2套模式的等级预报准确率高于60%,其中CMAQ对中度及重度的预报等级准确率达到70%。对比模式24、48、72 h 3种预报时效效果,24 h预报时效的统计数据最优,说明24 h预报时效模拟结果可作为业务预报重要的支撑。 相似文献
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郝英群 《环境监测管理与技术》2003,15(3):36-38
环境监测科研是环境监测的一项基础性工作,是环境监测事业发展的重要保障。加强环境监测科研工作,需要不断探索适合于时代发展和环境监测以及环境管理工作实际情况的环境监测科研管理模式。对环境监测科研管理的内涵和特点进行了分析;对环境监测科研管理部门的定位、环境监测科研管理的科研计划管理、环境监测科研管理中的科研队伍建设等进行了探讨。 相似文献
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Groundwater monitoring in the context of EU legislation: reality and integration needs 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Quevauviller P 《Journal of environmental monitoring : JEM》2005,7(2):89-102
A wide range of environmental policies are based on the monitoring of chemical and/or biological parameters which are used to evaluate the environmental status of relevant compartments (e.g. water, soil, air) with the ultimate aim of making appropriate management decisions. The soundness of policy decisions is therefore directly related to the reliability of the environmental monitoring programmes. Monitoring reliability in turn is predominantly linked to scientific and technological progress. Hence a correct design, development and implementation process of environmental policies is, at least in part, dependent upon a proper integration of scientific and technological advances (in monitoring, but also for all kinds of permit procedures, remediation strategies etc.). This paper examines science-policy integration needs in support of groundwater environmental monitoring, with focus on on-going policy developments. The article aims to summarise key information on groundwater policy and EU scientific developments to raise awareness of the scientific community involved in this issue and to enhance communication among scientists and policy-makers. 相似文献
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对乌鲁木齐市区移动通信基站电磁辐射环境影响的研究 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
利用科学的检测方法,通过现场调查和数据分析,对乌鲁木齐市区数字蜂窝移动通信基站产生的电磁辐射进行了科学的论述.对移动通信发射基站所产生的电磁辐射环境影响得出了正确、客观的结论. 相似文献
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With and without the encouragement of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification and its Committee on Science
and Technology, scientific research has been undertaken throughout the drylands with the expectation of contributing to combating
desertification. Little of this research has been applied in developing countries for its identified purpose. The main reason
for this is the limited translation of scientific research into an accessible format for application by development agencies
or rural communities. 相似文献
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关于编制环境监测科技发展"十五"规划的几点考虑 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
结合我国环境监测科研发展现状,就编制"环境监测科技发展‘十五'计划与2015年远景规划"需要考虑的几个方面进行了阐述,如重大环境问题、环境监测科技需求、发展目标、发展方向与优先领域以及重大项目等.希望对有关部门进行环境监测科技发展规划的编制和进一步讨论有所裨益. 相似文献
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Academic literature has been continuously growing at such a pace that it can be difficult to follow the progression of scientific achievements; hence, the need to dispose of quantitative knowledge support systems to analyze the literature of a subject. In this article we utilize network analysis tools to build a literature review of scientific documents published in the multidisciplinary field of Strategic Environment Assessment (SEA). The proposed approach helps researchers to build unbiased and comprehensive literature reviews. We collect information on 7662 SEA publications and build the SEA Bibliographic Network (SEABN) employing the basic idea that two publications are interconnected if one cites the other. We apply network analysis at macroscopic (network architecture), mesoscopic (sub graph) and microscopic levels (node) in order to i) verify what network structure characterizes the SEA literature, ii) identify the authors, disciplines and journals that are contributing to the international discussion on SEA, and iii) scrutinize the most cited and important publications in the field. Results show that the SEA is a multidisciplinary subject; the SEABN belongs to the class of real small world networks with a dominance of publications in Environmental studies over a total of 12 scientific sectors. Christopher Wood, Olivia Bina, Matthew Cashmore, and Andrew Jordan are found to be the leading authors while Environmental Impact Assessment Review is by far the scientific journal with the highest number of publications in SEA studies. 相似文献
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Orellana FA Alegre JM Cordero Pérez JC Martín Redondo MP Delgado Huertas A Fernández Sampedro MT Menor-Salván C Ruiz-Bermejo M López-Vera F Rodríguez-Losada JA Martinez-Frias J 《Journal of environmental monitoring : JEM》2008,10(4):570-574
Certain local atmospheric anomalies, such as the formation of unusually large ice conglomerations (megacryometeors), have been proposed to be a potential natural hazard for people and aviation, as well as geoindicators for fingerprinting larger-scale atmospheric environmental changes. On March 13th 2007, at approximately 10:15 am, an ice chunk weighing about 10 kg fell from the clear-sky and crashed through the roof (around 15 m) of an industrial storage house in Mejorada del Campo, a town located 20 km east from Madrid. The megacryometeor monitoring follow-up and the original investigation presented here includes, for the first time, both logistic and scientific collaboration between the Laboratory of the Environment, Criminalistic Service (SECRIM, the Spanish "Guardia Civil") and academic and scientific institutions (universities and the Spanish National Research Council). We propose that the management procedure of the incident, along with the detailed scientific research and combination of analytical methodologies in different laboratories, can serve as a protocol model for other similar events. 相似文献
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