Clustering of the abundance of West Nile virus vector mosquitoes in Peel Region,Ontario, Canada

Understanding the spatial–temporal distribution of vector mosquitoes is essential in designing an efficient mosquito control strategy to reduce the risk of the mosquito-borne disease. In this paper, we apply a non-parametric clustering method, CLUES, to the surveillance data of West Nile virus vector mosquitoes collected by light traps in Peel Region, Ontario, during the mosquito seasons in 2004–2010. In order to obtain robust and reliable results, a statistical smoothing procedure LOWESS is applied to the original time series data. It was found that the mosquito trap sites can be clustered into three groups. The weather impact on the mosquito abundance of each clustered group are similar, while the interannual variability and the highest abundance and peak time in each mosquito season are different. The impact of weather factors on this clustering is investigated.     

科尔沁沙地土地利用变化对土壤特性的影响

在中国科学院奈曼沙漠化研究站放牧试验场周围,选取了不同利用方式和类型的草地（封育和放牧）、林地（乔木和灌木）和农田（灌溉和非灌溉）为研究样地,调查了0～30cm土层每隔10cm的土壤水分质量分数和有机养分（有机碳和全氮）,分析了土地利用变化对土壤水分质量分数和有机养分的影响。结果发现,垂直空间分布上,无论哪种土地类型样地,土壤水分质量分数和有机养分各土层间均无显著差异性（P〉0.05）,土层垂直变化对土壤特性影响均较小。在不同土地利用方式水平空间分布上,土壤水分质量分数和有机养分（土壤有机碳和全氮）灌木林地均显著高于乔木林地（P〈0.05）,而封育草地和放牧草地间以及灌溉农田与非灌溉农田间土壤水分质量分数和有机养分均无显著差异性（P〉0.05）。不同土地利用类型水平分布上,草地土壤水分质量分数显著低于林地和农田（P〈0.05）,而土壤养分质量分数草地显著高于林地和农田（P〈0.05）。分析表明,对沙质草地进行围栏封育和旱作农田退耕还林还草的同时,对水浇农田实行保护性耕作和精细管理,有利于沙地土壤环境改善与生态系统恢复。     

中国土地利用潜力研究进展与启示

土地利用潜力水平与土地集约利用紧密相关。为充分了解我国土地利用潜力研究状况,从土地利用潜力内涵、分尺度研究内容及特点、研究方法三个方面重点阐述了国内当前的研究状况。以此为基础,提出我国土地利用潜力研究主要存在以下四个方面不足：①研究内容上,以土地利用潜力评价为主,其他研究如潜力来源的分析、土地挖潜措施研究、土地利用潜力与其他学科的交叉略显薄弱;②理论基础与学科借鉴程度较弱;③省级、市级或区县级分尺度研究特色和侧重点不足;④研究结果的应用仍需加强。并提出以下四点展望：①推进理论创新,加强理论借鉴;②推进内容创新,拓宽研究视角;③推进方法与技术创新,促进学科发展;④推进研究结果应用,加强跨领域交叉研究。文章有利于探寻土地利用潜力研究方向和突破口,拓展其研究领域深度与广度,对于我国土地集约利用水平的提升具有重要的实践指导意义。     

Histopathological alterations of Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus in acute and subchronic alachlor exposure

Histopathological alterations in Nile tilapia, Oreochromis niloticus, aged 3 months and subjected to acute and subchronic alachlor exposure were studied by light microscopy LC50 values of alachlor for 24 hr 48 hr, 72 hr and 96 hr were 963.6, 563, 448, and 381.9 microg l(-1), respectively and the maximum acceptable toxicant concentration (MATC) was 350 microg l(-1). Fish were exposed to 381.9 (acute) and 35 microg l(-1) (sub-chronic) of alachlor for 24, 48, 72 and 96 hr and 90 days, respectively Gill lamellae and kidney tubules were the primary target organs for the acute toxic effect of alachlor while in the subchronic exposure, the toxic effect on the gills was less marked than that of the kidneys and liver Gill alterations included edema of the epithelial cell system, aneurisms with some ruptures, hypertrophy and hyperplasia of epithelial cells. The liver showed hydropic swelling of hepatocytes and vacuolation. Lipid vacuoles were observed in hepatocytes in the second and third month of subchronic exposure. The kidney showed hydropic swelling of tubular cells, lipid vacuole accumulation in many tubules, and nuclear pyknosis. The findings of this study could be used as a guideline forbiomonitoring programs on populations of Nile tilapia cultured near alachlor contaminated areas.     

Watershed land use effects on lake water quality in Denmark

Mitigating nutrient losses from anthropogenic nonpoint sources is today of particular importance for improving the water quality of numerous freshwater lakes worldwide. Several empirical relationships between land use and in-lake water quality variables have been developed, but they are often weak, which can in part be attributed to lack of detailed information about land use activities or point sources. We examined a comprehensive data set comprising land use data, point-source information, and in-lake water quality for 414 Danish lakes. By excluding point-source-influenced lakes (n = 210), the strength in relationship (R2) between in-lake total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) concentrations and the proportion of agricultural land use in the watershed increased markedly, from 10-12% to 39-42% for deep lakes and from 10-12% to 21-23% for shallow lakes, with the highest increase for TN. Relationships between TP and agricultural land use were even stronger for lakes with rivers in their watershed (55%) compared to lakes without (28%), indicating that rivers mediate a stronger linkage between landscape activity and lake water quality by providing a "delivery" mechanism for excess nutrients in the watershed. When examining the effect of different near-freshwater land zones in contrast to the entire watershed, relationships generally improved with size of zone (25, 50, 100, 200, and 400 m from the edge of lake and streams) but were by far strongest using the entire watershed. The proportion of agricultural land use in the entire watershed was best in explaining lake water quality, both relative to estimated nutrient surplus at agricultural field level and near-lake land use, which somewhat contrasts typical strategies of management policies that mainly target agricultural nutrient applications and implementation of near-water buffer zones. This study suggests that transport mechanisms within the whole catchment are important for the nutrient export to lakes. Hence, the whole watershed should be considered when managing nutrient loadings to lakes, and future policies should ideally target measures that reduce the proportion of cultivated land in the watershed to successfully improve lake water quality.     

Monitoring changes in forest and other land use forms in Istanbul

This study introduces the monitoring system to be established within this project, it aims to determine changes occurring within forested areas, settlement areas and other land use forms located at the peripheral area of Istanbul during consecutive decades. The first phase of the study was completed in 1998 and published, covering the period from 1984 to 1994. This study is the second phase of the first one and implemented to determine land use changes which have occurred on the same site from 1994 to 2000. Standard topographic maps with 1/25 000 scale, forest management maps with the same scale, results of the previous study, orthophoto maps of the year 2000 that were produced from aerial color photographs of the site with 1/5 000 scale, and 4-band IRS_LISS III multispectral satellite data for July 2000 were used as data. The changes in land use within the study area occurring during a six year period were studied.     

基于GIS和RS的晋江市土地利用变化与可持续利用研究

采用GIS和遥感技术，在拟订土地分类系统的基础上，对1996和2001年晋汀市土地资源进行遥感解译，得到这两期1：10万土地利用现状图及数据库，分析了晋江市土地利用类型的构成与比例，以及土地利用面积动态变化状况。结果表明，晋汀市自1996年以来，城镇居民点与工矿用地扩展较大，面积增幅达5312．55hm^2，交通面积增加1507．02hm^2，林地而积增加了293．05hm^2，园地面积也增加了4．17hm^2；但耕地面积锐减，减少面积为6419．43hm^2，减幅为14．6％，其去向主要是建设用地、生态退耕、园地和池塘用地。在此基础上，认为土地利用变化存在的主要问题是：耕地面积锐减；土地利用结构小平衡；生态环境恶化等。应采取针对性的土地可持续发展措施，重视土地管理制度创新和土地利用的优化配置。     

Assessment of ecological risks induced by land use and land cover changes in Xiamen City,China

The landscape ecological risk (LER) in Xiamen City, China, from 1990 to 2030 was studied using an urban land use and land cover change (LUCC) model and LER analysis. The LUCC model was used to predict the LUCC of Xiamen from 2020 to 2030. We analyzed the characteristics of LUCC and landscape pattern changes and, finally, evaluated the effect of rapid LUCC on LER. Of the six landscape types investigated, built-up land and farmland demonstrated the most significant changes. The area of built-up land increased by 1.5 times in 2010 and is predicted to increase by 2.7 times in 2030 than that in 1990. The area of farmland increased from 34.5% in 1990 to 24.5% in 2010 and is predicted to decrease to 15.1% in 2030. The number of patches (NP) of built-up land decreased with increasing area, which promoted the dominance of built-up land over other landscape types. Five landscape types, those other than built-up land, increased in NP, landscape fragmentation, segmentation, and disturbance but decreased in dominance. The LER of Xiamen in 2010 was slightly lower than that in 1990. However, with the acceleration of urbanization, the LER in 2020 and 2030 will increase by 7.6% and 12.5% than that in 2010. The LER will significantly increase in areas such as the Huandong sea area, the second urban core of Xiamen, and northern Xiang'an. For the areas, some measures (e.g. optimum urban spatial growth patterns and control of coastal reclamation) must inevitably increase to reduce the LER posed by rapid urbanization.     

吉林西部土地利用/覆被时空变化驱动力分析

针对吉林两部土地利用/覆被情况,基于TM影像,借助人机交互解译方法,结合1:10万地形图获得1986年、1996年、2000年和2004年的4期土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)矢量数据.利用土地利用动态度模型、土地利用转移矩阵.全面揭示研究区15年的LUCC时空变化特征,结果表明.盐碱地扩张,湿地、水域萎缩和草地退化已经成为吉林西部生态环境恶化的突出表现.结合研究区的实际情况选取总人口数、农业人口数、粮食总产置等12个指标作为LUCC:变化的丰十会经济驱动因子,借助多元线性回归模型,建立主要土地利用类型的驱动力模型.结果表明吉林西部土地利用变化的最主要社会经济因子是农业人口数、农民人均纯收入、农业生产技术(农业机械总动力、化肥施用量)和农村用电量,同时提出相应的生态环境保护和社会经济措施.     

珠江三角洲土地利用变化空间自相关分析

通过对复杂土地利用地学现象的空间与时间上的综合表达和描述,可揭示土地利用时空结构演变的内在规律,可以为研究区土地资源的合理利用、优化配置和可持续发展提供科学依据。本文利用珠江三角洲1990-2005年的土地利用数据,采用空间自相关分析方法对珠江三角洲土地利用／覆盖变化的空间特征进行了实证研究。通过对研究区全域空间自相关、单变量区域空间自相关、双变量区域空间自相关的计算,表明研究区土地利用／覆盖的全域空间自相关较弱,土地利用和开发存在随机性。单变量区域空间自相关和双变量区域空间白相关在不同区域、不同时期显现不同形态,揭示了研究区内部发展的差异性。空间自相关分析方法可直观地显示分析结果,不失为一种深入理解区域土地利用格局和变化的重要和有益的方法。     

Biodiversity consequences of alternative future land use scenarios in Greater Yellowstone.

Land use is rapidly expanding in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, primarily from growth in the number of rural homes. There is a need to project possible future land use and assess impacts on nature reserves as a guide to future management. We assessed the potential biodiversity impacts of alternative future land use scenarios in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem. An existing regression-based simulation model was used to project three alternative scenarios of future rural home development. The spatial patterns of forecasted development were then compared to several biodiversity response variables that included cover types, species habitats, and biodiversity indices. We identified the four biodiversity responses most at risk of exurban development, designed growth management policies to protect these areas, and tested their effectiveness in two alternative future scenarios. We found that the measured biodiversity responses, including riparian habitat, elk winter range, migration corridors, and eight other land cover, habitat, and biodiversity indices, are likely to undergo substantial conversion (between 5% and 40%) to exurban development by 2020. Future habitat conversion to exurban development outside the region's nature reserves is likely to impact wildlife populations within the reserves. Existing growth management policies will provide minimal protection to biodiversity in this region. We identified specific growth management policies, including incentives to cluster future growth near towns, that can protect "at risk" habitat types without limiting overall growth in housing.     

Smoothing of land use maps for trend and change detection in urbanization

Urban sprawl and its evolution over relatively short periods of time demands that we develop statistical tools to make best use of the routinely produced land use data from satellites. An efficient smoothing framework to estimate spatial patterns in binary raster maps derived from land use datasets is developed and presented in this paper. The framework is motivated by the need to model urbanization, specifically urban sprawl, and also its temporal evolution. We frame the problem as estimation of a probability of urbanization surface and use Bayesian P-splines as the tool of choice. Once such a probability map is produced, with associated uncertainty, we develop exploratory tools to identify regions of significant change across space and time. The proposal is used to study urbanisation and its development around the city of Bologna, Emilia Romagna, Italy, using land use data from the Cartography Archive of Emilia Romagna Region for the period 1976–2008.     

区域土地利用变化对土壤磷含量的影响评价研究

研究土壤磷含量的时空演变规律对改善土地管理水平和提高土壤质量具有重要的指导作用。文章选取江苏省原锡山市作为研究区域,以1982年和2005年土壤全磷和速效磷含量作为研究对象,研究探讨土地利用变化对土壤磷含量的影响,进而表明人类活动对生态系统和环境的影响。通过统计分析表明,20年来原锡山市土壤全磷含量降低0.48g·kg-1,土壤速效磷含量升高26.16mg·kg-1。通过变异函数分析,20年来原锡山市全磷和速效磷的变异函数理论模型都是指数型,但块金方差与基台值的比值、自相关阀值发生了较大变化;Kriging插值分析结果表明,1982年全磷和速效磷的分布比较简单;2005年全磷分布较为简单,土壤速效磷分布较为复杂。Kriging插值分析还表明,20年来原锡山市土壤全磷含量降低,空间变异显著;土壤速效磷含量升高,空间变异显著。     

Watershed land use as a determinant of metal concentrations in freshwater systems

Concentrations of Fe, Mn, Cu, dissolved organic matter (DOM), and pH were synthesized from 30 publications to determine the factors regulating concentrations and behavior of metals in freshwater systems. Results from the review suggest that contrasting watershed land use can directly (erosion and runoff) and indirectly (in-lake processes including metal–DOM–pH interactions) affect the metal concentrations in freshwater systems. Among the watershed land uses considered here, concentrations of Fe, Mn, and Cu were observed in the following order: arctic lakes < forested < agricultural < urbanized < mined. A drastic difference in mean metal concentrations has been observed when undisturbed or low impact watersheds (arctic and forested) were changed by agricultural, urban, and mining developments. Relationships between metal concentrations and pH revealed that metals precipitate at high pH (pH > 5). Additionally, at pH < 5, metal concentrations were significantly correlated with DOM due to metal–DOM complexation. High ratios of metal: DOM occur only at low DOM concentrations. Collectively, two general conclusions can be drawn from this review. First, lakes, rivers, and streams with urbanized watersheds are the most susceptible to increased concentrations of metals. Secondly, these results also suggest that regardless of high or low DOM in the water column, pH would affect metal concentrations in freshwater systems. Nonetheless, free metal ions would be higher in freshwater systems with acidic water and low DOM.     

不同利用方式对松嫩平原典型县耕地土壤养分状况的影响

耕地是受人为活动影响最强、对人类生存最重要的土地资源类型之一,研究不同利用方式对耕地的利用对土壤理化性状的影响可以为土壤资源管理与合理利用提供依据.本文选取国家重点商品粮食基地松嫩平原九台市,在获取大量土壤养分数据的基础上,系统分析了不同耕地利用方式土壤养分状况的影响.结果表明,在11种土壤养分中,有效锌和有效磷的总变异系数最大,pH值和阳离子变异系数最小.不同耕地利用方式对土壤有机质、全氮、有效磷和速效钾具有显著影响,而对土壤缓效钾的影响不显著.因农户对菜地的投入及管理水平明显高于粮田,造成菜地土壤的有机质和大量元素含量高于粮田.除有效钼在不同利用方式中的含量无显著差异外,不同利用方式对土壤有效铜、有效锌、有效铁、有效锰和有效硼具有显著影响.水田和菜地的pH和CEC高于旱田.     

基于主成分分析的全国建设用地集约度评价

建设用地的集约利用是一个基于时空尺度的动态概念.首先了解了1996-2005年期间全国建设用地变化的大背景,然后以全国各省、市、自治区2005年建设用地数据、各种社会经济数据为基础,在总结前人研究的基础上,构建了全国建设用地集约利用评价体系,采用主成分分析的方法,确定了各省、市、自治区建设用地的集约分值,根据标准确定了各自的集约度水平,结合ArcGis将评价结果空间化,进一步分析了集约度的空间差异.针对不同的集约度区域提出了针对性的意见,为区域建设用地集约利用提供指导,促进经济发展.研究结果表明,(1)全国建设用地数量在持续上升,增长率呈现波浪状;(2)建没用地的集约度在空间上存在差异,东部沿海地区的集约度水平要高于中部和西部地区;(3)环境的可持续发展指标是考核建设用地集约利用的重要因素;(4)利用主成分分析的方法在结果评价时比较客观、全面,同时可以很方便地确定权重系数.     

盐池北部风沙区土地利用格局变化对沙漠化的影响

以盐池北部风沙区为研究区域,利用1989、1995、2000、2007年土地利用现状图,借助地理信息系统软件提取有关格局分析的基础数据,基于景观生态学原理,构造主要土地利用类型和沙地景观格局指数,探讨不同时段内盐池北部风沙区土地利用格局变化对沙化景观的影响。结果表明：（1）沙地景观在1995年之前不断扩张,1995年以后开始减少,集中连片沙地被零星分布的小沙化斑块取代;（2）林地和草地经历了先减少后增大的过程,土地利用格局变化中,中、低覆盖度草地和灌木林地变动性大;中、低覆盖度草地、耕地、灌木林地不稳定性程度较高;（3）受农作活动影响,尤其在灌溉条件较好区域,草地沙化明显,而灌木林能起到很好的防沙作用;（4）盐池北部风沙区土地利用格局特征指标与沙地面积呈负相关,随着特征指标增大沙化面积减小。土地利用格局变化能够综合反映相应时段内的人类活动结果,以此为切入点研究其对沙漠化的影响,有利于揭示沙漠化的驱动机制。     

盐池北部风沙区土地利用变化的社会经济效应

以盐池北部风沙区为研究区域,利用1996—2007年土地利用变更调查与社会经济统计数据,借助典型相关分析,提取沙区农村土地利用变化对社会经济发展影响的主要方面。结果表明：（1）研究区土地利用变化对农村经济总体水平、经济结构、社会发展具有显著影响;（2）种植业、林业、牧业产值与粮食总产量是衡量研究区农村经济总体水平的重要指标,耕地、林地、居民点、沙地组成对其影响显著;（3）人口产业结构与居民收入结构反映了研究区农村社会发展、劳动力就业情况,受林地和沙地组成影响较大;（4）林地和沙地组成对地区农业结构,尤其是林业产值比重影响较大。沙区土地利用变化的社会经济效应分析,为土地利用结构调整方向提供依据,目的是促进沙区种植业结构调整、林牧业发展、农村劳动力合理分配。     

Exploring land use determinants in Italian municipalities: comparison of spatial econometric models

Environmental and Ecological Statistics - This study sets up a spatial econometric framework to explore the factors that best describe land consumption in Italy at the municipal level. By modelling...