工艺流程中氨泄漏事故后果分类研究

氨是重要的化工原料和产品,工艺流程中氨主要以氨气、液氨、氨溶液三种状态存在。氨气、液氨、氨溶液理化特性及危险特性不同,可能造成的事故后果类型不同,分别进行三种相态下氨泄漏的事故情景分析。氨气泄漏主要考虑蒸气云爆炸、中毒,液氨泄漏主要考虑沸腾液体扩展蒸气爆炸、蒸气云爆炸、中毒,氨溶液泄漏主要考虑中毒和腐蚀。运用半球模型和高斯模型计算某尿素企业液氨球罐泄漏的危害范围。半球泄漏模型计算方法较简单,但没有考虑氨本身性质及气象条件等因素;高斯模型计算过程较复杂,其计算结果与风速、大气稳定度等条件相关。该两种方法计算结果对预防氨泄漏事故发生和氨泄漏事故预警均具有一定参考意义,如何提高模拟分析的准确度是今后研究工作的重点。     

矿山重大危险源评价及瓦斯爆炸事故伤害模型建立的若干研究

基于危险源评价的基本原理 ,结合系统论的观点与矿山重大危险源的实际 ,确立了矿山重大危险源伤害模型的合理假设和简化 ,并在此基础上 ,首次提出了从危险源系统事故的伤害模型来研究矿山矿井瓦斯爆炸事故的严重度方法 ;并结合矿井瓦斯爆炸事故的实际 ,建立了瓦斯爆炸事故冲击波的伤害模型。使得目前人们通常认为无法对矿井瓦斯爆炸事故严重度研究进行建模成为可能 ,这无疑是对矿山重大危险源评价工作和瓦斯爆炸事故研究的一次重大创新和完善     

Extending the J-value framework for safety analysis to include the environmental costs of a large accident

A severe accident on an industrial plant has the potential to cause, in addition to human harm, general damage and hence expense, associated with ground contamination, evacuation of people and business disruption, for example. The total cost of damages, given the name “environmental costs” in this paper, may be comparable with or larger than the cost of direct health consequences, as assessed objectively by the J-value approach. While the low probability of the accident may mean that the expectation of monetary loss is small, the paper develops a utility-based approach to determine how much should be spent on protection systems to protect against both environmental costs and human harm. The behaviour of the fair decision maker in an organisation facing possible environmental costs is represented by an Atkinson Utility function, which is dependent on the organisation's assets and on the elasticity of marginal utility or, equivalently, the coefficient of relative risk aversion, “risk-aversion” for short. A Second Judgment Value, J₂, may be derived from the spend on the protection system after subtracting the amount sanctioned to prevent direct human harm. This net, environmental expenditure is divided by the most that it is reasonable to spend to avert environmental costs at the highest, rational risk-aversion. The denominator in this ratio is found by first calculating the maximum, sensible spend at a risk-aversion of zero, and then multiplying this figure by a Risk Multiplier to give the maximum, fair amount to avert environmental costs. The Risk Multiplier incorporates a risk-aversion that is as large as it can be without rendering the organisation's safety decisions indiscriminate and hence random. An overall, Total Judgment Value, the J_T-value, may also be calculated, which takes into account the reduction in both human harm and environmental cost brought about by the protection system. The new J_T-value will show similar behaviour to the original J-value, in that J_T-values up to unity will indicate reasonable value for money, while J_T-values greater than unity will indicate a prima facie overspend on protection that will need to be justified by further argument. While the analysis is phrased in terms of environmental costs, the treatment is sufficiently general for all costs, including onsite damages, loss of capability etc. to be included. The new, J_T-value method provides for a full and objective evaluation of the worth of any industrial protection system. A worked example is given.     

《重大危险源辨识》标准修订研究

本文对国外发达国家重大危险源辨识标准现状进行了调研,结合我国实际情况,提出了<重大危险源辨识>适用范围、分类、危险物质种类及临界量等方面的修订建议,解决了以前重大危险源申报登记工作中存在的一些技术性问题,可作为我国中长期重大危险源监督工作的指导性文件和重大危险源监管体系建设的依据.     

The role of national culture in determining safety performance: Challenges for the global oil and gas industry

This paper addresses the issue of occupational safety and how the process of globalisation can potentially influence the attitudes, beliefs and behaviour of disparate ‘national’ workforces working across the globe for the same multi-national company. The paper reviews published literature on cross-cultural differences in attitudes, perceptions and beliefs regarding safety and presents details of a study examining the relationship between Hofstede’s [Hofstede, G., 1984. Culture’s Consequences; International Differences in Work-Related Values, Abridged edition. Sage Publications, London, Hofstede, G., 1991. Culture and Organisations; Software of the Mind. McGraw Hill, Maidenhead] cultural values dimensions (i.e., Power Distance, Individualism/Collectivism, Masculinity/Femininity); safety climate (perceived management commitment to safety) and risk-taking behaviour in workforce members of a multi-national engineering organisation operating in six countries. The results suggest that more proximal influences such as perceived management commitment to safety and the efficacy of safety measures exert more impact on workforce behaviour and subsequent accident rates than fundamental national values.     

SBR法处理油页岩废水试验研究

对油页岩废水水质进行分析,采用SBR工艺进行处理,以废水COD和总石油烃为控制指标,结合污泥脱氢酶的活性,探索SBR工艺运行的最佳条件;并利用修正的Monod公式,对SBR池中生化动力学进行研究,确定了其动力学参数,反应级数及反应速率常数.结果表明,在温度为24～28℃,pH值为6.58 ～ 7.24,DO为3.36～4.36mg/L,水力停留时间为36 h条件下,处理效果较佳.在进水水量为15L,COD为491.008 mg/L,总石油烃为33.25 mg/L时,废水COD去除率可达70％,总石油烃去除率可达90％.     

The development of probabilistic models to estimate accident risk (due to runway overrun and landing undershoot) applicable to the design and construction of runway safety areas

The risks of landing overrun (LDOR – LanDing OverRun), Take-off Overrun (TOOR – Take-Off OverRun) and landing undershoot (LDUS – LanDing UnderShoot) are dependent on multiple factors related to operating conditions. These include wind, runway surface conditions, landing or take-off distances required, the presence of obstacles, runway distance available, the existence and dimensions of runway safety areas.In this paper we propose risk models for runway overrun and landing undershoot, using a probabilistic approach. These models are supported by historical data on accidents in the area around the runway and will enable us to determine if the risk level is acceptable or whether action must be taken to mitigate such risks at a given airport. Furthermore, these models permit comparison of the results of different risk mitigation actions in terms of operational risk and safety.The principal advantage of this method is the high quality results obtained for a limited investment in terms of time, computing power and data. As such the method is extremely practical and easy to apply in aerodrome planning, development and operation.     

The Ergonomic Program Implementation Continuum (EPIC): Integration of health and safety - A process evaluation in the healthcare sector

IntroductionThis article presents a health and safety intervention model and the use of process evaluation to assess a participatory ergonomic intervention.MethodThe effectiveness of the Ergonomic Program Implementation Continuum (EPIC) was assessed at six healthcare pilot sites in Ontario, Canada. The model provided a framework to demonstrate evaluation findings.ResultsParticipants reported that EPIC was thorough and identified improvements related to its use. Participants believed the program contributed to advancing an organizational culture of safety (COS). Main barriers to program uptake included resistance to change and need for adequate funding and resources. The dedication of organizational leaders and consultant coaches was identified as essential to the program's success.Impact on IndustryIn terms of impact on industry, findings contribute to the evidence-based knowledge of health and safety interventions and support use of the framework for creating a robust infrastructure to advance organizational COS and link staff safety and wellness with patient safety in healthcare.     

改进欧拉法的GM(1,1)模型及其在非煤矿山事故预测中的应用

通过对GM(1,1)模型中的微分方程使用数值算法求解,提出一种改进欧拉算法GM(1,1)模型.将此模型应用于我国非煤矿山事故预测中,并且对改进模型的预测数据及结果与原始模型进行了比较,表明该预测模型提高了预测精度,验证了模型的可行性,并对我国非煤矿山事故发生趋势做出统计学的判断.该模型可以精确的预测近期的一些数据,而长远的预测则为一种趋势的反映.     

Fuzzy Application Procedure (FAP) for the risk assessment of occupational accidents

This paper concerns a procedure to quantify the risk of occupational accidents based on Fuzzy Logic approach, named Fuzzy Application Procedure (FAP). FAP was developed as a support tool, after the method based on fuzzy logic was developed and validated. The methodology and FAP support tool were found to be able to quantitatively assess the risk of occupational accidents for different industrial and site activities and to identify the most efficient intervention measures that can be taken to reduce risks. The application of FAP to two Italian industrial plant allowed the validation of the procedure. It can be seen how FAP should be considered easy to use for any type of company, with the only requirement of having a sufficient and homogeneous number of accidents recorded, so as to be able to correctly tune the reference parameters of the fuzzy methodology.     

An economic evaluation framework for membrane reactor modules in the presence of uncertainty: The case for process safety investment and risk reduction

A comprehensive Net Present Value (NPV) model has been developed to demonstrate the economic advantages of process safety and risk reduction investments on Pd/Au-based membrane reactors. In particular, the economic viability of Pd/Au-based membrane reactor modules incorporated into Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) plants is evaluated within the aforementioned framework by pro-actively following sound process safety design principles. Sources of irreducible uncertainty (market, technological, operational) as well as safety risk are explicitly recognized, such as the Pd/Au prices, membrane life-time and loss in the power plant capacity factor due to possible accidents. The effect of the above uncertainty drivers on the membrane module cost along with production disruption and associated revenue losses is elucidated using Monte-Carlo simulation techniques that enable the propagation of the above uncertain inputs through the NPV-model, and therefore, generate a more realistic distribution of the process system's value rather than a single-point/estimate that overlooks these uncertainties. Pre-investment on risk reducing measures, such as spare safety relief systems (cautionary redundancy) for membrane reactor modules operating at high pressures (e.g. 50 atm), is shown to be economically more attractive than cases where analogous safety measures are not implemented. Since accidents and possibly catastrophic events do happen in an uncertain world, additional investment on safety measures could ensure a safer and more profitable operation of the process system under consideration giving credence to the thesis that process safety investments may result in enhanced techno-economic performance in the presence of irreducible uncertainties.     

国家经贸委关于印发<劳动防护用品配备标准(试行)>的通知

为了指导用人单位合理配备、正确使用劳动防护用品,保护劳动者在生产过程中的安全和健康,确保安全生产,国家经贸委依据《中华人民共和国劳动法》．组织制定了《劳动防护用品配备标准（试行）》,请认真贯彻实施。《劳动防护用品配备标准（试行）》 编制及有关问题说明 一、本标准是根据《中华人民共和国劳动法》等有关法律法规,为进一步加强劳动防护用品的管理,保障劳动者在劳动过程中的安全和健康而制订的。 二、本标准适用于中华人民共和国境内所有企事业和个体经济组织等用人单位。 本标准规定的劳动防护用品,是指在劳动过程中为保…     

The Merseyside Accident Information Model (MAIM) can reveal components of accidents that lead to attendance at fracture clinics and cause disability: a new approach to accident prevention

The objectives of this study were to identify components of accidents that cause the most disability and to discover the principal sources of injuries treated in the fracture clinics. Patients attending fracture clinics of the Royal Liverpool University Hospital were interviewed using a portable computer-based questionnaire, the Merseyside Accident Information Model (MAIM). Patients were followed up by telephone interview or letter to enquire about disability continuing after discharge. Disability was measured by the pre-accident to post-discharge changes in scores for 11 normal functions. Of the 1326 patients interviewed, 900 (68%) were successfully followed up and 37% reported disability after discharge. First events ‘tripping’, ‘slipping’ and ‘other underfoot events’ accounted for 433 patients (194 reporting disability), and ‘collapsed/fainted — no other event' for 66 patients (27 reporting disability). Activities at the time of accident most frequently associated with disability involved moving about on foot. Among first event objects, ground surfaces and underfoot hazards were reported in 35%. Sources of injuries included underfoot accidents (48%), sport (13%), and transport accidents (12%.). Underfoot accidents contributed to 58% of patients reporting disability, sport 6% and transport accidents 11%. Underfoot accidents together with ‘collapsed/fainted — no other event’ accounted for 79% of female patients reporting disability and 50% of men. Such data could be used for cost-effective targeting of preventative measures, and to study the effectiveness of accident prevention initiatives.     

我国安全科技"十五"展望

“十五”是我国国民经济和社会发展的重要时期 ,对安全生产和安全科学技术提出了更高的要求。针对国内的实际情况与需求 ,要合理规划好安全生产科技任务 ,以遏制或减少重（特）大事故和职业危害的发生 ,从而建立起良好的安全生产环境和秩序 ,实现可持续发展战略 ,为推动经济与社会发展领域的全面进步做出贡献。“十五”期间安全生产科技的发展战略是 :将预防与控制各类重（特）大事故的科技攻关任务作为工作重点 ,为从本质上遏制或减少重（特）大事故的发生提供技术手段 ;提高中小企业和传统基础性工业的安全生产水平。要使企业的安全生产转…     

The European Working Conditions Survey( EWCS) :a growing instrument: a reflection on the methodology,the reasons for and the use of the survey

The European Working Conditions(the EWCS)Series Eurofound,the European Foundation for the improvement of working and living conditions is a European tripartite agency which contributes to the improvement of working and living conditions.A key instrument to do so is the EWCS.The EWCS aims to comparably measure working conditions across European countries and beyond.This allows for the analysis of relationships between different aspects of working conditions,the identification of groups at risk and issues of concern,as well as areas of progress and the monitoring of trends over time.These analyses contribute to European policy development,in particular on issues with regard to the quality of work and employment.Following earlier editions of the EWCS in1991,1995,2000,2005 and 2010,a sixth wave of the survey will be fielded in 2015.Eurofound develops the questionnaire and outlines the design of the survey as well as a strict quality assurance framework.The actual preparation and implementation of fieldwork is contracted out.The development of the questionnaire is user led.Tripartite users of the survey are key in setting priorities for change.The questionnaire of the 6th EWCS maintain many trend questions which allow mapping changes over time.Yet a number of new questions will be included in the 6th editions which cover recent changes in work,sustainability of work,boundaryless work,work life balance,organisational justice,engagement,sleeping problems,chronic diseases,blurring frontiers in employment status.Changes over time On average there are little changes:this is because work situations and working conditions are becoming more diverse and inequalities in working conditions are increasing.On average,workers work less and less workers work long hours.They also work less"atypical"working hours.Work is taking place in more collective environment(clients,devolution of coordination tasks down to employee level etc.).Yet employment relations are more individualised.Technology use is on the increase but level of reported cognitive demands has remained the same.Exposure to physical risks remains high.Exposure to psychosocial risks is probably on the increase as illustrated by work intensification.Employment status in evolution:frontiers between categories less strict:the employment contract plays a key role in framing working conditions.Over time,there has been slow progress in gender segregation.Women still bear much of the burden of care activities.Sustainable work on the increase:good working conditions are key for sustainability as well as the provision of meaningful work.Less people report a good/very good work life balance.Important differences are lost at the aggregate level.Unfavourable working conditions tend to cluster disproportionally in some groups.Policy conclusions The improvement of working conditions is not automatic and need to be supported.Lifecourse perspective is important to understand trade-offs between job quality features.Social and economic policies are linked together:good work and good working conditions are key in facilitating good performance and wellbeing.Actions to support the improvement of working conditions are not necessarily costly.Many actors contribute to the improvement of working conditions and their efforts need to be supported.     

The role of burnout syndrome as a mediator for the effect of psychosocial risk factors on the intensity of musculoskeletal disorders: a structural equation modeling approach

This study examined the hypothesis that burnout syndrome mediates effects of psychosocial risk factors and intensity of musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) among hospital nurses. The sample was composed of 415 nurses from various wards across five hospitals of Iran's Hamedan University of Medical Sciences. Data were collected through three questionnaires: job content questionnaire, Maslach burnout inventory and visual analogue scale. Results of structural equation modeling with a mediating effect showed that psychosocial risk factors were significantly related to changes in burnout, which in turn affects intensity of MSDs.     

The BG measurement system for hazardous substances (BGMG) and the exposure database of hazardous substances (MEGA).

German employers' liability insurance associations or Berufsgenossenschaften (BGs)--institutions for statutory accident insurance--maintain a measurement system for hazardous substances, the so-called BGMG. The aim of the BGMG is to determine and document valid results of measurements of exposure primarily for prevention purposes. The data are collected systematically, in parallel to the sampling in a company. Parameters which are supposed to have a visible effect on exposure levels are documented. The MEGA database (documentation of measurement data relating to workplace exposure to hazardous substances) holds 1,629 million measurement values, which have been compiled in since 1972. The database offers a host of selection possibilities for assessments depending on the evaluation strategy.     

滨河城市洪涝精细化模拟——以蚌埠市为例

滨河城市洪涝模拟涉及地表、管网和河道等不同水流运动特征的区域,需要解决模拟中密集建筑和复杂管网的问题,并实现外洪、内涝及其耦合计算.基于蚌埠市洪水风险来源和地形地貌特征,构建了河道、城市地表和城市管网耦合水动力数学模型.河网一维模型采用实测洪水资料进行率定与验证,沿程主要测站水位和流量模拟值与实测值误差较小;地表二维模型采用设置阻水导水构筑物、分区域布置糙率、干湿边界判断等方式对模型进行优化,能够反映城市复杂地表特征,水流运动合理;管网模型通过专家咨询、现场调研和外业测量等方式对模型进行了校正;采用闸、堰、泵站和集水井等构筑物对不同模型进行耦合,实现不同区域水流的动态互馈,模型可以作为洪涝精细化模拟和预测的计算平台.以蚌埠市为例,模拟了蚌埠市城区不同洪涝频率遭遇情况下外河溃堤洪水和城市暴雨内涝淹没情况,分析了淹没水深等洪涝要素,指出了外洪的高风险区域及洪水防守要点、城区易涝区及积水水深等,可为蚌埠城市防洪决策、应急预案和防汛抢险措施制定,以及城区防洪排涝规划和设计等提供支持和依据.     

Development of a method for predicting the ignition of explosive atmospheres by mechanical friction and impacts (MECHEX)

Mechanical friction and impacts is still today a main cause of ignition of explosive atmospheres (ATEX) in the industry and this trend seems to be stable in time. This situation certainly results from a significant gap of knowledge in the underlying mechanisms so that the parameters to play on are not precisely identified. In this programme of European dimensions, the process of degradation of the mechanical energy into heat during friction and impacts have been studied.

An extensive experimental programme is presented to this end. The mechanisms of dissipation of the mechanical energy into heat during friction has been studied with rubbing machines in which a slider equipped with temperature sensors rubs against a rotating wheel. For impacts, a new device has been developed using a special “air driven cannon” to propel a projectile accurately up to 50 m/s onto an inclined target. A very significant effort has been reserved to the investigation of the ignition mechanisms, not only for ATEX but also for dust accumulations.

Some “simple” modelling is proposed on purpose of practical applications. For frictional situations, a critical rubbing power is calculated without any limitations about any lower boundary concerning the rubbing velocity. For “impacts”, the relevant parameter for ignition is not the kinetic energy of the projectile but its velocity and the nature of the materials.     

The effectiveness of reducing illegal blood alcohol concentration (BAC) limits for driving: evidence for lowering the limit to .05 BAC

PURPOSE: This scientific review provides a summary of the evidence regarding the benefits of reducing the illegal blood alcohol concentration (BAC) limit for driving and providing a case for enacting a .05 BAC limit. RESULTS: Fourteen independent studies in the United States indicate that lowering the illegal BAC limit from .10 to .08 has resulted in 5-16% reductions in alcohol-related crashes, fatalities, or injuries. However, the illegal limit is .05 BAC in numerous countries around the world. Several studies indicate that lowering the illegal per se limit from .08 to .05 BAC also reduces alcohol-related fatalities. Laboratory studies indicate that impairment in critical driving functions begins at low BACs and that most subjects are significantly impaired at .05 BAC. The relative risk of being involved in a fatal crash as a driver is 4 to 10 times greater for drivers with BACs between .05 and .07 compared to drivers with .00 BACs. SUMMARY: There is strong evidence in the literature that lowering the BAC limit from .10 to .08 is effective, that lowering the BAC limit from .08 to .05 is effective, and that lowering the BAC limit for youth to .02 or lower is effective. These law changes serve as a general deterrent to drinking and driving and ultimately save lives. IMPACT ON INDUSTRY: This critical review supports the adoption of lower illegal BAC limits for driving.