Spatiotemporal analysis of traffic emissions in over 5000 municipal districts in Brazil

Exposure to traffic emission is harmful to human health. Emission inventories are essential to public health policies aiming at protecting human health, especially in areas with incomplete or nonexistent air pollution monitoring networks. In Brazil, for example, only 1.7% of municipal districts have a monitoring network, and only a few studies have reported data on vehicle emission inventories. No studies have presented emission inventories by municipality. In this study, we predicted vehicular emissions for 5570 municipal districts in Brazil during the period 2001–2012. We used a top-down method to estimate emissions. Carbon dioxide (CO₂) is the pollutant with the highest emissions, with approximately 190 million tons per year during the period 2001–2012). For the other traffic-related pollutants, we predicted annual emissions of 1.5 million tons for carbon monoxide (CO), 1.2 million tons of nitrogen oxides (NO_x), 209,000 tons of nonmethane hydrocarbons (NMHC), 58,000 tons of particulate matter (PM), and 42,000 tons for methane (CH₄). From 2001 to 2012, CO, NMHC, and PM emissions decreased by 41, 33, and 47%, respectively, whereas those CH₄, NO_x, and CO₂ increased by 2, 4, and 84%, respectively. We estimated uncertainties in our study and found that NO_x was the pollutant with the lowest percentage difference, 8%, and NMHC with the highest one, 30%. For CO, CH₄, CO₂, and PM, the values were 22, 14, 21, and 20%, respectively. Finally, we found that during 2001 and 2012 emissions increased in the Northwest and Northeast. In contrast, pollutant emissions, except for CO₂, decreased in the Southeast, South, and part of Midwest. Our predictions can be critical to efforts developing cost-effective public policies tailored to individual municipal districts in Brazil.

Implications: Emission inventories may be an alternative approach to provide data for air quality forecasting in areas where air quality data are not available. This approach can be an effective tool in developing spatially resolved emission inventories.     

Scenarios of animal waste production and fertilizer use and associated ammonia emission for the developing countries

Livestock production and the use of synthetic fertilizer are responsible for about half of the global emission of NH₃. Depending on the animal category between 10 and 36% of the N in animal excreta is lost as NH₃. The current annual NH₃ emission in developing countries of 15 million ton N accounts for of the global emission from animal excreta. In addition, 7.2 million tons NH₃N of synthetic N fertilizers are lost as NH₃ in developing countries. This is 80% of the global NH₃ emission from synthetic fertilizer's use. Along with human population increase and economic growth, livestock production in developing countries may even increase by a factor of 3 between now and 2025. The net result of rapid increase of livestock production combined with higher efficiency is an increase in NH₃ emissions of only 60% from 15 to 24 million tons NH₃N between 1990 and 2025 in developing countries. Livestock production is an important consumer of feedstuffs, mainly cereals, thereby inducing additional demand for synthetic fertilizers. Despite the projected major increase of synthetic fertilizer use from 42 to 106 million ton N between 1990 and 2025, the NH₃ loss in developing countries may decrease if a shift towards other fertilizer types, that are less vulnerable to NH₃ volatilization, is realized. According to the scenario, the total emission of NH₃ associated with food production in developing countries will increase from 22 to 30 million ton N yr⁻¹ between 1990 and 2025. Although the NH₃ emission increases more slowly than food production, in particular, animal production may show geographic concentration in certain regions, which may lead to high local emission densities and associated environmental problems.     

Ship emissions and their externalities for Greece

The existing and emerging international and European policy framework for the reduction of ship exhaust emissions dictates the need to produce reliable national, regional and global inventories in order to monitor emission trends and consequently provide the necessary support for future policy making. Furthermore, the inventories of ship exhaust emissions constitute the basis upon which their external costs are estimated in an attempt to highlight the economic burden they impose upon the society and facilitate the cost–benefit analysis of the proposed emission abatement technologies, operational measures and market-based instruments prior to their implementation.The case of Greece is of particular interest mainly because the dense ship traffic within the Greek seas directly imposes the impact of its exhaust emission pollutants (NO_x, SO₂ and PM) upon the highly populated, physically sensitive and culturally precious Greek coastline, as well as upon the land and seas of Greece in general, whereas the contribution of Greece in the global CO₂ inventory at a time of climatic change awareness cannot be ignored. In this context, this paper presents the contribution of Greece in ship exhaust emissions of CO₂, NO_x, SO₂ and PM from domestic and international shipping over the last 25 years (1984–2008), utilizing the fuel-based (fuel sales) emission methodology. Furthermore, the ship exhaust emissions generated within the Greek seas and their externalities are estimated for the year 2008, through utilizing the fuel-based (fuel sales) approach for domestic shipping and the activity-based (ship traffic) approach for international shipping.On this basis, it was found that during the 1984 to 2008 period the fuel-based (fuel sales) ship emission inventory for Greece increased at an average annual rate of 2.85%. In 2008, the CO₂, NO_x, SO₂ and PM emissions reached 12.9 million tons (of which 12.4 million tons of CO₂) and their externalities were found to be around 3.1 billion euro. With regard to shipping within the Greek seas, the utilization of the fuel-based (fuel sales) analysis for domestic shipping and the activity-based (ship traffic) analysis for international shipping shows that the ship-generated emissions reached 7.4 million tons (of which 7 million tons of CO₂) and their externalities were estimated at 2.95 billion euro. Finally, the internalization of external costs for domestic shipping was found to produce an increase of 12.96 and 2.71 euro per passenger and transported ton, respectively.     

Development of the crop residue and rangeland burning in the 2014 National Emissions Inventory using information from multiple sources

Biomass burning has been identified as an important contributor to the degradation of air quality because of its impact on ozone and particulate matter. One component of the biomass burning inventory, crop residue burning, has been poorly characterized in the National Emissions Inventory (NEI). In the 2011 NEI, wildland fires, prescribed fires, and crop residue burning collectively were the largest source of PM_2.5. This paper summarizes our 2014 NEI method to estimate crop residue burning emissions and grass/pasture burning emissions using remote sensing data and field information and literature-based, crop-specific emission factors. We focus on both the postharvest and pre-harvest burning that takes place with bluegrass, corn, cotton, rice, soybeans, sugarcane and wheat. Estimates for 2014 indicate that over the continental United States (CONUS), crop residue burning excluding all areas identified as Pasture/Grass, Grassland Herbaceous, and Pasture/Hay occurred over approximately 1.5 million acres of land and produced 19,600 short tons of PM_2.5. For areas identified as Pasture/Grass, Grassland Herbaceous, and Pasture/Hay, biomass burning emissions occurred over approximately 1.6 million acres of land and produced 30,000 short tons of PM_2.5. This estimate compares with the 2011 NEI and 2008 NEI as follows: 2008: 49,650 short tons and 2011: 141,180 short tons. Note that in the previous two NEIs rangeland burning was not well defined and so the comparison is not exact. The remote sensing data also provided verification of our existing diurnal profile for crop residue burning emissions used in chemical transport modeling. In addition, the entire database used to estimate this sector of emissions is available on EPA’s Clearinghouse for Inventories and Emission Factors (CHIEF, http://www3.epa.gov/ttn/chief/index.html).Implications: Estimates of crop residue burning and rangeland burning emissions can be improved by using satellite detections. Local information is helpful in distinguishing crop residue and rangeland burning from all other types of fires.     

Nitrogen Oxide Emissions of Boilers in Finland

This article discusses nitrogen oxide emissions from various types of boilers in Finland. The boilers have been classified into 61 classes according to their size, combustion technique, and main fuel. A specific emission coefficient (ng NO₂/J = mg NO₂/MJ) for each class has been determined, based on literature surveys and actual measurements. The total NO_X emission has been calculated for each class, using the emission coefficient and energy statistics. The effect of various techniques for emission reduction has also been investigated. The development of NO_X emissions has been estimated for both the case where no preventing actions have been taken and for four defined cases where alternative reduction measures are assumed

The total NO_X emission from energy production in Finland was 107,000 tons NO₂ in 1987. Seventy-five percent of this amount originated in boilers larger than 1 MWfuel effect (input effect), and the rest in smaller boilers and industrial processes. The most important boiler classes from the NO_X emission’s point of view were coal-fired boilers, with an emission of approximately 38,000 tons NO₂, peat-fired boilers and boilers fired with a mixture of fuels, emitting approximately 12,000 tons NO₂ each.

By 2005, the total NO_X emission from energy production would increase 50 percent to approximately 160,000 tons if left uncontrolled. The emission level would be 140,000 tons if primary reduction techniques are applied, and 110,000 tons NO₂, if catalytic NO_X reduction devices are installed in boilers larger than 300 MW.     

What Do the Hydrocarbons from Trees Contribute to Air Pollution?

Plant species release appreciable quantities of volatile organic substances to the atmosphere. The major compounds emitted are monoterpenes (C₁₀) like α-pinene, β-pinene, and limonene and the hemiterpene (C5) isoprene. The rate of emission of isoprene is light dependent and ranges between 0.04 to 2.4 ppb/cm²/min/l for oak, cottonwood, and eucalyptus foliage. The rate of emission of a- and/3-pinene and limonene is dependent on the rate of transpiration, structural integrity of the oil cells and resin glands, and temperature of the foliage. Rates of emission for conifer foliage range from 0.4 to 3.5 ppb/g/min/l. An inventory of North American forest regions for the frequency of occurrence of these chemicals released by different tree species showed that 15% was the lowest value for a specific forest-type that emitted terpenes to the atmosphere. More commonly 100% of the trees of a given forest-type emitted terpenes to the atmosphere. An average of 70% is typical of the United States forested regions as a whole. The annual contribution of forest hydrocarbon emissions to the air pollution problem on a global basis is reflected in the 175 × 10⁶ tons of reactive hydrocarbons from tree foliage sources compared to the 27 × 10⁶ tons from man’s activities; in other words, there is a 6.2-fold greater emission level from natural sources than from man made sources. The fate of these gaseous olefins in the atmosphere is undetermined.     

Eutrophication of Lake Tasaul, Romania—proposals for rehabilitation

Lake Tasaul on the Black Sea coast is highly eutrophic, but not strongly contaminated (heavy metals, PAHs, and organochlorine pesticides). Cyanophytes dominate phytoplankton by 67–94% and form frequent algal blooms. High primary production (up to 270 mg C_ass/m².h) and algal biomass (maximum chlorophyll a concentration 417 μg/l) may be controlled by light, as Secchi depth is often below 1 m. The main tributary, Casimcea River, provides high quantities of suspended matter and about 3 tons TP/year and 660 tons TN/year. Based on chemical and biological analysis as well as fishery investigations, we provide recommendations for Lake Tasaul rehabilitation.     

Gaseous Sulfur Pollutants from Urban and Natural Sources

Major aspects of the circulation through the atmospheric environment of sulfur pollutants have been estimated, including source magnitudes, residual atmospheric concentrations, and scavenging processes. The compounds considered include SO₂ and H₂S, as well as sulfates. One-third of the sulfur reaching the atmosphere comes from pollutant sources, mainly as SO₂. Within the atmosphere there is a net transfer of sulfur from land to ocean areas. Pollutant sources annually amount to 73 × 10⁶ tons as sulfur while natural sources amount to 142 × 10⁶ tons, mainly as H₂S and sulfate sea spray. More than two thirds of the natural and pollutant sulfur emissions occur in the northern hemisphere. When only pollutant emissions are considered, 93 per cent occur in the northern hemisphere.     

Phase II Allowances Allocations and an Assessment of the Allowance Market in the West

Title IV of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 establishes a unique “market-based“ approach to reduce national electric utility sulfur dioxide (SO₂) emissions during the next century by about 10 million tons/year below the corresponding level in 1980. This program is designed to provide utility operators with the flexibility to achieve the applicable SO₂ emissions limitations (total tons) using the most cost-effective approach. However, in reality, it is unlikely that many utility operators would have such operational flexibility, especially in the case of plants located in the Western United States. This is due to the fact that these sources may also be subject to other more stringent provisions of the Act, such as to protect public health and visibility, which override the Title IV provisions.

This paper examines the Phase II allowance allocations for the utility units located in the 11 western states and assesses the potential impacts of the current federal/state air quality regulatory programs on the allowance market in the West. This analysis shows that, even after accounting for the projected population growth and the accompanying growth in electric power demand during the next decade, the West should have a surplus of allowances, especially if new regulations are initiated to further reduce SO₂ emissions, mainly for the purpose of improving visibility in Western Class I areas.     

Seasonal variation in the levels of organohalogen compounds in herring (Clupea harengus) from the Norwegian Sea

The Norwegian spring spawning (NSS) herring is an ecologically important fish stock in the Norwegian Sea, and with a catch volume exceeding one million tons a year it is also economically important and a valuable food source. In order to provide a baseline of the levels of contaminants in this fish stock, the levels of organohalogen compounds were determined in 800 individual herring sampled at 29 positions in the Norwegian Sea and off the coast of Norway. Due to seasonal migration, the herring were sampled where they were located during the different seasons. Concentrations of dioxins and dioxin-like PCBs, non-dioxin-like PCBs (PCB₇) and PBDEs were determined in fillet samples of individual herring, and found to be relatively low, with means (min-max) of 0.77 (0.24-3.5) ng TEQ kg⁻¹ wet weight (ww), 5.0 (1.4-24) μg kg⁻¹ ww and 0.47 (0.091-3.1) μg kg⁻¹ ww, respectively. The concentrations varied throughout the year due to the feeding- and spawning cycle: Starved, pre-spawning herring caught off the Norwegian coast in January-February had the highest levels and those caught in the Norwegian Sea in April-June, after further starvation and spawning, had the lowest levels. These results show that the concentrations of organohalogen compounds in NSS herring are relatively low and closely tied to their physiological condition, and that in the future regular monitoring of NSS herring should be made in the spawning areas off the Norwegian coast in late winter.     

Healthcare waste management practice in the West Black Sea Region,Turkey: A comparative analysis with the developed and developing countries

The need for proper healthcare waste management has been a crucial issue in many developing countries as it is in Turkey. The regulation regarding healthcare wastes in Turkey was updated in 2005 in accordance with the European Union (EU) waste directives, but it still falls behind meeting the requirements of current waste treatment technologies. Therefore, this study aims to reveal deficiencies, inconsistencies, and improper applications of healthcare waste management in the western part of the Turkish Black Sea Region. In this study, it was revealed that nearly 1 million people live in the region, resulting in 5 million hospital admissions annually. All the healthcare waste produced (1000 tons yr^?1) is treated in an autoclave plant. However, treating some categories of healthcare wastes in autoclave units mismatches with the EU waste regulations, as alternative treatment technologies are not technically able to treat all types of healthcare wastes. A proper waste management system, therefore, requires an internal segregation scheme to divert these wastes from the main healthcare waste stream. The existing malpractice in the region could cause serious health problems if no measure is taken urgently. It is expected that healthcare waste management in the region and then all across Turkey will be improved with the significant deficiencies and inconsistencies pointed out in this research.

Implications:?In developed countries, specific rules and regulations have already been implemented along with the recommendations for handling of healthcare waste. However, in Turkey, these wastes are treated in autoclave units, which mismatches with the European Union waste regulations, as alternative treatment technologies are not technically capable to treat all types of healthcare wastes. The existing malpractice could cause serious health problems if no measure is taken urgently. The authors demonstrated the existing status of Turkish waste management and revealed deficiencies, inconsistencies, and improper applications in comparison with developed and developing nations to align Turkish practice to European Union requirements.     

黄菖蒲和狭叶香蒲根系对氮磷的吸收动力学

采用改进的常规耗竭法,研究了黄菖蒲（Iris pseudacorus L.）和狭叶香蒲（Typha angustifolia L.）根系对NH₄⁺、NO₃^-和H₂PO₄^-的吸收特征及差异。结果表明,这2种植物根系对NH₄⁺、NO₃^-和H₂PO₄^-的吸收动力学特征均可采用Michaelis-Menten方程描述。2种植物根系对NH₄⁺、NO₃^-和H₂PO₄^-的亲和力（Km）和最大吸收速率（Vmax）有显著差异。吸收H₂PO₄^-时,黄菖蒲根系具有较高的Vmax值和较低的Km值,说明黄菖蒲具有嗜磷特性,并能够适应广范围浓度的H₂PO₄^-环境,适宜用于污染水体磷的去除;吸收NO₃^-时,狭叶香蒲根系具有较高的Vmax值和较低的Km值,表明狭叶香蒲可用于广范围浓度NO₃^-污染的水体修复;吸收NH₄⁺时,黄菖蒲根系具有较低的Vmax值和Km值,而狭叶香蒲根系具有较高的Vmax值和Km值,说明黄菖蒲适宜用于NH₄⁺污染较轻水体的修复,而在NH₄⁺污染较重水体中宜选用狭叶香蒲作为先锋植物。     

Behaviour and dynamics of di-ammonium phosphate in bauxite processing residue sand in Western Australia—II. Phosphorus fractions and availability

Background, aim and scope  

Australia is the largest producer of bauxite in the world, with an annual output of approximately 62 million metric dry tons in 2007. For every tonne of alumina, about 2 tonnes of highly alkaline and highly saline bauxite-processing residue are produced. In Western Australia, Alcoa World Alumina, Australia (Alcoa) produces approximately 15 MT of residue annually from its refineries (Kwinana, Pinjarra and Wagerup). The bauxite-processing residue sand (BRS) fraction represents the primary material for rehabilitating Alcoa’s residue disposal areas (RDAs). However, the inherently hostile characteristics (high alkalinity, high salinity and poor nutrient availability) of BRS pose severe limitations for establishing sustainable plant cover systems. Alcoa currently applies 2.7 t ha⁻¹ of di-ammonium phosphate ((NH₄)₂HPO₄; DAP)-based fertiliser as a part of rehabilitation of the outer residue sand embankments of its RDAs. Limited information on the behaviour of the dominant components of this inorganic fertiliser in highly alkaline BRS is currently available, despite the known effects of pH on ammonium (NH₄) and phosphorus (P) behaviour. The aim of this study was to quantify the effects of pH on NH₃ volatilisation and residual nitrogen (N) in BRS following DAP applications.     

Estimated crop yield losses due to surface ozone exposure and economic damage in India

In this study, we estimate yield losses and economic damage of two major crops (winter wheat and rabi rice) due to surface ozone (O₃) exposure using hourly O₃ concentrations for the period 2002–2007 in India. This study estimates crop yield losses according to two indices of O₃ exposure: 7-h seasonal daytime (0900–1600 hours) mean measured O₃ concentration (M7) and AOT40 (accumulation exposure of O₃ concentration over a threshold of 40 parts per billion by volume during daylight hours (0700–1800 hours), established by field studies. Our results indicate that relative yield loss from 5 to 11 % (6–30 %) for winter wheat and 3–6 % (9–16 %) for rabi rice using M7 (AOT40) index of the mean total winter wheat 81 million metric tons (Mt) and rabi rice 12 Mt production per year for the period 2002–2007. The estimated mean crop production loss (CPL) for winter wheat are from 9 to 29 Mt, account for economic cost loss was from 1,222 to 4,091 million US$ annually. Similarly, the mean CPL for rabi rice are from 0.64 to 2.1 Mt, worth 86–276 million US$. Our calculated winter wheat and rabi rice losses agree well with previous results, providing the further evidence that large crop yield losses occurring in India due to current O₃ concentration and further elevated O₃ concentration in future may pose threat to food security.     

Power to gas: an option for 2060 high penetration rate of renewable energy scenario of China

Replacing conventional fossil fuel power plants with large-scale renewable energy sources (RES) is a crucial aspect of the decarbonization of the power sector and represents a key part of the carbon-neutral strategy of China. The high penetration rate of renewable energy in the electricity system, however, implies the challenges of dealing with the intermittency and fluctuation of RES. Power to gas (P2G), which can convert surplus renewable power into a chemical form of energy (i.e., synthetic gas), can help handle this challenge and supply new energy carriers for various energy sectors. By modeling three potential 2060 energy mix scenarios in China, this paper aims to describe the possible contribution of the high penetration rate of renewable energy combined with P2G in the future sustainable energy system. Different schemes are listed and compared, and the results are used in a basic economic evaluation of the synthetic gas production cost for the P2G plants. Ideally, nearly 18 million tons of carbon dioxide would be recycled and transformed into methane (around 9.37 km³) annually in China. Considering a zero price for the excess renewable power and future costs of the components, the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of the final production of methane is estimated at 0.86 $/m³_SNG.

     

A2/O-MBR工艺处理低负荷污水并回用

将A²/O生物处理单元与MBR相结合构建了的处理能力为2 000 m³/d的A²/O-MBR工艺,并应用于缺水地区校园生活污水的处理与回用。该系统运行稳定,运行阶段的实验结果表明,在进水COD为100~200 mg/L、NH₄⁺-N为19~33 mg/L、TN为25~43 mg/L、TP为3~5 mg/L和低碳氮比的情况下,出水水质优于《城市污水再生利用城市杂用水水质》 (GB/T 18920-2002) 的要求,且全部用于杂用及校园绿化等。经分析该工艺运行成本为0.96 元/m³,每年可节省自来水73万t,获得较好的环境效益与经济效益。     

Degradation of carbon tetrachloride by iron metal: Complexation effects on the oxide surface

Dehalogenation of chlorinated aliphatic contaminants at the surface of zero-valent iron metal (Fe⁰) is mediated by the thin film of iron (hydr)oxides found on Fe⁰ under environmental conditions. To evaluate the role this oxide film plays in the reduction of chlorinated methanes, carbon tetrachloride (CCl₄) degradation by Fe⁰ was studied under the influence of various anions, ligands, and initial CCl₄ concentrations ([P]_o). Over the range of conditions examined in these batch experiments, the reaction kinetics could be characterized by surface-area-normalized rate constants that were pseudo-first order for CCl₄ disappearance (k_CCl4), and zero order for the appearance of dissolved Fe²⁺ (k_Fe²⁺). The rate of dechlorination exhibits saturation kinetics with respect to [P]_o, suggesting that CCl₄ is transformed at a limited number of reactive surface sites. Because oxidation of Fe⁰ by CCl₄ is the major corrosion reaction in these systems, k_Fe²⁺ also approaches a limiting value at high CCl₄ concentrations. The adsorption of borate strongly inhibited reduction of CCl₄, but a concomitant addition of chloride partially offset this effect by destabilizing the film. Redox active ligands (catechol and ascorbate), and those that are not redox active (EDTA and acetate), all decreased k_CCl4 (and k_Fe²⁺). Thus, it appears that the relatively strong complexation of these ligands at the oxide–electrolyte interface blocks the sites where weak interactions with the metal oxide lead to dehalogenation of chlorinated aliphatic compounds.     

响应面分析法优化稀土废水MAP沉淀法脱氮

经过预处理后的稀土生产废水,其氨氮浓度大幅降低,但并未达到中华人民共和国《稀土工业污染物排放标准》（GB26451-2011）中氨氮浓度限值。实验通过响应面分析法中的Box-Behnken实验设计（BBD）,取pH、n（Mg）：n（N）、n（P）：n（N）3因素,采用Design-Expert 8.0.6,建立合适的剩余氨氮浓度及剩余总磷浓度模型,得到回归方程,并分析模型各项指标,各因素及其相互作用对剩余氨氮浓度及剩余总磷浓度的影响。利用预测模型预测最佳实验条件,在最佳实验条件下验证预测结果,并对沉淀物进行X射线衍射（XRD）分析。结果显示,二次响应模型适用于剩余氨氮浓度及剩余总磷浓度,2个模型均拥有较好的拟合程度、可信度及精密度,最优反应条件为：pH=9.88、n（Mg）：n（N）=1.50：1、n（P）：n（N）=1.38：1时,剩余氨氮浓度为46.58 mg/L,剩余总磷浓度为7.85 mg/L。在最优条件下所得到的沉淀物并非纯净的MgNH₄PO₄·6H₂O,还有Mg₃（PO₄）₂·22H₂O生成。     

Sugarcane straw management and soil attributes on alachlor and diuron sorption in highly weathered tropical soils

This research evaluated the effects of the new sugarcane harvesting system (without straw burning) and soil attributes on the organic carbon (OC) accumulation and sorption of alachlor (2-chloro-N-(2,6-diethylphenyl)-N-(methoxymethyl)acetamide) and diuron (3-(3,4-dichlorophenyl)-1,1-dimethylurea) in highly weathered Brazilian soils. Alachlor was more likely to leach (K _d,app = 1.0–7.0 L kg^?1 and mean K _oc,app = 174 L kg^?1) than diuron (K _d,app = 6.2–116.3 L kg^?1 and mean K _oc,app = 1789 L kg^?1). The sorption coefficient (K _d,app) values correlated better with soil OC contents, but the Fe-oxides also played an important role in these highly weathered soils. Sorption was enhanced in the areas without straw burning mostly due to OC accumulation that was higher in the clayey soils, but it was not enough to change their mobility classification.     

石家庄市道路交通环境NO_x污染水平及ARMA模型预测

选择石家庄市区代表性路段作为研究对象,对其交通环境空气中NOx的污染水平进行现状监测。基于Matlab软件建立拟合模型,对下一时期的NOx污染趋势进行预测。结果表明,石家庄市交通环境中NOx小时浓度介于0.047~0.237 mg/m3之间,呈早晚高,且下午明显低于上午的日变化规律;NOx日均浓度介于0.076~0.211 mg/m3之间,其浓度与车流量呈明显的正相关性。利用matlab软件建立的ARMA模型能够较好地预测道路交通环境空气中NOx的浓度变化趋势。