酸雨对苏州市文物古建筑的影响初探

近年来，苏州市区酸雨出现频率增加，降水pH值下降，威胁着众多的文物古建筑。因此从苏州现存文物古建筑的五种材质入手，剖析酸雨对文物古建筑的影响，并对国家重点保护文物罗汉院双塔及正殿遗址典型的案例进行了剖析。     

酸雨对建筑材料的影响及防治研究综述

综合分析了酸雨对建筑外墙的涂料、石材、混凝土等主要建筑构件的腐蚀原理,并提出了防治措施,来预防酸雨对建筑材料的侵害。     

模拟酸雨对土壤中的铜释放与缓冲作用研究

研究了模拟酸雨淋溶过程中对南方主要土壤重金属Cu的缓冲及释放现象。结果表明，土壤的Cu释放量随淋溶模拟酸雨pH值的下降而增大，酸雨的pH值是影响土壤重金属离子释放和迁移的主要因素，当pH〈3．0时，Cu的释放量明显增加，并且增长迅速。此外，淋溶量也是影响土壤中Cu释放的重要因素。     

On the Relationship between Acid Rain and Cloud Type

Abstract

Spanish European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme (EMEP) stations were selected to relate acid rain episodes with the meteorological structure that caused the rainfall during a 5-year period. A principal component analysis (PCA) was used to determine the origin of major ions (SO₄ ^2?, NO₃ ^?, Cl^?, Ca²⁺, K⁺, Mg²⁺, and Na⁺) in the rainwater. In addition, the meteorological origin of the rain was identified.

Previous works suggested a relationship between acid rain and storm convective clouds. However, statistical analyses of pH values show that only the short-lived con-vective phenomena may cause acid rain in Spain. In fact, rain generated by fronts and that related to long-lived convective systems is neutral or even slightly basic. Results suggest that the acid rain might be related to the meteorological time scale instead of to the cloud type.     

HCI in Rocket Exhaust Clouds: Atmospheric Dispersion,Acid Aerosol Characteristics,and Acid Rain Deposition

NASA is examining Space Shuttle launch impacts. Solid rocket exhaust includes ?60 tons HCL and ?87 tons alumina particles emitted below 2.5 km, of which 50-80% forms an altitude stabilized exhaust cloud (EC). Several 60% smaller Titan-Ill EC were sampled by aircraft for this study. Three distinct features are presented: (a) An analysis of HCL (gaseous plus aqueous) data traces. Total range of peak HCL was 25-0.5 ppm (3-300 min) for 8 EC. Power-law decays of peak HCL applied. Calculated HCL dispersions for 7 standard meteorologies are also shown, (b) An analysis of simultaneous HCL (g), HCL (g + aq) data for 2 EC. Vapor-liquid HCL/H₂O equilibria were calculated for a flat surface aqueous aerosol. HCL partitioning varied with EC dilution and H₂O content. HCL (aq) and aqueous mass fraction maximized early at >3 molal and >0.1 mg/g air. Calculated H₂O (g + aq) compared favorably with independent EC measurements, (c) An analysis of wet deposition after EC interception at ?30 min by a convective storm. A 28 km² acid chloride (1 < pH < 3) footprint was defined. In conclusion, (a) HCL dispersion in large EC tends to follow power-law decay, but HCL concentration may vary widely (100 times after 1 h) with meteorology, (b) HCL (g/aq) and H₂O (g/aq) partitioning is consistent with equilibrated acid aerosol compositions, and (c) localized deposition of highly acidic rain may occur sometimes.     

江苏省大气污染和酸雨的现状及预测

利用区域酸沉降模式模拟了江苏省197年和2000年大气污染物浓度和酸沉降的空间分布，根据未来的能源规划，进一步预测了该省2005年和2010年的大气环境发展状况。研究表明，江苏1997年SO2和S沉降污染较为严重的为苏北徐州、淮阴和苏南镇江、常州一带，而苏中地区尚不严重。SO2年均地面质量浓度最大值出现在镇江，为55μg/m^3，全省SO2排放140万t，折合成S为70万t，造成本地区S沉降46万t。未来的大气SO2浓度和S沉降呈现增加态势，考虑能源结构调整条件下的大气环境污染状况比不考虑的情形有所改善。     

Acid Rain Emission Allowances and Future Capacity Growth in the Electric Utility Industry

While the new source emission offset provision contained in recent acid rain proposals would result in increasing utility costs over time, the demand for emission offsets from new powerplant units should be satisfied even under conditions of high future growth in electrical generating capacity. This is because the amount of emissions from new generating units will be small relative to the quantity of offsets that could be made available in the emission “allowance” market.

Under the President’s July 1989 proposal, most utilities would be able to reduce their emissions well below their allowance levels via fuel switching, the installation of control technology, or the use of other emission reduction techniques, in order to create more “headroom” for the construction of new generating units. Retirements and decreasing utilization of existing power plants over time would liberate other emission allowances for use by new units. Industrial sources could “opt in” to the acid rain program and provide allowances for new generating units as well. A number of provisions in the recently passed Senate and House bills would make still further sources of allowances available to offset emissions from new generating capacity.

Hoarding of allowances by utilities is unlikely to be a problem since allowances would be distributed to at least 88 utilities in 34 states, and many of these utilities would have the ability to cost-effectively free up more allowances through “overcontrol” than they would need to cover their own future growth. Even a relatively small number of utilities in a limited number of states would have the ability to supply all of the allowances needed to cover new capacity growth from those entities that could not otherwise provide their own offsets. At projected prices of up to $800/ton, the incentives for utilities to sell allowances would be considerable. Moreover, if hoarding did begin to occur, the price of allowances would respond by rising to higher levels and the incentives for utilities to sell allowances would become even more compelling, as greater opportunities would develop for reducing costs (and electricity rates).     

Sulfur Dioxide Emissions and Market Effects under the Clean Air Act Acid Rain Program

ABSTRACT

The Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 (CAAA90) established a national program to control sulfur dioxide (SO₂) emissions from electricity generation. CAAA90's market-based approach includes trading and banking of Soumissions allowances. We analyzed data describing electric utility SO₂ emissions in 1995, the first year of the program's Phase I, and market effects over the 1990-1995 period. Fuel switching and flue-gas desulfurization were the dominant means used in 1995 by targeted generators to reduce emissions to 51% of 1990 levels. Flue-gas desulfur-ization costs, emissions allowance prices, low-sulfur coal prices, and average sulfur contents of coals shipped to electric utilities declined over the 1990-1995 period. Projections indicate that 13-15 million allowances will have been banked during the program's Phase I, which ends in 1999, a quantity expected to last through the first decade of the program's stricter Phase II controls. In 1995, both allowance prices and SO₂ emissions were below pre-CAAA90 expectations. The reduction of SO₂ emissions beyond pre-CAAA90 expectations, combined with lower-than-expected allowance prices and declining compliance costs, can be viewed as a success for market-based environmental controls.     

Effects of Acid Rain and Gaseous Pollutants on Forest Productivity: A Regional Scale Approach

Increased industrialization of the eastern U.S. over the past several decades has led to regional scale buildup of atmospheric pollutants and concern over possible losses in forest productivity within this region. This paper describes the rationale, methodology, and some preliminary results of a large regional scale study designed to characterize and quantify forest growth impacts attributable to atmospheric stress from both gaseous pollutants and acid rainfall. This research employs a variety of dendroecological techniques to examine the influence of climatic factors, tree age, soil type, competition, and air pollution on tree growth. This broadly collaborative project involves twelve government and university research stations working with a common experimental protocol to examine ≥50 year ringwidth series from approximately 6000 trees distributed over an area extending from Maine to North Carolina and as far west as Missouri. Principal objectives of this research are to determine whether a systematic pattern of decreasing forest growth has occurred, to define its temporal, spatial, and quantitative characteristics, to determine its relationship to differences in soil quality and tree species, and to evaluate its correlation with present and past indices of atmospheric deposition.     

Ozone and forests in South-Western Europe

The paper provides basic information about background, objectives and structure of O3SWE (Ozone at the permanent monitoring plots in South-Western Europe), an international co-operative project aimed at evaluating O3 concentrations, cumulative exposure, uptake and effects on forest vegetation in four countries of South-Western Europe (France, Italy, Luxenbourg, Spain and Switzerland). The project covers a total of 83 permanent plots of the EU and UN/ECE intensive forest monitoring programme and span over three years of investigation (2000-2002). The O3SWE project aims to demonstrate how, using data collected routinely in an intensive forest monitoring network, O3 exposure, flux and effects can be assessed and exceedances critically evaluated.     

Ozone and urban forests in Italy

Ozone levels along urban-to-rural gradients in three Italian cities (Milan, Florence, Bari) showed that average AOT40 values at rural and suburban sites were 2.6 times higher than those determined at urban sites. However, O₃ also exceeded the European criteria to protect forest health at urban sites, even when the standards for human health protection were met. For protecting street trees in Mediterranean cities, the objectives of measurement at urban sites should extend from the protection of human health to the protection of vegetation as well. A review of forest effects on O₃ pollution and of O₃ pollution on forest conditions in Italian cities showed that it was not possible to distinguish the effect of O₃ in the complex mixture of urban pollutants and stressors. A preliminary list of tree species for urban planning in the Mediterranean area shows the average tree capacity of O₃ removal and VOC emission.     

Economic Benefits of Improvements in Visibility: Acid Rain Provisions of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments

The Acid Rain Provisions (Title IV) of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 call for about a 10 million ton reduction in annual SO₂ emissions in the United States. Although the provisions apply nationwide, most of the reduction will occur in the eastern half of the country, where use of high-sulfur coal for electricity generation is most common. One potentially large benefit of Title IV is the expected improvement in visibility conditions in the eastern United States due to the reductions in secondary sul-fate aerosols. This paper combines available economic estimates of willingness to pay for improvements in visibility with current estimates of the difference between expected visibility conditions in the eastern United States with and without Title I V, to estimate the expected visibility benefits of Title IV. The results suggest an annual value of $2.3 billion (in 1994 dollars) in the year 2010, as a result of visibility improvements due to Title IV in residential areas of the eastern United States. The results also suggest a possible additional annual value for eastern U.S. residents of as much as $1-2 billion for visibility improvements at national parks in the Southeast.     

Ten-Year Ozone Trends in California and Texas

Ozone trends have been developed for 50 California sites located in six basins and for 15 Texas sites in two regions. All data were obtained directly from state or local monitoring agencies and have been standardized to the current ultraviolet calibration basis. Rigorous standards of data representativeness and statistical validity have been adhered to throughout. The effect of monitoring variance upon apparent trends is reviewed as well as implications of this work for the ozone control strategy. Trends for 1973-82 for three key robust ozone statistics were developed in detail and analyzed. These are: annual average, annual hours >120 ppb and average daily maximum hour (May through October). Summaries for three other statistics including annual maximum hour are also included as well as composite trends for California basins and Texas regions. The statistical significance of all trends is discussed.     

Red Spruce Decline in the Northeastern U.S.: Hypotheses Regarding the Role of Acid Rain

Red spruce have died in abnormal numbers in the high elevation forests of New York and New England during the past two decades while spruce in the southern Appalachians remain healthy. Investigations of insect damage, fungal pathogens, successional dynamics, competitive status, climate and weather patterns and possible pollutant effects indicate that the decline was triggered by abiotic stress during the dry years of the 1960s. Tree response, as recorded in the pattern of annual rings, and the wide range of soil conditions in which spruce are declining, suggest drought or dry summers as key factors. Hypotheses regarding the role of acid deposition induced stress have been offered, but at present there is not evidence which clearly links acid deposition to spruce decline. Indirect effects of acid deposition on soils, direct effects of acid deposition on foliage, and interactions of acid deposition and drought stress are possible but unproven pathways by which acid deposition could be involved.     

Detecting and Tracking Changes in Ozone Air Quality

This paper presents a statistical method for filtering out or moderating the influence of meteorological fluctuations on ozone concentrations. Use of this technique in examining trends in ambient ozone air quality is demonstrated with ozone data from a monitoring location in New Jersey. The results indicate that this method can detect changes in ozone air quality due to changes in emissions in the presence of meteorological fluctuations. This method can be useful in examining the effectiveness of regulatory initiatives in improving ozone air quality.     

Annual and Multi-Year Variability in Ozone Expected Exceedances

Ozone data from 184 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) for the time period 1979-1989 were analyzed to: (1) put the large number of O₃ exceedances observed in 1988 into perspective, and (2) determine if increasing the averaging time used to calculate the O₃ NAAdS violation rate would significantly decrease the number of MSAs that experienced a change in their annual attainment status. The analyses indicate that 1988 had more exceedances in more MSAs than any other year, but 1979-1981 had more O₃ NAAQS violations. The analyses also indicate that perceived attainment status flip-flops are significantly reduced by increasing the averaging period from the current three-year period to a longer time period.     

Ozone pollution and ozone biomonitoring in European cities. Part I: Ozone concentrations and cumulative exposure indices at urban and suburban sites

In the frame of a European research project on air quality in urban agglomerations, data on ozone concentrations from 23 automated urban and suburban monitoring stations in 11 cities from seven countries were analysed and evaluated. Daily and summer mean and maximum concentrations were computed based on hourly mean values, and cumulative ozone exposure indices (Accumulated exposure Over a Threshold of 40 ppb (AOT40), AOT20) were calculated. The diurnal profiles showed a characteristic pattern in most city centres, with minimum values in the early morning hours, a strong rise during the morning, peak concentrations in the afternoon, and a decline during the night. The widest amplitudes between minimum and maximum values were found in central and southern European cities such as Düsseldorf, Verona, Klagenfurt, Lyon or Barcelona. In the northern European cities of Edinburgh and Copenhagen, by contrast, maximum values were lower and diurnal variation was much smaller. Based on ozone concentrations as well as on cumulative exposure indices, a clear north–south gradient in ozone pollution, with increasing levels from northern and northwestern sites to central and southern European sites, was observed. Only the Spanish cities did not fit this pattern; there, ozone levels were again lower than in central European cities, probably due to the direct influence of strong car traffic emissions. In general, ozone concentrations and cumulative exposure were significantly higher at suburban sites than at urban and traffic-exposed sites. When applying the newly established European Union (EU) Directive on ozone pollution in ambient air, it was demonstrated that the target value for the protection of human health was regularly surpassed at urban as well as suburban sites, particularly in cities in Austria, France, northern Italy and southern Germany. European target values and long-term objectives for the protection of vegetation expressed as AOT40 were also exceeded at many monitoring sites.     

Simultaneous Total Oxidant and Chemiluminescent Ozone Measurements in Ambient Air

The purpose of this project was to investigate the relationship of ambient air quality measurements between two analytical methods, referred to as the total oxidant method and the chemiluminescent method. These two well documented analytical methods were run simultaneously, side by side, at a site on the Houston ship channel. They were calibrated daily. The hourly averages were analyzed by regression techniques and the confidence intervals were calculated for the regression lines. Confidence intervals for point estimates were also calculated. These methods were used with all data sets with values greater than 10 parts per billion and again with values greater than 30 parts per billion. A regression line was also calculated for a second set of data for the preceding year. These data were generated before a chromium triox-ide scrubber was installed to eliminate possible chemical interferences with the Kl method.

The results show that in general the chemiluminescent ozone method tends to produce values as much as two times higher than the simultaneous total oxidant values. In one set of data collected an 80 ppb chemiluminescent ozone value predicted a value of 43.9 ppb total oxidant with a 95% confidence interval of 7.7 to 80.4 ppb. In the second set of data an 80 ppb chemiluminescent ozone value predicted a value of 78 ppb total oxidant with a 95% confidence interval of 0.4 to 156 ppb. Other statistical analyses confirmed that either measurement was a very poor predictor of the other.