Dynamic Incentives of Environmental Regulations: The Effects of Alternative Policy Instruments on Technology Diffusion

We develop a framework for comparing empirically the effects of alternative environmental policy instruments on the diffusion of new technology. "Market-based" and "command-and-control" approaches can he quantitatively compared by estimating the economic penalty that firms, through their actions, reveal to be associated with violation of standards. In the context of concerns about global climate change, we empirically examine the likely effects of Pigouvian taxes, technology adoption subsidies, and technology standards. We employ state-level data on the diffusion of thermal insulation in new home construction, comparing the effects of energy prices, insulation cost, and building codes.     

Environmental Legislation and Enforcement: A Voting Model under Asymmetric Information

This paper examines the effects of asymmetric voter information on the environmental policies of democratic governments. The model builds on the electoral signaling model of Rogoff to illustrate the possibility that democratic governments may systematically overlegislate-and yet underenforce-environmental standards in a rational expectations equilibrium. The model also offers insights into the welfare implications of "right to know" legislation, proposals to depoliticize environmental policy, and private voluntary institutions.     

Pollution-Controlling Innovation in Oligopolistic Industries: Some Comparisons between Patent Races and Research Joint Ventures

Much of the literature on pollution-control innovation has focused on normative comparisons of exogenous regulatory policies in light of the incentives they induce on firms′ R&D efforts. In contrast, in the positive analysis below, both R&D incentives and regulatory policy arise endogenously as functions of market structure and external cost differentials. Incentives for pollution-controlling innovation are found to arise from within the industry in a patent race setting when innovation gives the race winner(s) a cost advantage over the other industry members. This cost advantage is shown to come about when innovating firms successfully use their influence to raise their rivals′ costs by bringing about a policy change forcing industry members to internalize pollution externalities. In contrast, an industry-wide research joint venture (RJV) has incentive to collusively prevent development of innovation unless environmental activists are sufficiently strong. This latter result is illustrated by the case U.S. vs Automobile Manufacturers Association, where the Justice Department found evidence that the "big three" used an RJV to slow the introduction of pollution-control innovation.     

Budget-Balancing Incentive Mechanisms

A. P. Xepapadeas [J. Environ. Econom. Management20, 113-26, 1991] developed a pollution abatement incentive mechanism that both reduces the information requirements of a regulator and is "budget-balancing," drawing only on the social gains from pollution abatement to encourage firm compliance. This paper demonstrates that, contrary to Xepapadeas, the budget-balancing system of random penalties cannot be used to induce compliance with the regulator′s objectives if firms are risk neutral. However, the mechanism can be successfully applied if firms are sufficiently risk averse [E. Rasmusen, RAND J. Econom.18, 428-435, 1987].     

Na<Superscript>+</Superscript>/K<Superscript>+</Superscript>–ATPase activity and gill ultrastructure in the hyper-hypo-regulating crab<Emphasis Type="Italic"> Chasmagnathus granulatus</Emphasis> acclimated to dilute,normal, and concentrated seawater

We studied Na⁺/K⁺ –ATPase activity and ultrastructure in gills of the hyper-hypo-regulating crab Chasmagnathus granulatus Dana, 1851 acclimated to different salinities: 10, 30 and 45, known to be hypo-, iso-, and hyper-osmotic to the hemolymph, respectively. After centrifugation of homogenates at 11,000 g, Na⁺/K⁺–ATPase activity was almost entirely found in the pellets from the posterior (6–8) and anterior (3–5) gills, whereas very little was detected in the supernatant liquid. Specific activity of gill 6 was 41.3, 30.2, and 28.2 µmol Pi h^–1 mg prot^–1 for crabs acclimated to 10, 30, and 45, respectively, the result for 10 being significantly higher than those at 30 and 45. Although the concentration of sodium at which the reaction rate is half-maximal (K _M) was similar in the three acclimation salinities, only the enzyme from crabs acclimated to 10 was inhibited by high sodium concentration. Specific activity of gill 5 increased with the increment in external salinity (10.1, 15, and 18.1 µmol Pi h^–1 mg prot^–1 for 10, 30, and 45, respectively), the only significant difference being that between the extreme salinities. The epithelium thickness of the dorsal portion of gill 6 showed a variation among salinities: 21.7, 15.8 and 17.2 µm for 10, 30 and 45, respectively. There were significant differences in epithelium thickness between the 10 and the other salinities. In all three salinities, the ultrastructure of gill 6 epithelium showed a high density of mitochondria, estimated by their volume fraction (Vv _m=0.307–0.355). These mitochondria were packed between extensive basolateral membrane interdigitations in ionocytes and pillar cells. Gill 5 showed three cell types: pillars which possess mitochondria packed between membrane folds only in their interdigitations with neighbouring cells; type-I cells 8.0 µm thick with low density of mitochondria (Vv _m=0.088), and type-II cells, 9.9 µm thick and rich in mitochondria (Vv _m=0.423), but lacking basolateral interdigitations. Vv _m of type-I cells of gill 5 was significantly lower than those of type-II cells of the same gill and the ionocytes of gill 6. No significant difference in Vv _m was detected between the latter cell types.Communicated by P.W. Sammarco, Chauvin     

Transbranchial potentials and ion fluxes across isolated,perfused gills of Uca rapax

Transbranchial potentials (TP) and sodium or chloride fluxes were measured in an apparatus designed for the simultaneous perfusion of eight isolated gills of Uca rapax. In anterior gills perfused with U. rapax–saline (US) the TP varied almost linearly from-7.5 to +10 mV inside, and in posterior gills from +2 to-8.5 mV (inside), on exposure to salinities ranging from 8.7 through 52, i.e. 25 to 150% seawater (100%=34.6 S). Sodium influx and efflux in anterior gills exposed to US, 8.7 or 43.3 S (0.7 to 4.0 mmol h^–1 g^–1 dry wt) were always greater than in posterior gills (0.5 mmol h^–1). The chloride fluxes were slightly smaller than sodium fluxes in anterior gills, while in the posterior gills the chloride influx (2.8 to 4.6 mmol h^–1) was always larger than chloride efflux (0.6 to 1.1 mmol h^–1) or the sodium fluxes. At least three ion-transport mechanisms may be present in these gills: (1) an internal ( = basolateral), ouabain-sensitive Na⁺, K⁺ pump, restricted to anterior gills; (2) a furosemide-sensitive Na⁺, K⁺, 2Cl^– (plus water) transporter, apparently restricted to posterior gills, and (3) a Na⁺ exchanger (and possibly other as yet unidentified ion transporters, as suggested by large increases of the chloride influxes caused by amiloride), probably located on the apical membranes of the epithelial cells of both gill types. The differential selectivity of the gills of U. rapax for sodium or chloride may limit the transbranchial movements of either ion, without a reduction of the overall permeability of these crabs.Communicated by N.H. Marcus, Tallahassee     

Siting Noxious Facilities: Are Markets Efficient?

This paper explores the economics and politics of the siting of noxious facilities. In the base case, facilities are sited by markets, subject to majority agreement in the host jurisdiction. By contrast with the existing market siting literature-which assumes that all the disamenities of a facility will be contained in the host jurisdiction and fully reflected in the jurisdiction′s willingness to accept-here facilities impose disamenities on individuals as a function of distance, and the process of majority agreement is explicitly modeled. The principal finding is that when voters are uniformly distributed within a jurisdiction, an individual who is median distance from a facility suffers less than average (mean) disamenity. Therefore a majority would be willing to serve as facility host for a price (host fee) that is strictly less than the aggregate disamenity that the facility imposes on the jurisdiction. Further, by threatening the equilibrium host with a site just across its border, a firm can induce majority acceptance of a nontrivial facility at zero host fee. Even when this threat site strategy is infeasible, though, market-determined host fees will not signal efficient sites. Thus, markets will produce an excessive number of noxious facilities and place them in the wrong sites. These results are robust to alternative specifications of bargaining power and market structure. If, however, host majority agreement is subject to the veto of a higher jurisdiction-e.g., in response to cries of "NIMBY"-then efficiency may be either improved or reduced.     

Primary production of Posidonia oceanica in the Mediterranean Basin

Primary production of the marine phanerogam Posidonia oceanica (Linnaeus) Delile was measured by lepidochronological analyses at 22 sites in the Mediterranean Sea (Corsica, France, Italy, Sardinia and Turkey), between 1983 and 1992, to determine spatial and temporal variations. Leaf production (blade and sheath) ranged from 310 to 1 540 mg dry wt shoot^–1 yr^–1, depending on site and depth. Rhizome production ranged from 24 to 120 mg dry wt shoot^–1 yr^–1 (6% of average leaf production). At some sites the results obtained by lepidochronological analysis were consistent with earlier results obtained by classic methods (e.g. leaf-marking). While primary production per shoot (mg dry wt shoot^–1 yr^–1) displayed no significant differences between sites, primary production of the P. oceanica meadow (g dry wt m^–2 yr^–1) decreased with increasing depth at all sites studied. This decrease correlated with reduced density of the meadow (number of shoots per m²) with increasing depth. Past primary production was also extrapolated at three sites at the island of Ischia (Italy) for a period of 5 yr in order to determine interannual variations over a period of several years. While major variations were recorded for the surface stations (5 and 10 m depth), production remained stable at the deepest station (20 m depth). Given the large geographical scale of the study (location, depth range), it would appear that while P. oceanica production remains considerable, the values recorded in the literature on the basis of classical analyses (surface stations) represent maxima, and cannot be generalised for meadows as a whole.     

Spatial patterns and temporal succession in soft-bottom macroinvertebrate assemblages surrounding an ocean outfall on the southern San Diego shelf: relation to anthropogenic and natural events

Spatial patterns and temporal succession in soft-bottom macroinvertebrate assemblages are described for an area of the southern San Diego shelf which is influenced by both anthropogenic and natural events. The study transect covered 19 km along the 60 m-depth contour and spanned the terminus of the Point Loma wastewater outfall (32°40N; 117°17W). Ordination and classification analyses revealed that eight major benthic assemblages occurred in the study area from 1986–1990. These analyses further indicated that: (1) the impact of wastewater discharge on the benthos was asymmetric about the outfall, and (2) primary and secondary impact zones existed within the outfall footprint. The primary impact extended only 0.5 km south, but usually up to 1 km north, of the point of discharge, reflecting the prevailing northerly flow of currents along the San Diego coast. Stations within the primary impact zone usually supported similar faunal assemblages at any point in time. A lessened, or secondary, impact was apparent at stations 1 to 2 km south and 2 km north of the outfall. The two stations 9 km to the north appeared to be outside the outfall footprint. Assemblages in the three zones did not differ greatly in species composition, but did differ with respect to organismal density, relative abundances (dominance hierarchy) of component species, and temporal persistence. Biostimulation of the benthos, manifest as increased species richness and organismal abundance, was apparent in the primary impact zone from 1986–1988, although dominance was relatively low. Dominance increased at these sites during 1989 and 1990 due to large increases in populations of a few small species, such as the polychaete Myriochele sp. M and the ostracod Euphilomedes carcharodonta. Biomass was slightly elevated in the primary impact zone during 1986–1987; however, this trend was not sustained. Communities within the outfall footprint were much less persistent over time than those beyond it. The observed shifts in benthic assemblages within the outfall footprint corresponded to natural oceanographic cycles (i.e., the transition from El Niño to La Niña conditions) and anthropogenic changes (i.e., changes in wastewater output). These observations suggest that the Point Loma outfall has a localized effect on the stability of infaunal communities. Possible destabilization mechanisms are explored. Finally, comparisons with pre-discharge data taken during 1956–1957 revealed that about half of the species present prior to construction of the outfall were still common in 1990, after 27 yr of wastewater discharge, although large increases in species diversity and abundance seem to have occurred at all stations.     

Egg production ofCalanus finmarchicus at low temperature

Reproduction ofCalanus finmarchicus Gunnerus collected in June 1988 in Polar water and in April 1989 in Atlantic water was studied. Single females were kept at 0°C in the laboratory for 22 d (Polar) and 77 d (Atlantic) with superabundant food concentration (> 400µg Cl^–1) of the diatomThalassiosira antarctica. There was no significant difference between the two populations, although more spent females were found in Polar water, probably due to the different dates of collection. The hypothesis of low temperature determining the geographic range ofC. finmarchicus via reproductive failure is not supported. Mean daily egg production rate of all females from Atlantic water over a 60 d period was 24.4, corresponding to 5.5% body C female^–1 d^–1, when an egg carbon content of 0.23µg is assumed. Coefficient of variation was 25%. Maximum values were 53.2 eggs female^–1 d^–1, corresponding to 12.1% body C d^–1. The highest number of eggs spawned by a single female was 3101, corresponding to a seven-fold turnover of body C during the investigation period; >20% of females produced > 2000 eggs. Body carbon content did not change significantly during the experiment; the C:N ratio increased slightly, indicating lipid accumulation. Delay of response to starvation periods of 2, 4 and 7 d duration was always 2 d: egg production ceased 2 d after the onset of starvation and continued 2 d after onset of feeding.     

Aluminium levels in the blood plasma of persons working in the aluminium industry

Due to the exposure to alumina in the air, workers in the primary aluminium industry are expected to exhibit a higher aluminium exposure than the general population. The additional daily intake will be less than 20 mg. The determination of aluminium in blood plasma of electrolysis-workers by flameless atomic absorption spectrometry revealed levels before shift in the range of 20–30 g/L compared to levels of less than 3 g/L in a non-occupationally exposed group. These levels refer to work in old plants with unhooded pots. The plasma levels can rise up to 60 g/L during the shift. A similar rapid change of the levels during work is seen in the urine values. Due to the delay in excretion the maximal values in the range of 5 g/h are found four hours after cessation of work. It seems therefore that only preshift samples give a reliable measure of the body burden. Compared to the much higher levels in dialysis patients the observed values in aluminium workers are not considered to be of relevance to health.     

Behavior and growth ofMercenaria mercenaria during simulated storm events

Experiments were conducted in April–August 1989 on juvenileMercenaria mercenaria (L.) in an oscillatory water tunnel to simulate resuspension of bottom sediments by waves and to determine the effects of shortterm storm events on particle ingestion, pseudofeces production, and shell growth. Juveniles (mean length = 19.2 mm) were subjected to identical concentrations of algae in both low-flow, gentle waves (maximum velocity = 7 cm s^–1) and high-velocity storm waves (maximum velocity = 22 cm s^–1). Suspended sediment levels reached 193 mg 1^–1 at 1 cm above the bed during storms. Shell growth decreased by a maximum of 38% during the storm when levels of phytoplankton were high (average cell concentration = 43 × 10⁶ cells 1^–1), and by 18% when phytoplankton levels were low (av cell conc = 6 × 10⁶ cells 1^–1). Orientation of clam siphons was not related to flow direction. Significantly more pseudofeces were produced when the clams were subjected to increased sediment resuspension under waves, and in troughs of sand ripples. The size of sediment grains ingested did not vary significantly among the flow treatments. The decrease in shell growth during storms may be due to a reduction in filtration rate coupled with a decrease in net energy gained from filtration due to costs of pseudofeces production. The magnitude of the decrease seems to be related to concentration of algae, water temperature, age of clams and sediment transport mode (bed load or suspended load). Thus, the interpretation of growth increments must be made in the context of these environmental variables.     

Influence of antecedent water temperatures on standing crop of aSargassum spp.-dominated reef flat in Hawaii

The standing crop of seaweeds was estimated monthly over a 22 mo period from 1971 to 1973 on a reef at Waikiki, Honolulu, Hawaii. Wet and dry standing crops averaged 1.2 and 0.26 kg m^–2, respectively. Approximately 70% of the total biomass was contributed by a single species,Sargassum polyphyllum, and the remainder was contributed by 29 other species. The size of the total standing crop and ofS. polyphyllum in particular was highly correlated with antecedent water temperatures. The highest correlation was with temperatures recorded 3 to 4 wk prior to the estimate of standing crop. Approximately 65% of the variability of the standing crop on the reef was explained by this single variable. Multiple linear-regression analyses did not uncover further significant environmental factors related to theS. polyphyllum standing crop. Temperature may have acted by stimulating the vegetative growth of new plants between the period of minimal abundance in February and maximal abundance in October. The population decline after November relates to the switch to reproductive growth. Total productivity on the reef was estimated to be 16 800 to 19 314 kg dry wt ha^–1 yr^–1, based on the average size of the standing crop and estimates of removal rate and turnover time, respectively.     

Heat tolerance,growth and regeneration in three North Sea bryozoans exposed to different constant temperatures

Three species of bryozoans—Membranipora membranacea (L.), Electra pilosa (L.) and Conopeum reticulum (L.) — are capable of acclimating to elevated temperatures, above the normal range experienced in nature, when exposed to a gradual increase in ambient temperature. Conspicuous differences in LD 50 values, as a consequence of acclimation, occur between representatives of the same species acclimated and grown at constant temperatures in the laboratory. The tolerance range of these species is influenced by their thermal history in the laboratory. While increased ambient temperatures accelerate growth rate, final colony size attained after prolonged exposure declines at higher temperatures. The size of zooecia attained is inversely proportional to the test temperature. Colonies of E. pilosa maintained at 22°C develop erect branches. Hence, it is probable that E. pilosa forma erecta is only a growth form of normally encrusting colonies of E. pilosa. Temperature affects rate of regeneration.     

Potential for increased nutrient uptake by flocculating diatoms

Blooms of chain-forming diatoms commonly flocculate into centimeter-sized aggregates of living, vegetative cells following nutrient depletion in surface waters off southern California. We examined the hypothesis that diatom cells within aggregates experience increased nutrient uptake relative to unattached cells. We measured in situ settling velocities of 49 to 190 m d^–1 and calculated porosities of 0.99931 to 0.99984 (±>0.03%) for 12, newly-formed diatom flocs ranging from 0.19 to 4.2 cm³ in volume and 7 to 22 mm in equivalent spherical diameter. Using permeability-porosity relationships, we calculated intra-aggregate flow velocities of 20 to 160 m s^–1. Although subject to considerable uncertainty, a Relative Uptake Factor analysis based on mass transfer equqtions suggests that diatoms fixed within aggregates undergoing gravitational settling can take up nutrients up to 2.1±0.4 times faster than unattached diatoms experiencing laminar shear. Increased nutrient uptake by aggregated diatoms may be importan in understanding the reasons for diatom floc formation.     

A comparative study of prognostic MM5 meteorological modeling with aircraft, wind profiler, lidar, tethered balloon and RASS data over Philadelphia during a 1999 summer episode

This study presents a comparative evaluation of the prognostic meteorological Fifth Generation NCAR Pennsylvania State University Mesoscale Model (MM5) using data from the Northeast Oxidant and Particle Study (NE-OPS) research program collected over Philadelphia, PA during a summer episode in 1999. A set of model simulations utilizing a nested grid of 36 km, 12 km and 4 km horizontal resolutions with 21 layers in the vertical direction was performed for a period of 101 h from July 15, 1999; 12 UTC to July 19, 1999; 17 UTC. The model predictions obtained with 4 km horizontal grid resolution were compared with the NE-OPS observations. Comparisons of model temperature with aircraft data revealed that the model exhibited slight underestimation as noted by previous investigators. Comparisons of model temperature with aircraft and tethered balloon data indicate that the mean absolute error varied up to 1.5 °C. The comparisons of model relative humidity with aircraft and tethered balloon indicate that the mean relative error varied from –11% to –22% for the tethered balloon and from –5% to –30% for the aircraft data. The mean relative error for water vapor mixing ratio with respect to the lidar data exhibited a negative bias consistent with the humidity bias corresponding to aircraft and tethered balloon data. The tendency of MM5 to produce estimates of very low wind speeds, especially in the early-mid afternoon hours, as noted by earlier investigators, is seen in this study also. It is indeed true that the initial fields as well as the fields utilized in the data assimilation also contribute to some of the differences between the model and observations. Studies such as these which compare the grid averaged mean state variables with observations have inherent difficulties. Despite the above limitations, the results of the present study broadly conform to the general traits of MM5 as noted by earlier investigators.     

Mangrove forest structure and productivity in the Fly River estuary,Papua New Guinea

In April, July and August 1989 and February 1990, the delta region of the Fly River was surveyed to establish the aerial extent of mangrove forests, their species composition, tree densities and basal areas, and potential net primary production. Mangrove forests cover 87 400 ha, mainly on islands within the delta. Twentynine mangrove plant species were recorded, but there were only three major forest types in the delta.Rhizophora apiculata-Bruguiera parviflora forests (hereafterRhizophora-Bruguiera forests) predominated in regions where river water salinities were >10. These forests covered 31 500 ha and had mean total tree densities and basal areas of 2027 stems ha^–1 and 21 m² ha^–1, respectively. Forests of the palmNypa fruticans (hereafterNypa forests) covered 38 400 ha, mainly in regions where river salinities were ~1 to 10, and had mean total densities and basal areas of 4431 stems ha^–1 and 38 m² ha^–1, respectively. Forests dominated byAvicennia marina and/orSonneratia lanceolata (hereafterAvicennia-Sonneratia forests) predominated on accreting banks of sediment and covered 17 500 ha. In very low-salinity (< 1) regions there are large monospecific stands ofS. lanceolata. Mean total densities and basal areas forAvicennia-Sonneratia forests were 7036 stems ha^–1 and 22 m² ha^–1, respectively. Mean net primary productivity (kg C ha^–1 d^–1) was estimated to be 26.7, 27.1 and 19.0 forRhizophora-Bruguiera, Nypa andAvicennia-Sonneratia forests, respectively. Total daily net primary production by all mangrove forests was estimated at 2214 t carbon. Using assumptions based on work in tropical Australia, it was estimated that ~678 t carbon (or 31% of primary production) were exported daily from mangrove forests to the waters of the delta.Contribution No. 550 from the Australian Institute of Marine Science     

Dye tracing of a subsurface chlorophyll maximum of a red-tide dinoflagellate to surface frontal regions

Rhodamine dye (3701) was injected into a 22-m subsurface chlorophyll maximum of the red-tide forming dinoflagellate Prorocentrum mariae-lebouriae var. minimum in the northern Chesapeake Bay (USA) and traced for a sixday period as it spread over a 600 km² area. The precise physical mechanisms, which resulted in the transfer of dye and organisms to the surface, are documented. The major component of the dye and organisms was transported from the central bay into major tributary estuaries via net nontidal flow of bottom waters and surfaced upstream in frontal regions. Once in surface waters, the dye and organisms flowed downriver toward the bay. Due to the three-layer flow of the rivers at this time, the dinoflagellate and the rhodamine re-entered the bay proper at middepth below the fresher Susquehanna plume, thus forming a near-surface chlorophyll maximum (4–6 m) flowing in an opposite direction to the deep subsurface chlorophyll maximum (18–26 m). Current meter arrays verified the opposite flows of these two lenses. The near-surface, southward-flowing lens was followed downstream to an area where the influence of the Susquehanna begins to subside as indicated by isopycnals inclined to the surface. Here the near-surface lens is mixed upward to the surface forming massive red tides (25 000 cells ml^–1) delineated by a frontal region. In addition to the predominant along channel flow, major cross stream Ekman transport and upwelling of dye and organisms was detected in response to wind forcing resulting in localized surface patch formation along the western shore shoaling regions of the bay proper. Thus, annual variations in the locations of surface red tides can be correlated to streamflow and windinduced variations in the locations of frontal regions.     

A Preliminary Study on Soil–Gas Radon Geochemistry According to Different Bedrock Geology in Korea

Three study areas of Kwanak campus (Seoul National University), Boeun (Choongbuk) and Gapyung (Kyonggi) were selected and classified according to their bedrock types in order to investigate soil–gas radon concentrations. The mean values of radon concentrations decreased in the order of Gapyung (40BqL^–1) > Kwanak campus (30BqL^–1) > Boeun (22BqL^–1), and decreased in the order of granite gneiss > banded gneiss > granite > black slate–shale > mica schist > shale–limestone > phyllite schist according to bed rock types. Variation in radon emanation with water content in soils and with soil grain size was assessed by the modified Morse (1976) 3min method. Soil–gas radon concentrations increased with increasing water content in the range of less than about 6–16wt.%, but decreased above 6–16wt.%. Radon concentrations also increased with decreasing soil grain size. Radioactivity analysis of radionuclides of ²³⁸U series in some soil samples indicated their possible radioactive disequilibrium between ²²⁶Ra and ²³⁸U due to the differing geochemical behaviour of intermediate radionuclides. Thus, a radioactive isotope geochemical approach should be necessary for soil–gas radon study.     

Simulation of wildfire effects on the nitrogen cycle of a Pinus banksiana ecosystem in New Brunswick, Canada

A non-linear, deterministic model of biomass accumulation and nitrogen cycling in an even-aged, pure jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) stand was developed and used to explore effects of fire intensity and frequency of burning on the long-term nitrogen cycle. Given the model structure and assumptions, simulated results showed that successive fires at both light and severe fire intensities caused gradual depletion of the amount of N accumulated in the vegetation layers. Fires also reduced the amount of N in the litter and soil pools, with the initially large soil organically-bound N pool showing a particularly sharp decline, and decreased the productivity of the simulated stand. A frequency of one fire per 20 years for five successive burns produced declines of N accumulated in the tree stratum of 50–75% (depending upon fire intensity) in comparison with the undisturbed system at a corresponding age, whereas a 100-year frequency produced decreases of 10–22%. Similarly, declines in litter layer N were 54–72% at a 40-year frequency, compared with 30–55% at a 100-year frequency. The simulated results also suggested that both the stand age when burning occurred and the fire frequency were important, because distinctive patterns of accumulation and decline of N in ecosystem pools existed with increasing stand age. A serious lack of information regarding processes inherent in the model was found to exist in certain cases. Important processes which are currently poorly quantified include: (1) the factors controlling rates of tree growth; (2) the relation of foliar and other tissue N to soil N concentrations and foliar translocation; (3) the relation of forest floor conditions to decomposition and stand structural characteristics; and (4) the controls of a variety of soil N transformations, transfers, leaching and decomposition rates. Because of this basic lack of information and the great dependence of the model's behavior on these processes, the present version of the model is not suitable for real-world prediction. The model does have use as a means of combining hypotheses about a system into an explicit structure and examining the collective consequences of this, as well as pointing out future research needs for the system.