资源代际管理与可持续发展

代际均衡发展是可持续发展战略的重要方面,代际均衡发展的物质基础是代际财富均衡。自然资源是代际财富均衡分配的主要内容,需要进行资源代际管理来保证可持续发展战略的实现。     

根据“闭路开环”原理制定人口政策

可持续发展的基本理论是在代际之间公平、均衡地分配自然资源。这一过程是一个闭路与开环的反馈控制系统。本文界定了三代人间的一个生物代际交叉期、一个社会代际交叉期和二个经济代际交叉期 ,设计了资源代际均衡分配管理模型 ,即 :代际年限长度 (δ)模型 ,且根据δ模型和闭路开环原理对人口政策进行了创新性分析     

自然资源代际转移模型研究

代际均衡发展是可持续发展的核心内容之一，而代际均衡的实现在目前情况下有赖于代际主动财富转移改策实施。政府的宏观调控是实施这一政策的有力手段。具体的措施可开征“资源代际补偿税”以建立专项基金制度     

代际公平原则下的农用地社会价值评估

现行农用地价值评估中社会价值偏低,只考虑当代人的价值,对农地资源的代际补偿不足,未全面估算农民失去土地的损失.本文对农用地社会价值的内容进行7分析,阐述了代际公平原则的具体内涵及其相应的实现途径,即通过主动的代际补偿方式对农用地社会价值进行充分、全面地体现,并提出了在实践上可具操作性的基于代际公平原则的农用地社会价值的核算方法.根据上述提出的核算方法,本文以四川省乐至县为例,具体核算出基于代际公平原则下的乐至县农用地的社会价值.研究结果表明,代际公平原则下的乐至县农用地社会价值与不通过代际公平原则下的农用地社会价值相比较,前者为后者的8.352倍.因此,通过代际公平核算的方式能够充分体现农用地的社会价值,从而达到农地资源代际共享与均衡发展.笔者认为在农地评估工作中可尝试运用代际补偿原则,这有利于在可持续发展观的基础上形成农用地社会价值的正确认识,并最终全面实现农用地的社会价值.     

代际利他下资源分配的经济学分析

从分析可持续发展的内在要求与经济人假设之间的冲突出发，构建了利他状态下的资源代际分配效用函数。通过对非凸状偏好及利他的心理价格变化下消费均衡解的比较静态分析，作者指出。在后代人缺位情况下可以利用宏观和微观因素对当代人的利他度加以影响。实现利他的资源代际分配模式，从而在理论意义和实践意义上拓展了可持续发展理论。     

人口老龄化对自然资源代际转移的影响

本文在阐述自然资源代际转移实质的基础上,运用自然资源代际转移的基本模型分析了资源的代际分配关系。然后针对我国人口老龄化问题的特点,探讨了人口老龄化对自然资源代际转移的影响。     

基于“可持续性”要素的比较优势理论拓展

比较优势是不同国家生产同种产品的机会成本差异。传统理论认为,形成比较优势的机会成本主要为生产成本,而"可持续性"是一种代际公共品,耗费"可持续性"要素的机会成本是代际成本,即现在使用某(些)要素所放弃的未来使用之可能带来的纯收益。因此,不同国家的可持续性差异体现为代际成本差异,"可持续性"是塑造一国比较优势的新要素。若中国对外贸易过度依靠当代所具有的劳动力价格低廉和环境规制政策宽松所塑造的劳动力比较优势和环境比较优势,从长期看是不可持续的。通过代际成本内在化,可逐步实现对外贸易发展的短期理性与长期理性的统一。进而言之,中国需要妥善处理贸易增长与各种稀缺要素消耗之间的关系,平衡贸易增长与可持续发展的关系,当今的贸易与未来的贸易需寻求某种总量和结构上的均衡。     

中国城乡居民的代际收入流动及分解

利用双样本两阶段最小二乘法(TS2SLS),本文对中国城乡居民的代际收入流动性进行了经验分析,并进一步考察了城乡居民代际收入传递的路径。研究结果表明:①现阶段,中国居民的代际收入流动性较差,存在较明显的收入代际传递现象,城镇居民的代际收入弹性高于农村居民的代际收入弹性;②处于收入分配两端的城乡居民的代际收入流动较为封闭;③通过对代际收入弹性的分解发现,父辈与子辈间的代际职业传递以及代际教育传递是中国居民代际收入传递的主要途径。本文的政策含义在于,为了防止贫困的代际传递,促进社会公平,维护社会稳定,政府应大力发展教育,在教育资源的配置上向农村地区、落后地区、贫困群体以及弱势群体倾斜,同时要加快建立城乡统一的劳动力市场,消除就业市场上的信息不对称和市场分割,创造平等的就业机会。     

可持续发展中的代际关系研究

人类社会的发展是一个世代发展的过程。因此．代际公平是可持续发展的根本所在。根据“代际”一词有不同的理解。“公平”在不同的社会有不同的含义,尤其是对代际公平的含义、原则进行了探讨。代际公平实现的策略是：基于压力-状态-反应的人力资源可持续开发;基于艾奇沃斯方框图分析的自然资源可持续利用;鉴于客观上当代具有优先权,代际之间在环境污染上则采用非合作博弈。     

再生自然资源代际可持续利用的经济分析与制度安排--以渔业资源为例

自然资源由于其较强的公共性和外部性而使其因代际问题所导致的私有市场失灵比一般的产品严重,原因是自然资源代际利用中当代人都倾向于最大限度使用资源,从而引发自然资源“公地悲剧”问题比一般产品严重。再生自然资源虽然在代际利用中的利益冲突比非再生自然资源低,但代际问题所带来的市场失灵依然存在。因此,再生自然资源的代际可持续利用需要政府依据其经济特性进行一定的规制,制订出合理的使用制度。以渔业资源为例,在沙发尔（Schaefer）模型的基础上,利用成本——效益的经济学分析法,分析了再生自然资源代际可持续利用中的成本与收益,提出再生自然资源代际可持续使用的制度安排和优化措施,包括边际成本动态规制、明确界分所有权、实施可交易配额和公共补偿性规制。     

Management Model of Resources Equilibrium Distribution among Overlapping-Generations

The overlapping generation models the western scholars have designed from various perspectives to address different kinds of issues do not reflect Chinese emerging political and economic problems, and cannot be entirely and blindly applied to Chinese practical situation. In this paper the authors endeavor to incorporate some western scholars' research results into their own research findings to present overlapping generations model theory in a new perspective through establishing an overlapping generations theory on population including articulation of concepts and theorems of biological generation, economic generation and social generation and the overlapping periods in biological generation and two overlapping periods in economic generation among three generations. This management model with equilibrium distribution of resource wealth includes overlapping generations length model (6), equilibrium transfer model (θ) and a complete model on equilibrium distribution among generations (δ-θ). The model p     

Management Model of Resources Equilibrium Distribution among Overlapping-Generations

Abstract

The overlapping generation models the western scholars have designed from various perspectives to address different kinds of issues do not reflect Chinese emerging political and economic problems, and cannot be entirely and blindly applied to Chinese practical situation. In this paper the authors endeavor to incorporate some western scholars' research results into their own research findings to present overlapping generations model theory in a new perspective through establishing an overlapping generations theory on population including articulation of concepts and theorems of biological generation, economic generation and social generation and the overlapping periods in biological generation and two overlapping periods in economic generation among three generations. This management model with equilibrium distribution of resource wealth includes overlapping generations length model (δ), equilibrium transfer model (?) and a complete model on equilibrium distribution among generations (δ-?). The model provides quantitative basis for the creation of resource management system, and fills in a theoretical gap in this discipline in China. Besides, it furnishes a new methodology and manipulate tool for Chinese government to establish a comprehensive management information bank for many sectors such as economic trade, population, science and technology, education, human resource, natural resource and environment, agriculture, forestry, industry, mining and energy.     

Physiological Rearrangements in the Progeny of White Rats in the Zone of the Chernobyl Accident

Studies on six generations of white rats kept at the experimental station in Chernobyl showed that the dynamics of hormonal rearrangements and endocrine responses evoked by additional stress (hypokinesia) were generation- and sex-dependent. The male rats of the first five generations were characterized by hypercorticoidism, early involutional shifts, and decreased reactivity in response to hypokinesia. By the sixth and seventh generations, the hormonal profiles shifted toward an increase in the background level of sex hormones and their role in the response to hypokinesia. In female rats, the hormonal indices and reactivity changed less significantly.     

Could we remain simply applying discount rate to evaluate the life quality of our future generations?

When we try to estimate future environmental costs resulting from our current economic activities,we usually calculate the present value of the consequences for our future generations by utilizing a discount rate as a standard economic procedure.The popularity of this procedure is solely supported by its simplicity which assumes:(1)a perfect financial market over even 100 years,and(2)existence of a stable time preference between two consecutive periods for an individual consumer.An apparent deficiency of this approach is that the present value of life quality of future generations varies to a large extent along an arbitrarily chosen discount rate.As a matter of fact,the discount rate,which could reflect the time preference as2%or 5%,matters when we predict current strategies of environmental protection for future generations.Simply applying a discount rate to evaluate the quality of our future generation,without clarifying the actual production mechanism behind this,is almost to the same as ignoring the fact that all of the goods are produced through an actual production process and that environmental degradation reduces the efficiency of that process.The greatest concern for our future generations should not be given by an assumed discount rate,since the discount rate itself is determined by financial market conditions at certain points in time.     

资源税改革中的经济行为和政府决策分析

资源是人类社会赖以存在的物质基础,也是社会经济发展的前提和必要条件,随着我国经济的快速发展,资源逐渐成为制约经济发展的"瓶颈",如何有效配置资源成为当前我国社会发展和经济转型的重要议题.国外经验证明可以通过资源税杠杆有效调节代际内和代际间的资源配置,提高资源使用效率.经济主体的行为和政府决策直接影响资源税改革的进程,本文构建世代交叠模型,通过资源税改革前后生产者和消费者的效用函数,分析并比较经济系统中主体不同济行为变化,在此基础上以资本和劳动动态变化来探讨资源税改革后的经济稳定性,并通过存在风险和政府声誉约束条件下的政府效用函数,分析和研究资源税改革中影响政府决策行为的主要因素,研究表明:资源税改革会对生产、消费产生影响,使经济主体的行为发生相应变化,但适当的资源税政策将保证经济稳定增长;同时改革成本、改革对产出的影响程度、政府风险态度和政府声誉等将影响政府决策行为,最后针对以上影响因素本文提出相应政策建议.     

Seasonal variation of the forewing in polyvoltine whites <Emphasis Type="Italic">Pieris rapae</Emphasis> L. and <Emphasis Type="Italic">P. napi</Emphasis> L. (Lepidoptera: Pieridae) in the forest-steppe zone of the Southern Urals

The seasonal variation of forewing size and shape was analyzed in adults of different seasonal generations of two polyvoltine species of whites: Pieris rapae and P. napi (Lepidoptera: Pieridae). Particular morphological features of the forewing are characteristic of each seasonal generation of adults independently of their sex and species. Adults of the spring generations have the smallest wings, elongate and pointed. Adults of the summer generation have the largest, broad and rounded wings over the entire summer season. Adults of the autumn generation have wings similar in shape and size to those of the summer generation, but somewhat smaller and more elongate. Differences between seasonal generations in forewing shape are linked to differences between adults of each generation in adaptation to dispersal.     

Multivariate modeling of agricultural river water abstraction via novel integrated-wavelet methods in various climatic conditions

Environment, Development and Sustainability - Water resource management in the agricultural sector is a necessity that profoundly impacts water resources conservation for future generations. With...     

Sustainability and intergenerational equity: do past injustices matter?

Intergenerational equity is a core concept of sustainability, typically expressed as a concern for future generations. We contend in this review paper that intergenerational equity can also reflect a concern for past generations. Within the study and practice of social justice, significant concern is paid to remedying injustices suffered by past generations, sometimes called “restorative justice,” because these injustices do not end with the past, but remain embedded in the social, economic, and ecological fabrics of our present-day society. We ask: what roles do past injustices play in our understanding of intergenerational justice, and what roles can this understanding play in sustainability thought and practice? We weave together reviews from justice and legal studies and environmental ethics. Several short cases illustrate how restorative justice in practice results in benefits for sustainability, including improved resource management and social cohesion and governance. Our review of sustainability literature shows that while only few of the conceptions of intergenerational equity hint at a concern for historical issues, its concern for intra-generational equity may be a place where restorative issues can be addressed. Within sustainability science approaches, restorative issues may also arise in the assessment of the current state as well as in the appreciation of contextual norms and histories of the places attempting to become more sustainable.