Insuring Southeast Asian commercial forests: Fire risk analysis and the potential for use of data in risk pricing and reduction of forest fire risk

The author uses his own data gleaned from over 10 years of commercial forestry insurance across the world to propose that despite a low intrinsic fire risk across most of Southeast Asia, especially Indonesia, commercial fire losses are unacceptably high, and could be reduced substantially within the current financial legal and political framework within which forestry companies operate. Opening with a statement about the dearth of forest fire loss data in the commercial sector, it is observed that the consequent inability of general insurers to estimate the rate of fire loss leads to very low insurance participation in forestry within Indonesia. A summary is then provided of the financial and environmental benefits of insurance participation in commercial forestry were this situation to be changed. A short discussion on risk perceptions is introduced to make the point that without reliable commercial forest fire loss data, risk perceptions of fire exposure in Southeast Asia by the financial sector, including insurers, is a barrier to risk transfer and investment. While real fire risk and perceived fire risk for Indonesia seem at present to be in agreement, the paper challenges that this should the case. Comparisons are made with different parts of the world with the knowledge that, in commercial terms, plantations in the low latitudes behave similarly everywhere in terms of fire causes, fire propagation factors, and characteristics of plantation or managed mixed forest fires. A review of the fire sizes within commercial forests is a good indicator of the efficiency of fire management strategies, and profiles from a high fire risk territory and Indonesia are compared. Using commercial and unidentified data the author then demonstrates that commercial growers in Indonesia have a high annual rate of forest fire loss and may also have a significant catastrophe fire exposure. This ‘cat’ exposure is far greater than for equivalent plantations in clearly higher fire risk environments. These conclusions are and should be discussed with forestry companies to change attitude and investment levels. Practical points for improved plantation fire management are made along with comments about the resources required. A parallel discussion then reviews fire risk assessment and management by the insurers to prevent their own ‘forest fire’ losses if they are to get further involved with the provision of Indonesian commercial forest risk transfer. The explanation of how insurers price risk within a portfolio helps identify the specific data needed for a proper risk management strategy to be developed.     

汤旺河着生硅藻群落及其与环境因子的关系

2018年8月(丰水期),在松花江支流汤旺河,调查了24个点位的着生硅藻群落结构和水环境特征.使用聚类分析、 Mcnaughton优势度分析和生态型分析3种方法研究了汤旺河着生硅藻群落结构和清洁度,使用主成分分析、 Spearman相关分析和冗余分析等方法研究了汤旺河着生硅藻群落和环境因子的响应关系.结果表明,汤旺河共鉴定出着生硅藻99种(变种),物种丰富.汤旺河丰水期水生态环境质量状况较为健康,着生硅藻主要由清洁种构成,其中Achnanthidium minutissimum优势度为0.32,为绝对优势种.聚类分析结果表明,汤旺河采样点位可分为3组;其中组1和组2健康程度较高,优势种均为清洁种,组3健康程度较其余两组偏低,Nitzschia palea和Ulnaria ulna等耐污种在组3的优势度增加.与组1相比,组2中-高度腐生型和中-富营养型硅藻比例有所增加,极度需氧型硅藻比例有所下降,影响组2硅藻群落结构变化的主要水质因子为高锰酸盐指数.与其他两组相比,组3富营养型硅藻和极度富营养型硅藻比例显著上升,影响组3硅藻群落结构变化的主要水质因子为NH⁺     

倭肯河着生硅藻群落结构及其与环境因子的关系

为了合理的评价倭肯河水生态健康状况,2018年8月（丰水期）,调查了19个点位的着生藻类群落结构和水环境特征.使用Mcnaughton优势度分析、聚类分析和生态型分析3种方法研究了倭肯河着生藻类群落结构和清洁度,使用Spearman相关分析、除趋势对应分析和典范对应分析等方法研究了倭肯河着生硅藻群落和环境因子的响应关系.结果表明：倭肯河共鉴定出着生硅藻89种,物种丰富,不同采样点位之间生物多样性差异较大,Nitzschia palea等富营养指示种是倭肯河的优势种.聚类分析结果表明,倭肯河采样点位可分为3组,从组1到组3,优势种清洁度逐渐下降,低度需氧型、中腐-高度腐生型和极度富营养型硅藻比例逐渐上升.影响倭肯河着生硅藻群落结构的主要水环境因子为TN、DO和pH,其中DO和TN是组3着生硅藻群落的主要影响因子,pH是组2着生硅藻群落的主要影响因子.由此可见,除河流源头区域外,倭肯河水生态环境质量状况较差,着生硅藻群落可以有效的指示倭肯河水体营养状况和腐生状况.     

Degradation and re-emergence of the commons: The impacts of government policies on traditional resource management institutions in China

In the vast majority of cases studied to date, rapid changes in indigenous resource management institutions and traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) have been reported with profound implications for indigenous livelihoods, biodiversity, and system resilience worldwide. In this case study, we examined how policy changes in China over the past 60 years have influenced indigenous resource management institutions designed to manage common pool pastoral systems in eastern Inner Mongolia. Based on semi-structured interviews (n = 91), focus group discussions (64 participants involved), and participant observation, we found that for over half a century rescaling efforts by the Chinese government shifted the focus to national level development planning, which led to the degradation of indigenous institutions that managed common pool pastoral systems in the region. However, we also highlight how local actors have used recent changes in government policies to revitalize traditional herding institutions. This provides a rare glimpse at the re-emergence of the commons from the bottom up.     

黄河三角洲不同生境下芦苇磷的累积和分配过程

为阐明不同生境对黄河三角洲滨海湿地芦苇磷(P)的累积和分配过程的影响,于2016年5-11月,选取新生芦苇湿地和退耕芦苇湿地为研究对象,测定了芦苇植物体各器官与枯落物的生物量和P含量.结果 表明:①新生湿地和退耕湿地内芦苇各器官生物量均呈现先增加后减少的变化特征,枯落物生物量符合指数型增加模型,退耕湿地内的芦苇生物量高...     

镉胁迫对芒草根际细菌群落结构、共发生网络和功能的影响

芒草(Miscanthus)作为第二代能源植物,已用于重金属污染土壤修复研究,但目前该过程中土壤细菌群落组成和功能研究开展较少.以芒草品种南荻(M.saccariflorus)为研究对象,通过高通量测序结合分子生态网络分析和PICRUSt功能预测,分析研究100 mg1kg-1Cd的胁迫对芒草根际细菌群落组成、共发生网...     

围封对固沙樟子松林下植被群落数量特征及多样性的影响

为揭示围封对人工樟子松固沙林林下植被群落及生态系统的影响,选择章古台围封37年生和46年生固沙樟子松林为研究对象,以邻近未围封林地为对照,采用野外调查法研究不同条件下樟子松林下植被的群落特征与物种多样性。结果表明:研究区共发现林下植被58种,分属18科42属,围封条件下促进禾本科植物与多年生植物种有所增加,多年生及灌木植物的重要值增大。围封降低先锋物种的重要值,明显增加羊草的重要值。围封有利于增加固沙樟子松林下植被群落的平均盖度、高度和生物量,而且随着围封年限的增加呈现不同程度的增长趋势;林下植被群落的物种多样性指数、优势度指数、均匀度指数在半围封5年较未围封状态略高,而在全围封10年则均低于未围封状态。因此,围封有利于樟子松林下植被群落的恢复与生长,适度的围封有利于林下群落多样性,进而保障群落的演替及生态系统稳定性的维持。     

黄土高原两种针叶树种不同器官水碳氮磷分配格局及其生态化学计量特征

植物不同器官水、碳、氮、磷等元素含量及其生态化学计量特征能够反映植物的生态策略及其环境适应性。本研究以黄土高原两种乡土树种油松(Pinus tabulaeformis)和柴松(Pinus tabulaefirmis f.shekanensis)为研究对象,分析了研究区两种树种水、碳、氮和磷在不同器官的含量及其生态化学计量特征,探讨了两种树种基于水、碳、氮和磷分配格局的生态适应策略。结果表明:(1)油松和柴松对水分和碳素的分配格局总体表现为根和叶最大,其次为枝和干,树皮最小;对氮、磷的分配格局则表现为叶片显著高于其他器官。(2)油松将更多的水和氮分配给叶、根等生产性器官,而柴松将更多的水和碳分配给枝、干等防御性器官,反映了柴松较油松具有更加保守的生长策略,能够更好适应逆境条件。(3)植物器官不同元素间通过相互耦合后可以表现出较好的相关性,反映了植物元素之间具有高度复杂的协同关系,这种协同关系的体现形式可能与植物类型及其对外界环境变化的生长适应策略密切相关。     

磷石膏和碱蓬对盐渍化土壤水盐及细菌群落结构的影响

盐渍土改良是农田土壤环境不可忽视的重要问题,土壤盐分的改变势必会影响土壤细菌群落.试验基于河套灌区中度盐渍土,以当地无改良措施枸杞园为对照(CK),设施加磷石膏(LSG)、枸杞间种碱蓬(JP)及施加磷石膏和枸杞间种碱蓬(LSG+JP)的改良处理,探究枸杞生育期内不同改良方式对土壤水分、盐分、养分和细菌群落结构多样性的影响.结果表明,相较CK,在开花期至落叶期LSG+JP显著降低了土壤EC值和pH值(P<0.05),平均降低39.96%和7.25%;全生育期内LSG+JP显著提高了土壤有机质(OM)和速效磷(AP)含量(P<0.05),年平均提高81.85%和203.50%;开花期和落叶期LSG+JP显著提高了全氮(TN)含量(P<0.05),年平均提高48.91%.改良初期LSG+JP的Shannon指数较CK提高了3.31%和6.54%,Chao1指数较CK提高了24.95%和43.26%;土壤优势菌门为变形菌门、拟杆菌门、放线菌门和酸杆菌门,优势菌属为鞘脂单胞菌属.开花期至落叶期改良处理的变形菌门相对丰度较CK增加了0.50%～16.27%,改良处理的放线菌门相对...     

连作对党参根际土壤理化性质、微生物活性及群落特征的影响

为探究连作对党参根际土壤理化性质、土壤微生物活性和群落特征的影响.以休耕5 a再种植党参的地块(CK)和不同连作年限的党参种植田为研究对象,采用Illumina高通量测序技术结合土壤理化性质分析,探讨了党参根际土壤理化性质、微生物活性和微生物群落特征对连作年限的响应.结果表明,党参根际土壤有机碳、全磷、全氮和盐分的含量随着连作年限的延长而增加,而土壤pH值则随着连作年限的延长而降低.较CK处理,连作1 a、 2 a、 3 a和4 a的党参根际土壤有机碳含量分别增加了11.1%、 80.5%、 74.9%和78.2%,全磷含量分别增加了11.8%、 52.9%、 66.7%和78.4%,全氮含量分别增加了31.3%、 68.8%、 52.1%和56.3%.连作3 a和4 a时土壤盐分含量显著增加,较CK处理,土壤电导率分别增加了54.2%和84.7%.根际土壤中微生物生物量碳氮比随着连作年限的延长而呈现增加的趋势,土壤呼吸熵和微生物熵则呈现降低的趋势.随着连作年限的增加,土壤中细菌多样性和丰度降低,真菌多样性和丰度增加.此外,随着连作年限的增加,土壤中细菌群落之间的拮抗作用增强,而真菌群...     

毛乌素沙地樟子松人工林根内真菌群落结构与功能时间动态特征

为揭示毛乌素沙地樟子松人工林根内真菌群落结构和功能时间动态特征,以毛乌素沙地不同林龄（23、33和44 a）樟子松人工林为研究对象,采用高通量测序技术,比较分析不同月份（4~9月）樟子松人工林根内真菌群落组成及其对环境因子的响应. 结果表明：①樟子松根内真菌群落分布存在明显的季节性,月份对樟子松根内真菌多样性指数影响显著（P<0.05）,在5月和7月较高;樟子松根内真菌多样性指数随林龄的增大而逐渐减小,林龄对其的影响不显著. ②毛乌素沙地樟子松根内真菌优势菌门为子囊菌门（Ascomycota）;不同营养型真菌相对丰度随月份变化,优势类群为腐生-共生营养型真菌、未定义腐生菌和外生菌根真菌;5月、7月和9月的指示外生菌根真菌分别为囊蘑属（Melanoleuca）、缘腺革菌属（Amphinema）和口蘑属（Tricholoma）. ③毛乌素沙地樟子松根内真菌群落分布受年均相对湿度、年均降水量、土壤孔隙度、土壤铵态氮、年均日照时数、年均温和土壤含水量的显著影响（P<0.05）,指示菌种主要受土壤有机碳含量、孔隙度、年均降水量和年均空气湿度的影响. 气候和土壤性质等环境因子的变化塑造了毛乌素沙地樟子松人工林根内真菌群落结构和功能的时间动态特征,而林龄的贡献较小. 研究结果可为樟子松人工林可持续经营管理提供理论依据.     

河北省典型景观水体反硝化菌群落时空分布特征及驱动因素:以石家庄为例

景观水体作为城市水系的重要组成部分,氮素超标是影响其生态功能的主要因素.为了探究城市景观水体反硝化菌群落特征和驱动因素,利用nirS功能基因研究石家庄市主城区4个公园的景观水体和沉积物的反硝化菌群落分布特征,结合水体和沉积物氮素指标对景观水体反硝化菌群落演变的驱动因子进行分析.结果表明,景观水体水质参数季节差异显著（P<0.001）,沉积物氮素指标空间差异显著（P<0.001）;水体以及沉积物的α多样性季节和空间差异都不显著（P>0.05）,电导率（EC）和强氧化剂浸取态氨氮（SOEF-NH⁺₄-N）是影响水体以及沉积物的α多样性的主要环境因素;景观水体反硝化菌主要为变形菌门（Protebacterice）中的Dechloromonas、Rhodocyclaceae、Pseudomonas、Rhodobacter和Thauera;主坐标分析（PCoA）表明水体和沉积物反硝化菌群组成空间差异显著（P<0.001）,水体关键反硝化物种也呈现出显著的空间差异（P<0.001）;冗余分析（RDA）和随机森林分析（RF）指...     

鸡粪热裂解对重金属Mn、Cu、Zn和Cr生物有效性的影响

畜禽粪便直接农用引起的重金属污染是社会普遍关注的问题,探索如何有效降低畜禽粪便重金属生物有效性的技术是急需解决的难题.本文通过分析鸡粪(CM)裂解前后Mn、Cu、Zn和Cr等4种重金属形态分布变化,并采用林地大型盆栽试验研究添加CM和鸡粪炭(CMB)处理对湿地松地上部分重金属吸收状况的影响.结果表明,与CM直接还田相比,添加CMB(400℃)处理降低Mn、Cu和Zn在湿地松地上部分的吸收量和富集系数,而处理之间植株Cr元素的吸收量和富集系数差异不显著. Tessier连续提取结果表明, Mn、Cu和Zn的交换态含量分别由CM的94.8、10.0和34.9 mg·kg~(-1)显著降为CMB的16.6 mg·kg~(-1)、未检测出和1.8 mg·kg~(-1). CM裂解成CMB后, Cr元素残渣态含量显著提高.从元素质量守恒来看, CM制成CMB后Mn、Cu、Zn和Cr损失率分别为29.3%、35.6%、33.5%和3.3%.裂解油中Mn、Cu、Zn和Cr的金属总量分别占CM金属损失量的51.7%、53.0%、32.9%和13.1%. CM裂解成CMB后,91.7%的交换态Mn、几乎100%交换态Cu和97.5%的交换态Zn会随裂解转化为铁锰氧化态、有机结合态和残渣态形式或挥发而降低有效性. 1年盆栽试验结果表明,在CMB处理中,土壤Mn、Cu和Zn交换态含量显著低于CM处理.相关性分析发现,植物体内重金属吸收量与土壤金属有效态含量显著相关,而与总量相关性不明显.由此可见,将鸡粪制成鸡粪炭是一种有效降低Mn、Cu和Zn生物有效性的途径.     

Settlement decisions in blue tits: difference in the use of social information according to age and individual success

Dispersers are expected to assess breeding habitat quality before settlement. Although cues reflecting habitat quality are well studied, social cues have not been as well evaluated. In this paper, we studied breeding habitat selection during 3 years in a natural population of blue tits, Cyanistes caeruleus, breeding in nest-boxes. Our aim was to investigate if this species used conspecific density and/or reproductive success of con- and heterospecifics (i.e., social cues) in settlement decisions. The patterns observed were consistent with the idea that juveniles, when dispersing from their natal patches, did not react to any of the cues that we tested. In contrast, breeders that dispersed seemed to respond to both conspecific mean patch reproductive success (PRS) and breeding density of the settlement patch in the year of dispersal, their response differing according to their own reproductive success. Indeed, failed breeders moved to areas with high PRS and low density relative to source patches, while successful breeders behaved the opposite. The comparison between juveniles and adults might be modulated by the limited time available to juveniles to gather information on PRS and density at the end of the dispersing year. Adults lacking these time constraints, however, seemed to rely on these conspecific cues although limited by their own quality. Additionally, breeders were more likely to be immigrants in patches with relatively low breeding success and density the previous year, suggesting that settlement is influenced by multiple cues, which may reveal information on different aspects of habitat and be available at different moments. Collectively, our results support the importance of social cues for blue tits’ settlement.     

The energetic costs of stereotyped behavior in the paper wasp, Polistes dominulus

Polistes wasps engage in many behavioral interactions. Although there has been debate over the meaning of these interactions, these stereotypical behaviors can be used to determine a colony’s linear dominance hierarchy. Due to the implicit relationship between behavioral and reproductive dominance, behavioral interactions are commonly used to distinguish the reproductively dominant alpha foundress from the beta foundress. It has been suggested that in order to maintain reproductive control, the alpha foundress is forced to remain at a physiologically constrained activity limit. This, in turn, may allow aggressive interactions to be used as determinants influencing reproductive partitioning between cooperating individuals. Energetic costs can place important limitations on behavior, but the energetic cost of the interactions has not previously been measured. To address this, we measured the CO₂ production of 19 non-nestmate pairs displaying interactive and noninteractive behavior. The rate of energy used during interaction behavior was positively associated with published rankings of aggression. However, our results indicate that interactions are not very energetically costly in Polistes, particularly when compared to the likely cost of foraging. These data suggest that maintaining reproductive dominance is not very energetically expensive for the dominant and that the dominant foundress expends energy at a lower rate than the subordinate foundress. Electronic Supplementary Material  The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.     

芦苇抑藻化感物质的分离及其抑制蛋白核小球藻效果研究

采用乙醇提取、溶剂萃取法从芦苇中分离出2组能抑制蛋白核小球藻生长的化感物质. 该2组化感物质对蛋白核小球藻的半效应浓度(EC₅₀)分别为0.68mg/L和2.65mg/L. 将前者用碱性氧化铝层析柱分离得到一组抑藻活性更强的化感物质和一组能够促进蛋白核小球藻生长的化感物质: 前者对蛋白核小球藻的EC₅₀为0.50mg/L, 是目前报道的抑藻能力最强的化感物质; 后者在浓度为0.63mg/L时能显著促进蛋白核小球藻的生长. 芦苇化感物质可以用来控制淡水中有害藻类.     

黄河源区水库二氧化碳逸出暖季变化规律及影响因素分析——以刘家峡水库为例

河流上修建水库改变了自然状态下的水流运动,而且深刻影响着物质传输和交换过程.本文以黄河源区12级梯级水库群末端的刘家峡水库为例,在2016年4、8月和2017年5月进行了3次野外试验,采用Li-7000静态箱法监测了刘家峡水库入库前、库中和出库河道内的二氧化碳分压(p(CO2))、二氧化碳逸出量(F(CO2)),并测定了相关水化学因素,包括pH、溶解氧(DO)和水温(T),综合分析了水库碳逸出的暖季时空变化规律及其影响因素.结果表明:在河流流向上,刘家峡水库库区内的p(CO2)和F(CO2)(601.6μatm和85 g·m-2·a-1,以C计,下同)均低于入库前水体(670μatm和328 g·m-2·a-1)和出库后水体(680.5μatm和372 g·m-2·a-1),水体的pH变化范围为7.90~8.80,DO变化范围为102%~145%;垂向上,pH为7.81~8.65,DO为82%~140%,从水面至水库库底p(CO2)的变化范围为617~1087μatm,p(CO2)、pH和DO均随水深增加而降低,且8月变化强于4月和5月;水温在垂向上存在明显的分层现象,温度范围为5~25℃.库区内的光合作用降低了水体溶解CO2的含量,出库水体由于水流波动较大,F(CO2)明显增加,8月水体的F(CO2)均低于5月,可能是由于水库中的热分层现象更加显著,进一步促进了浮游植物的生长,对溶解性CO2的利用增加.通过对世界范围内不同纬度和海拔高度的水库F(CO2)的统计发现,刘家峡水库的F(CO2)在温带地区水库的F(CO2)中呈较低水平,其高海拔的地理位置及梯级水库的拦截作用是重要原因.本研究可为高寒高海拔地区水库的F(CO2)评估和全球水库碳排放评价提供依据.     

Effects of nature organic matters and hydrated metal oxides on the anaerobic degradation of lindane, p, p '-DDT and HCB in sediments

Effects of natural organic matters(NOM) and hydrated metal oxides(HMO) in sediments on the anaerobic degradation of γ-666,p, p‘-DDT and HCB were investigated by means of removing NOM and HMO in Liaohe River sediments sequentially. The results showed that the anaerobic degradation of γ-666, p, p‘ -DDT and HCB followed pseudo-first-order kinetics in different sediments. But, the extents and rates of degradation were different, even the other conditions remained the same. Anaerobic degradation rates of γ-666, p, p ‘-DDT and HCB were 0.020 d^-1, 0.009 d^-1 and 0.035 month^-1 respectively for the sediments without additional carbon resources. However, with addition ofcarbon resources, the anaerobic degradation rates of γ-666, p, p‘-DDT and HCB were 0.071 d^1, 0.054 d^-1 and 0.088 month^-1 in the original sediments respectively. After removing NOM, the rates were decreased to 0.047 d^-, 0.037 d^-1 and 0.066 month^-1 ; in thesediments removed NOM and HMO, the rates were increased to 0.067 d^-1 , 0.059 d^-1 and 0.086 month^-1 . These results indicated that NOMin the sediments accelerated the anaerobic degradation of γ-666, p, p‘-DDT and HCB ; the HMO inhibited the anaerobic degradation of γ-666,p, p ‘-DDT and HCB.     

太湖蓝藻水华期间水体和底泥中产毒微囊藻与非产毒微囊藻种群丰度研究

运用实时荧光定量PCR(Quantitative real-time PCR,QPCR)技术研究了太湖蓝藻水华期间不同湖区水体和底泥中产毒微囊藻与总微囊藻种群丰度.结果表明,湖区间产毒微囊藻种群和总微囊藻种群丰度明显不同:在水体中,竺山湾(N5)和梅梁湾(N2)产毒微囊藻和总微囊藻种群丰度高于贡湖湾(N4)和湖心(S4...     

夏秋季北京及河北三城市的大气污染联合观测研究

为评估北京西南方向城市群对北京大气污染的影响,于2009年夏秋季节（2009年7月16日～10月15日）,利用自动在线大气环境观测仪器,对北京及太行山东侧河北省的3个城市涿州、保定和石家庄进行了大气污染物PM10、NOx和O3的联合观测研究.结果表明,夏秋季节4个城市的首要污染物均为可吸入颗粒物（PM10）,平均质量浓...