论计算机事故风险

本文提出了计算机事故风险概念，分析了计算机事故风险的成因、特征及其危害。     

铜陵市防震减灾计算机信息管理系统的技术实现

介绍了基于GIS的铜陵市防震减灾计算机信息管理系统，着重介绍了在系统研制和开发过程中编程的关键技术及运用实现。     

太阳质子耀斑引发旱涝灾害的模糊预测

运用模糊数学理论，考虑太阳质子耀斑爆发，对旱涝灾害进行预测。提出了模糊评判指标体系、评价标准及隶属函数公式，研究实用计算机数据处理软件，对洪涝灾害预测提供了依据。     

城市防灾救灾计算机集成管理系统初论

本文通过分析现代城市灾害的特点和城市灾害管理的原则，提出了城市减灾集成管理的思想，并按此思想初步分析和设计了一个城市防灾救灾计算机集成管理系统。     

强震数字技术的最新进展及其在大震快速反应中的应用

现代计算机和通信技术使强震数字技术有了长足的进步。本文阐述了强震数字技术的最新进展，分析讨论了在此基础上迅速发展的大震快速反应系统，并对我国强震数字技术的进一步发展提出了若干建议。     

用计算机仿真技术检验自然灾害模糊风险模型

自然灾害模糊风险是用模糊集对自然灾害风险的一种近似表达．本文建议了一种计算机仿真方法，用来检验计算模糊风险的模型是否可靠．假定真实的概率风险可以用某个概率密度函数来表达，当用某种模型依据小样本来估计这个函数时，必然会存在误差．设给定概率密度函数的其望值为Ｅ， 用传统模型估计得到的概率密度函数的期望值为Ｅ，用某种模糊数学方法计算出来的模糊概率分布的期望值为Ｅ．如果Ｅ与Ｅ的差小于Ｅ与Ｅ的差，则说明模糊风险模型比较可靠．本文给出了计算Ｅ的公式，对计算机仿真实验进行设计．并给出了产生随机数的３个重要程序．     

土壤侵蚀信息系统的结构设计

本文介绍了黄土地区土壤侵蚀信息系统的建造原理与方法。分析探讨了土壤侵蚀各因子计算机自动提取的算法，以及土壤侵蚀预测模型的构造方法，并用灰色控制系统的原理确定了模型的参数。并以山西省离石县王家沟流域羊道沟为例进行了试验研究。     

网格技术支持下的我国地震工程远程协同试验系统

建设我国地震工程远程协同试验系统（NEESGrid CN）的目的是促进国内地震工程研究领域的资源共享和同行间的交流、联合，为防震减灾相关研究工作提供交互平台。从NEESGrid CN建设的框架出发，明确了系统建设的原则，分析了地震工程远程协同中专业计算机的作用，阐明了LOOKING信息收集的功能，同时指出了NEESGrid CN发展的关键技术问题，即异构数据和数据流服务。最后，分析了几种NEESGrid CN的工作模式。     

自适应滤波法在洪水预测中的应用

尝试用时间序列分析中的自适应滤波法对江河灾害性洪水进行预测，认为加权因子个数和自适应常数的确定是关键。以荆江沙市站１９５０～１９９５年的年最高水位资料为研究对象，借助计算机编程与计算，确定了最优加权因子个数和自适应常数，建立了适合于该站未来年最高水位的预测模型。预测结果与误差分析表明，自适应滤波法用于江河洪水预测是可行的。     

预应力混凝土结构火灾研究现状及展望

对预应力混凝土结构火灾的研究现状进行了综述与分析，探讨了预应力混凝土结构火灾研究中存在的主要问题。建议进一步研究应从预应力材料的高温蠕变性能人手，采用非线性有限元进行整体结构分析，逐步建立结构火灾的可靠度方法，并指出结构火灾的计算机仿真分析是一种重要的试验方法。     

Use of computer models of flood inundation to facilitate communication in flood risk management

It is now widely recognised that good communication between multi-disciplinary stakeholders is central to effective flood risk management. Recent developments in Geographical Information Systems, increased availability of accurate digital terrain models from remotely sensed data sources and improved graphical computer interfaces have made the outputs from computer models of flood inundation easily accessible to the stakeholder community. As a consequence, predictions from such models are now being used routinely as a means of communication between engineers and other stakeholders in flood risk management. This paper provides a review of the modelling methods most appropriate for flood risk communication. These are one-dimensional models which are suitable for simulating flood risk at a catchment or sub-catchment scale and appropriate for communicating the impact of strategic flood management decisions and two-dimensional models which can be applied across a range of scales but, are now being regularly applied at the relatively small scale, less than 10 km², where they have the potential to inform and communicate disaster management decisions. The role of such models in communicating between modellers and non-modellers by providing a means for immediate visualisation of “the future” is discussed and illustrated by application to two case studies.     

Use of computer models of flood inundation to facilitate communication in flood risk management

It is now widely recognised that good communication between multi-disciplinary stakeholders is central to effective flood risk management. Recent developments in Geographical Information Systems, increased availability of accurate digital terrain models from remotely sensed data sources and improved graphical computer interfaces have made the outputs from computer models of flood inundation easily accessible to the stakeholder community. As a consequence, predictions from such models are now being used routinely as a means of communication between engineers and other stakeholders in flood risk management. This paper provides a review of the modelling methods most appropriate for flood risk communication. These are one-dimensional models which are suitable for simulating flood risk at a catchment or sub-catchment scale and appropriate for communicating the impact of strategic flood management decisions and two-dimensional models which can be applied across a range of scales but, are now being regularly applied at the relatively small scale, less than 10 km², where they have the potential to inform and communicate disaster management decisions. The role of such models in communicating between modellers and non-modellers by providing a means for immediate visualisation of “the future” is discussed and illustrated by application to two case studies.     

油田生命线工程系统抗灾防灾时域变化可靠度控制研究

本文从工程可靠度理论出发，探讨了油田生命线工程系统随着时域的变化控制抗灾防灾能力的问题。提出了界线控制，保证油田生命线工程系统抗灾防灾能力的方法。指出了油田生命线工程系统抗灾防灾进行可靠度研究的必要性及意义。阐述了计算机仿真应用于油田生命线工程系统抗灾防灾研究的可行性和方法。     

Using computer graphics to reveal temporal changes in urban population density patterns

Population distributions change substantially over time in major metropolitan areas. Knowledge of these variations by time of day, day of the week and other time periods can be helpful to disaster planners who need to prepare response plans to earthquakes and other disasters that will injure and kill large numbers of people. Computer graphics can display data that describe these changing population patterns in ways that can be more easily comprehended than page after page of printed numbers. Several different illustrations of 3-D population density maps drawn by the ASPEX computer program are presented. Each illustrates a guideline that can be used to prepare maps that deal with the many ways of looking at urban population density distributions and their temporal changes. Those maps can help disaster planners gain a realistic perception of population density distributions by enabling them to see what cannot be seen from the actual physical structure of a large metropolitan region.     

基于GIS的城市防震减灾信息管理系统设计研究

本文通过基于GIS的城市防震减灾计算机信息管理系统设计的分析研究,描述了系统的总体思路,结构设计和功能等内容,该系统的建立既可用于城市防震减灾的日常工作,也可用于应急救灾的紧急情况。     

电网生产作业现场视频的深化应用

针对当前生产作业现场视频监控方式和监控手段缺失,以及电网统一-视频监控平台(Unified Video Platform,UVP)功能单一、人机交互功能不够完善等问题,采用UVP的视频资源与电力生产管理系统(Power Production Management System , PMS)的工作票信息集成的方式,并运用图像自动识别等技术,将线下的检修计划收集转为线.上自动汇总,通过关联视频摄像头引导视频监控快速定位到工作现场,使UVP的功能更加完善和人性化。应用结果表明:该功能的开发提高了生产作业现场视频监控的准确性、易用性,提升了工作效率,简化了工作流程。     

马钢公司防震减灾计算机信息管理系统研究

依据中国地震局有关建设防震减灾示范项目大纲的要求,就大型企业如何建立防震减灾计算机信息系统进行了研究,给出了地震危险性分析、地震地质背景及震害预测和对策,为企业防震减灾工艺的信息化管理,提供了经验和借鉴。     

对新时期地震科技情报工作的一点思考

针对目前地震科技情报工作面临的困境并结合这方面工作实际，提出在新的历史时期，地震科技情报工作应加快向信息化转变的步伐，充分发挥计算机的作用，并利用计算机网络优势，合理配置馆藏，以求在不增加资金投入的情况下扩大信息储存量。同时提出新时期的信息管理人员应具备较高的科技文化素质。