COASTMAP: An integrated monitoring and modeling system to support oil spill response

One of the most difficult tasks in oil spill response modeling is to provide accurate estimates of the currents and winds during the spill event. This is typically done in an ad-hoc, subjective manner combining very limited field observations with simplified hydrodynamic and meteorological models. As an alternative an integrated environmental monitoring and modeling system, called COASTMAP, is presented. COASTMAP allows the user to collect, manipulate, display, and archive real-time environmental data through an embedded geographic information system and environmental data management tools; to perform simulations with a suite of environmental models (e.g. hydrodynamics, meteorological) in order to predict dynamics in the operational area and to assimilate real-time data into the models to allow hindcasting, nowcasting and forecasting. COASTMAP, operational on a personal computer, is controlled by mouse/keyboard through a series of menus and uses color graphics to present model predictions (plots, graphs, animations) and the results of data analyses. The software is designed using a shell based architecture making application to any geographic location simple and straightforward.In the present paper, COASTMAP is linked with OILMAP to provide a fully operational, real-time system that allows prediction of circulation, winds and oil spill trajectory and fate for estuarine and coastal sea areas. System performance is illustrated by the simulation of the trajectory of oil tracking buoys during two experiments performed in the lower west passage of Narragansett Bay. Simulation results using several forecast procedures, with/without real-time data, are presented.     

South Arne Field Development: An Environmental Impact Assessment of Oil Spills

The South Arne field being developed by Amerada Hess A/S is located in 60 m water depth approximately 200 km from the Danish mainland, in block 5604/29 of the Danish sector of the North Sea.As part of the development of the field, a comprehensive environmental impact assessment has been carried out, including the assessment of the impact from oil spills. The Danish authorities required that a ‘worst case’ oil spill be chosen as the basis for the assessment on birds and aquatic organisms including plankton, fish eggs and larvae and benthos.A well blow-out at the surface was chosen as the worst case for the impact on birds, and a seabed blow-out for aquatic organisms.The oil spill modelling was carried out with the DEEPBLOW, SLIKMAP and OSCAR models from SINTEF. The modelling identified environmentally sensitive areas which could potentially be influenced by an oil spill. These included the Dogger Bank, western Skagerrak, south-western Norwegian Trench, the eastern German Bight and the Wadden Sea.Historical meteorological and hydrodynamic scenarios were chosen from a long period of records to ensure that the plume passed through the environmentally sensitive resource areas.For birds, a scan of the literature and available databases was made to determine the numbers and species of birds in the areas swept by the surface slick, the number of fatalities was estimated and finally the recovery time for each species population was estimated.The impact on aquatic organisms was estimated using the predicted environmental concentration/predicted no effect concentration (PEC/PNEC) method of the CHARM model. This method is normally applied to continuous discharges, but here has been used to estimate the impact of a transient pollution cloud resulting from an oil spill.     

The 1993 oil spill of Tampa Bay,a scenario for burning?

This viewpoint paper considers the potential of offshore burning of oil in the recent Tampa Bay spill as a generic oil spill response option. While the oil spilled might not have been amenable to burning, the physical constraints of the spill and subsequent environmental conditions provide a scenario for future consideration of this option.     

Long-term Environmental Impact of Oil Spills

Oil contamination may persist in the marine environment for many years after an oil spill and, in exceptional cases such as salt marshes and mangrove swamps, the effects may be measurable for decades after the event. However, in most cases, environmental recovery is relatively swift and is complete within 2–10 years. Where oil has been eliminated from the scene, the long-term environmental impacts are generally confined to community structure anomalies that persist because of the longevity of the component species.     

System performance assessment of final repository for radioactive wastes using first-order reliability method

When a final option for radioactive waste is determined, it is necessary to demonstrate compliance of disposal system chosen with relevant regulations. Considering the large number of physical and chemical factors involved, the complexity of their interrelationships, and long time periods, a system approach is required. A stochastic analysis is also needed to ensure that these regulatory criteria can be met with confidence. Among a variety of models developed to treat the effect of uncertainty on system performance, the first-order reliability method is suggested as an attractive tool to stochastic problems incorporating any amount of probabilistic information. Based on the first-order approximation, the method can give a probability of failure against a preselected target value, and information concerning the sensitivity of the outcome to variations in the input random variables and their statistical moments. In this paper, for reliable prediction of the performance of repository for radioactive wastes, first-order reliability method is applied in treating the parameter uncertainties of predictive models. First, a thickness of canister corrosion and breach time of canister is calculated using a uniform corrosion model, combined with the diffusional transport modeling of radionuclides in the backfill material. Second, a fractional release rate for each radionuclide is derived from the evaluation of the performance of a waste package which consists of canister and backfill material. Third, a cumulative release rate at the accessible environment is obtained by geosphere transport modeling with the source term given as a fractional release rate. The proposed first-order reliability method can be applicable to a full range of problems occurring in radioactive waste management and beyond.     

Oil outflow estimates for tankers and barges

Results of an analysis to estimate potential oil outflow from tankers in the event of groundings and collisions is presented. Three baseline tanker types are considered: pre-MARPOL (COW), MARPOL '73 (SBT only), MARPOL '73/'78 (PL/SBT) before and after these tankers have been retrofitted with various combinations of pollution prevention measures. Specifically the analysis examines four tanker sizes, 46 600, 71 000, 152 000 and 268 000 dwt, and various pollution measures — protectively located spaces (PL/spaces) in various ballast arrangements and with clean ballast tanks (CBTs), hydrostatically balanced loading (HBL), probabilistically located HBL, combinations of HBL and PL/spaces, double bottom or double side retrofits, and replacement of the tanker with a double hull vessel. Additionally, oil outflow estimates are presented for a US coastal and an ocean going barge of over 5000 gt with and without PL/spaces, PL/SBT, and HBL. The accidental oil outflow estimates are developed in accordance with probabilistic and deterministic models of IMOs MARPOL Annex I Regulations 13F and 13G. The accidental oil outflow estimates presented in the paper may provide oil spill response and related organizations with information to assist in planning for oil spill response activities.     

Effectiveness of “Nochar” Solidifier Polymer in Removing Oil from Open Water in Coastal Wetlands

The use of solidifier in oil spill cleanup has been minimal due to lack of practical application method and in situ field testing and evaluation under various coastal and environmental conditions. Solidifiers are dry granular, hydrophobic polymers that react with oil and form a cohesive mass that floats on water. Unlike sorbents, the oil is retained in the solid mass allowing for easy removal. A field test was conducted in coastal Louisiana in which replicated open water enclosures were oiled with South Louisiana Crude. Granular solidifier was spread over oil and the solidified oil was then removed from the plots. Over 70% of the applied oil was recovered. Results demonstrated that solidifier may, under certain conditions, be an option for removing oil from wetlands.     

Quantitative analysis of alternate oil spill response strategies using OSCAR

A three-dimensional numerical model of the physical and chemical behavior and fate of spilled oil has been coupled to a model of oil spill response actions. This coupled system of models for Oil Spill Contingency and Response (OSCAR), provides a tool for quantitative, objective assessment of alternative oil spill response strategies. Criteria for response effectiveness can be either physical (‘How much oil comes ashore?’ or ‘How much oil have we recovered?’) or biological (‘How many biologically sensitive areas were affected?’ or ‘What exposures will fish eggs and larvae experience in the water column?’). The oil spill combat module in the simulator represents individual sets of equipment, with capabilities and deployment strategies being specified explicitly by the user. The coupling to the oil spill model allows the mass balance of the spill to be affected appropriately in space and time by the cleanup operation as the simulation proceeds. An example application is described to demonstrate system capabilities, which include evaluation of the potential for both surface and subsurface environmental effects. This quantitative, objective approach to analysis of alternative response strategies provides a useful tool for designing more optimal, functional, rational, and cost-effective oil spill contingency solutions for offshore platforms, and coastal terminals and refineries.     

The integration of trajectory models and analysis into spill response information systems

The spill response community is engaged in a technological rush towards computer-based, information-synthesis systems. Typically, they are modeled after many successful ‘incident command’ or ‘command and control’ systems that rely on micro- or mini-computer technology that is friendly and graphically oriented. Virtually all of these systems offer spill trajectory modeling components. What is typically lacking in this modeling output is any reliable way to estimate the uncertainty. This means that advice derived from the models is of questionable value, and when integrated into a complex response plan, the propagation of errors could seriously compromise the usefulness of results. It is shown that no single trajectory model run can provide the necessary information to respond in an optimal, ‘minimum regret’ strategy. However, a well-defined series of model runs used as the basis for trajectory analysis can provide the required information. A discussion of options suggests that the adoption of a minimum standard analysis procedure would significantly improve the ability of integrated response systems to use the predictions of oil distributions.     

Introduction/Overview to In Situ Burning of Oil Spills

In situ burning is an oil spill response technique or tool that involves the controlled ignition and burning of the oil at or near the spill site on the surface of the water or in a marsh (see Lindau et al., this volume). Although controversial, burning has been shown on several recent occasions to be an appropriate oil spill countermeasure. When used early in a spill before the oil weathers and releases its volatile components, burning can remove oil from the waters surface very efficiently and at very high rates. Removal efficiencies for thick slicks can easily exceed 95% (Advanced In Situ Burn Course, Spiltec, Woodinville, WA, 1997). In situ burning offers a logistically simple, rapid, inexpensive and if controlled a relatively safe means for reducing the environmental impacts of an oil spill. Because burning rapidly changes large quantities of oil into its primary combustion products (water and carbon dioxide), the need for collection, storage, transport and disposal of recovered material is greatly reduced. The use of towed fire containment boom to capture, thicken and isolate a portion of a spill, followed by ignition, is far less complex than the operations involved in mechanical recovery, transfer, storage, treatment and disposal (The Science, Technology, and Effects of Controlled Burning of Oil Spills at Sea, Marine Spill Response Corporation, Washington, DC, 1994).However, there is a limited window-of-opportunity (or time period of effectiveness) to conduct successful burn operations. The type of oil spilled, prevailing meteorological and oceanographic (environmental) conditions and the time it takes for the oil to emulsify define the window (see Buist, this volume and Nordvik et al., this volume). Once spilled, oil begins to form a stable emulsion: when the water content exceeds 25% most slicks are unignitable. In situ burning is being viewed with renewed interest as a response tool in high latitude waters where other techniques may not be possible or advisable due to the physical environment (extreme low temperatures, ice-infested waters), or the remoteness of the impacted area. Additionally, the magnitude of the spill may quickly overwhelm the deployed equipment necessitating the consideration of other techniques in the overall response strategy (The Science, Technology, and Effects of Controlled Burning of Oil Spills at Sea, Marine Spill Response Corporation, Washington, DC, 1994; Proceedings of the In Situ Burning of Oil Spills Workshop. NIST. SP934. MMS. 1998, p. 31; Basics of Oil Spill Cleanup, Lewis Publishers, Washington, DC, 2001, p. 233). This paper brings together the current knowledge on in situ burning and is an effort to gain regulatory acceptance for this promising oil spill response tool.     

Nature,frequency, and cost of environmental remediation at onshore oil and gas exploration and production sites

This article quantifies the nature, frequency, and cost of environmental remediation activities for onshore oil and gas operations, as determined from over 4,100 environmental remediation cases in Texas, Kansas, New Mexico, and Colorado. For the purpose of this article, “remediation'' refers to cleanup efforts that entail longer‐term site characterization, monitoring, and remedial action beyond the initial spill cleanup or emergency response stage. In addition, data are also presented regarding short‐term spill cleanup activities in two of the four states. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

Computer Modeling of Oil Spill Trajectories With a High Accuracy Method

This paper proposes a high accuracy numerical method to model oil spill trajectories using a particle-tracking algorithm. The Euler method, used to calculate oil trajectories, can give adequate solutions in most open ocean applications. However, this method may not predict accurate particle trajectories in certain highly non-uniform velocity fields near coastal zones or in river problems. Simple numerical experiments show that the Euler method may also introduce artificial numerical dispersion that could lead to overestimation of spill areas. This article proposes a fourth-order Runge–Kutta method with fourth-order velocity interpolation to calculate oil trajectories that minimize these problems. The algorithm is implemented in the OilTrack model to predict oil trajectories following the “Nissos Amorgos” oil spill accident that occurred in the Gulf of Venezuela in 1997. Despite lack of adequate field information, model results compare well with observations in the impacted area.     

An approach to evaluate the application of the vulnerability index for oil spills in tropical Red Sea environments

The Egyptian national marine oil pollution contingency plan was urgently initiated after the Nabila oil spill in 1982, to provide an estimate of its environmental effects on the Egyptian Red Sea coastal areas and to determine geomorphological features and cuastal processes, together with physical, chemical and biological baseline data for this tropical environment.The ‘Vulnerability Index’ (VI) was applied to evaluate and calibrate the effect of the Nabila oil spill on the Egyptian Red Sea Coastal area. A detailed in situ coastal survey was conducted during two visits in November 1982 and May 1983 to 80 shore sites from Suez to Ras Banas to monitor the oil pollution and to apply the ‘Vulnerability Index’. A comparative assessment of the index over time by comparing it with a quick ground inspection in November 1993 to some sites to evaluate the applicability of this index for oil spills in such environments. In addition, the physical effects of fresh and weathered crude oil and/with dispersant on water filtration by different beaches were preliminary studied.The geomorphological/Vulnerability Index results show that most of the Egyptian Red Sea coastal environments have medium to high vulnerability to immediate and medium term oil spill damage. The oil pollution spread estimated to be 250 km south of the oil spill and about 200 km north of it. The quantity of oil along the shoreline was reduced by about 60% due to natural and authorities clean up. The third survey after 11 years showed that the VI could be used as a predictive tool for assessment of oil spill effects on such tropical environments.     

Oil Spill Contingency and Response (OSCAR) Analysis in Support of Environmental Impact Assessment Offshore Namibia

The work reported here encompasses analyses of specific potential spill scenarios for oil exploration activity planned offshore of Namibia. The analyses are carried out with the SINTEF Oil Spill Contingency and Response (OSCAR) 3-dimensional model system. A spill scenario using 150 m³ of marine diesel demonstrates the rapidity with which such a spill will dissipate naturally, even in light winds. Vertical and horizontal mixing bring subsurface hydrocarbon concentrations to background levels within a few days. A hypothetical 10 day blowout scenario releasing 11,000 bbl per day of light crude oil is investigated in terms of the potential for delivering oil to selected bird and marine mammal areas along the Namibian coast. Worst case scenarios are selected to investigate the potential mitigating effects of planned oil spill response actions. Mechanical recovery significantly reduces, and in some cases eliminates, potential environmental consequences of these worst case scenarios. Dispersant application from fixed wing aircraft further reduces the potential surface effects. The analysis supplies an objective basis for net environmental analysis of the planned response strategies.     

Analysis of Methods Used in Spill Response Planning: Trajectory Analysis Planner TAP II

Long records of geophysical forcing have been used in numerous studies to estimate a statistical distribution of oil spill scenarios. The resulting set of spill scenarios is then used as a basis for planning a robust response capability that should be able to handle all likely real spills. For model developers to be able to support these expectations there are a number of criteria that must be satisfied: (1) Models must develop and retain the data necessary to answer key response questions; (2) developers must understand the limitations in resolution imposed by the specific algorithms they use; and (3) the cardinality of the long geophysical records (with respect to modeled spill behavior) should be determined and the final collection of spill scenarios must span this set. This paper considers these specific constraints and discusses methods that can be used to quantify some aspects of the uncertainty in the output.     

Biodegradation of Crude Oil Contaminating Marine Shorelines and Freshwater Wetlands

This paper is a summary of the various factors influencing weathering of oil after it has been released into the environment from a spill incident. Special emphasis has been placed on biodegradation processes. Results from two field studies conducted in 1994 and 1999 involving bioremediation of an experimental oil spill on a marine sandy shoreline in Delaware and a freshwater wetland on the St. Lawrence River in Quebec, Canada have been presented in the paper.     

Weathering of Oils at Sea: Model/Field Data Comparisons

The SINTEF Oil Weathering Model (OWM) has been extensively tested with results from full-scale field trials with experimental oil slicks in the Norwegian NOFO Sea trials in 1994 and 1995 and the AEA 1997 trials in UK. The comparisons between oil weathering values predicted by the model and ground-truth obtained from the field trials are presented and discussed. Good laboratory weathering data of the specific oil as input to the model is essential for obtaining reliable weathering predictions. Predictions provided by the SINTEF-OWM enable oil spill personnel to estimate the most appropriate “window of opportunity” for use of chemical dispersants under various spill situations. Pre-spill scenario analysis with the SINTEF Oil Spill Contingency and Response (OSCAR) model system, in which the SINTEF-OWM is one of several components, has become an important part of contingency plans as well as contingency training of oil spill personnel at refineries, oil terminals and offshore installations in Norway.     

The Relation of Langmuir Circulation Processes to the Standard Oil Spill Spreading,Dispersion, and Transport Algorithms

Most standard oil spill modeling programs neglect the effects of Langmuir circulation (LC). The authors have identified three areas where LC effects may be important in spill behavior. These three areas are spreading, dispersion, and transport. LC will cause the slick to break into windrows when the wind-row formation velocity is comparable to Fay and other spreading forces. Oil dispersion is likely to be enhanced, with droplets carried to greater depth and distributed non-uniformly. Transport velocities for different parts of the slick will vary because of LC, a phenomenon that also occurs because of other factors.     

Prediction of the Dispersal of Oil Transport in the Caspian Sea Resulting from a Continuous Release

A 3-D hybrid flow/transport model has been developed to predict the dispersal of oil pollution in coastal waters. The transport module of the model takes predetermined current and turbulent diffusivities and uses Lagrangian tracking to predict the motion of individual particles (droplets), the sum of which constitute a hypothetical oil spill. Currents and turbulent diffusivities used in the model have been generated by a numerical ocean circulation model (Princeton ocean model) implemented for the Caspian Sea. The basic processes affecting the fate of the oil spill are taken into account and parameterized in the transport model.The hybrid model is implemented for a simulated continuous release in the coastal waters of the Caspian Sea. The potential of the model for the prediction of the advective and turbulent transport and dispersal of oil spills is demonstrated.